The model sees a home win as the most likely outcome, with a 44% chance, while draws and away victories each sit at 28%. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly open affair, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 13.3% chance. SCR Altach, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.57 goals scored and 0.57 conceded, showing a solid defensive edge. Grazer AK, on the road, averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded, suggesting a more vulnerable attack. After three straight defeats, Altach’s recent form is LLLWL, and Grazer AK, fresh from a 0-0 draw, has DLLWL. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.7% with a 5% edge), Under 6.5 (98.0% with a 2% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.8% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.5% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.9% with a 4% edge), and Under 5.5 (94.4% with a 2% edge).
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
SCR Altach win
44.0%
Avg Implied 44.2% · @ 2.10
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
William Hil
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Draw
27.7%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.33
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Grazer AK win
28.3%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.31
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.32
1xBet
3.32
10Bet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
SCR Altach
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.33
1.54
1.00
0.88
1.59
vs Stronger (14)
0.93
1.43
1.50
1.50
0.50
1.38
vs Similar (15)
1.40
1.33
1.57
0.57
1.25
2.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.40
1.71
1.00
1.19
1.75
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
2.57
1.00
1.50
0.60
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.55
1.09
1.83
0.92
1.20
1.30
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (SCR Altach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.5%
@ 1.28+4.3%
Under 1.5
23.5%
@ 3.33-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Under
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.40
Betano
3.25
Marathonbet
3.24
1xBet
3.24
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.9%
@ 1.94+2.2%
Under 2.5
49.1%
@ 1.84-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
10Bet
1.83
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.8%
@ 3.24+0.2%
Under 3.5
71.2%
@ 1.30-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.40
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.20
1xBet
3.18
Marathonbet
3.18
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Both teams to score
Yes
55.5%
@ 1.74+2.1%
No
44.5%
@ 1.99-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
No
Betano
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 6.13+5.9%
2-1
9.2%@ 8.46+3.9%
1-0
9.0%@ 7.40+2.9%
0-0
7.9%@ 9.37+3.1%
2-0
7.8%@ 9.82+3.2%
1-2
7.1%@ 11.11+3.1%
0-1
6.7%@ 9.85+2.1%
2-2
5.4%@ 13.25+2.0%
SCR Altach goals ↓
Grazer AK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
6.7%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
1
9.0%
13%
7.1%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.2%
5.4%
2.1%
0.6%
3
3.9%
4.7%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.5%
1.8%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SCR Altach goals (down), columns = Grazer AK goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.60
Rapid Vienna
2.40
Sturm Graz
1.60
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Grazer AK
0.80
Ried
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
SCR Altach
0.60
SCR Altach is 0.20 points worse than Grazer AK in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rapid Vienna
3.00
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.80
WSG Wattens
1.40
Sturm Graz
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Ried
1.20
TSV Hartberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
SCR Altach
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
Grazer AK
0.40
SCR Altach is 0.40 goals better than Grazer AK in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 0.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lask Linz
0.40
Red Bull Salzburg
0.60
Sturm Graz
1.00
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.40
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.60
SCR Altach
1.60
Austria Lustenau
1.80
Austria Vienna
2.00
Ried
2.00
Grazer AK
2.60
SCR Altach is 1.00 goals better than Grazer AK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 2.60).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
66%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
55%
Ried
52%
Grazer AK
50%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Vienna
45%
WSG Wattens
45%
TSV Hartberg
42%
Wolfsberger AC
42%
Austria Lustenau
41%
SCR Altach is 0.4 percentage points worse than Grazer AK in terms of average possession (49% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SCR Altach
For 4.8 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 9.4 · Total 19.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grazer AK
For 4.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SCR Altach
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.1
9.4
3.8
4.0
3.5
22.8
24.3
21.2
vs Stronger (21)
9.6
8.1
10.5
3.6
4.0
3.4
22.7
23.7
22.0
vs Similar (26)
8.2
8.1
8.2
4.3
4.4
4.2
22.9
24.6
20.4
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
31%
24%
38%
56%
61%
52%
57%
57%
57%
% under line
69%
76%
62%
44%
39%
48%
43%
43%
43%
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.4
8.7
4.1
4.9
3.3
23.3
23.3
23.2
vs Stronger (12)
10.1
11.0
9.4
4.0
4.4
3.7
22.8
21.8
23.4
vs Similar (36)
8.7
8.9
8.4
4.3
5.1
3.6
23.5
23.7
23.2
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
43%
39%
46%
58%
78%
41%
68%
70%
67%
% under line
57%
61%
54%
42%
22%
59%
32%
30%
33%
This opponent (SCR Altach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lask Linz
10.3
Austria Vienna
10.1
WSG Wattens
10.1
Sturm Graz
10.0
TSV Hartberg
9.9
Austria Lustenau
9.8
Wolfsberger AC
9.7
Rapid Vienna
9.6
Red Bull Salzburg
9.4
Grazer AK
9.1
Ried
8.9
SCR Altach
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
5.0
Austria Lustenau
4.9
Sturm Graz
4.8
Wolfsberger AC
4.7
Ried
4.6
Grazer AK
4.6
TSV Hartberg
4.5
WSG Wattens
4.4
Austria Vienna
4.4
Rapid Vienna
4.2
Lask Linz
3.7
