This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.97
1.20
0.87
1.53
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.37
0.97
1.20
0.87
1.53
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.6%
Under 2.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-2 ✓
5.2%
Sandviken goals ↓
Helsingborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
6.6%
4.3%
1.6%
0.4%
1
9.7%
13%
6.7%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.4%
9.3%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.3%
4.8%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.7%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sandviken goals (down), columns = Helsingborg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Degerfors IF
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Helsingborg
1.57
Stockholm Internazionale
1.50
Orgryte IS
1.47
Sandviken
1.43
Trelleborg
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Utsikten
1.37
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.30
Orebro SK
1.30
Oddevold
1.20
Ostersunds FK
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.16
Gefle IF
1.07
Skövde AIK
0.83
Lund
0.00
Sandviken is 0.13 points worse than Helsingborg in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osters IF
1.83
Degerfors IF
1.67
Orgryte IS
1.67
Sandviken
1.63
Landskrona BoIS
1.53
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.53
Helsingborg
1.37
Utsikten
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Oddevold
1.13
Trelleborg
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
IK brage
1.03
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Lund
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.97
Skövde AIK
0.87
Sandviken is 0.27 goals better than Helsingborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Degerfors IF
0.93
IK brage
0.97
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Osters IF
1.03
Landskrona BoIS
1.13
Helsingborg
1.13
Orebro SK
1.20
Utsikten
1.27
Trelleborg
1.27
GIF Sundsvall
1.31
Sandviken
1.37
Orgryte IS
1.43
Ostersunds FK
1.44
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.47
Oddevold
1.57
Skövde AIK
1.73
Gefle IF
1.80
Lund
2.50
Sandviken is 0.23 goals worse than Helsingborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
64%
Sandviken
61%
Osters IF
58%
Lund
56%
IK brage
55%
Orebro SK
51%
Ostersunds FK
51%
GIF Sundsvall
50%
Helsingborg
48%
Trelleborg
48%
Degerfors IF
47%
Skövde AIK
47%
Orgryte IS
47%
Gefle IF
46%
Utsikten
46%
Stockholm Internazionale
43%
Oddevold
43%
Varbergs BoIS FC
40%
Sandviken is 12.7 percentage points better than Helsingborg in terms of average possession (61% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sandviken
For 4.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.9 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Helsingborg
For 4.2 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 9.7 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sandviken
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (30)
8.6
8.2
9.0
1.7
1.7
1.7
25.0
22.8
26.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
8.6
8.2
9.0
1.7
1.7
1.7
25.0
22.8
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
50%
43%
23%
29%
19%
73%
60%
83%
% under line
54%
50%
57%
77%
71%
81%
27%
40%
17%
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.8
9.9
2.8
3.1
2.5
24.1
23.1
25.0
vs Stronger (2)
8.5
-
8.5
4.5
-
4.5
30.5
-
30.5
vs Similar (48)
11.0
11.8
10.1
2.7
3.1
2.3
23.7
23.1
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
66%
76%
56%
38%
44%
32%
63%
53%
72%
% under line
34%
24%
44%
62%
56%
68%
37%
47%
28%
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Skövde AIK
11.1
Orgryte IS
11.1
Helsingborg
11.0
Osters IF
10.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.7
Landskrona BoIS
10.5
Trelleborg
10.5
Degerfors IF
10.5
Orebro SK
10.4
GIF Sundsvall
10.3
IK brage
10.3
Ostersunds FK
10.3
Utsikten
10.2
Gefle IF
9.6
Oddevold
9.0
Sandviken
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.6
Osters IF
4.5
Gefle IF
4.3
Ostersunds FK
4.3
Orgryte IS
4.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
4.1
Helsingborg
4.1
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
Skövde AIK
4.0
Sandviken
3.9
Trelleborg
3.8
Orebro SK
3.7
Degerfors IF
3.6
Oddevold
3.5
IK brage
3.4
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
29.3
Gefle IF
27.3
Varbergs BoIS FC
27.0
Skövde AIK
26.2
Ostersunds FK
25.4
Osters IF
25.2
Trelleborg
25.2
Sandviken
25.0
Helsingborg
24.7
Landskrona BoIS
24.3
IK brage
24.2
Orebro SK
24.0
Orgryte IS
23.2
Degerfors IF
23.0
GIF Sundsvall
20.5
Oddevold
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.0%
Under 9.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
49.9%
Under 3.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.7%
Under 21.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sandviken
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.79
0.50
0.38
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.57
0.70
0.79
0.50
0.38
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.43
0.80
0.40
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.83
0.43
0.80
0.40
0.87
0.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sandviken over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandviken over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandviken over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sandviken
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.67
1.14
0.36
1.12
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.13
0.67
1.14
0.36
1.12
0.94
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.40
0.47
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.53
0.53
0.40
0.47
0.67
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sandviken over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandviken over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandviken over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sandviken
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
John Junior Igbarumah50%
Emil Engqvist40%
Amin Al-Hamawi25%
Zinedin Smajlović25%
Hope Calvin Ddamulira Kabuye18%
Mohammed Mahammed14%
Daniel Soderberg11%
Felix Jakobsson10%
James Kirby10%
Jonathan Karlsson9%
Mamadou Koyate0%
Gustav Thorn0%
Yannick Mukunzi0%
Adam Kiani0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Lague Byiringiro0%
Alexandar Mutic0%
Martin Springfeldt0%
Kasper Harletun0%
Jay Tee Kamara0%
Ludwig Thorell0%
Liam Vabö0%
Oscar Sjostrand0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamadou Koyate33%
Daniel Soderberg33%
Jonathan Karlsson27%
Liam Vabö25%
Emil Engqvist20%
Lague Byiringiro20%
Kasper Harletun20%
Ludwig Thorell18%
Oscar Sjostrand17%
Amin Al-Hamawi12%
James Kirby10%
Hope Calvin Ddamulira Kabuye9%
John Junior Igbarumah0%
Gustav Thorn0%
Yannick Mukunzi0%
Adam Kiani0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Felix Jakobsson0%
Alexandar Mutic0%
Martin Springfeldt0%
Mohammed Mahammed0%
Jay Tee Kamara0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lague Byiringiro20%
Martin Springfeldt20%
Kasper Harletun20%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari18%
Jonathan Karlsson18%
Amin Al-Hamawi12%
John Junior Igbarumah0%
Mamadou Koyate0%
Gustav Thorn0%
Yannick Mukunzi0%
Adam Kiani0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Felix Jakobsson0%
Daniel Soderberg0%
Alexandar Mutic0%
James Kirby0%
Mohammed Mahammed0%
Jay Tee Kamara0%
Ludwig Thorell0%
Hope Calvin Ddamulira Kabuye0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Liam Vabö0%
Oscar Sjostrand0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hope Calvin Ddamulira Kabuye36%
John Junior Igbarumah30%
Amin Al-Hamawi12%
Jonathan Karlsson9%
Mamadou Koyate0%
Gustav Thorn0%
Yannick Mukunzi0%
Adam Kiani0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Felix Jakobsson0%
Lague Byiringiro0%
Daniel Soderberg0%
Alexandar Mutic0%
Martin Springfeldt0%
James Kirby0%
Kasper Harletun0%
Mohammed Mahammed0%
Jay Tee Kamara0%
Ludwig Thorell0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Liam Vabö0%
Oscar Sjostrand0%
Helsingborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taylor Silverholt29%
Amar Muhsin25%
Wilhelm Loeper23%
Adrian Svanback15%
Ervin Gigović9%
Johannes Robert Benjamin Örn9%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen7%
Thomas Rogne0%
Arian Kabashi0%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Adam Hellborg0%
Kalle Joelsson0%
Sumar Almadjed0%
Chisomnazu Chika Chidi0%
Dennis Olsson0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Benjamin Acquah0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Daniel Bergman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Johannes Robert Benjamin Örn45%
Jon Birkfeldt33%
Sumar Almadjed33%
Daniel Bergman29%
Amar Muhsin25%
Wilhelm Loeper15%
Wilhelm Nilsson14%
Thomas Rogne12%
Arian Kabashi12%
Adam Hellborg10%
Ervin Gigović9%
William Westerlund9%
Lukas Kjellnas8%
Adrian Svanback8%
Kalle Joelsson7%
Dennis Olsson7%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen7%
Benjamin Acquah7%
Taylor Silverholt0%
Chisomnazu Chika Chidi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jon Birkfeldt17%
Adrian Svanback15%
Ervin Gigović9%
Dennis Olsson7%
Thomas Rogne0%
Taylor Silverholt0%
Arian Kabashi0%
Adam Hellborg0%
Kalle Joelsson0%
Wilhelm Loeper0%
Sumar Almadjed0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Chisomnazu Chika Chidi0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Benjamin Acquah0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Johannes Robert Benjamin Örn0%
Daniel Bergman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Svanback15%
Taylor Silverholt14%
Wilhelm Loeper8%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen7%
Thomas Rogne0%
Arian Kabashi0%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Adam Hellborg0%
Kalle Joelsson0%
Sumar Almadjed0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Chisomnazu Chika Chidi0%
Dennis Olsson0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Ervin Gigović0%
Benjamin Acquah0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Johannes Robert Benjamin Örn0%
Daniel Bergman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (26)
€8m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
DI (23)
€6m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
Sandviken's squad is €2m less valuable than Helsingborg's (€4m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
DI (5)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
Sandviken and Helsingborg have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (7)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
Sandviken's midfield is €1m less valuable than Helsingborg's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (12)
€4m
OS (12)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
Sandviken and Helsingborg have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →