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Shakhtyor Petrikov vs Baranovichi Result & Analysis

Date: 23/11/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 0-1
Shakhtyor Petrikov
Shakhtyor Petrikov
Vs
37%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Baranovichi
Baranovichi
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shakhtyor Petrikov win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi win✓ Hit
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-523L03L01L10W21W01L10W05L02L03LA·ORS20/09H·ML 25/09H·SLO29/09A·ABF05/10H·BUM13/10A·BEL20/10H·TOR25/10A·VOL02/11H·NIV09/11A·ML 17/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.901.212.071.001.75
vs Stronger (2)0.003.000.003.000.003.00
vs Similar (24)1.211.921.552.270.921.62
vs Weaker (4)1.001.250.000.502.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Baranovichi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D12L04L23L32W10W24L20W11D21WH·ABF13/09A·BUM22/09H·BEL29/09A·TOR06/10H·VOL12/10A·NIV18/10H·ML 27/10H·FC 03/11A·MOL09/11H·OST17/11
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.901.001.880.711.93
vs Stronger (2)2.002.502.004.002.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.921.921.081.850.732.00
vs Weaker (4)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtyor Petrikov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.5%
Under 1.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.1%
No
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
0-1 ✓
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.9%
Shakhtyor Petrikov goals ↓
Baranovichi goals →
01234
08.7%8.2%5.9%2.5%0.8%
18.7%14%7.9%3.3%1.1%
26.6%8.4%5.3%2.2%0.7%
32.9%3.7%2.4%1.0%0.3%
41.0%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shakhtyor Petrikov goals (down), columns = Baranovichi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.24
Belshina
2.18
ML Vitebsk
2.15
Niva
2.06
Volna
1.94
Dinamo Minsk II
1.53
Lida
1.53
BATE II
1.44
Bumprom
1.41
Orsha
1.32
Ostrovets FC
1.26
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.03
Baranovichi
1.00
ABFF U17
0.97
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.91
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.85
Slonim
0.76
Torpedo BelAZ II
0.62
Shakhtyor Petrikov is 0.09 points worse than Baranovichi in terms of average points per game (0.91 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Belshina
2.47
ML Vitebsk
2.21
Niva
2.15
Volna
2.06
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.82
Dinamo Minsk II
1.59
Bumprom
1.47
Lida
1.41
Orsha
1.35
BATE II
1.35
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.24
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.06
Torpedo BelAZ II
1.00
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.97
ABFF U17
0.91
Baranovichi
0.88
Slonim
0.76
Shakhtyor Petrikov is 0.09 goals better than Baranovichi in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 0.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.76
ML Vitebsk
0.79
Niva
1.00
Bumprom
1.09
Dinamo Minsk II
1.15
Lida
1.18
Belshina
1.24
Volna
1.26
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.47
Orsha
1.50
ABFF U17
1.53
BATE II
1.59
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.62
Ostrovets FC
1.68
Baranovichi
1.76
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.79
Slonim
1.91
Torpedo BelAZ II
2.68
Shakhtyor Petrikov is 0.03 goals worse than Baranovichi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.76).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L00D11D00D10W00D01L03LA·ORS20/09H·ML 25/09H·SLO29/09A·ABF05/10H·BUM13/10A·BEL20/10H·TOR25/10A·VOL02/11H·NIV09/11A·ML 17/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.710.790.250.69
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.000.000.003.00
vs Similar (24)0.540.710.910.910.230.54
vs Weaker (4)0.250.500.000.500.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Baranovichi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W12L01L21W32W00D11D20W11D00DH·ABF13/09A·BUM22/09H·BEL29/09A·TOR06/10H·VOL12/10A·NIV18/10H·ML 27/10H·FC 03/11A·MOL09/11H·OST17/11
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.900.561.000.500.79
vs Stronger (2)1.501.001.001.002.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.540.920.621.000.450.82
vs Weaker (4)0.000.750.001.000.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtyor Petrikov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D03L00D10W10W01L00D05L01L00DA·ORS20/09H·ML 25/09H·SLO29/09A·ABF05/10H·BUM13/10A·BEL20/10H·TOR25/10A·VOL02/11H·NIV09/11A·ML 17/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.170.501.290.751.06
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.003.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.671.210.641.360.691.08
vs Weaker (4)0.750.750.000.001.501.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Baranovichi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D03L02L00D10W13L00D00D21WH·ABF13/09A·BUM22/09H·BEL29/09A·TOR06/10H·VOL12/10A·NIV18/10H·ML 27/10H·FC 03/11A·MOL09/11H·OST17/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.000.440.880.211.14
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.003.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.381.000.460.850.271.18
vs Weaker (4)0.000.750.000.000.001.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtyor Petrikov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
SP wins
2
Draws
1
BAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Shakhtyor Petrikov vs Baranovichi · H/A from SP
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/24ABaranovichi Vs SP0-1
21/08/23HSP Vs Baranovichi1-1
15/04/23ABaranovichi Vs SP2-0
30/10/22HSP Vs Baranovichi0-0
10/07/22ABaranovichi Vs SP1-5

Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/11/24AML Vitebsk Vs SP3-0
09/11/24HSP Vs Niva0-2
02/11/24AVolna Vs SP5-0
25/10/24HSP Vs Torpedo BelAZ II1-0
20/10/24ABelshina Vs SP1-0
13/10/24HSP Vs Bumprom2-1
05/10/24AABFF U17 Vs SP0-1
29/09/24HSP Vs Slonim0-1
25/09/24HSP Vs ML Vitebsk0-3
20/09/24AOrsha Vs SP3-2

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/11/24HBAR Vs Ostrovets FC2-1
09/11/24AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs BAR1-1
03/11/24HBAR Vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk2-0
27/10/24HBAR Vs ML Vitebsk2-4
18/10/24ANiva Vs BAR0-1
12/10/24HBAR Vs Volna3-2
06/10/24ATorpedo BelAZ II Vs BAR3-2
29/09/24HBAR Vs Belshina0-4
22/09/24ABumprom Vs BAR2-1
13/09/24HBAR Vs ABFF U172-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Shakhtyor Petrikov
Shakhtyor Petrikov
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.96
HomeLLWWL0.88
AwayLWLLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%24%32%
AVG goals2.843.002.68
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.041.081.00
Conceded1.801.921.68
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Baranovichi
Baranovichi
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW1.00
HomeLWLWW1.31
AwayDLLWD0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%38%12%
AVG goals2.742.962.50
Over 1.5 %78%88%67%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %28%31%25%
Scored0.981.230.71
Conceded1.761.731.79
BTTS42%50%33%
Clean Sheet18%15%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 43476
68%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
71%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.80.8
-
2BelshinaBelshina3474
68%
2.2
8442+42
3.7
88%
68%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.2
-
3ML VitebskML Vitebsk3473
68%
2.1
7527+48
3.0
71%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6352.20.8
-
4NivaNiva3470
62%
2.1
7334+39
3.1
71%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.11.0
-
5VolnaVolna3466
62%
1.9
7043+27
3.3
94%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.3
-
6Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II3452
44%
1.5
5439+15
2.7
76%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.61.1
-
7LidaLida3452
44%
1.5
4840+8
2.6
68%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.2
-
8BATE IIBATE II3449
41%
1.4
4654-8
2.9
76%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
9BumpromBumprom3448
38%
1.4
5037+13
2.6
62%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.1
-
10OrshaOrsha3445
32%
1.3
4651-5
2.9
82%
38%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
11Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC3443
35%
1.3
4457-13
3.0
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.7
-
12Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel3435
24%
1.0
4250-8
2.7
88%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi3434
26%
1.0
3060-30
2.6
74%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.8
-
14ABFF U17ABFF U173433
26%
1.0
3152-21
2.4
74%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
15Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov3431
26%
0.9
3361-28
2.8
68%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk3429
21%
0.9
3655-19
2.7
65%
41%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
17SlonimSlonim3426
18%
0.8
2665-39
2.7
65%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.9
-
18Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II3421
18%
0.6
3491-57
3.7
85%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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