This highly anticipated match between Sheffield Weds and Bradford in League One is finely balanced, with the home side's recent form a major storyline. Sheffield Weds have been on a 2-game winning run, including a 2-1 victory over Leyton Orient, and will look to continue that momentum at home. However, Bradford are coming off a win of their own, a 2-0 success over Peterboro, and will be confident of causing an upset.
The model predicts a home win, with a 35% chance of Sheffield Weds emerging victorious. The draw is also a possibility, with a 31% chance, while Bradford have a 34% chance of winning. The expected total number of goals is 2.3, with the most likely outcome being a 2-goal match.
The single most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 14.6%. Sheffield Weds have a strong home record, scoring 0.88 goals per game and conceding 1.62. Bradford's away form is also respectable, scoring 1.08 goals per game and conceding 1.67. The model's selection is the Under 3.5 goals, which has an 80% chance of happening.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Sheffield Weds, failed to deliver, with Bradford securing a 1-0 away victory. The model had tipped a home win at 35 % probability, but the outcome proved otherwise. The final score of 0-1 matched the actual result of an away win. The model’s selection was wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.1 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.9 %, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 89.1 %, Home under 2.5 goals hit at 88.6 %, Home +2 handicap hit at 85.5 %, Away +2 handicap hit at 84.7 %, Under 5.5 cards hit at 82.3 %, and Under 3.5 hit at 79.6 %. The win extends Sheffield Weds’ run of two defeats, while Bradford continues a two-game winning streak.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sheffield Weds win✗ Miss
35.2%
Avg Implied 34.4% · @ 2.72
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.85
Dafabet
2.85
Bet365
2.80
Betano
2.80
BetVictor
2.80
Draw✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.33
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.49
10Bet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
Bradford win✓ Hit
33.9%
Avg Implied 37.6% · @ 2.48
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.76
Unibet
2.60
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
SBO
2.49
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sheffield Weds
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.83
0.67
1.47
0.47
2.20
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.70
0.40
1.80
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (20)
0.65
1.90
0.80
1.30
0.50
2.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bradford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bradford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.10
1.19
0.56
1.00
1.71
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
1.07
1.11
1.13
0.60
1.00
1.69
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.6%
@ 1.29-3.7%
Under 1.5
31.4%
@ 3.35+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.31
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.61
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.40
Superbet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.8%
@ 1.93-7.9%
Under 2.5
59.2%
@ 1.83+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.01
Pinnacle
1.98
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.4%
@ 3.28-8.0%
Under 3.5
79.6%
@ 1.30+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.42
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
888Sport
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
BetVictor
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.3%
@ 1.72-5.7%
No
51.7%
@ 2.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.75
Bet365
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.72
No
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.04
1xBet
2.04
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 5.92+7.0%
0-0
11.2%@ 9.56+6.5%
1-0
10.2%@ 8.15+4.8%
0-1 ✓
10.0%@ 7.91+4.3%
2-1
7.7%@ 9.30+2.9%
1-2
7.6%@ 8.94+2.6%
2-0
6.8%@ 12.71+3.2%
0-2
6.5%@ 11.85+2.7%
Sheffield Weds goals ↓
Bradford goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
10.0%
6.5%
2.5%
0.7%
1
10%
15%
7.6%
2.9%
0.8%
2
6.8%
7.7%
4.4%
1.7%
0.5%
3
2.6%
3.0%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sheffield Weds goals (down), columns = Bradford goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Sheffield Weds is 0.11 points worse than Bradford in terms of average points per game (1.49 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Sheffield Weds is 0.22 goals better than Bradford in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Sheffield Weds is 0.11 goals worse than Bradford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.10).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sheffield Weds
For 3.8 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 11.8 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bradford
For 6.2 · Against 3.5 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sheffield Weds
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.3
10.2
3.0
2.9
3.0
21.9
21.4
22.6
vs Stronger (17)
10.5
11.6
9.0
2.4
2.0
3.0
19.9
18.0
22.6
vs Similar (32)
10.2
9.6
10.7
3.2
3.5
3.0
22.9
23.1
22.6
vs Weaker (1)
7.0
7.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
27.0
27.0
-
