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Semendrija 1924 vs Grafičar Result & Analysis

Date: 26/03/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
Semendrija 1924
Semendrija 1924
Vs
45%
32%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grafičar
Grafičar
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Semendrija 1924 win✗ Miss
44.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grafičar win✓ Hit
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W12L00D11D00D02L30W30W10WA·DUB21/11H·OFK26/11A·MAC02/12H·SLO10/12A·MLA14/12A·MET24/02H·JED02/03A·RAD06/03H·DUB10/03A·RFK17/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.040.681.080.581.000.77
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (24)1.040.621.090.451.000.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %48% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L10W42W12L21W10W20W22D01L01LA·JED18/11H·KOL22/11H·RAD26/11A·DUB02/12H·RFK11/12H·IND25/02A·OFK02/03H·TEK06/03A·KOL11/03H·RAD16/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.371.621.250.791.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.751.561.141.570.441.56
vs Weaker (14)1.791.142.001.001.401.40
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.8%
Under 1.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.4%
Under 2.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.3%
Under 3.5
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.6%
No
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.1%
0-0
14.8%
1-1
14.2%
2-0
10.0%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
1-2 ✓
5.1%
0-2
4.2%
Semendrija 1924 goals ↓
Grafičar goals →
01234
015%9.3%4.2%1.1%0.2%
115%14%5.1%1.3%0.3%
210.0%7.8%3.1%0.8%0.2%
34.0%3.2%1.3%0.3%0.1%
41.2%1.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Semendrija 1924 goals (down), columns = Grafičar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
OFK Beograd
1.97
Jedinstvo Ub
1.81
Indjija
1.59
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.54
Semendrija 1924
1.51
OFK Vršac
1.43
Macva
1.38
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.35
Dubočica
1.35
Grafičar
1.30
Mladost Novi Sad
1.24
Sloboda Uzice
1.24
Metalac GM
1.22
Kolubara
1.16
RFK Novi Sad
0.84
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.70
Semendrija 1924 is 0.22 points better than Grafičar in terms of average points per game (1.51 vs 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
OFK Beograd
1.70
Grafičar
1.38
Jedinstvo Ub
1.38
Indjija
1.24
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.19
Kolubara
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
Macva
0.97
Mladost Novi Sad
0.95
Sloboda Uzice
0.92
OFK Vršac
0.89
Dubočica
0.89
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
Metalac GM
0.86
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.81
Semendrija 1924 is 0.30 goals worse than Grafičar in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tekstilac Odžaci
0.73
Macva
0.78
OFK Vršac
0.84
Semendrija 1924
0.84
OFK Beograd
0.86
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.86
Indjija
0.95
Metalac GM
1.03
Mladost Novi Sad
1.03
Dubočica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.05
Kolubara
1.24
Grafičar
1.46
RFK Novi Sad
1.68
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.84
Semendrija 1924 is 0.62 goals better than Grafičar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.84 vs 1.46).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L10W01L00D10W00D00D10W10WA·IND11/11A·DUB21/11H·OFK26/11A·MAC02/12H·SLO10/12A·MLA14/12A·MET24/02H·JED02/03H·DUB10/03A·RFK17/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.380.670.330.580.42
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (23)0.610.300.640.180.580.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrafičarGrafičar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D12L00D00D10W00D20W00D01LA·JED18/11H·KOL22/11H·RAD26/11A·DUB02/12H·RFK11/12H·IND25/02A·OFK02/03H·TEK06/03A·KOL11/03H·RAD16/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.750.620.290.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.380.560.710.710.110.44
vs Weaker (14)0.710.640.780.560.600.80
Clean sheet %57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D11D00D01L00D02L20W00DA·IND11/11A·DUB21/11H·OFK26/11A·MAC02/12H·SLO10/12A·MLA14/12A·MET24/02H·JED02/03H·DUB10/03A·RFK17/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.330.420.250.250.42
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (23)0.350.350.450.270.250.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %71% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrafičarGrafičar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W30W12L21W00D20W02L01L00DA·JED18/11H·KOL22/11H·RAD26/11A·DUB02/12H·RFK11/12H·IND25/02A·OFK02/03H·TEK06/03A·KOL11/03H·RAD16/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.880.620.500.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.381.000.430.860.331.11
vs Weaker (14)1.070.501.220.440.800.60
Clean sheet %50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (28)
€18m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
Semendrija 1924 and Grafičar have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (10)
€6m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
Semendrija 1924 and Grafičar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (8)
€4m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
DUB (2)
€0m
Semendrija 1924 and Grafičar have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (10)
€8m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
Semendrija 1924 and Grafičar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
S1 wins
0
Draws
0
GRA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Semendrija 1924 vs Grafičar · H/A from S1
DateH/AGameScore
09/10/23AGrafičar Vs S11-2

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/03/24ARFK Novi Sad Vs S10-1
10/03/24HS1 Vs Dubočica3-0
06/03/24ARadnički Novi Beograd Vs S10-3
02/03/24HS1 Vs Jedinstvo Ub0-2
24/02/24AMetalac GM Vs S10-0
14/12/23AMladost Novi Sad Vs S11-1
10/12/23HS1 Vs Sloboda Uzice0-0
02/12/23AMacva Vs S12-1
26/11/23HS1 Vs OFK Vršac1-0
21/11/23ADubočica Vs S12-1

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/24HGRA Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica0-1
11/03/24AKolubara Vs GRA1-0
06/03/24HGRA Vs Tekstilac Odžaci2-2
02/03/24AOFK Beograd Vs GRA0-2
25/02/24HGRA Vs Indjija1-0
11/12/23HGRA Vs RFK Novi Sad2-1
02/12/23ADubočica Vs GRA2-1
26/11/23HGRA Vs Radnički Novi Beograd4-2
22/11/23HGRA Vs Kolubara1-0
18/11/23AJedinstvo Ub Vs GRA3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Semendrija 1924
Semendrija 1924
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.60
HomeDWDLW1.83
AwayLDDWW1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%31%
AVG goals1.721.671.77
Over 1.5 %60%58%62%
Over 2.5 %36%33%38%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored1.041.081.00
Conceded0.680.580.77
BTTS44%33%54%
Clean Sheet48%58%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Grafičar
Grafičar
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.24
HomeWWWDL1.67
AwayDLLWL0.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%48%13%
AVG goals2.702.962.39
Over 1.5 %76%78%74%
Over 2.5 %54%52%57%
Over 3.5 %28%30%26%
Scored1.321.740.83
Conceded1.381.221.57
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet26%26%26%
Corners13.00-13.00
Cards7.00-7.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OFK BeogradOFK Beograd3773
59%
2.0
6332+31
2.6
76%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
6481.70.9
-
2Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3767
54%
1.8
5139+12
2.4
68%
46%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.1
-
3IndjijaIndjija3759
46%
1.6
4635+11
2.2
68%
43%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
4Tekstilac OdžaciTekstilac Odžaci3757
41%
1.5
4427+17
1.9
51%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.7
-
5Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243756
38%
1.5
4031+9
1.9
62%
41%
5%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.10.8
-
6OFK VršacOFK Vršac3753
38%
1.4
3331+2
1.7
49%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.90.8
-
7MacvaMacva3751
35%
1.4
3629+7
1.8
51%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.00.8
-
8Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3750
35%
1.4
3032-2
1.7
41%
19%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
9DubočicaDubočica3750
32%
1.4
3338-5
1.9
57%
27%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.0
-
10GrafičarGrafičar3748
32%
1.3
5154-3
2.8
78%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.5
-
11Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3746
30%
1.2
3538-3
2.0
65%
24%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3746
30%
1.2
3439-5
2.0
59%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
13Metalac GMMetalac GM3745
30%
1.2
3238-6
1.9
57%
27%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
14KolubaraKolubara3743
27%
1.2
4246-4
2.4
70%
35%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
15RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad3731
22%
0.8
3762-25
2.7
65%
49%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
16Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3726
16%
0.7
3268-36
2.7
78%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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