The encounter between Semendrija 1924 and FK Vozdovac is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win. The probabilities show 41% for a Semendrija victory, 28% for a draw and 30% for a Vozdovac win, so the most likely outcome is a home triumph. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a moderate scoring game, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.5% chance. Semendrija, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 2.21 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Vozdovac on the road against the same tier nets 1.46 and concedes 1.08. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.5%), Under 5.5 (94.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (87.6%), Home +2 handicap (86.8%) and Under 4.5 (86.7%). Recent form shows Semendrija unbeaten in five games, ending with a 1-1 draw, while Vozdovac comes off a win, 1-0 over Metalac GM.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Semendrija 1924 win
40.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac win
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Semendrija 1924
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.07
2.20
1.07
1.07
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.59
1.07
2.15
1.08
1.07
1.07
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.00
2.50
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Vozdovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Vozdovac
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.87
1.20
0.60
1.53
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.32
0.82
1.20
0.60
1.46
1.08
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.50
-
-
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.6%
Under 2.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.6%
Under 3.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.9%
No
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.5%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
Semendrija 1924 goals ↓
FK Vozdovac goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
7.3%
5.3%
2.2%
0.7%
1
8.5%
13%
7.7%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.0%
8.8%
5.5%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.3%
4.2%
2.7%
1.1%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.5%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Semendrija 1924 goals (down), columns = FK Vozdovac goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Borac Cacak
2.50
TSC Backa Topola
2.00
OFK Vršac
2.00
Semendrija 1924
2.00
Javor
1.83
Napredak
1.67
Dubočica
1.67
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.50
Loznica
1.17
FK Vozdovac
1.17
Teleoptik
0.83
OFK Bor 1919
0.83
Naftagas
0.67
Jedinstvo Ub
0.67
Metalac GM
0.67
Grafičar
0.67
Semendrija 1924 is 0.83 points better than FK Vozdovac in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Javor
2.50
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2.33
Borac Cacak
2.00
Semendrija 1924
1.83
TSC Backa Topola
1.67
OFK Vršac
1.50
Dubočica
1.50
Teleoptik
1.33
Loznica
1.33
Naftagas
1.00
Jedinstvo Ub
1.00
Napredak
1.00
Metalac GM
1.00
Grafičar
1.00
OFK Bor 1919
0.83
FK Vozdovac
0.83
Semendrija 1924 is 1.00 goals better than FK Vozdovac in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
OFK Vršac
1.00
Javor
1.00
FK Vozdovac
1.00
Semendrija 1924
1.00
TSC Backa Topola
1.17
Loznica
1.17
Napredak
1.17
Dubočica
1.17
Borac Cacak
1.17
Naftagas
1.50
Jedinstvo Ub
1.83
OFK Bor 1919
1.83
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.83
Metalac GM
1.83
Grafičar
1.83
Teleoptik
2.17
Semendrija 1924 and FK Vozdovac are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Semendrija 1924 or Draw
68.2%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
32%
covers Semendrija 1924 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 or FK Vozdovac
71.9%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
32%
covers Semendrija 1924 + FK Vozdovac
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FK Vozdovac
60.0%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
32%
covers Draw + FK Vozdovac
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 0.5
Over
76.3%
Under
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 1.5
Over
42.2%
Under
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 2.5
Over
17.6%
Under
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 3.5
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac over/under 0.5
Over
71.7%
Under
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac over/under 1.5
Over
35.9%
Under
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac over/under 2.5
Over
13.4%
Under
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac over/under 3.5
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Semendrija 1924, so a minus line means Semendrija 1924 give that many goals of a start and FK Vozdovac receive them. At -1, Semendrija 1924 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Semendrija 1924 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Semendrija 1924)
Semendrija 1924 -2
7.5%
Draw -2
12.3%
FK Vozdovac +2
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Semendrija 1924)
Semendrija 1924 -1
19.7%
Draw -1
20.3%
FK Vozdovac +1
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Semendrija 1924)
Semendrija 1924 +1
68.2%
Draw +1
17.7%
FK Vozdovac -1
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Semendrija 1924)
Semendrija 1924 +2
85.8%
Draw +2
9.4%
FK Vozdovac -2
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Semendrija 1924
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.37
1.13
0.27
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.37
0.92
0.31
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
2.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Vozdovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Vozdovac
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.60
0.27
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.39
0.60
0.27
0.69
0.54
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
-
-
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Semendrija 1924
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
1.07
0.80
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.93
0.70
1.23
0.77
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Vozdovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Vozdovac
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.60
0.33
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.43
0.60
0.33
0.77
0.54
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FK Vozdovac · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Borisav Burmaz53%
Junior Flemmings36%
Bogdan Jočić17%
Mihajlo Nešković15%
Mateja Bubanj14%
Rodrigo Vilca12%
Filip Antonijević10%
Milan Kolarević9%
Vladimir Miletić8%
Bogdan Vastsuk7%
Nikola Savić7%
Danilo Teodorović7%
Nikša Vujanović7%
Matija Mitrović3%
Vukašin Đurđević3%
Predrag Medić0%
Lazar Kojić0%
Lazar Pavlović0%
Andrija Katić0%
Aleksa Matić0%
Aleksandar Lukić0%
Dragan Stoisavljević0%
Nikola Đuričić0%
Vlada Novevski0%
Filip Damjanović0%
Marko Gudzulić0%
Stefan Pirgić0%
Miljan Krpić0%
Nikola Zečević0%
Bogdan Petrović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Lukić38%
Lazar Pavlović33%
Aleksa Matić33%
Bogdan Jočić28%
Milan Kolarević27%
Filip Damjanović27%
Lazar Kojić25%
Nikola Đuričić24%
Stefan Pirgić23%
Miljan Krpić23%
Bogdan Vastsuk21%
Danilo Teodorović21%
Nikola Zečević19%
Matija Mitrović17%
Vukašin Đurđević16%
Vladimir Miletić15%
Marko Gudzulić12%
Borisav Burmaz12%
Andrija Katić10%
Mihajlo Nešković9%
Junior Flemmings7%
Rodrigo Vilca6%
Nikša Vujanović3%
Predrag Medić0%
Filip Antonijević0%
Nikola Savić0%
Dragan Stoisavljević0%
Vlada Novevski0%
Mateja Bubanj0%
Bogdan Petrović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mihajlo Nešković18%
Bogdan Jočić17%
Mateja Bubanj14%
Matija Mitrović10%
Miljan Krpić8%
Bogdan Petrović8%
Nikola Savić7%
Lazar Kojić6%
Vukašin Đurđević6%
Nikola Zečević6%
Nikola Đuričić6%
Filip Antonijević5%
Junior Flemmings4%
Andrija Katić3%
Nikša Vujanović3%
Bogdan Vastsuk0%
Rodrigo Vilca0%
Predrag Medić0%
Lazar Pavlović0%
Borisav Burmaz0%
Aleksa Matić0%
Vladimir Miletić0%
Aleksandar Lukić0%
Dragan Stoisavljević0%
Vlada Novevski0%
Filip Damjanović0%
Marko Gudzulić0%
Stefan Pirgić0%
Danilo Teodorović0%
Milan Kolarević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Borisav Burmaz24%
Junior Flemmings21%
Mihajlo Nešković18%
Nikša Vujanović13%
Bogdan Jočić11%
Stefan Pirgić8%
Bogdan Petrović8%
Filip Damjanović7%
Filip Antonijević5%
Danilo Teodorović3%
Matija Mitrović3%
Bogdan Vastsuk0%
Rodrigo Vilca0%
Predrag Medić0%
Lazar Kojić0%
Lazar Pavlović0%
Andrija Katić0%
Aleksa Matić0%
Vladimir Miletić0%
Aleksandar Lukić0%
Nikola Savić0%
Dragan Stoisavljević0%
Nikola Đuričić0%
Vlada Novevski0%
Marko Gudzulić0%
Vukašin Đurđević0%
Mateja Bubanj0%
Miljan Krpić0%
Nikola Zečević0%
Milan Kolarević0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (24)
€10m
NAP (24)
€7m
JAV (21)
€5m
FSZ (21)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
FV (20)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
OB1 (17)
€2m
DUB (17)
€1m
TEL (7)
€1m
Semendrija 1924 and FK Vozdovac have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (9)
€5m
JAV (9)
€2m
NAP (9)
€2m
FSZ (8)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
OB1 (6)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
TEL (3)
€0m
Semendrija 1924 and FK Vozdovac have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (4)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
FSZ (4)
€1m
NAP (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
OB1 (3)
€0m
TEL (1)
€0m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
Semendrija 1924 and FK Vozdovac have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAP (12)
€5m
TBT (11)
€4m
JAV (10)
€3m
FSZ (9)
€2m
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
OB1 (8)
€1m
TEL (3)
€0m
Semendrija 1924 and FK Vozdovac have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Serbia: Prva Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Borac Cacak
TSC Backa Topola
OFK Vršac
Javor
Dubočica
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Loznica
Teleoptik
OFK Bor 1919
Naftagas
Metalac GM
Jedinstvo Ub
Grafičar