Sandefjord’s recent draw against Brann leaves them still struggling to find the net, scoring only 0.29 goals per home game while conceding a full goal on average. Viking, on the other hand, have been prolific on the road, averaging 1.71 goals scored and conceding just 0.79 against weaker opposition. The model therefore favours an away win with a 53% probability, followed by a draw at 26% and a home win at 21%. The expected total goals hover at 2.8, with the most likely total being two goals, a 25% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.2% probability. The model’s selections highlight a strong edge on low-scoring outcomes: Under 7.5 goals at 99.7%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Under 6.5 at 98.9%, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.0%, Under 5.5 at 96.7%, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.8%. Each of these selections carries its own probability and, where noted, an edge percentage.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sandefjord win
22.2%
Avg Implied 23.4% · @ 3.98
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
4.25
Unibet
4.10
10Bet
4.10
1xBet
4.08
Pinnacle
4.03
Draw
26.1%
Avg Implied 23.0% · @ 4.05
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.32
10Bet
4.20
1xBet
4.15
Superbet
4.10
Dafabet
4.10
Viking win
51.7%
Avg Implied 53.6% · @ 1.74
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.82
Dafabet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
1xBet
1.78
William Hil
1.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sandefjord
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.37
0.71
0.86
2.44
1.81
vs Stronger (16)
0.75
1.62
0.29
1.00
1.11
2.11
vs Similar (13)
1.69
1.15
1.14
0.71
2.33
1.67
vs Weaker (1)
15.00
0.00
-
-
15.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Viking) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viking
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.53
0.93
3.36
1.00
1.81
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
3.29
1.00
3.60
0.80
2.50
1.50
vs Weaker (23)
2.30
0.91
3.22
1.11
1.71
0.79
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandefjord) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.7%
@ 1.12-5.6%
Under 1.5
22.3%
@ 5.61+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Under
Pinnacle
6.04
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
6.00
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.7%
@ 1.44-12.1%
Under 2.5
47.3%
@ 2.65+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.78
Unibet
2.75
Bet365
2.70
BetVictor
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.4%
@ 2.13-13.7%
Under 3.5
69.6%
@ 1.68+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Under
1xBet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
Unibet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Both teams to score
Yes
54.9%
@ 1.45-8.8%
No
45.1%
@ 2.55+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
No
Unibet
2.63
BetVictor
2.63
William Hil
2.60
1xBet
2.60
Betano
2.55
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%@ 8.02+6.8%
1-2
9.7%@ 7.83+4.0%
0-1
9.5%@ 10.24+5.1%
0-2
9.2%@ 10.19+4.7%
0-0
7.3%@ 17.47+4.7%
2-1
6.0%@ 12.22+2.3%
1-3
5.6%@ 11.06+1.5%
1-0
5.4%@ 15.81+2.6%
Sandefjord goals ↓
Viking goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.3%
9.5%
9.2%
5.3%
2.3%
1
5.4%
12%
9.7%
5.6%
2.4%
2
3.5%
6.0%
5.2%
3.0%
1.3%
3
1.2%
2.1%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sandefjord goals (down), columns = Viking goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.44
Viking
2.39
Tromso
1.94
Molde
1.67
Fredrikstad
1.44
Lillestrom
1.44
Brann
1.44
Rosenborg
1.33
Ham-Kam
1.28
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Valerenga
1.17
KFUM Oslo
1.06
Sandefjord
1.06
Kristiansund BK
0.89
Aalesund
0.83
Start
0.72
Sandefjord is 1.33 points worse than Viking in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 2.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.61
Viking
2.33
Molde
2.00
Brann
2.00
Tromso
1.89
Valerenga
1.72
Aalesund
1.56
Rosenborg
1.50
Ham-Kam
1.44
Lillestrom
1.33
Fredrikstad
1.22
KFUM Oslo
1.11
Start
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.11
Kristiansund BK
0.94
Sandefjord
0.83
Sandefjord is 1.50 goals worse than Viking in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 2.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.78
Viking
1.00
Tromso
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Sandefjord
1.28
Lillestrom
1.39
Rosenborg
1.44
Brann
1.50
Fredrikstad
1.56
Molde
1.61
Kristiansund BK
1.61
KFUM Oslo
1.72
Ham-Kam
1.78
Valerenga
2.11
Start
2.17
Aalesund
2.39
Sandefjord is 0.28 goals worse than Viking in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
64%
Brann
59%
Molde
58%
Lillestrom
53%
Rosenborg
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
50%
Tromso
49%
Valerenga
49%
Ham-Kam
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
KFUM Oslo
46%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
45%
Aalesund
43%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Sandefjord is 0.7 percentage points worse than Viking in terms of average possession (50% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sandefjord
For 5.1 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 15.2 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Viking
For 7.1 · Against 5.5 · Total 12.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sandefjord
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
10.4
12.0
3.3
3.7
3.0
25.7
26.0
25.3
vs Stronger (24)
10.3
9.1
11.3
3.8
4.1
3.5
25.3
26.4
24.5
vs Similar (24)
12.0
11.4
12.9
3.1
3.3
2.9
26.1
25.8
26.5
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
67%
65%
70%
48%
57%
41%
74%
83%
65%
% under line
33%
35%
30%
52%
43%
59%
26%
17%
35%
This opponent (Viking) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viking
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
12.4
10.7
3.6
3.6
3.6
25.1
24.9
25.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
10.0
11.8
7.7
4.1
3.9
4.5
25.5
24.5
26.8
vs Weaker (36)
12.2
12.9
11.7
3.4
3.5
3.3
25.0
25.2
24.8
% over line
64%
74%
57%
56%
57%
55%
64%
58%
70%
% under line
36%
26%
43%