Red Bull Salzburg
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
23.8
Sturm Graz
23.8
Grazer AK
23.3
Austria Lustenau
23.3
SCR Altach
23.0
Austria Vienna
22.9
Wolfsberger AC
22.6
Ried
22.4
WSG Wattens
22.3
TSV Hartberg
21.7
Lask Linz
21.0
Red Bull Salzburg
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.2%
Under 9.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.1%
Under 3.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
57.6%
Under 21.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
SCR Altach or Draw
82.6%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.31
Edge
+10.7%
44%
28%
28%
covers SCR Altach + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
SCR Altach or Grazer AK
74.9%
Avg Implied 72.6% · @ 1.30
Edge
+2.3%
44%
28%
28%
covers SCR Altach + Grazer AK
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Draw or Grazer AK
42.5%
Avg Implied 55.5% · @ 1.70
Edge
-13.0%
44%
28%
28%
covers Draw + Grazer AK
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
10Bet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
SCR Altach over/under 0.5
Over
83.4%
@ 1.22+7.3%
Under
16.6%
@ 3.87-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.80
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.75
SCR Altach over/under 1.5
Over
53.6%
@ 2.11+9.3%
Under
46.4%
@ 1.68-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.14
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
SCR Altach over/under 2.5
Over
26.8%
@ 4.51+6.2%
Under
73.2%
@ 1.17-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
SCR Altach over/under 3.5
Over
10.8%
@ 10.59+1.9%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.04-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Grazer AK over/under 0.5
Over
59.2%
@ 1.37-8.3%
Under
40.8%
@ 2.85+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.80
1xBet
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Grazer AK over/under 1.5
Over
22.6%
@ 2.85-10.0%
Under
77.4%
@ 1.38+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.91
1xBet
2.91
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Betano
2.82
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Grazer AK over/under 2.5
Over
6.2%
@ 7.30-6.5%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.07+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Grazer AK over/under 3.5
Over
1.3%
@ 16.25-4.6%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to SCR Altach, so a minus line means SCR Altach give that many goals of a start and Grazer AK receive them. At -1, SCR Altach must win by two or more to land; a one-goal SCR Altach win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (SCR Altach)
SCR Altach -2
15.5%
@ 8.93+5.5%
Draw -2
18.1%
@ 6.07+3.2%
Grazer AK +2
66.4%
@ 1.20-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.30
Draw
Marathonbet
6.20
10Bet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Handicap -1 (SCR Altach)
SCR Altach -1
33.6%
@ 3.98+11.0%
Draw -1
23.9%
@ 3.80+0.2%
Grazer AK +1
42.5%
@ 1.67-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Handicap +1 (SCR Altach)
SCR Altach +1
82.6%
@ 1.31+13.5%
Draw +1
11.4%
@ 4.88-7.2%
Grazer AK -1
6.0%
@ 7.32-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.95
Handicap +2 (SCR Altach)
SCR Altach +2
94.0%
@ 1.08+8.1%
Draw +2
4.5%
@ 10.00-4.8%
Grazer AK -2
1.5%
@ 19.00-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SCR Altach
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.69
0.46
0.65
0.53
vs Stronger (14)
0.64
0.71
0.83
0.67
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.33
0.57
0.29
0.88
0.38
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.86
0.43
0.31
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.57
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.60
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.50
0.83
0.25
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (SCR Altach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.4%
@ 1.38+0.9%
Under 0.5
31.6%
@ 2.86-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
William Hil
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.81
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
31.6%
@ 2.78-1.8%
Under 1.5
68.4%
@ 1.39+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.77
William Hil
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
William Hil
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 6.88-2.3%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.07+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
7.00
Marathonbet
6.70
1xBet
6.70
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SCR Altach over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.9%
@ 1.90-1.7%
Under
53.1%
@ 1.80+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
10Bet
1.85
Under
10Bet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.78
SCR Altach over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.4%
@ 5.65-2.9%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.10+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.85
Marathonbet
5.85
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
SCR Altach over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.6%
@ 14.25-4.1%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.3%
@ 2.29-2.0%
Under
61.7%
@ 1.55+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.28
10Bet
2.25
Under
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.54
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.9%
@ 7.90-3.8%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.05+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.40
1xBet
8.40
10Bet
7.50
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SCR Altach
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.85
0.54
0.24
1.06
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
0.71
0.67
0.83
0.00
0.62
vs Similar (15)
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.29
0.38
1.62
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
0.86
0.57
0.88
0.75
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.59
1.00
0.67
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (SCR Altach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.4%
@ 1.23+2.1%
Under 0.5
22.6%
@ 3.75-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.85
Marathonbet
3.66
1xBet
3.66
William Hil
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.8%
@ 2.13+1.7%
Under 1.5
