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Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas Result & Analysis

Date: 23/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-2
Sevlievo
Sevlievo
Vs
23%
29%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sevlievo win✓ Hit
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win✗ Miss
48.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SevlievoSevlievo

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W20W01L12L02L16L04L02L21W14LH·YAN14/03A·FK 21/03H·SPO25/03A·LOK04/04H·SPA09/04A·CSK17/04H·VIH25/04A·DUN02/05H·BEL11/05A·PIR15/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.730.791.641.121.81
vs Stronger (3)1.003.331.002.001.006.00
vs Similar (27)0.961.560.751.581.131.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W11D01L20W00D31W11D03L10WH·CSK15/03A·VIH21/03H·DUN29/03A·BEL04/04H·PIR09/04H·LUD16/04A·HEB27/04H·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05H·SPO15/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.931.310.691.361.21
vs Stronger (1)2.003.002.003.00--
vs Similar (29)1.310.861.270.531.361.21
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sevlievo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.7%
Under 1.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.3%
Under 2.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.4%
Under 3.5
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
10.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.8%
Sevlievo goals ↓
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals →
01234
010%12%9.8%4.8%1.8%
17.2%14%9.1%4.5%1.7%
23.9%5.8%4.3%2.1%0.8%
31.2%1.8%1.3%0.7%0.2%
40.3%0.4%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sevlievo goals (down), columns = Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunav Ruse
2.16
Yantra 2019
2.00
Fratria
1.97
Vihren
1.81
CSKA Sofia II
1.72
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.44
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.38
Marek
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.25
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.09
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
Sevlievo
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
0.94
Belasitsa
0.59
Sevlievo is 0.44 points worse than Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fratria
1.91
Vihren
1.84
CSKA Sofia II
1.78
Dunav Ruse
1.66
Yantra 2019
1.41
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.28
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.22
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.19
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.16
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
FK Minyor Pernik
1.00
Sevlievo
0.91
Sportist Svoge
0.88
Marek
0.84
Belasitsa
0.81
Sevlievo is 0.28 goals worse than Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in terms of goals scored per game (0.91 vs 1.19).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunav Ruse
0.50
Yantra 2019
0.75
Fratria
0.91
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Vihren
1.06
Marek
1.09
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.34
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
FK Minyor Pernik
1.41
Spartak Pleven
1.41
Sportist Svoge
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.59
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.62
Sevlievo
1.62
Belasitsa
1.94
Sevlievo is 0.62 goals worse than Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SevlievoSevlievo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L01L00D11D02L00D10W02LH·YAN14/03A·FK 21/03H·SPO25/03A·LOK04/04H·SPA09/04A·CSK17/04H·VIH25/04A·DUN02/05H·BEL11/05A·PIR15/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.630.210.710.380.56
vs Stronger (3)0.331.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.300.590.250.670.330.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D11D00D10W00D21W10W01L00DH·CSK15/03A·VIH21/03H·DUN29/03A·BEL04/04H·PIR09/04H·LUD16/04A·HEB27/04H·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05H·SPO15/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.430.880.310.710.57
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.790.410.870.270.710.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sevlievo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sevlievo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sevlievo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sevlievo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SevlievoSevlievo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D10W00D11D02L05L02L02L11D12LH·YAN14/03A·FK 21/03H·SPO25/03A·LOK04/04H·SPA09/04A·CSK17/04H·VIH25/04A·DUN02/05H·BEL11/05A·PIR15/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.100.570.930.751.25
vs Stronger (3)0.672.331.001.000.005.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.960.500.920.801.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D01L10W00D10W01L02L10WH·CSK15/03A·VIH21/03H·DUN29/03A·BEL04/04H·PIR09/04H·LUD16/04A·HEB27/04H·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05H·SPO15/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.440.380.640.64
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (29)0.520.450.400.270.640.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Sevlievo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sevlievo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sevlievo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sevlievo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SEV wins
0
Draws
1
C1B wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas · H/A from SEV
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25AChernomorets 1919 Burgas Vs SEV1-0

SevlievoSevlievo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26APirin Blagoevgrad Vs SEV4-1
11/05/26HSEV Vs Belasitsa2-1
02/05/26ADunav Ruse Vs SEV2-0
25/04/26HSEV Vs Vihren0-4
17/04/26ACSKA Sofia II Vs SEV6-1
09/04/26HSEV Vs Spartak Pleven0-2
04/04/26ALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Vs SEV2-1
25/03/26HSEV Vs Sportist Svoge0-1
21/03/26AFK Minyor Pernik Vs SEV0-2
14/03/26HSEV Vs Yantra 20191-0

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26HC1B Vs Sportist Svoge1-0
11/05/26AMarek Vs C1B3-0
03/05/26HC1B Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo1-1
27/04/26AHebar 1918 Vs C1B1-3
16/04/26HC1B Vs Ludogorets II0-0
09/04/26HC1B Vs Pirin Blagoevgrad2-0
04/04/26ABelasitsa Vs C1B1-0
29/03/26HC1B Vs Dunav Ruse1-1
21/03/26AVihren Vs C1B0-2
15/03/26HC1B Vs CSKA Sofia II3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sevlievo
Sevlievo
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL0.88
HomeWLLLW0.69
AwayWLLLL1.06
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%19%28%
AVG goals2.472.252.67
Over 1.5 %68%69%67%
Over 2.5 %41%44%39%
Over 3.5 %24%19%28%
Scored0.850.691.00
Conceded1.621.561.67
BTTS41%38%44%
Clean Sheet24%19%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.46
HomeDWDDW1.70
AwayWWLWL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%41%30%
AVG goals2.422.372.48
Over 1.5 %76%81%70%
Over 2.5 %36%30%43%
Over 3.5 %18%15%22%
Scored1.421.591.22
Conceded1.000.781.26
BTTS46%52%39%
Clean Sheet36%44%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3269
62%
2.2
5316+37
2.2
69%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.70.5
-
2Yantra 2019Yantra 20193264
56%
2.0
4524+21
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.40.8
-
3FratriaFratria3263
56%
2.0
6129+32
2.8
84%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.90.9
-
4VihrenVihren3258
53%
1.8
5934+25
2.9
72%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.1
-
5CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3255
50%
1.7
5732+25
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
6Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas3246
34%
1.4
3832+6
2.2
69%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3244
34%
1.4
3943-4
2.6
66%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Ludogorets IILudogorets II3241
34%
1.3
4143-2
2.6
69%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.3
-
9MarekMarek3241
31%
1.3
2735-8
1.9
59%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.1
-
10Hebar 1918Hebar 19183240
34%
1.2
4151-10
2.9
84%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.31.6
-
11Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3238
28%
1.2
3841-3
2.5
66%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.3
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3235
28%
1.1
3745-8
2.6
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
13Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3234
28%
1.1
2848-20
2.4
62%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.5
-
14Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3233
25%
1.0
3352-19
2.7
69%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.6
-
15SevlievoSevlievo3232
28%
1.0
2952-23
2.5
69%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
16FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3230
22%
0.9
3245-13
2.4
72%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
17BelasitsaBelasitsa3219
12%
0.6
2662-36
2.8
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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