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Semendrija 1924 vs Borac Cacak Result & Analysis

Date: 01/08/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 3-2
Semendrija 1924
Semendrija 1924
Vs
43%
28%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Borac Cacak
Borac Cacak
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Semendrija 1924 is riding a 5-game winning streak, having last defeated Grafičar 2-1. This momentum will be put to the test as they host Borac Cacak on the 1st of August in the Serbia: Prva Liga. The model predicts a home win, with a 43% chance of Semendrija 1924 taking the three points, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 29% chance of an away win.

The expected total goals is 2.7, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 13.3%. Semendrija 1924's home form is impressive, with an average of 1.22 goals scored and 0.89 conceded against similar opponents. Borac Cacak's away form is less convincing, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.33 conceded.

The model's selections are Over 1.5 with a 76.4% chance of success and an edge of 9%, and Under 3.5 with a 71.3% chance of success. The home win percentage is 43%, the draw percentage is 28%, and the away win percentage is 29%.

Results analysis

The win extends Semendrija 1924's impressive run, now six consecutive victories, after they edged out Borac Cacak 3-2. The model's prediction of a low-scoring match was far off the mark, with the actual total well clear of the expected 2.7 goals. Semendrija 1924 were the pre-match favourites, with a 43% chance of winning, and the model's selection proved correct. The model's call was also on the home win, which came in at 1.00. The model's selection to go Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 76.4%, while the selection to go Under 3.5 goals missed, with a probability of 71.3%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Semendrija 1924 win✓ Hit
43.4%
Avg Implied 42.0% · @ 2.15
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.15
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.06
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.10
10Bet
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
Dafabet
3.05
Borac Cacak win✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.16
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.25
Dafabet
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Betano
3.20
Marathonbet
3.18

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D23L10W51W21W03L11D21W10W51WA·OFK05/04H·FAP17/04A·GRA21/04H·STE26/04H·DIN02/05A·TEK07/05H·BOR11/05A·DUB17/05H·KAB24/05A·FK 29/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.971.930.931.071.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.360.961.690.921.071.00
vs Weaker (2)3.501.003.501.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Cacak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac CacakBorac Cacak

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W21W42W02L10W20W11D00D20W11DH·LOZ05/04H·DUB17/04A·KAB22/04H·FK 26/04A·FAP02/05H·GRA07/05A·SEM11/05H·DIN17/05A·TEK24/05H·STE29/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.870.730.471.401.27
vs Stronger (2)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (28)1.070.930.690.541.401.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
@ 1.35+8.5%
Under 1.5
23.6%
@ 2.85-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
Betfair
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Under
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.87
1xBet
2.83
Marathonbet
2.83
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.7%
@ 2.14+7.8%
Under 2.5
49.3%
@ 1.61-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Bet365
2.15
1xBet
2.15
Under
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.7%
@ 3.91+5.3%
Under 3.5
71.3%
@ 1.20-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.85
Under
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.5%
@ 1.88+6.5%
No
44.5%
@ 1.81-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.91
Superbet
1.90
BetVictor
1.90
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
No
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%@ 5.72+6.0%
2-1
9.1%@ 8.54+4.2%
1-0
8.9%@ 6.21+2.2%
0-0
7.9%@ 7.27+2.2%
2-0
7.6%@ 9.04+3.0%
1-2
7.2%@ 10.58+3.3%
0-1
6.8%@ 7.90+1.5%
2-2
5.4%@ 14.00+2.5%
Semendrija 1924 goals ↓
Borac Cacak goals →
01234
07.9%6.8%4.8%1.9%0.6%
18.9%13%7.2%2.9%0.9%
27.6%9.1%5.4%2.2%0.6%
33.9%4.6%2.7%1.1%0.3%
41.5%1.7%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Semendrija 1924 goals (down), columns = Borac Cacak goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
OFK Vršac
2.40
Borac Cacak
2.40
TSC Backa Topola
2.20
Semendrija 1924
2.20
Napredak
2.00
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.60
Javor
1.60
Dubočica
1.40
Teleoptik
1.00
Loznica
0.80
Naftagas
0.80
Metalac GM
0.80
FK Vozdovac
0.80
Grafičar
0.80
Jedinstvo Ub
0.60
OFK Bor 1919
0.40
Semendrija 1924 is 0.20 points worse than Borac Cacak in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 2.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2.60
Javor
2.40
Borac Cacak
2.00
Semendrija 1924
2.00
TSC Backa Topola
1.80
OFK Vršac
1.60
Teleoptik
1.40
Napredak
1.20
Naftagas
1.00
Jedinstvo Ub
1.00
Dubočica
1.00
Grafičar
1.00
Loznica
0.80
Metalac GM
0.80
OFK Bor 1919
0.60
FK Vozdovac
0.60
Semendrija 1924 and Borac Cacak are level in goals scored per game (both 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Napredak
0.80
OFK Vršac
0.80
Loznica
1.00
FK Vozdovac
1.00
Semendrija 1924
1.00
TSC Backa Topola
1.20
Javor
1.20
Dubočica
1.20
Borac Cacak
1.20
Naftagas
1.40
Metalac GM
1.40
Grafičar
1.40
Jedinstvo Ub
2.00
OFK Bor 1919
2.00
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2.00
Teleoptik
2.20
Semendrija 1924 is 0.20 goals better than Borac Cacak in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D11D00D40W21W01L01L00D00D51WA·OFK05/04H·FAP17/04A·GRA21/04H·STE26/04H·DIN02/05A·TEK07/05H·BOR11/05A·DUB17/05H·KAB24/05A·FK 29/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.370.730.330.470.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.500.390.540.380.470.40
vs Weaker (2)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Cacak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac CacakBorac Cacak

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L32W00D00D10W10W00D10W01LH·LOZ05/04H·DUB17/04A·KAB22/04H·FK 26/04A·FAP02/05H·GRA07/05A·SEM11/05H·DIN17/05A·TEK24/05H·STE29/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.200.270.670.93
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.500.00--
vs Similar (28)0.430.640.150.310.670.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Cacak over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Cacak over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Cacak over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L10W11D00D02L10W21W10W00DA·OFK05/04H·FAP17/04A·GRA21/04H·STE26/04H·DIN02/05A·TEK07/05H·BOR11/05A·DUB17/05H·KAB24/05A·FK 29/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.601.200.600.600.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.860.571.150.540.600.60
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.501.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Cacak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac CacakBorac Cacak

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W10W02L10W10W01L00D10W10WH·LOZ05/04H·DUB17/04A·KAB22/04H·FK 26/04A·FAP02/05H·GRA07/05A·SEM11/05H·DIN17/05A·TEK24/05H·STE29/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.270.530.200.730.33
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.500.00--
vs Similar (28)0.640.290.540.230.730.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Cacak over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Cacak over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Cacak over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.4%1.35
Superbet
1.37
Betfair
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
-+8.5%✓ Hit
Under 3.571.3%1.20
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
--5.3%✗ Miss

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (32)
€19m
NAP (32)
€11m
JAV (32)
€11m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (12)
€9m
JAV (14)
€4m
NAP (11)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (6)
€2m
NAP (6)
€2m
JAV (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (14)
€8m
NAP (15)
€7m
JAV (13)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
S1 wins
2
Draws
2
BC wins

Head-to-head

Semendrija 1924 vs Borac Cacak · H/A from S1
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/26HS1 Vs Borac Cacak1-1
15/03/26HS1 Vs Borac Cacak0-2
05/10/25ABorac Cacak Vs S10-0
08/12/24ABorac Cacak Vs S14-0
25/08/24HS1 Vs Borac Cacak3-2

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/05/26AFK Trayal Vs S11-5
24/05/26HS1 Vs Kabel Novi Sad1-0
17/05/26ADubočica Vs S11-2
11/05/26HS1 Vs Borac Cacak1-1
07/05/26ATekstilac Odžaci Vs S13-0
02/05/26HS1 Vs Dinamo Jug2-1
26/04/26HS1 Vs Stepojevac Vaga5-1
21/04/26AGrafičar Vs S10-1
17/04/26HS1 Vs FAP2-3
05/04/26AOFK Vršac Vs S10-0

Borac CacakBorac Cacak

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/05/26HBC Vs Stepojevac Vaga1-1
24/05/26ATekstilac Odžaci Vs BC0-2
17/05/26HBC Vs Dinamo Jug0-0
11/05/26ASemendrija 1924 Vs BC1-1
07/05/26HBC Vs Grafičar2-0
02/05/26AFAP Vs BC0-1
26/04/26HBC Vs FK Trayal0-2
22/04/26AKabel Novi Sad Vs BC2-4
17/04/26HBC Vs Dubočica2-1
05/04/26HBC Vs Loznica1-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Semendrija 1924
Semendrija 1924
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.42
HomeLWWDW1.73
AwayDWLWW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%29%
AVG goals2.322.422.21
Over 1.5 %62%69%54%
Over 2.5 %40%35%46%
Over 3.5 %22%19%25%
Scored1.281.580.96
Conceded1.040.851.25
BTTS34%35%33%
Clean Sheet38%42%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Borac Cacak
Borac Cacak
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWD1.28
HomeWLWDD1.44
AwayDWWDW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.281.642.92
Over 1.5 %66%52%80%
Over 2.5 %36%28%44%
Over 3.5 %18%4%32%
Scored1.120.921.32
Conceded1.160.721.60
BTTS44%36%52%
Clean Sheet36%48%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac CacakBorac Cacak512
80%
2.4
106+4
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
2OFK VršacOFK Vršac512
80%
2.4
84+4
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.8
-
3Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924511
60%
2.2
105+5
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
4TSC Backa TopolaTSC Backa Topola511
60%
2.2
96+3
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
19
9281.81.2
-
5NapredakNapredak510
60%
2.0
64+2
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
2271.20.8
-
6JavorJavor58
40%
1.6
126+6
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
4152.41.2
-
7FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV58
40%
1.6
1310+3
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
8DubočicaDubočica57
40%
1.4
56-1
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
9TeleoptikTeleoptik55
20%
1.0
711-4
3.6
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
10LoznicaLoznica54
0%
0.8
45-1
1.8
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
11NaftagasNaftagas54
20%
0.8
57-2
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
12GrafičarGrafičar54
20%
0.8
57-2
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
13FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac54
20%
0.8
35-2
1.6
20%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.0
-
14Metalac GMMetalac GM54
20%
0.8
47-3
2.2
40%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
15Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub53
20%
0.6
510-5
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
16OFK Bor 1919OFK Bor 191952
0%
0.4
310-7
2.6
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.0
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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