% over line
52%
52%
52%
40%
37%
43%
52%
52%
52%
% under line
48%
48%
48%
60%
63%
57%
48%
48%
48%
This opponent (Bradford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bradford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.5
9.5
4.1
4.3
3.8
24.7
25.0
24.4
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
-
9.5
2.5
-
2.5
22.0
-
22.0
vs Similar (46)
10.0
10.5
9.5
4.3
4.4
4.1
25.0
25.4
24.6
vs Weaker (2)
12.0
12.0
-
1.0
2.0
0.0
16.0
16.0
-
% over line
55%
58%
52%
60%
67%
54%
73%
83%
64%
% under line
45%
42%
48%
40%
33%
46%
27%
17%
36%
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.4
Oxford
11.3
Leicester
11.0
Barnsley
10.9
Wigan
10.7
Blackpool
10.5
Huddersfield
10.5
Bromley
10.5
Luton
10.3
Burton
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Wycombe
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Bradford
10.0
Doncaster
10.0
Stockport
9.8
AFC Wimbledon
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Mansfield
9.7
Reading
9.3
Notts County
9.3
Cambridge
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.1
Stevenage
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.9
Notts County
4.3
Peterboro
4.3
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Leyton Orient
4.0
Doncaster
3.9
Stevenage
3.8
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Blackpool
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Luton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Burton
3.6
Barnsley
3.5
Oxford
3.4
Stockport
3.3
AFC Wimbledon
3.1
Wigan
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bradford
24.7
Notts County
24.4
Plymouth
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Huddersfield
24.3
Peterboro
23.9
Luton
23.8
Milton Keynes Dons
23.6
Blackpool
23.5
Wigan
23.3
Leyton Orient
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
23.0
Doncaster
22.6
Cambridge
22.6
Reading
22.6
Mansfield
22.1
Leicester
22.0
Sheffield Weds
21.9
Burton
21.9
Oxford
21.9
Bromley
21.9
Wycombe
21.4
Stockport
21.0
Barnsley
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.4%
@ 1.72-1.3%
Under 9.5
47.6%
@ 2.01+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Under
Unibet
2.08
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.2%
@ 1.62-6.0%
Under 3.5
48.8%
@ 2.17+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Under
1xBet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.6%
Under 21.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sheffield Weds or Draw✗ Miss
66.1%
Avg Implied 62.8% · @ 1.48
Edge
+3.3%
35%
31%
34%
covers Sheffield Weds + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
William Hil
1.50
Sheffield Weds or Bradford✓ Hit
69.1%
Avg Implied 72.0% · @ 1.29
Edge
-2.9%
35%
31%
34%
covers Sheffield Weds + Bradford
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Draw or Bradford✓ Hit
64.8%
Avg Implied 65.2% · @ 1.43
Edge
-0.3%
35%
31%
34%
covers Draw + Bradford
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.45
888Sport
1.44
Bet365
1.44
SBO
1.42
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sheffield Weds over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.0%
@ 1.30-2.5%
Under
31.0%
@ 3.25+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
BetVictor
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.33
Unibet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Sheffield Weds over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.6%
@ 2.50-4.6%
Under
67.4%
@ 1.48+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.66
Superbet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Under
10Bet
1.55
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Sheffield Weds over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 5.92-4.3%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.10+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.35
Marathonbet
6.35
888Sport
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Sheffield Weds over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 15.38-3.1%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.02+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
19.00
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bradford over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.2%
@ 1.27-4.7%
Under
31.8%
@ 3.42+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.48
Superbet
3.45
Bradford over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.7%
@ 2.38-7.4%
Under
68.3%
@ 1.53+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.44
Betfair
2.40
888Sport
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Bradford over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 5.47-6.1%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.12+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Bradford over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 13.62-4.1%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.03+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
888Sport
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sheffield Weds, so a minus line means Sheffield Weds give that many goals of a start and Bradford receive them. At -1, Sheffield Weds must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sheffield Weds win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Bradford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bradford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.53
0.38
0.31
0.21
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.29
