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SalPa vs Turku PS Result & Analysis

Date: 04/10/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 1-0
SalPa
SalPa
Vs
17%
22%
61%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Turku PS
Turku PS
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SalPa win✓ Hit
16.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Turku PS win✗ Miss
60.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SalPaSalPa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L03L03L02L01L12L12L32W14L01LA·KLU23/07A·SJK28/07H·KLU02/08A·JÄP15/08H·JIP23/08A·SJK30/08H·PK-06/09A·EIF12/09H·LAH19/09A·KLU27/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.772.100.621.690.882.41
vs Stronger (2)1.501.00--1.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.642.140.601.700.672.50
vs Weaker (6)1.002.330.671.671.333.00
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Turku PSTurku PS

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W20W12L13L21W33D40W32W11D01LH·SAL18/07A·EIF25/07H·PK-02/08H·PK-15/08H·SJK22/08A·KÄP30/08H·EIF05/09A·KLU14/09A·JÄP19/09H·JIP27/09
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.501.502.501.362.501.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)2.291.292.141.292.431.29
vs Weaker (16)2.691.692.861.432.561.89
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (SalPa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.6%
Under 2.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.2%
Under 3.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.8%
0-1
8.5%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.8%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
SalPa goals ↓
Turku PS goals →
01234
05.5%8.5%9.8%6.8%3.5%
13.7%11%9.9%6.9%3.6%
22.3%4.9%5.0%3.5%1.8%
30.8%1.6%1.7%1.2%0.6%
40.2%0.4%0.4%0.3%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SalPa goals (down), columns = Turku PS goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lahti
2.15
Turku PS
1.96
PK-35
1.56
JIPPO
1.52
EIF
1.52
Klubi-04
1.44
JäPS
1.19
SJK Akatemia
1.07
KäPa
0.90
SalPa
0.56
OLS
0.00
SalPa is 1.41 points worse than Turku PS in terms of average points per game (0.56 vs 1.96).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Turku PS
2.44
Lahti
2.00
Klubi-04
1.81
EIF
1.78
SJK Akatemia
1.70
KäPa
1.66
JäPS
1.52
PK-35
1.44
JIPPO
1.37
OLS
1.00
SalPa
0.81
SalPa is 1.63 goals worse than Turku PS in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 2.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
PK-35
1.11
Lahti
1.11
JIPPO
1.15
EIF
1.59
Klubi-04
1.67
Turku PS
1.67
SJK Akatemia
1.81
JäPS
1.85
SalPa
1.93
KäPa
2.41
OLS
3.50
SalPa is 0.26 goals worse than Turku PS in terms of goals conceded per game (1.93 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SalPaSalPa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L02L00D01L00D00D21W11D00DA·KLU23/07A·SJK28/07H·KLU02/08A·JÄP15/08H·JIP23/08A·SJK30/08H·PK-06/09A·EIF12/09H·LAH19/09A·KLU27/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.730.230.690.470.76
vs Stronger (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.270.860.300.800.250.92
vs Weaker (6)0.500.500.000.331.000.67
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Turku PSTurku PS

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W10W10W20W01L10W01L10W01LH·SAL18/07A·EIF25/07H·PK-02/08H·PK-15/08H·SJK22/08A·KÄP30/08H·EIF05/09A·KLU14/09A·JÄP19/09H·JIP27/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.601.360.501.310.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.430.501.290.431.570.57
vs Weaker (16)1.250.691.430.571.110.78
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (SalPa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SalPa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SalPa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SalPa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SalPaSalPa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L01L02L00D12L12L11D03L01LA·KLU23/07A·SJK28/07H·KLU02/08A·JÄP15/08H·JIP23/08A·SJK30/08H·PK-06/09A·EIF12/09H·LAH19/09A·KLU27/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.370.381.000.411.65
vs Stronger (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.361.270.300.900.421.58
vs Weaker (6)0.501.830.671.330.332.33
Clean sheet %17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Turku PSTurku PS

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W02L03L01L32W30W31W01L00DH·SAL18/07A·EIF25/07H·PK-02/08H·PK-15/08H·SJK22/08A·KÄP30/08H·EIF05/09A·KLU14/09A·JÄP19/09H·JIP27/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.901.140.861.190.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.860.790.860.860.860.71
vs Weaker (16)1.441.001.430.861.441.11
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (SalPa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SalPa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SalPa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SalPa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Turku PS · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Albijon Muzaci50%
T. Tsirigotis33%
S. Anini33%
Pau Juvanteny14%
Luke Ivanovic0%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
M. Kauppila0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Tobias Karkulowski0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
E. Turkki0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Eetu Turkki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Anini67%
Eetu Turkki67%
Oscar Haggstrom50%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Atte Sihvonen25%
L. Ikonen25%
Tobias Karkulowski17%
Pau Juvanteny14%
M. Hrádecký0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
E. Turkki0%
Albijon Muzaci0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eetu Turkki67%
N. Talo33%
E. Turkki33%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Tobias Karkulowski17%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
S. Anini0%
Pau Juvanteny0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Albijon Muzaci0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
E. Turkki33%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Elmer Vauhkonen25%
Albijon Muzaci25%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
S. Anini0%
Pau Juvanteny0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Tobias Karkulowski0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Eetu Turkki0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (22)
€3m
TP (22)
€2m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
KLU (17)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
SAL wins
1
Draws
3
TP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

SalPa vs Turku PS · H/A from SAL
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/25ATurku PS Vs SAL3-2
25/05/25HSAL Vs Turku PS1-2
10/08/24HSAL Vs Turku PS0-0
13/07/24ATurku PS Vs SAL2-3
12/05/24HSAL Vs Turku PS0-1

SalPaSalPa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25AKlubi-04 Vs SAL1-0
19/09/25HSAL Vs Lahti1-4
12/09/25AEIF Vs SAL2-3
06/09/25HSAL Vs PK-351-2
30/08/25ASJK Akatemia Vs SAL2-1
23/08/25HSAL Vs JIPPO0-1
15/08/25AJäPS Vs SAL2-0
02/08/25HSAL Vs Klubi-040-3
28/07/25ASJK Akatemia Vs SAL3-0
23/07/25AKlubi-04 Vs SAL3-1

Turku PSTurku PS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25HTP Vs JIPPO0-1
19/09/25AJäPS Vs TP1-1
14/09/25AKlubi-04 Vs TP2-3
05/09/25HTP Vs EIF4-0
30/08/25AKäPa Vs TP3-3
22/08/25HTP Vs SJK Akatemia2-1
15/08/25HTP Vs PK-351-3
02/08/25HTP Vs PK-351-2
25/07/25AEIF Vs TP0-2
18/07/25HTP Vs SalPa3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

SalPa
SalPa
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.72
HomeWLLLL0.62
AwayLLLWL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%8%23%
AVG goals2.802.503.08
Over 1.5 %76%67%85%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored0.900.830.96
Conceded1.901.672.12
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet12%17%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Turku PS
Turku PS
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDL1.90
HomeLLWWL1.96
AwayDWDWD1.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%62%50%
AVG goals3.463.673.27
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %70%75%65%
Over 3.5 %48%54%42%
Scored2.142.292.00
Conceded1.321.381.27
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet32%29%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LahtiLahti2758
63%
2.1
5430+24
3.1
78%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.01.1
-
2Turku PSTurku PS2753
59%
2.0
6645+21
4.1
93%
81%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.7
-
3PK-35PK-352742
41%
1.6
3930+9
2.6
85%
52%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.1
-
4JIPPOJIPPO2741
37%
1.5
3731+6
2.5
81%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.1
-
5EIFEIF2741
44%
1.5
4843+5
3.4
85%
63%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.6
-
6Klubi-04Klubi-042739
41%
1.4
4945+4
3.5
89%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
7JäPSJäPS2732
26%
1.2
4150-9
3.4
89%
52%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.9
-
8SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia2729
30%
1.1
4649-3
3.5
89%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
9KäPaKäPa2926
21%
0.9
4870-22
4.1
93%
79%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.72.4
-
10SalPaSalPa2715
15%
0.6
2252-30
2.7
70%
59%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
11OLSOLS20
0%
0.0
27-5
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.5
-
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →

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