54.2%
@ 1.68-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.14
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.1%
@ 4.55-2.3%
Under 2.5
81.9%
@ 1.17+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.75
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SCR Altach over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.6%
@ 1.64+2.2%
Under
41.4%
@ 2.12-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Under
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
SCR Altach over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.6%
@ 4.12-1.9%
Under
79.4%
@ 1.19+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.00
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
SCR Altach over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.2%
@ 10.00-3.1%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.03+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.5%
@ 1.94-4.4%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.78+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.2%
@ 5.74-2.9%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.10+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.10
1xBet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.6%
@ 16.12-3.4%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+4.6%
Under 6.5
98.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.1%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
Under 5.5
94.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+2.2%
Home +2 handicap
94.0%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+8.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.1%
Away under 2.5 goals
93.8%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+6.5%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
+3.8%
Home under 3.5 goals
89.2%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-1.9%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
+2.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.8%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+2.9%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.6%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
+2.9%
Under 4.5
86.4%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+1.4%
Home over 0.5 goals
83.4%
1.22
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
+7.3%
Home or Draw
82.6%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+10.7%
Home +1 handicap
82.6%
1.31
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
-
-
+13.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+2.3%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.4%
1.19
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
-
+1.9%
Under 11.5 corners
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.4%
1.23
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+2.1%
Away under 1.5 goals
77.4%
1.38
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
+10.0%
Over 1.5
76.5%
1.28
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
+4.3%
Under 5.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.9%
1.30
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
+2.3%
Under 25.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
73.2%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-6.2%
Under 3.5
71.2%
1.30
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
-0.2%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SCR Altach
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yann Massombo33%
Patrick Greil20%
Ousmane Diawara20%
Marko Raguž0%
Vesel Demaku0%
Benedikt Zech0%
Mike-Steven Bähre0%
Lukas Jäger0%
Dejan Stojanović0%
Benjamin Böckle0%
Srđan Hrstić0%
Niklas Niehoff0%
Yanis Eisschill0%
Filip Milojevic0%
Erkin Yalcin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Patrick Greil40%
Filip Milojevic40%
Benedikt Zech25%
Vesel Demaku20%
Lukas Jäger20%
Ousmane Diawara20%
Niklas Niehoff20%
Marko Raguž0%
Mike-Steven Bähre0%
Dejan Stojanović0%
Benjamin Böckle0%
Yann Massombo0%
Srđan Hrstić0%
Yanis Eisschill0%
Erkin Yalcin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Niklas Niehoff40%
Benjamin Böckle20%
Marko Raguž0%
Patrick Greil0%
Vesel Demaku0%
Benedikt Zech0%
Mike-Steven Bähre0%
Lukas Jäger0%
Dejan Stojanović0%
Ousmane Diawara0%
Yann Massombo0%
Srđan Hrstić0%
Yanis Eisschill0%
Filip Milojevic0%
Erkin Yalcin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Greil40%
Ousmane Diawara20%
Filip Milojevic20%
Marko Raguž0%
Vesel Demaku0%
Benedikt Zech0%
Mike-Steven Bähre0%
Lukas Jäger0%
Dejan Stojanović0%
Benjamin Böckle0%
Yann Massombo0%
Srđan Hrstić0%
Niklas Niehoff0%
Yanis Eisschill0%
Erkin Yalcin0%
Grazer AK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donovan Pines20%
Alexander Hofleitner20%
Cican Stanković0%
Christian Lichtenberger0%
Peter Michorl0%
Tobias Koch0%
Anderson0%
Leon Klassen0%
Daniel Maderner0%
Mark Große0%
Matthias Gragger0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Ismaël Guerti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Peter Michorl60%
Donovan Pines60%
Leon Klassen40%
Yannick Oberleitner33%
Tobias Koch25%
Anderson25%
Daniel Maderner20%
Beres Owusu20%
Alexander Hofleitner20%
Cican Stanković0%
Christian Lichtenberger0%
Mark Große0%
Matthias Gragger0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Ismaël Guerti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Lichtenberger25%
Peter Michorl20%
Cican Stanković0%
Tobias Koch0%
Anderson0%
Leon Klassen0%
Donovan Pines0%
Daniel Maderner0%
Mark Große0%
Matthias Gragger0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Ismaël Guerti0%
Alexander Hofleitner0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ismaël Guerti33%
Anderson25%
Matthias Gragger25%
Peter Michorl20%
Leon Klassen20%
Alexander Hofleitner20%
Cican Stanković0%
Christian Lichtenberger0%
Tobias Koch0%
Donovan Pines0%
Daniel Maderner0%
Mark Große0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
SCR Altach and Grazer AK have a similar squad value (both €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
SCR Altach's attack is €2m more valuable than Grazer AK's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
SCR Altach and Grazer AK have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
SCR Altach's defence is €2m less valuable than Grazer AK's (€4m vs €6m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
WSG Wattens
TSV Hartberg
Wolfsberger AC
Austria Lustenau
Ried
Austria Vienna