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Shakhter Karagandy vs Aktobe Jas Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2025
Time: 11:30
Final 3-1
Shakhter Karagandy
Shakhter Karagandy
Vs
67%
20%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Shakhter Karagandy win✓ Hit
67.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas win✗ Miss
13.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L15L11D13L11D21W41W32W00D22DA·FC 16/10A·KAI20/10H·KYZ27/10H·AKT03/11A·IRT16/03A·YAS09/04H·SD 18/04A·KHA25/04H·IRT01/05A·EKI09/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.630.791.290.881.94
vs Stronger (14)0.791.790.861.570.712.00
vs Similar (16)0.881.500.711.001.001.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D13L01L22D02L01L33D00D11DH·ARY20/09A·SPO26/09H·KAI03/10A·AKZ11/10H·TAR25/10A·KHA10/04H·IRT17/04A·EKI24/04A·ALT01/05H·SPO08/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.902.430.932.070.872.80
vs Stronger (24)0.882.381.001.920.752.83
vs Similar (6)1.002.670.672.671.332.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Karagandy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.0%
Under 2.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.8%
Under 3.5
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
8.1%
3-0
8.0%
3-1 ✓
7.5%
0-0
4.7%
4-0
4.6%
Shakhter Karagandy goals ↓
Aktobe Jas goals →
01234
04.7%2.8%1.7%0.5%0.1%
18.1%9.3%4.0%1.2%0.3%
210%9.7%4.6%1.4%0.3%
38.0%7.5%3.5%1.1%0.3%
44.6%4.3%2.0%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shakhter Karagandy goals (down), columns = Aktobe Jas goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kaspiy
2.62
Irtysh
2.35
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.08
Shakhter Karagandy
2.00
Zhetisay
1.62
Sport Academy Kairat
1.54
Akademiya Ontustik
1.50
Taraz
1.35
AKAS
1.27
Ekibastuz
1.08
SD Family
0.88
Khan Tengri
0.69
Aktobe Jas
0.52
Yassy Turkistan
0.39
Shakhter Karagandy is 1.48 points better than Aktobe Jas in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.52).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kaspiy
2.85
Irtysh
2.73
Shakhter Karagandy
2.32
Sport Academy Kairat
2.23
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.04
Zhetisay
1.69
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Taraz
1.65
AKAS
1.62
Ekibastuz
1.38
SD Family
1.27
Aktobe Jas
1.24
Khan Tengri
1.04
Yassy Turkistan
0.70
Shakhter Karagandy is 1.08 goals better than Aktobe Jas in terms of goals scored per game (2.32 vs 1.24).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Irtysh
0.77
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.92
Kaspiy
1.04
Zhetisay
1.35
Shakhter Karagandy
1.36
Taraz
1.46
AKAS
1.50
Sport Academy Kairat
1.62
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Khan Tengri
2.12
Ekibastuz
2.31
Aktobe Jas
2.60
SD Family
2.88
Yassy Turkistan
3.09
Shakhter Karagandy is 1.24 goals better than Aktobe Jas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 2.60).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L11D01L00D11D20W11D00D11DA·FC 16/10A·KAI20/10H·KYZ27/10H·AKT03/11A·IRT16/03A·YAS09/04H·SD 18/04A·KHA25/04H·IRT01/05A·EKI09/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.800.360.710.250.88
vs Stronger (14)0.210.710.290.710.140.71
vs Similar (16)0.380.880.430.710.331.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W00D11D00D00D13L00D00DH·ARY20/09A·SPO26/09H·KAI03/10A·AKZ11/10H·TAR25/10A·KHA10/04H·IRT17/04A·EKI24/04A·ALT01/05H·SPO08/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.100.290.930.381.25
vs Stronger (24)0.291.080.270.910.311.23
vs Similar (6)0.501.170.331.000.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Karagandy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L00D12L11D10W21W21W00D11DA·FC 16/10A·KAI20/10H·KYZ27/10H·AKT03/11A·IRT16/03A·YAS09/04H·SD 18/04A·KHA25/04H·IRT01/05A·EKI09/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.430.570.621.06
vs Stronger (14)0.571.070.570.860.571.29
vs Similar (16)0.500.620.290.290.670.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D03L01L11D02L01L20W00D11DH·ARY20/09A·SPO26/09H·KAI03/10A·AKZ11/10H·TAR25/10A·KHA10/04H·IRT17/04A·EKI24/04A·ALT01/05H·SPO08/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.430.501.290.441.56
vs Stronger (24)0.461.420.551.180.381.62
vs Similar (6)0.501.500.331.670.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Karagandy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
IRT (7)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (13)
€2m
KAS (11)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SK wins
0
Draws
0
AJ wins

Head-to-head

Shakhter Karagandy vs Aktobe Jas · H/A from SK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/25AEkibastuz Vs SK2-2
01/05/25HSK Vs Irtysh0-0
25/04/25AKhan Tengri Vs SK2-3
18/04/25HSK Vs SD Family4-1
09/04/25AYassy Turkistan Vs SK1-2
16/03/25AIrtysh Vs SK1-1
03/11/24HSK Vs Aktobe1-3
27/10/24HSK Vs Kyzyl-Zhar1-1
20/10/24AKaisar Vs SK5-1
16/10/24AFC Astana Vs SK3-0

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/25HAJ Vs Sport Academy Kairat1-1
01/05/25AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs AJ0-0
24/04/25AEkibastuz Vs AJ3-3
17/04/25HAJ Vs Irtysh0-1
10/04/25AKhan Tengri Vs AJ2-0
25/10/24HAJ Vs Taraz2-2
11/10/24AAkzhayik Vs AJ1-0
03/10/24HAJ Vs Kaisar II1-3
26/09/24ASport Academy Kairat Vs AJ1-1
20/09/24HAJ Vs Arys0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Shakhter Karagandy
Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD0.92
HomeLDLWD1.33
AwayLDWWD0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%33%12%
AVG goals2.502.122.85
Over 1.5 %68%58%77%
Over 2.5 %50%42%58%
Over 3.5 %26%21%31%
Scored0.941.000.88
Conceded1.561.121.96
BTTS52%42%62%
Clean Sheet20%38%4%
Corners---
Cards2.203.330.50
Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDD0.58
HomeLLDLD0.76
AwayDLLDD0.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%20%8%
AVG goals3.323.163.48
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %40%36%44%
Scored1.001.200.80
Conceded2.321.962.68
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet10%12%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KaspiyKaspiy2668
85%
2.6
7427+47
3.9
88%
81%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.81.0
-
2IrtyshIrtysh2661
73%
2.3
7120+51
3.5
77%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.70.8
-
3Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2552
64%
2.1
5123+28
3.0
84%
64%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.9
-
4Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2550
60%
2.0
5834+24
3.7
96%
80%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5ZhetisayZhetisay2642
50%
1.6
4435+9
3.0
77%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2640
46%
1.5
5842+16
3.8
85%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
7Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2639
46%
1.5
4444+0
3.4
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8TarazTaraz2635
38%
1.3
4338+5
3.1
88%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9AKASAKAS2633
38%
1.3
4239+3
3.1
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
10EkibastuzEkibastuz2628
31%
1.1
3660-24
3.7
81%
69%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
11SD FamilySD Family2623
27%
0.9
3375-42
4.2
85%
69%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.9
-
12Khan TengriKhan Tengri2618
19%
0.7
2755-28
3.2
85%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.1
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2513
8%
0.5
3165-34
3.8
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
14Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan239
9%
0.4
1671-55
3.8
83%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.1
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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