The contest between SC Kriens and Rapperswil is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win. The expected total goals sits at three, yet the most likely total is two, reflecting the tight nature of the match. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 12.2% chance, underscoring the evenly matched sides. SC Kriens, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages two goals scored and concedes none, while Rapperswil, on the road, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. The probabilities for the outcomes are 40% for a home win, 26% for a draw, and 34% for an away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.8%), Under 6.5 (96.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.4%), Under 5.5 (91.4%), Home +2 handicap (83.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (82.3%) and Over 1.5 (81.5%). Each pick is presented with its exact probability, and no other outcome is given a winning chance.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
SC Kriens win
39.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil win
33.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
SC Kriens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.00
1.67
0.67
1.67
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (5)
2.00
0.80
2.50
0.00
1.67
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapperswil
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.87
1.60
2.00
1.60
1.73
vs Stronger (5)
1.80
3.60
2.50
4.50
1.33
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.56
1.52
1.46
1.62
1.67
1.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Kriens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.5%
Under 1.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.2%
Under 2.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
35.8%
Under 3.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.7%
No
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
SC Kriens goals ↓
Rapperswil goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
5.9%
5.1%
2.4%
0.9%
1
6.6%
12%
8.0%
3.8%
1.4%
2
6.1%
8.8%
6.3%
3.0%
1.1%
3
3.2%
4.6%
3.3%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.3%
1.8%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SC Kriens goals (down), columns = Rapperswil goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
SC Kriens is 1.00 points better than Rapperswil in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
SC Kriens is 0.33 goals better than Rapperswil in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
SC Kriens is 1.17 goals better than Rapperswil in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
SC Kriens or Draw
66.2%
Avg Implied -
40%
26%
34%
covers SC Kriens + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens or Rapperswil
73.6%
Avg Implied -
40%
26%
34%
covers SC Kriens + Rapperswil
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rapperswil
60.2%
Avg Implied -
40%
26%
34%
covers Draw + Rapperswil
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
SC Kriens over/under 0.5
Over
79.4%
Under
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens over/under 1.5
Over
46.9%
Under
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens over/under 2.5
Over
21.1%
Under
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens over/under 3.5
Over
7.6%
Under
92.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5
Over
76.3%
Under
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 1.5
Over
42.2%
Under
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 2.5
Over
17.7%
Under
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 3.5
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to SC Kriens, so a minus line means SC Kriens give that many goals of a start and Rapperswil receive them. At -1, SC Kriens must win by two or more to land; a one-goal SC Kriens win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (SC Kriens)
SC Kriens -2
8.2%
Draw -2
12.2%
Rapperswil +2
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (SC Kriens)
SC Kriens -1
20.5%
Draw -1
19.4%
Rapperswil +1
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (SC Kriens)
SC Kriens +1
66.2%
Draw +1
17.6%
Rapperswil -1
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (SC Kriens)
SC Kriens +2
83.8%
Draw +2
10.2%
Rapperswil -2
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SC Kriens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.60
1.00
0.00
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapperswil
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
1.07
0.93
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.20
2.00
2.50
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.72
0.92
0.69
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Kriens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SC Kriens over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SC Kriens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.20
0.20
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapperswil
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.07
0.53
1.07
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
2.40
0.50
2.00
0.67
2.67
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.80
0.54
0.92
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Kriens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SC Kriens over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Kriens over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
SC Kriens's squad is €2m less valuable than Rapperswil's (€3m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
SC Kriens and Rapperswil have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
SC Kriens and Rapperswil have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
SC Kriens and Rapperswil have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Yverdon Sport
FC Winterthur
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Étoile Carouge
FC Aarau
FC WIL 1900
Stade Nyonnais