Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz are tipped to win at home, the model’s favourite result, with a 45% chance of a home victory, 26% for a draw and 29% for an away win. The expected total of 3.1 goals points to a lively match, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, a 1-1 scoreline carrying a 11.7% probability. The home side averages 2.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded against similar opposition, while Floridsdorfer AC, on the road, averages 1.33 scored and 1.73 conceded. Recent form shows Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz coming off a defeat, whereas Floridsdorfer AC are on a two-game winning run. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 87.6%, Over 1.5 at 82.6% (miss), Under 11.5 corners at 82.6%, Over 19.5 fouls at 79.3%, Over 3.5 cards at 73.7% and Under 10.5 corners at 73.4%. These probabilities reflect the expected intensity and defensive work rate of both sides.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, failed to deliver, as the game finished 0-1 in favour of Floridsdorfer AC. The model had tipped a home win with a 45% probability, but this call proved incorrect. The only other selection was Over 1.5 goals, which the model gave an 82.6% chance of occurring; that too missed, as the match produced just one goal. Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz entered the fixture coming off a defeat, while Floridsdorfer AC were on a two-game winning run. The final score of 0-1 confirmed an away victory, contradicting the model’s prediction.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win✗ Miss
45.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Floridsdorfer AC win✓ Hit
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.43
2.07
1.36
1.56
1.50
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
1.88
1.33
1.67
1.40
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.95
1.27
2.27
1.27
1.64
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Floridsdorfer AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Floridsdorfer AC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.40
0.93
0.93
1.25
1.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (28)
1.18
1.36
1.00
0.92
1.33
1.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.9%
Under 2.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.6%
Under 3.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.4%
No
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals ↓
Floridsdorfer AC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
5.1%
4.2%
1.9%
0.6%
1
6.8%
12%
7.3%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.8%
9.3%
6.3%
2.9%
1.0%
3
3.9%
5.4%
3.7%
1.7%
0.6%
4
1.7%
2.3%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals (down), columns = Floridsdorfer AC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ried
2.17
Admira Wacker
1.97
SV Kapfenberg
1.80
SKN ST. Polten
1.77
First Vienna
1.63
FC Liefering
1.43
Sturm Graz II
1.40
SKU Amstetten
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.27
Austria Lustenau
1.23
Floridsdorfer AC
1.23
Rapid Wien II
1.23
Stripfing
1.13
Voitsberg
1.07
SV Horn
1.00
SV Lafnitz
0.53
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz is 0.03 points better than Floridsdorfer AC in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.23).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ried
1.97
SKN ST. Polten
1.87
SV Kapfenberg
1.77
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.70
SKU Amstetten
1.63
Rapid Wien II
1.63
First Vienna
1.63
Sturm Graz II
1.60
Admira Wacker
1.60
FC Liefering
1.43
SV Lafnitz
1.33
SV Horn
1.33
Stripfing
1.30
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
Voitsberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
0.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz is 0.70 goals better than Floridsdorfer AC in terms of goals scored per game (1.70 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ried
0.77
Austria Lustenau
0.87
Admira Wacker
1.03
SKN ST. Polten
1.13
Floridsdorfer AC
1.17
SKU Amstetten
1.33
Voitsberg
1.37
Sturm Graz II
1.43
FC Liefering
1.43
Stripfing
1.43
First Vienna
1.47
SV Kapfenberg
1.63
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.90
Rapid Wien II
1.90
SV Horn
2.03
SV Lafnitz
2.70
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz is 0.73 goals worse than Floridsdorfer AC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.90 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ried
56%
Admira Wacker
52%
FC Liefering
51%
First Vienna
51%
SKN ST. Polten
51%
SV Kapfenberg
51%
Floridsdorfer AC
50%
Rapid Wien II
50%
Voitsberg
50%
Austria Lustenau
49%
SV Lafnitz
49%
SV Horn
46%
SKU Amstetten
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Floridsdorfer AC
For 4.3 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.6 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Floridsdorfer AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Floridsdorfer AC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.6
4.0
4.1
3.9
25.5
28.6
22.6
vs Stronger (4)
9.0
11.0
8.0
3.2
4.0
2.5
32.7
44.0
27.0
vs Similar (46)
10.0
10.2
9.8
4.0
4.1
4.0
24.9
27.7
22.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
58%
53%
60%
64%
56%
77%
89%
65%
% under line
45%
42%
47%
40%
36%
44%
23%
11%
35%
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
10.4
SKN ST. Polten
10.3
SV Lafnitz
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
SV Kapfenberg
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
FC Liefering
10.0
Austria Lustenau
9.6
Rapid Wien II
9.6
SV Horn
9.4
Admira Wacker
9.0
Voitsberg
8.9
Ried
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.6
Voitsberg
5.9
SKN ST. Polten
5.6
SV Lafnitz
5.3
Floridsdorfer AC
5.2
SKU Amstetten
5.0
FC Liefering
5.0
SV Horn
5.0
Austria Lustenau
4.9
First Vienna
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.9
Ried
4.8
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.7
FC Liefering
26.3
Floridsdorfer AC
26.1
Voitsberg
25.7
SV Kapfenberg
25.0
SKU Amstetten
24.6
Rapid Wien II
24.2
Admira Wacker
23.9
SV Lafnitz
23.6
Ried
23.5
SV Horn
23.4
Austria Lustenau
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
38.1%
Under 9.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.7%
Under 3.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.0%
Under 21.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.86
0.43
0.56
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.75
0.67
0.33
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.73
0.91
0.45
0.45
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Floridsdorfer AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Floridsdorfer AC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.87
0.43
0.50
0.50
1.19
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.50
0.86
0.46
0.54
0.53
1.13
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floridsdorfer AC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floridsdorfer AC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floridsdorfer AC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.70
1.21
0.93
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.12
0.67
1.33
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.27
0.55
1.36
0.82
1.18
0.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Floridsdorfer AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Floridsdorfer AC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.50
0.43
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.50
0.54
0.38
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floridsdorfer AC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floridsdorfer AC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floridsdorfer AC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (24)
€7m
FL (17)
€5m
AL (22)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Floridsdorfer AC have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
RWI (12)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Floridsdorfer AC have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (8)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Floridsdorfer AC have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (9)
€3m
AW (11)
€2m
AL (9)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Floridsdorfer AC have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ried
Admira Wacker
SV Kapfenberg
SKN ST. Polten
First Vienna
FC Liefering
SKU Amstetten
Sturm Graz II
Austria Lustenau
Rapid Wien II
Stripfing
Voitsberg
SV Horn
SV Lafnitz