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SalPa vs KäPa Result & Analysis

Date: 13/07/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 1-0
SalPa
SalPa
Vs
43%
24%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
KäPa
KäPa
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SalPa win✓ Hit
42.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
KäPa win✗ Miss
33.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SalPaSalPa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L13L12L00D00D13L12L34L04LH·JÄP10/05H·EIF17/05A·KÄP21/05H·TUR25/05H·SJK01/06H·JIP14/06A·PK-18/06H·LAH28/06A·JÄP04/07A·EIF09/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.870.791.501.002.19
vs Stronger (2)1.501.00--1.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.861.860.831.330.902.50
vs Weaker (6)0.832.170.502.501.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KäPaKäPa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L31W35L05L22D13L35L13L42W11DA·PK-18/05H·SAL21/05A·LAH25/05H·KLU01/06A·JÄP06/06H·EIF14/06A·SJK18/06A·JIP29/06H·TUR03/07H·PK-09/07
Avg total
4.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.772.871.642.431.883.25
vs Stronger (24)1.752.711.601.901.863.29
vs Similar (6)1.833.501.753.752.003.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (SalPa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
87.3%
Under 1.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.9%
Under 2.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.4%
Under 3.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.0%
No
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
1-0 ✓
4.7%
3-2
4.4%
SalPa goals ↓
KäPa goals →
01234
03.9%4.0%4.0%2.2%0.9%
14.7%10%7.5%4.1%1.7%
25.3%8.6%7.0%3.8%1.6%
33.3%5.3%4.4%2.4%1.0%
41.5%2.5%2.0%1.1%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SalPa goals (down), columns = KäPa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lahti
2.15
Turku PS
1.96
PK-35
1.56
JIPPO
1.52
EIF
1.52
Klubi-04
1.44
JäPS
1.19
SJK Akatemia
1.07
KäPa
0.90
SalPa
0.56
OLS
0.00
SalPa is 0.34 points worse than KäPa in terms of average points per game (0.56 vs 0.90).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Turku PS
2.44
Lahti
2.00
Klubi-04
1.81
EIF
1.78
SJK Akatemia
1.70
KäPa
1.66
JäPS
1.52
PK-35
1.44
JIPPO
1.37
OLS
1.00
SalPa
0.81
SalPa is 0.84 goals worse than KäPa in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.66).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
PK-35
1.11
Lahti
1.11
JIPPO
1.15
EIF
1.59
Klubi-04
1.67
Turku PS
1.67
SJK Akatemia
1.81
JäPS
1.85
SalPa
1.93
KäPa
2.41
OLS
3.50
SalPa is 0.49 goals better than KäPa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.93 vs 2.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SalPaSalPa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W01L00D00D02L11D22D01LH·JÄP10/05H·EIF17/05A·KÄP21/05H·TUR25/05H·SJK01/06H·JIP14/06A·PK-18/06H·LAH28/06A·JÄP04/07A·EIF09/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.730.290.640.500.81
vs Stronger (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.320.860.330.670.301.10
vs Weaker (6)0.500.500.000.500.750.50
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KäPaKäPa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L12L02L20W02L12L01L10W10WA·PK-18/05H·SAL21/05A·LAH25/05H·KLU01/06A·JÄP06/06H·EIF14/06A·SJK18/06A·JIP29/06H·TUR03/07H·PK-09/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.230.501.210.691.25
vs Stronger (24)0.621.120.700.800.571.36
vs Similar (6)0.501.670.002.251.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (SalPa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SalPa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SalPa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SalPa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SalPaSalPa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L03L11D00D00D11D01L12L03LH·JÄP10/05H·EIF17/05A·KÄP21/05H·TUR25/05H·SJK01/06H·JIP14/06A·PK-18/06H·LAH28/06A·JÄP04/07A·EIF09/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.130.500.860.501.38
vs Stronger (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.551.000.500.670.601.40
vs Weaker (6)0.331.670.502.000.251.50
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KäPaKäPa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L30W23L03L02L11D23L12L32W01LA·PK-18/05H·SAL21/05A·LAH25/05H·KLU01/06A·JÄP06/06H·EIF14/06A·SJK18/06A·JIP29/06H·TUR03/07H·PK-09/07
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.631.141.211.192.00
vs Stronger (24)1.121.580.901.101.291.93
vs Similar (6)1.331.831.751.500.502.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (SalPa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SalPa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SalPa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SalPa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (22)
€3m
TP (22)
€2m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
KLU (17)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
SAL wins
2
Draws
2
KÄP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

SalPa vs KäPa · H/A from SAL
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/25AKäPa Vs SAL3-1
05/10/24HSAL Vs KäPa1-4
12/06/24HSAL Vs KäPa1-1
19/04/24AKäPa Vs SAL1-1

SalPaSalPa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/07/25AEIF Vs SAL4-0
04/07/25AJäPS Vs SAL4-3
28/06/25HSAL Vs Lahti1-2
18/06/25APK-35 Vs SAL3-1
14/06/25HSAL Vs JIPPO0-0
01/06/25HSAL Vs SJK Akatemia0-0
25/05/25HSAL Vs Turku PS1-2
21/05/25AKäPa Vs SAL3-1
17/05/25HSAL Vs EIF0-1
10/05/25HSAL Vs JäPS1-1

KäPaKäPa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/07/25HKÄP Vs PK-351-1
03/07/25HKÄP Vs Turku PS4-2
29/06/25AJIPPO Vs KÄP3-1
18/06/25ASJK Akatemia Vs KÄP5-3
14/06/25HKÄP Vs EIF1-3
06/06/25AJäPS Vs KÄP2-2
01/06/25HKÄP Vs Klubi-040-5
25/05/25ALahti Vs KÄP5-3
21/05/25HKÄP Vs SalPa3-1
18/05/25APK-35 Vs KÄP4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

SalPa
SalPa
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL0.91
HomeLLDDL0.71
AwayDLLLL1.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%10%30%
AVG goals2.822.623.00
Over 1.5 %80%71%87%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %30%29%30%
Scored1.071.051.09
Conceded1.751.571.91
BTTS57%62%52%
Clean Sheet16%19%13%
Corners---
Cards---
KäPa
KäPa
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD0.88
HomeWLLWD1.19
AwayLLDLL0.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%29%15%
AVG goals4.233.574.74
Over 1.5 %96%90%100%
Over 2.5 %73%62%81%
Over 3.5 %58%48%67%
Scored1.751.521.93
Conceded2.482.052.81
BTTS71%67%74%
Clean Sheet10%14%7%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LahtiLahti2758
63%
2.1
5430+24
3.1
78%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.01.1
-
2Turku PSTurku PS2753
59%
2.0
6645+21
4.1
93%
81%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.7
-
3PK-35PK-352742
41%
1.6
3930+9
2.6
85%
52%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.1
-
4JIPPOJIPPO2741
37%
1.5
3731+6
2.5
81%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.1
-
5EIFEIF2741
44%
1.5
4843+5
3.4
85%
63%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.6
-
6Klubi-04Klubi-042739
41%
1.4
4945+4
3.5
89%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
7JäPSJäPS2732
26%
1.2
4150-9
3.4
89%
52%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.9
-
8SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia2729
30%
1.1
4649-3
3.5
89%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
9KäPaKäPa2926
21%
0.9
4870-22
4.1
93%
79%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.72.4
-
10SalPaSalPa2715
15%
0.6
2252-30
2.7
70%
59%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
11OLSOLS20
0%
0.0
27-5
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.5
-
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →

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