0.54
0.33
0.33
0.23
0.77
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Under
Pinnacle
3.09
10Bet
2.90
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.85
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
Marathonbet
2.81
1xBet
2.81
Under
Pinnacle
1.42
10Bet
1.42
BetVictor
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.30
William Hil
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Unibet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sheffield Weds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheffield Weds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheffield Weds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bradford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bradford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bradford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sheffield Weds
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
1.07
0.40
1.13
0.27
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.80
0.20
1.20
0.40
0.40
vs Similar (20)
0.35
1.20
0.50
1.10
0.20
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Bradford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bradford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
0.81
0.25
0.79
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.57
0.80
0.27
0.77
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sheffield Weds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheffield Weds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheffield Weds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bradford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bradford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bradford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
97.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.1%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
88.6%
1.10
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.5%
1.13
Superbet
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.6%
1.30
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
BetVictor
1.31
Bet365
1.30
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.0%
1.24
Superbet
1.24
-
-
-
-
-0.7%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.3%
1.37
Unibet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
+4.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sheffield Weds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Lowe60%
Louie Barry40%
C. Slattery25%
Mason Paul James Burstow20%
G. Otegbayo20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
B. Bannan0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
B. Mitchell0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Sil Swinkels0%
K. Morrison0%
Harry Gray0%
Jarvis Thornton0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
C. Slattery50%
Jarvis Thornton33%
B. Mitchell25%
B. Bannan20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
J. Lowe0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Louie Barry0%
Sil Swinkels0%
Mason Paul James Burstow0%
K. Morrison0%
G. Otegbayo0%
Harry Gray0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
B. Bannan40%
C. Slattery25%
K. Morrison25%
J. Lowe20%
Louie Barry20%
Mason Paul James Burstow20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
B. Mitchell0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Sil Swinkels0%
G. Otegbayo0%
Harry Gray0%
Jarvis Thornton0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Lowe60%
C. Slattery25%
K. Morrison25%
Louie Barry20%
Mason Paul James Burstow20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
B. Bannan0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
B. Mitchell0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Sil Swinkels0%
G. Otegbayo0%
Harry Gray0%
Jarvis Thornton0%
Bradford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aden Baldwin50%
W. Swan20%
B. Pointon20%
M. Gillesphey0%
I. Touray0%
N. Powell0%
C. Connolly0%
M. Pennington0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
J. Beesley0%
Jon McCracken0%
R. Welch0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Pennington25%
I. Touray20%
C. Connolly20%
M. Gillesphey0%
N. Powell0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
Aden Baldwin0%
J. Beesley0%
Jon McCracken0%
R. Welch0%
W. Swan0%
B. Pointon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Pennington25%
C. Connolly20%
M. Gillesphey0%
I. Touray0%
N. Powell0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
Aden Baldwin0%
J. Beesley0%
Jon McCracken0%
R. Welch0%
W. Swan0%
B. Pointon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Beesley40%
R. Welch25%
N. Powell20%
W. Swan20%
M. Gillesphey0%
I. Touray0%
C. Connolly0%
M. Pennington0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
Aden Baldwin0%
Jon McCracken0%
B. Pointon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Sheffield Weds's squad is €14m more valuable than Bradford's (€21m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Sheffield Weds's attack is €4m more valuable than Bradford's (€7m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Sheffield Weds's midfield is €5m more valuable than Bradford's (€6m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Sheffield Weds's defence is €5m more valuable than Bradford's (€8m vs €3m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Huddersfield
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe