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Semendrija 1924 vs OFK Vršac Result & Analysis

Date: 26/11/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 1-0
Semendrija 1924
Semendrija 1924
Vs
45%
33%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
OFK Vršac
OFK Vršac
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Semendrija 1924’s defensive solidity is highlighted by an average of 0.43 goals conceded per game, while OFK Vršac struggles to keep the ball out of the net, conceding 1.08 on the road. The model predicts a tight affair, with a 45% chance of a home win, 33% for a draw and 22% for an away victory, making a home win the favoured result. The expected total of 1.9 goals points to a low-scoring match, with the most likely total being two goals at a 28% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0, with a 15.8% chance. Semendrija’s home form shows they score 1.14 and concede 0.43 against teams of similar strength, while OFK Vršac’s away form sees them scoring 0.92 and conceding 1.08. The model’s only selection is Under 3.5, with an 86.6% probability.

Results analysis

The win extends Semendrija 1924’s unbeaten run in their last five matches. The model’s favourite was a home win, with a 45% probability, and that call proved correct as the final score was 1-0, a home victory. The most likely total was two goals, with a 28% chance, and the scoreline 1-0 fits the model’s top-scoring scenario. The model’s single selection, Under 3.5, hit with an 86.6% probability. All other suggested picks were settled, but only Under 3.5 is listed. The match finished as predicted, confirming the model’s accuracy.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Semendrija 1924 win✓ Hit
45.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac win✗ Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W10W21W12L01L00D00D21W12LA·JED18/09H·RAD23/09H·RFK01/10A·GRA09/10H·OFK15/10A·TEK23/10H·KOL28/10A·RAD06/11A·IND11/11A·DUB21/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.751.120.620.880.88
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (15)1.000.671.140.430.880.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L01L10W21W11D01L04L10W11DH·MET23/09H·RAD01/10A·DUB08/10H·RFK16/10A·GRA22/10H·OFK27/10A·TEK05/11A·KOL12/11H·RAD18/11A·JED22/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.070.750.881.071.29
vs Stronger (5)1.201.600.671.002.002.50
vs Similar (25)0.840.960.770.850.921.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%16%025%128%218%39%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.3%
Under 1.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.0%
Under 2.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.4%
Under 3.5
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.1%
No
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
15.8%
0-0
15.5%
1-1
14.1%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
4.1%
Semendrija 1924 goals ↓
OFK Vršac goals →
01234
016%9.4%4.0%1.0%0.2%
116%14%4.8%1.2%0.2%
210%7.7%2.9%0.7%0.1%
34.1%3.1%1.2%0.3%0.1%
41.2%0.9%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Semendrija 1924 goals (down), columns = OFK Vršac goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
OFK Beograd
1.97
Jedinstvo Ub
1.81
Indjija
1.59
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.54
Semendrija 1924
1.51
OFK Vršac
1.43
Macva
1.38
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.35
Dubočica
1.35
Grafičar
1.30
Mladost Novi Sad
1.24
Sloboda Uzice
1.24
Metalac GM
1.22
Kolubara
1.16
RFK Novi Sad
0.84
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.70
Semendrija 1924 is 0.08 points better than OFK Vršac in terms of average points per game (1.51 vs 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
OFK Beograd
1.70
Grafičar
1.38
Jedinstvo Ub
1.38
Indjija
1.24
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.19
Kolubara
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
Macva
0.97
Mladost Novi Sad
0.95
Sloboda Uzice
0.92
OFK Vršac
0.89
Dubočica
0.89
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
Metalac GM
0.86
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.81
Semendrija 1924 is 0.19 goals better than OFK Vršac in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 0.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tekstilac Odžaci
0.73
Macva
0.78
OFK Vršac
0.84
Semendrija 1924
0.84
OFK Beograd
0.86
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.86
Indjija
0.95
Metalac GM
1.03
Mladost Novi Sad
1.03
Dubočica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.05
Kolubara
1.24
Grafičar
1.46
RFK Novi Sad
1.68
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.84
Semendrija 1924 and OFK Vršac are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.84).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D11D12L01L00D00D21W01LA·JED18/09H·RAD23/09H·RFK01/10A·GRA09/10H·OFK15/10A·TEK23/10H·KOL28/10A·RAD06/11A·IND11/11A·DUB21/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.690.500.750.500.620.50
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (15)0.670.400.710.290.620.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L00D10W11D11D01L01L00D00DH·MET23/09H·RAD01/10A·DUB08/10H·RFK16/10A·GRA22/10H·OFK27/10A·TEK05/11A·KOL12/11H·RAD18/11A·JED22/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.630.250.500.430.79
vs Stronger (5)0.400.800.330.330.501.50
vs Similar (25)0.320.600.230.540.420.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W10W10W00D00D00D00D00D11DA·JED18/09H·RAD23/09H·RFK01/10A·GRA09/10H·OFK15/10A·TEK23/10H·KOL28/10A·RAD06/11A·IND11/11A·DUB21/11
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.310.250.380.120.250.38
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (15)0.330.270.430.140.250.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L00D10W00D00D03L10W11DH·MET23/09H·RAD01/10A·DUB08/10H·RFK16/10A·GRA22/10H·OFK27/10A·TEK05/11A·KOL12/11H·RAD18/11A·JED22/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.500.380.640.50
vs Stronger (5)0.800.800.330.671.501.00
vs Similar (25)0.520.360.540.310.500.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (28)
€18m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
Semendrija 1924 and OFK Vršac have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (10)
€6m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
Semendrija 1924 and OFK Vršac have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (8)
€4m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
DUB (2)
€0m
Semendrija 1924 and OFK Vršac have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (10)
€8m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
Semendrija 1924 and OFK Vršac have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
S1 wins
1
Draws
0
OV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Semendrija 1924 vs OFK Vršac · H/A from S1
DateH/AGameScore
18/08/23AOFK Vršac Vs S11-1

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/23ADubočica Vs S12-1
11/11/23AIndjija Vs S11-2
06/11/23ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs S10-0
28/10/23HS1 Vs Kolubara0-0
23/10/23ATekstilac Odžaci Vs S11-0
15/10/23HS1 Vs OFK Beograd1-2
09/10/23AGrafičar Vs S11-2
01/10/23HS1 Vs RFK Novi Sad1-0
23/09/23HS1 Vs Radnički Novi Beograd2-1
18/09/23AJedinstvo Ub Vs S10-0

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/23AJedinstvo Ub Vs OV1-1
18/11/23HOV Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica1-0
12/11/23AKolubara Vs OV4-0
05/11/23ATekstilac Odžaci Vs OV1-0
27/10/23HOV Vs OFK Beograd1-1
22/10/23AGrafičar Vs OV1-2
16/10/23HOV Vs RFK Novi Sad1-0
08/10/23ADubočica Vs OV1-0
01/10/23HOV Vs Radnički Novi Beograd0-1
23/09/23HOV Vs Metalac GM1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Semendrija 1924
Semendrija 1924
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.56
HomeWWWLD1.88
AwayWLDWL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%25%
AVG goals1.751.751.75
Over 1.5 %62%62%62%
Over 2.5 %38%38%38%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored1.001.120.88
Conceded0.750.620.88
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet38%50%25%
Corners---
Cards---
OFK Vršac
OFK Vršac
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWD1.26
HomeWLWDW1.58
AwayLWLLD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%21%
AVG goals1.901.652.17
Over 1.5 %50%42%58%
Over 2.5 %34%27%42%
Over 3.5 %12%8%17%
Scored0.880.880.88
Conceded1.020.771.29
BTTS40%35%46%
Clean Sheet36%42%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OFK BeogradOFK Beograd3773
59%
2.0
6332+31
2.6
76%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
6481.70.9
-
2Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3767
54%
1.8
5139+12
2.4
68%
46%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.1
-
3IndjijaIndjija3759
46%
1.6
4635+11
2.2
68%
43%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
4Tekstilac OdžaciTekstilac Odžaci3757
41%
1.5
4427+17
1.9
51%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.7
-
5Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243756
38%
1.5
4031+9
1.9
62%
41%
5%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.10.8
-
6OFK VršacOFK Vršac3753
38%
1.4
3331+2
1.7
49%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.90.8
-
7MacvaMacva3751
35%
1.4
3629+7
1.8
51%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.00.8
-
8Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3750
35%
1.4
3032-2
1.7
41%
19%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
9DubočicaDubočica3750
32%
1.4
3338-5
1.9
57%
27%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.0
-
10GrafičarGrafičar3748
32%
1.3
5154-3
2.8
78%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.5
-
11Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3746
30%
1.2
3538-3
2.0
65%
24%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3746
30%
1.2
3439-5
2.0
59%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
13Metalac GMMetalac GM3745
30%
1.2
3238-6
1.9
57%
27%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
14KolubaraKolubara3743
27%
1.2
4246-4
2.4
70%
35%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
15RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad3731
22%
0.8
3762-25
2.7
65%
49%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
16Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3726
16%
0.7
3268-36
2.7
78%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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