44%
43%
45%
36%
42%
30%
This opponent (Sandefjord) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Aalesund
12.1
Viking
12.0
Valerenga
11.9
Rosenborg
11.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.2
Brann
11.1
Bodo/Glimt
10.9
Sandefjord
10.9
Lillestrom
10.6
Ham-Kam
10.4
Kristiansund BK
10.3
Molde
10.1
Fredrikstad
9.9
Start
9.2
KFUM Oslo
9.0
Tromso
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Viking
4.2
Molde
4.2
Start
4.1
Lillestrom
4.0
Brann
4.0
Rosenborg
4.0
Valerenga
4.0
KFUM Oslo
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
Kristiansund BK
3.7
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.3
Aalesund
3.3
Tromso
3.3
Fredrikstad
3.2
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.5
Viking
24.5
Rosenborg
24.4
Valerenga
24.1
Brann
24.0
Tromso
23.9
Start
23.6
Ham-Kam
23.2
Molde
23.0
Lillestrom
22.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.6
Kristiansund BK
22.0
KFUM Oslo
21.8
Aalesund
21.6
Fredrikstad
20.9
Bodo/Glimt
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
66.0%
@ 1.34-2.3%
Under 9.5
34.0%
@ 2.90+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Unibet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Under
Betano
3.20
Unibet
2.95
Superbet
2.87
Marathonbet
2.83
1xBet
2.63
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.6%
Under 21.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sandefjord or Draw
47.9%
Avg Implied 46.3% · @ 2.02
Edge
+1.6%
22%
26%
52%
covers Sandefjord + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Bet365
2.05
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Sandefjord or Viking
71.6%
Avg Implied 77.3% · @ 1.21
Edge
-5.6%
22%
26%
52%
covers Sandefjord + Viking
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw or Viking
80.5%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.22
Edge
+4.0%
22%
26%
52%
covers Draw + Viking
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sandefjord over/under 0.5
Over
56.7%
@ 1.29-15.0%
Under
43.3%
@ 3.28+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.55
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
BetVictor
3.30
Betano
3.30
Sandefjord over/under 1.5
Over
20.5%
@ 2.43-18.0%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.52+18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.52
Betfair
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.41
Under
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Sandefjord over/under 2.5
Over
5.3%
@ 5.71-11.0%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.11+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.65
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Sandefjord over/under 3.5
Over
1.1%
@ 14.17-5.7%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Viking over/under 0.5
Over
78.1%
@ 1.09-7.1%
Under
21.9%
@ 6.28+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Under
Bet365
7.00
BetVictor
6.50
Superbet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Betfair
6.00
Viking over/under 1.5
Over
44.9%
@ 1.53-16.0%
Under
55.1%
@ 2.39+16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
BetVictor
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.49
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.39
Marathonbet
2.39
Betfair
2.38
Viking over/under 2.5
Over
19.6%
@ 2.66-15.4%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.43+15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.77
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
Marathonbet
2.68
Under
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
Unibet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Viking over/under 3.5
Over
6.8%
@ 5.21-11.0%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.13+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
Betano
5.30
Under
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sandefjord, so a minus line means Sandefjord give that many goals of a start and Viking receive them. At -1, Sandefjord must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sandefjord win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sandefjord)
Sandefjord -2
1.6%
@ 20.00-3.1%
Draw -2
5.0%
@ 11.67-3.0%
Viking +2
93.5%
@ 1.06+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Betfair
20.00
Superbet
19.00
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
12.00
Superbet
11.00
Away
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Handicap -1 (Sandefjord)
Sandefjord -1
6.5%
@ 8.16-4.5%
Draw -1
13.0%
@ 5.85-2.4%
Viking +1
80.5%
@ 1.22+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Unibet
7.50
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.60
Away
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Handicap +1 (Sandefjord)
Sandefjord +1
47.9%
@ 2.04+4.1%
Draw +1
24.5%
@ 3.84+1.3%
Viking -1
27.6%
@ 2.70-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
2.12
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Unibet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Away
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Unibet
2.65
Handicap +2 (Sandefjord)
Sandefjord +2
72.4%
@ 1.39+8.0%
Draw +2
16.4%
@ 4.90-1.9%
Viking -2
11.3%
@ 5.12-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.90
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sandefjord
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.36
0.36
0.94
1.06
vs Stronger (16)
0.25
0.69
0.14
0.29
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.85
0.57
0.43
1.33
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Viking) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viking
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.53
1.57
0.50
1.00
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
2.00
0.86
2.20
0.60
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (23)
1.04
0.43
1.22
0.44
0.93
0.43
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandefjord) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.0%
@ 1.23-6.5%
Under 0.5
31.0%
@ 3.78+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.90
BetVictor
3.80
Superbet
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.4%
@ 2.10-9.9%
Under 1.5
65.6%
@ 1.67+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.17
Marathonbet
2.13
