Shakhter Karagandy vs Astana II Result & Analysis

Shakhter Karagandy, sitting atop the Kazakhstan 1. Division, is the clear favourite to take down Astana II, thanks in part to their opponent's struggles on the road. Astana II's away form, particularly against stronger opponents, is a concern, conceding an average of 3.67 goals per match. Meanwhile, Shakhter Karagandy has been on a four-game winning run, scoring an average of 3 goals at home. This trend is expected to continue, with the model predicting a 72% chance of a home win.

The most likely match result is a home win, with a 72% probability. The model also predicts an expected total of 3.9 goals, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1, occurring with a probability of 8.8%. Home win, over 1.5, and over 2.5 are the model's selections, with probabilities of 72%, 90.7%, and 74.7% respectively. Shakhter Karagandy is also expected to win at home 72% of the time, while the draw percentage stands at 16% and the away win percentage at 12%.

Shakhter Karagandy’s five-game winning run continued as they secured a 4-0 victory over Astana II, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was correct, with a 72% probability. The most likely scoreline of 2-1 fell short of the 4-0 result, but the model’s other selections proved accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.4%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 96.6%, Home +2 handicap at 95.7%, Under 7.5 at 95.5%, Home over 0.5 goals at 93.9%, Over 1.5 at 90.7%, and Away under 2.5 goals at 90.0%. All selections were settled and hit, underscoring the model’s strong performance.