Sandviken’s recent draw and a 1-1 finish against Norrby IF suggest a cautious start, yet the Superettan side averages 2.2 goals at home while conceding only 1.33, signalling a potent attack. Osters IF, fresh from a 3-2 win over Ljungskile SK, has an away average of 1.36 goals scored and 2.18 conceded against similar opposition, indicating defensive fragility. The model projects a high-scoring affair, with an expected total of 3.5 goals and the most likely total of three goals at a 22 % probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.1 % chance. Home win is the favoured outcome, with a 39 % probability, draw 24 %, and away win 37 %. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5 %, Under 7.5 goals at 97.3 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.7 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.9 %, Under 6.5 goals at 93.4 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.0 %, Under 5.5 cards at 90.3 %, and Away under 3.5 goals at 90.3 %.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win for Sandviken, fell short as the match finished 1-1, a draw that extended both sides’ recent streaks of draws. The model’s call was therefore incorrect. The final score matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, which had a 10.1% chance. The model’s selection of a home win carried a 39% probability, while the draw probability was 24%. All of the suggested picks proved accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.3%, Under 7.5 at 97.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.9%, Under 6.5 at 93.3%, and Away under 3.5 goals at 90.1%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sandviken win✗ Miss
38.8%
Avg Implied 45.4% · @ 2.03
Edge
-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.10
SBO
2.09
Superbet
2.07
Dafabet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Draw✓ Hit
24.1%
Avg Implied 24.7% · @ 3.74
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.00
Pinnacle
3.97
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.78
Osters IF win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied 29.9% · @ 3.08
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.29
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
3.18
Superbet
3.10
Betfair
3.10
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sandviken
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.47
2.36
1.50
1.06
1.44
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
3.00
2.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.64
1.43
2.38
1.38
1.00
1.47
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Osters IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Osters IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.77
1.65
1.29
1.62
2.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
5.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
7.00
vs Similar (21)
1.62
1.57
1.82
1.00
1.40
2.20
vs Weaker (7)
2.00
1.43
1.40
1.60
3.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.5%
@ 1.12+4.3%
Under 1.5
12.5%
@ 5.53-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Under
Betfair
6.50
Pinnacle
6.06
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
10Bet
5.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
68.2%
@ 1.43+3.4%
Under 2.5
31.8%
@ 2.64-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Unibet
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.78
10Bet
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
Bet365
2.60
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.7%
@ 2.10+2.2%
Under 3.5
53.3%
@ 1.69-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.4%
@ 1.40+3.4%
No
30.6%
@ 2.71-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
No
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.80
1xBet
2.73
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.1%@ 7.56+4.2%
2-1
8.2%@ 8.28+2.8%
1-2
8.0%@ 10.49+3.7%
2-2
7.1%@ 10.06+2.6%
3-1
4.8%@ 12.77+1.3%
2-0
4.7%@ 12.57+1.1%
1-3
4.6%@ 19.27+2.3%
0-2
4.5%@ 18.97+2.1%
Sandviken goals ↓
Osters IF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.9%
4.2%
4.5%
2.6%
1.1%
1
4.4%
10%
8.0%
4.6%
2.0%
2
4.7%
8.2%
7.1%
4.1%
1.8%
3
2.8%
4.8%
4.2%
2.4%
1.1%
4
1.2%
2.2%
1.9%
1.1%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sandviken goals (down), columns = Osters IF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Sandviken is 0.29 points worse than Osters IF in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Sandviken is 0.10 goals better than Osters IF in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.52).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Sandviken is 0.05 goals worse than Osters IF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Sandviken is 4.6 percentage points better than Osters IF in terms of average possession (55% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sandviken
For 4.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 8.4 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Osters IF
For 5.1 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 10.5 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sandviken
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.6
8.6
1.1
1.4
0.8
22.7
21.8
24.4
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
9.5
10.1
8.6
1.1
1.3
0.9
22.0
20.5
24.4
vs Weaker (2)
16.0
16.0
-
2.5
5.0
0.0
32.0
32.0
-
% over line
35%
33%
38%
10%
17%
4%
64%
44%
100%
% under line
65%
67%
62%
90%
83%
96%
36%
56%
0%
This opponent (Osters IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Osters IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
11.4
11.6
2.5
2.4
2.5
24.2
23.9
24.5
vs Stronger (6)
7.8
7.7
8.0
2.5
2.7
2.3
23.0
24.0
21.5
vs Similar (37)
12.1
12.0
12.1
2.9
2.9
2.8
24.5
23.9
25.1
vs Weaker (7)
13.0
13.0
-
0.3
0.4
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
76%
78%
75%
34%
31%
38%
81%
71%
92%
% under line
24%
22%
25%
66%
69%
62%
19%
29%
8%
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
10.9
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.2
Ljungskile SK
10.2
United Nordic
10.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Orebro SK
9.4
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Ljungskile SK
3.9
Osters IF
3.9
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Landskrona BoIS
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Ostersunds FK
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.9
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.2
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
IK brage
24.1
Orebro SK
23.7
Landskrona BoIS
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.9
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
60.1%
@ 1.50-1.4%
Under 9.5
39.9%
@ 2.39+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Unibet
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.48
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.37
Superbet
2.35
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
37.9%
Under 3.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.9%
Under 21.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sandviken or Draw✓ Hit
62.9%
Avg Implied 69.9% · @ 1.33
Edge
-7.0%
39%
24%
37%
covers Sandviken + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Sandviken or Osters IF✗ Miss
75.9%
Avg Implied 75.7% · @ 1.23
Edge
+0.2%
39%
24%
37%
covers Sandviken + Osters IF
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Draw or Osters IF✓ Hit
61.2%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.71
Edge
+6.8%
39%
24%
37%
covers Draw + Osters IF
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sandviken over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.1%
@ 1.12+0.2%
Under
16.9%
@ 5.44-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Under
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.55
BetVictor
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Sandviken over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
53.1%
@ 1.66-3.0%
Under
46.9%
@ 2.12+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Superbet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Under
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
BetVictor
2.10
Sandviken over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.4%
@ 3.02-4.3%
Under
73.6%
@ 1.34+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Betano
3.10
Pinnacle
3.04
Betfair
3.00
Under
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Sandviken over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 6.08-4.9%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.11+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.00
Betano
6.00
1xBet
5.30
Under
1xBet
1.12
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Osters IF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.4%
@ 1.22+6.2%
Under
17.6%
@ 3.89-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.11
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Betano
3.85
Osters IF over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
51.8%
@ 2.10+7.6%
Under
48.2%
@ 1.67-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.14
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
BetVictor
2.10
Under
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.67
Osters IF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.2%
@ 4.48+4.5%
Under
74.8%
@ 1.17-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Osters IF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 10.38+0.8%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.04-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sandviken, so a minus line means Sandviken give that many goals of a start and Osters IF receive them. At -1, Sandviken must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sandviken win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sandviken)Actual: Osters IF
Sandviken -2
9.0%
@ 6.86-4.1%
Draw -2
11.9%
@ 5.77-3.7%
Osters IF +2
79.2%
@ 1.26+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.05
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.70
Unibet
5.40
Away
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Handicap -1 (Sandviken)Actual: Osters IF
Sandviken -1
20.8%
@ 3.40-5.5%
Draw -1
18.0%
@ 4.02-4.2%
Osters IF +1
61.2%
@ 1.74+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.20
Draw
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Unibet
3.80
Away
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Unibet
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Handicap +1 (Sandviken)Actual: Sandviken
Sandviken +1
62.9%
@ 1.33-4.3%
Draw +1
17.6%
@ 5.01-0.3%
Osters IF -1
19.5%
@ 5.95+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.05
Unibet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.75
Handicap +2 (Sandviken)Actual: Sandviken
Sandviken +2
80.5%
@ 1.10-2.3%
Draw +2
11.3%
@ 8.75+0.9%
Osters IF -2
8.2%
@ 13.25+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.09
Draw
Bet365
9.50
Unibet
8.00
Away
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
11.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sandviken
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
1.36
0.79
0.38
0.88
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.82
0.82
1.31
0.77
0.40
0.87
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Osters IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Osters IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
0.65
0.29
0.85
1.23
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.71
0.55
0.36
0.50
1.10
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.43
0.80
0.20
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.2%
@ 1.22-0.3%
Under 0.5
24.8%
@ 3.77+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.1%
@ 2.09-3.3%
Under 1.5
58.9%
@ 1.67+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Betfair
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
10Bet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
BetVictor
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.7%
@ 4.44-5.1%
Under 2.5
84.3%
@ 1.17+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Betano
4.35
Under
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.17
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sandviken over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
52.0%
@ 1.64-4.6%
Under
48.0%
@ 2.13+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
1xBet
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Sandviken over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 4.09-5.7%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.19+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.20
Betano
4.15
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Under
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Sandviken over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 9.50-6.1%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.03+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Osters IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.4%
@ 1.91+1.0%
Under
50.6%
@ 1.79-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Superbet
1.92
10Bet
1.90
Under
1xBet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Osters IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.8%
@ 5.51-1.9%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.11+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.85
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Osters IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 13.75-4.2%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sandviken
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
1.00
0.71
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.82
0.61
1.08
0.62
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Osters IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Osters IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.07
1.00
1.00
0.77
1.15
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (21)
1.10
0.86
1.27
0.64
0.90
1.10
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
1.00
0.60
1.40
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.1%
@ 1.12-1.1%
Under 0.5
18.9%
@ 5.18+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
5.10
William Hil
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
52.1%
@ 1.66-3.9%
Under 1.5
47.9%
@ 2.11+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Unibet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Under