1xBet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
Under
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Unibet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.6%
@ 4.64-8.4%
Under 2.5
88.4%
@ 1.16+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.75
William Hil
4.60
Marathonbet
4.50
Under
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sandefjord over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.7%
@ 2.08-9.8%
Under
65.3%
@ 1.67+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.14
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.66
Sandefjord over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.4%
@ 6.68-5.4%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.08+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.40
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Sandefjord over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
@ 21.00-3.8%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Viking over/under 0.5 HT
Over
57.7%
@ 1.56-2.1%
Under
42.3%
@ 2.31+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Under
10Bet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.35
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.32
Unibet
2.32
Viking over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.3%
@ 3.64-9.1%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.24+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.90
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Under
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Viking over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.0%
@ 9.25-7.1%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.03+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
9.00
Betano
9.00
Superbet
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sandefjord
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.63
0.36
0.50
1.50
0.75
vs Stronger (16)
0.50
0.94
0.14
0.71
0.78
1.11
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.31
0.57
0.29
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
11.00
0.00
-
-
11.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Viking) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viking
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.40
1.79
0.50
0.81
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.29
0.14
1.40
0.20
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.26
0.48
2.00
0.67
0.79
0.36
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandefjord) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.2%
@ 1.12-4.7%
Under 0.5
21.8%
@ 5.43+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Under
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Betano
5.40
Superbet
5.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.2%
@ 1.65-10.1%
Under 1.5
53.8%
@ 2.13+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.16
Unibet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.14
Bet365
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.5%
@ 3.05-13.1%
Under 2.5
82.5%
@ 1.34+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.15
William Hil
3.10
Betano
2.95
1xBet
2.93
Under
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sandefjord over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.0%
@ 1.78-8.0%
Under
56.0%
@ 1.93+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Under
Betano
2.02
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.93
10Bet
1.91
Superbet
1.83
Sandefjord over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.0%
@ 4.85-8.1%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.14+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.25
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Sandefjord over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.0%
@ 13.58-5.0%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Viking over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.2%
@ 1.37-13.4%
Under
45.8%
@ 2.85+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Under
Betano
2.87
10Bet
2.85
Superbet
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Viking over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.9%
@ 2.74-11.0%
Under
77.1%
@ 1.40+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.76
Betano
2.75
Superbet
2.72
1xBet
2.65
Under
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Viking over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.2%
@ 6.58-8.9%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.08+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.60
Superbet
6.50
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.02
+6.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
98.9%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.0%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
+7.1%
Under 5.5
96.7%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.10
+11.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.8%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
+8.9%
Home under 2.5 goals
94.7%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
+11.0%
Away +2 handicap
93.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
-
-
+6.0%
Away under 3.5 goals
93.2%
1.13
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
+11.0%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.6%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
+5.4%
Under 4.5
90.9%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
+17.3%
Over 19.5 fouls
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.0%
1.14
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
+8.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.16
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+8.4%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
83.7%
1.24
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
+9.1%
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.5%
1.34
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
+13.1%
Draw or Away
80.5%
1.22
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
+4.0%
Away +1 handicap
80.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
+6.9%
Away under 2.5 goals
80.4%
1.43
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
