Sheffield Weds enter the match after a shaky run, having lost the opening game of the season and finishing last week’s fixture 0-1 to Bradford. Bromley, meanwhile, have been more consistent, drawing only once in their last five and keeping a clean sheet in the 1-1 draw with Cambridge. The model therefore picks an away win, giving Bromley a 43 % chance of victory, a 33 % chance of a draw and a 24 % chance of a Sheffield Weds win. The expected total of goals is 2.0, with the most likely scoreline 0-0 at a 15.5 % probability. Sheffield Weds average 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded at home against similarly ranked opposition, while Bromley average 1.62 goals scored and 0.92 conceded on the road against similar teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.9 %), Under 6.5 (99.6 % with a 4 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (99.1 % with an 11 % edge), Under 5.5 (98.5 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0 % with a 1 % edge), Under 4.5 (95.2 % with an 11 % edge), Away under 2.5 goals (88.8 %) and Under 3.5 (86.6 % with a 17 % edge).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Away win, was wrong as Sheffield Weds pulled off a 7-2 home victory, extending their recent run with a win. The model had given the away side a 43% chance of triumph, but the result was a home win. The model’s selection for the total goals predicted 2, a 28% probability, yet the match produced 9 goals. Under 7.5, Under 6.5, Home under 3.5 goals, Under 5.5, Under 4.5, and Under 3.5 all missed, each with probabilities of 99.9%, 99.6%, 99.1%, 98.5%, 95.2%, and 86.6% respectively. The only hits were Away under 3.5 goals at 97.0% and Away under 2.5 goals at 88.8%. The model’s predictions were largely off.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sheffield Weds win✓ Hit
23.7%
Avg Implied 51.1% · @ 1.83
Edge
-27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.90
Betfair
1.87
10Bet
1.84
Dafabet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Draw✗ Miss
33.2%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.59
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.88
Dafabet
3.70
Betfair
3.70
Betano
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
Bromley win✗ Miss
43.1%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 4.08
Edge
+20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.40
Dafabet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.25
BetVictor
4.20
1xBet
4.13
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sheffield Weds
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.73
0.62
1.38
0.43
2.14
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.60
0.33
1.83
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.65
1.80
0.80
1.10
0.50
2.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bromley
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.83
1.40
0.73
1.47
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.48
0.86
1.40
0.73
1.57
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.4%
@ 1.25-15.0%
Under 1.5
40.6%
@ 3.63+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.85
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Unibet
3.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.0%
@ 1.83-20.2%
Under 2.5
69.0%
@ 1.93+20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.87
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathonbet
1.97
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
13.4%
@ 3.04-17.2%
Under 3.5
86.6%
@ 1.34+17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.16
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Unibet
3.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.9%
@ 1.72-15.0%
No
61.1%
@ 2.01+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
No
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.5%@ 10.44+11.2%
0-1
15.2%@ 10.91+11.1%
1-1
14.3%@ 6.36+7.3%
1-0
9.9%@ 7.00+3.6%
0-2
9.6%@ 20.26+7.4%
1-2
7.6%@ 12.22+3.9%
2-1
5.2%@ 7.67-0.6%
2-0
4.5%@ 8.41-0.8%
Sheffield Weds goals ↓
Bromley goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
15%
9.6%
3.7%
1.1%
1
9.9%
14%
7.6%
2.9%
0.8%
2
4.5%
5.2%
3.0%
1.2%
0.3%
3
1.2%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sheffield Weds goals (down), columns = Bromley goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Sheffield Weds is 0.41 points better than Bromley in terms of average points per game (1.49 vs 1.08).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Sheffield Weds is 0.39 goals better than Bromley in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Sheffield Weds is 0.46 goals better than Bromley in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sheffield Weds
For 4.2 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.1 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bromley
For 5.0 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.1 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sheffield Weds
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.3
10.1
3.0
2.9
3.1
21.9
21.1
23.0
vs Stronger (17)
10.3
11.3
8.5
2.5
2.0
3.5
19.8
17.6
23.8
vs Similar (32)
10.3
9.9
10.7
3.2
3.4
3.0
22.9
23.2
22.6
vs Weaker (1)
7.0
7.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
27.0
27.0
-
% over line
50%
50%
50%
40%
36%
45%
52%
50%
55%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
60%
64%
55%
48%
50%
45%
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bromley
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.2
10.7
3.6
3.3
3.8
21.6
20.3
23.0
vs Stronger (1)
14.0
14.0
-
1.0
1.0
-
18.0
18.0
-
vs Similar (47)
10.4
10.2
10.7
3.6
3.4
3.9
21.8
20.4
23.4
vs Weaker (2)
8.5
7.0
10.0
3.5
4.0
3.0
19.0
22.0
16.0
% over line
63%
62%
65%
52%
48%
57%
57%
42%
74%
% under line
37%
38%
35%
48%
52%
43%
43%
58%
26%
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.3
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.2
Leicester
10.9
Wigan
10.6
Bromley
10.4
Luton
10.4
Blackpool
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Burton
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Peterboro
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Stockport
10.0
AFC Wimbledon
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Mansfield
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.6
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.3
Milton Keynes Dons
9.0
Cambridge
9.0
Stevenage
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.8
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.3
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Leyton Orient
4.0
Doncaster
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Blackpool
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Luton
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Oxford
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
Stockport
3.3
AFC Wimbledon
3.2
Wigan
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.7
Bradford
24.6
Stevenage
24.6
Plymouth
24.5
Huddersfield
24.2
Luton
23.8
Peterboro
23.7
Leyton Orient
23.4
Blackpool
23.4
Milton Keynes Dons
23.3
Wigan
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
22.9
Cambridge
22.5
Oxford
22.5
Doncaster
22.5
Reading
22.4
Leicester
22.4
Mansfield
22.2
Burton
22.2
Sheffield Weds
21.9
Bromley
21.7
Wycombe
21.4
Stockport
20.9
Barnsley
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
60.9%
@ 1.44-3.2%
Under 9.5
39.1%
@ 2.58+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Under
Superbet
2.70
Unibet
2.63
Betfair
2.60
Pinnacle
2.59
Betano
2.57
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.3%
Under 3.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.7%
Under 21.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sheffield Weds or Draw✓ Hit
56.9%
Avg Implied 77.0% · @ 1.21
Edge
-20.1%
24%
33%
43%
covers Sheffield Weds + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Sheffield Weds or Bromley✓ Hit
66.8%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.25
Edge
-7.5%
24%
33%
43%
covers Sheffield Weds + Bromley
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw or Bromley✗ Miss
76.3%
Avg Implied 48.7% · @ 1.91
Edge
+27.6%
24%
33%
43%
covers Draw + Bromley
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
SBO
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sheffield Weds over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
54.7%
@ 1.16-25.0%
Under
45.3%
@ 4.58+25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.85
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.75
Superbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Sheffield Weds over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
18.8%
@ 1.85-31.6%
Under
81.2%
@ 1.88+31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.99
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Sheffield Weds over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
4.6%
@ 3.68-20.6%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.24+20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.80
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Sheffield Weds over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
0.9%
@ 8.34-10.4%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.06+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.00
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.90
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Bromley over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.6%
@ 1.44+4.2%
Under
31.4%
@ 2.61-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.49
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
BetVictor
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.70
10Bet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.60
Bromley over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.3%
@ 3.22+3.4%
Under
67.7%
@ 1.31-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.42
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Superbet
3.25
Under
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Bromley over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 8.67+0.4%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.04-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.20
1xBet
9.20
Superbet
8.30
Betfair
8.00
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Bromley over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 20.67-1.6%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.01+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sheffield Weds, so a minus line means Sheffield Weds give that many goals of a start and Bromley receive them. At -1, Sheffield Weds must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sheffield Weds win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bromley
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.67
0.33
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.62
0.45
0.67
0.33
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.17
William Hil
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.77
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.75
1xBet
2.69
10Bet
2.65
Under
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.65
Marathonbet
6.60
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sheffield Weds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.76
Unibet
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
2.06
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Sheffield Weds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
4.70
Betano
4.65
1xBet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Sheffield Weds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bromley over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
Superbet
2.45
10Bet
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Superbet
1.49
Bromley over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
8.90
Superbet
8.60
10Bet
8.50
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Bromley over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
36.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sheffield Weds
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.97
0.38
1.00
0.21
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.60
0.17
1.00
0.25
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.35
1.15
0.50
1.00
0.20
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bromley
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
0.73
0.40
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.86
0.41
0.73
0.40
1.00
0.43
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Under
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.10
Betano
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.07
William Hil
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Under
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.71
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sheffield Weds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Under
Betano
2.40
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.30
Sheffield Weds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.48
10Bet
3.45
Betano
3.35
1xBet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Sheffield Weds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.30
1xBet
9.20
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Bromley over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.06
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Bromley over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.10
1xBet
6.50
Superbet
6.40
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Bromley over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 6.5
99.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
99.1%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
+10.4%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
98.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
+7.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
97.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
95.2%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
+11.0%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
88.8%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
86.6%
1.34
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Superbet
1.35
+17.2%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
80.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-7.3%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.6%
1.25
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
-1.2%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sheffield Weds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Lowe60%
Louie Barry40%
C. Slattery25%
Mason Paul James Burstow20%
G. Otegbayo20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
B. Bannan0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
B. Mitchell0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Sil Swinkels0%
K. Morrison0%
Harry Gray0%
Jarvis Thornton0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
C. Slattery50%
Jarvis Thornton33%
B. Mitchell25%
B. Bannan20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
J. Lowe0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Louie Barry0%
Sil Swinkels0%
Mason Paul James Burstow0%
K. Morrison0%
G. Otegbayo0%
Harry Gray0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
B. Bannan40%
C. Slattery25%
K. Morrison25%
J. Lowe20%
Louie Barry20%
Mason Paul James Burstow20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
B. Mitchell0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Sil Swinkels0%
G. Otegbayo0%
Harry Gray0%
Jarvis Thornton0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Lowe60%
C. Slattery25%
K. Morrison25%
Louie Barry20%
Mason Paul James Burstow20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
B. Bannan0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
B. Mitchell0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Sil Swinkels0%
G. Otegbayo0%
Harry Gray0%
Jarvis Thornton0%
Bromley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Adeboyejo50%
Michael Cheek25%
O. Sowunmi0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
M. Pinnock0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
William Hondermarck0%
J. Mendy0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Ethon Archer0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Chanse Headman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Pinnock50%
Chanse Headman33%
O. Sowunmi25%
William Hondermarck25%
J. Mendy25%
Ethon Archer25%
Michael Cheek0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
Victor Adeboyejo0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
O. Sowunmi25%
Michael Cheek0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
Victor Adeboyejo0%
M. Pinnock0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
William Hondermarck0%
J. Mendy0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Ethon Archer0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Chanse Headman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Pinnock25%
O. Sowunmi0%
Michael Cheek0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
Victor Adeboyejo0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
William Hondermarck0%
J. Mendy0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Ethon Archer0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Chanse Headman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Sheffield Weds's squad is €17m more valuable than Bromley's (€21m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Sheffield Weds's attack is €6m more valuable than Bromley's (€7m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Sheffield Weds's midfield is €4m more valuable than Bromley's (€6m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Sheffield Weds's defence is €6m more valuable than Bromley's (€8m vs €2m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Huddersfield
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe