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SC Kriens vs Étoile Carouge Prediction & Stats

Date: 18/09/2026
Time: 17:30
SC Kriens
SC Kriens
Vs
39%
28%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The contest between SC Kriens and Étoile Carouge is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, and the single most likely score is 1-1, a 13.3% chance. Kriens, playing at home against a similar-strength side, averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded, while Carouge, on the road, averages 1.55 scored and 1.27 conceded. The home win probability sits at 34%, a draw at 28%, and the away win at 38%. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Under 6.5 (97.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.6%), Under 5.5 (94.0%), Under 4.5 (85.6%), Home under 2.5 goals (84.8%) and Away +2 handicap (84.0%). Kriens has won two of its last five matches, ending a 2-game winning run with a 3-0 victory over Stade Nyonnais, while Carouge comes off a win, 2-1 over Rapperswil. The match remains uncertain, but the model’s pick of an away win carries the edge.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SC Kriens win
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge win
33.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SC KriensSC Kriens

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L20W02L20W30W11DA·NEU24/07H·FC 31/07H·YVE07/08A·FC 22/08H·STA28/08A·RAP01/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.001.670.671.671.33
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (5)2.000.802.500.001.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-553W12L03L22D30W11D01L00D21W03LA·YVE03/05H·FC 08/05A·NEU11/05H·BEL15/05H·FC 24/07A·YVE31/07H·NEU07/08A·STA21/08H·RAP28/08A·STA01/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.431.131.331.531.53
vs Stronger (4)2.002.002.002.002.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.231.351.071.291.421.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Kriens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.1%
Under 1.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.7%
Under 2.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.5%
Under 3.5
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
SC Kriens goals ↓
Étoile Carouge goals →
01234
07.6%7.3%5.6%2.4%0.8%
18.0%13%7.9%3.5%1.1%
26.6%8.6%5.7%2.5%0.8%
33.1%4.1%2.7%1.2%0.4%
41.1%1.5%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SC Kriens goals (down), columns = Étoile Carouge goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
SC Kriens is 0.33 points better than Étoile Carouge in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
SC Kriens is 0.67 goals better than Étoile Carouge in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
SC Kriens and Étoile Carouge are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
SC Kriens or Draw
66.6%
Avg Implied -
39%
28%
33%
covers SC Kriens + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens or Étoile Carouge
72.0%
Avg Implied -
39%
28%
33%
covers SC Kriens + Étoile Carouge
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Étoile Carouge
61.4%
Avg Implied -
39%
28%
33%
covers Draw + Étoile Carouge
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
SC Kriens over/under 0.5
Over
76.0%
Under
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens over/under 1.5
Over
41.8%
Under
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens over/under 2.5
Over
17.3%
Under
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens over/under 3.5
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 0.5
Over
73.1%
Under
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 1.5
Over
37.8%
Under
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 2.5
Over
14.6%
Under
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 3.5
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to SC Kriens, so a minus line means SC Kriens give that many goals of a start and Étoile Carouge receive them. At -1, SC Kriens must win by two or more to land; a one-goal SC Kriens win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (SC Kriens)
SC Kriens -2
7.1%
Draw -2
11.8%
Étoile Carouge +2
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (SC Kriens)
SC Kriens -1
18.8%
Draw -1
19.8%
Étoile Carouge +1
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (SC Kriens)
SC Kriens +1
66.6%
Draw +1
18.1%
Étoile Carouge -1
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (SC Kriens)
SC Kriens +2
84.7%
Draw +2
10.0%
Étoile Carouge -2
5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SC KriensSC Kriens

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L10W01L10W10W00DA·NEU24/07H·FC 31/07H·YVE07/08A·FC 22/08H·STA28/08A·RAP01/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.670.330.671.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (5)0.800.601.000.000.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D12L02L01L00D11D01L00D11D01LA·YVE03/05H·FC 08/05A·NEU11/05H·BEL15/05H·FC 24/07A·YVE31/07H·NEU07/08A·STA21/08H·RAP28/08A·STA01/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.400.670.730.73
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.540.650.430.640.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Kriens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SC Kriens over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SC KriensSC Kriens

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L10W20W11DA·NEU24/07H·FC 31/07H·YVE07/08A·FC 22/08H·STA28/08A·RAP01/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.331.000.331.000.33
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (5)1.200.201.500.001.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D01L21W30W00D00D00D10W02LA·YVE03/05H·FC 08/05A·NEU11/05H·BEL15/05H·FC 24/07A·YVE31/07H·NEU07/08A·STA21/08H·RAP28/08A·STA01/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.730.730.670.800.80
vs Stronger (4)1.251.002.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.690.690.640.640.750.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Kriens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SC Kriens over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Étoile Carouge over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.3%-------
Under 6.597.8%-------
Away under 3.5 goals95.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.3%-------
Under 5.594.0%-------
Under 4.585.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals85.4%-------
Home +2 handicap84.7%-------
Home under 2.5 goals82.7%-------
Away +2 handicap81.2%-------
Over 1.577.1%-------
Home over 0.5 goals76.0%-------
Away over 0.5 goals73.1%-------
Home or Away72.0%-------
Under 3.570.5%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
SC Kriens's squad is €1m less valuable than Étoile Carouge's (€3m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
SC Kriens and Étoile Carouge have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
SC Kriens and Étoile Carouge have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
SC Kriens and Étoile Carouge have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SK wins
0
Draws
0
ÉC wins

Head-to-head

SC Kriens vs Étoile Carouge · H/A from SK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

SC KriensSC Kriens

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26ARapperswil Vs SK1-1
28/08/26HSK Vs Stade Nyonnais3-0
22/08/26AFC WIL 1900 Vs SK0-2
07/08/26HSK Vs Yverdon Sport0-2
31/07/26HSK Vs FC Winterthur2-0
24/07/26ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs SK3-2

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs ÉC3-0
28/08/26HÉC Vs Rapperswil2-1
21/08/26AStade Nyonnais Vs ÉC0-0
07/08/26HÉC Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC0-1
31/07/26AYverdon Sport Vs ÉC1-1
24/07/26HÉC Vs FC Aarau3-0
15/05/26HÉC Vs Bellinzona2-2
11/05/26ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs ÉC3-0
08/05/26HÉC Vs FC Vaduz1-2
03/05/26AYverdon Sport Vs ÉC3-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

SC Kriens
SC Kriens
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.67
HomeWLW2.00
AwayLWD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%67%33%
AVG goals2.672.333.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %33%33%33%
Over 3.5 %17%0%33%
Scored1.671.671.67
Conceded1.000.671.33
BTTS33%0%67%
Clean Sheet50%67%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL1.10
HomeLDWLW1.12
AwayWLDDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.742.722.76
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.301.321.28
Conceded1.441.401.48
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy614
67%
2.3
113+8
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.80.5
-
2Yverdon SportYverdon Sport612
50%
2.0
106+4
2.7
100%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.71.0
-
3SC KriensSC Kriens610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
100%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.71.0
-
4FC WinterthurFC Winterthur69
33%
1.5
127+5
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.01.2
-
5Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC69
50%
1.5
99+0
3.0
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.5
-
6Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge68
33%
1.3
66+0
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.01.0
-
7FC AarauFC Aarau68
33%
1.3
810-2
3.0
100%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.31.7
-
8FC WIL 1900FC WIL 190065
17%
0.8
916-7
4.2
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.52.7
-
9RapperswilRapperswil64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1221.32.2
-
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais62
0%
0.3
411-7
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.71.8
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

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