Unibet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
+15.4%
Over 21.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
79.5%
1.52
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.53
+18.0%
Over 2.5 cards
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.2%
1.12
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
-4.7%
Away over 0.5 goals
78.1%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
-7.1%
Over 1.5
77.7%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
-5.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
77.1%
1.40
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
+11.0%
Over 8.5 corners
76.8%
1.19
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
-
+0.1%
Under 5.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
72.4%
1.39
Superbet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
+8.0%
Home or Away
71.6%
1.21
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-5.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sandefjord
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikolaj Möller21%
Evangelos Patoulidis17%
Foster Apetorgbor14%
Sebastian Holm Mathisen12%
Ruben Alte11%
Jakob Vester9%
Bendik Berntsen7%
Edvard Pettersen6%
Sander Risan Mörk6%
Elias Hadaya0%
Xander Lambrix0%
Marcus Melchior0%
Robin Dzabic0%
Fredrik Carson Pedersen0%
Vetle Walle Egeli0%
Hakon Krogelien0%
Filip Loftesnes Bjune0%
Rasmus Holten0%
Martin Hellan0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Gustav Højbjerg0%
Jakob Maslo Dunsby0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Foster Apetorgbor29%
Rasmus Holten25%
Nikolaj Möller21%
Bendik Berntsen20%
Edvard Pettersen19%
Marcus Melchior18%
Jakob Vester18%
Xander Lambrix17%
Fredrik Carson Pedersen11%
Ruben Alte11%
Vetle Walle Egeli11%
Zinedin Smajlović10%
Jakob Maslo Dunsby8%
Sebastian Holm Mathisen6%
Evangelos Patoulidis6%
Sander Risan Mörk6%
Elias Hadaya6%
Robin Dzabic0%
Hakon Krogelien0%
Filip Loftesnes Bjune0%
Martin Hellan0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Gustav Højbjerg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Foster Apetorgbor14%
Ruben Alte11%
Vetle Walle Egeli11%
Zinedin Smajlović10%
Bendik Berntsen7%
Edvard Pettersen6%
Xander Lambrix6%
Evangelos Patoulidis0%
Sander Risan Mörk0%
Elias Hadaya0%
Marcus Melchior0%
Robin Dzabic0%
Fredrik Carson Pedersen0%
Nikolaj Möller0%
Hakon Krogelien0%
Filip Loftesnes Bjune0%
Rasmus Holten0%
Jakob Vester0%
Martin Hellan0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Gustav Højbjerg0%
Sebastian Holm Mathisen0%
Jakob Maslo Dunsby0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakob Maslo Dunsby25%
Ruben Alte22%
Nikolaj Möller14%
Edvard Pettersen12%
Sebastian Holm Mathisen12%
Evangelos Patoulidis11%
Sander Risan Mörk6%
Elias Hadaya0%
Xander Lambrix0%
Marcus Melchior0%
Robin Dzabic0%
Fredrik Carson Pedersen0%
Vetle Walle Egeli0%
Hakon Krogelien0%
Filip Loftesnes Bjune0%
Rasmus Holten0%
Jakob Vester0%
Martin Hellan0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Gustav Højbjerg0%
Bendik Berntsen0%
Foster Apetorgbor0%
Viking
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Peter Christiansen42%
Zlatko Tripić42%
Kristoffer Askildsen26%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog25%
Edvin Austbø23%
Gianni Stensness17%
Henrik Heggheim16%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener14%
Tobias Moi8%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol7%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad7%
Kristoffer Haugen6%
Arild Østbø0%
Anders Baertelsen0%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Joe Bell0%
Romano Postema0%
Herman Johan Haugen0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ruben Alte0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Ola Visted0%
Vetle Auklend0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristoffer Askildsen42%
Zlatko Tripić37%
Tobias Moi31%
Henrik Heggheim26%
Ruben Alte25%
Gianni Stensness22%
Edvin Austbø15%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol14%
Joe Bell14%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener14%
Arild Østbø11%
Peter Christiansen11%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog10%
Anders Baertelsen9%
Ola Visted8%
Kristoffer Haugen6%
Herman Johan Haugen6%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Romano Postema0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zlatko Tripić58%
Peter Christiansen21%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener14%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad13%
Kristoffer Askildsen11%
Henrik Heggheim11%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog10%
Edvin Austbø8%
Tobias Moi8%
Joe Bell7%
Kristoffer Haugen6%
Arild Østbø0%
Gianni Stensness0%
Anders Baertelsen0%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol0%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Romano Postema0%
Herman Johan Haugen0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ruben Alte0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Ola Visted0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Peter Christiansen37%
Romano Postema20%
Zlatko Tripić16%
Edvin Austbø15%
Kristoffer Askildsen11%
Henrik Heggheim11%
Tobias Moi8%
Herman Johan Haugen6%
Gianni Stensness6%
Arild Østbø0%
Anders Baertelsen0%
Kristoffer Haugen0%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol0%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Joe Bell0%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ruben Alte0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Ola Visted0%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
Sandefjord's squad is €35m less valuable than Viking's (€12m vs €47m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
Sandefjord's attack is €17m less valuable than Viking's (€4m vs €21m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
Sandefjord's midfield is €9m less valuable than Viking's (€2m vs €12m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
Sandefjord's defence is €10m less valuable than Viking's (€5m vs €15m).
Norway: Eliteserien 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bodo/Glimt
Tromso
Molde
Brann
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Start