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Betano
2.12
Bet365
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.7%
@ 2.98-4.4%
Under 2.5
73.3%
@ 1.34+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.05
William Hil
3.00
Betano
2.85
Marathonbet
2.85
Under
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sandviken over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
60.8%
@ 1.45-3.3%
Under
39.2%
@ 2.57+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Under
1xBet
2.60
10Bet
2.60
Betano
2.57
Superbet
2.52
Sandviken over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
26.3%
@ 3.02-4.4%
Under
73.7%
@ 1.33+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.10
Betano
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
Under
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Sandviken over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 7.47-6.3%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.06+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.80
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Osters IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.5%
@ 1.61-2.0%
Under
44.5%
@ 2.17+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.57
Under
10Bet
2.25
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Osters IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.4%
@ 3.95-4.0%
Under
80.6%
@ 1.21+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Osters IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.0%
@ 9.12-5.2%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.9%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
90.1%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.5%
1.11
1xBet
1.12
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.5%
1.12
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
85.6%
1.09
10Bet
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.2%
1.11
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.3%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.17
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.1%
1.19
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
83.1%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
82.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.1%
1.12
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.6%
1.21
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
80.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.09
-
-
-
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.2%
1.26
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.9%
1.23
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
+0.2%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.2%
1.22
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
74.8%
1.17
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
73.7%
1.33
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
73.6%
1.34
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.3%
1.34
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
72.2%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.9%
1.28
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.30
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
+0.5%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sandviken
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Wagner67%
Linus Tagesson33%
Johan Arvidsson0%
Kasper Harletun0%
Mohammed Mahammed Yousef0%
Alan Carleton0%
Liam Vabö0%
Viggo van der Laan0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Adam Kiani0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kasper Harletun33%
Christian Wagner33%
Liam Vabö33%
Adam Kiani33%
Johan Arvidsson0%
Linus Tagesson0%
Mohammed Mahammed Yousef0%
Alan Carleton0%
Viggo van der Laan0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Linus Tagesson67%
Johan Arvidsson0%
Kasper Harletun0%
Christian Wagner0%
Mohammed Mahammed Yousef0%
Alan Carleton0%
Liam Vabö0%
Viggo van der Laan0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Adam Kiani0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Johan Arvidsson33%
Linus Tagesson0%
Kasper Harletun0%
Christian Wagner0%
Mohammed Mahammed Yousef0%
Alan Carleton0%
Liam Vabö0%
Viggo van der Laan0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Adam Kiani0%
Osters IF · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alibek Aliev24%
David Seger17%
Oscar Uddenäs12%
Vladimir Rodić12%
Daniel Ljung11%
Niklas Söderberg10%
Ivan Kričak8%
Magnus Christensen8%
Anssi Suhonen8%
Matias Tamminen5%
Dennis Olsson5%
Lukas Bergquist4%
Mattis Adolfsson4%
Sebastian Hedlund0%
Christian Kouakou0%
Tatu Varmanen0%
Daniel Ask0%
Albin Mörfelt0%
Noah Söderberg0%
Patriot Sejdiu0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Oskar Gabrielsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Joel Voelkerling Persson0%
Kingsley Gyamfi0%
Youssoupha Sanyang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Youssoupha Sanyang50%
Sebastian Hedlund33%
Albin Mörfelt33%
Niklas Söderberg30%
Mattis Adolfsson26%
Daniel Ask25%
Ivan Kričak24%
Lukas Bergquist23%
Kingsley Gyamfi21%
Tatu Varmanen20%
Patriot Sejdiu20%
Vladimir Rodić18%
Anssi Suhonen15%
Oscar Uddenäs12%
Magnus Christensen12%
Noah Söderberg12%
Daniel Ljung11%
Matias Tamminen11%
Alibek Aliev10%
David Seger8%
Dennis Olsson5%
Christian Kouakou0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Oskar Gabrielsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Joel Voelkerling Persson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Seger17%
Matias Tamminen16%
Dennis Olsson15%
Daniel Ljung11%
Patriot Sejdiu10%
Youssoupha Sanyang10%
Tatu Varmanen8%
Anssi Suhonen8%
Magnus Christensen4%
Lukas Bergquist4%
Mattis Adolfsson4%
Alibek Aliev3%
Sebastian Hedlund0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Christian Kouakou0%
Vladimir Rodić0%
Daniel Ask0%
Albin Mörfelt0%
Noah Söderberg0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Niklas Söderberg0%
Oscar Uddenäs0%
Oskar Gabrielsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Joel Voelkerling Persson0%
Kingsley Gyamfi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alibek Aliev17%
Niklas Söderberg10%
Anssi Suhonen8%
Oscar Uddenäs6%
Vladimir Rodić6%
Mattis Adolfsson4%
Magnus Christensen0%
Sebastian Hedlund0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Christian Kouakou0%
Matias Tamminen0%
Tatu Varmanen0%
Daniel Ask0%
Albin Mörfelt0%
Lukas Bergquist0%
David Seger0%
Noah Söderberg0%
Daniel Ljung0%
Dennis Olsson0%
Patriot Sejdiu0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Oskar Gabrielsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Joel Voelkerling Persson0%
Kingsley Gyamfi0%
Youssoupha Sanyang0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Sandviken and Osters IF have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Sandviken and Osters IF have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Sandviken and Osters IF have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Sandviken and Osters IF have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
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IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall