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Sheriff II vs Făleşti Result & Analysis

Date: 08/08/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 4-2
Sheriff II
Sheriff II
Vs
73%
17%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sheriff II win✓ Hit
72.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Făleşti win✗ Miss
10.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sheriff IISheriff II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-730W11D52W30W50W71W01L10W00D10WA·FĂL07/12A·GAG07/03H·FCM14/03A·VUL28/03H·SPE04/04A·OLI11/04A·SPE18/04H·ISK26/04H·FC 25/07A·OLI01/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.030.603.670.602.400.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.890.672.170.671.330.67
vs Weaker (21)3.520.574.670.562.670.58
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-903L04L04L91W03L02L20W02L22D06LH·SAX11/04H·DAC19/04H·VIC25/04A·FLO03/05H·FC 07/05A·SAX10/05H·FLO17/05A·SAX21/05H·SIR26/07H·UNI01/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.232.471.002.471.472.47
vs Stronger (12)0.252.670.003.330.502.00
vs Similar (15)1.472.731.712.431.253.00
vs Weaker (3)4.000.331.500.009.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.4%
Under 1.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.2%
Under 2.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.0%
Under 3.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.5%
1-0
6.4%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
5.4%
Sheriff II goals ↓
Făleşti goals →
01234
03.3%1.9%1.3%0.4%0.1%
16.4%7.5%3.3%1.1%0.3%
29.4%9.1%4.4%1.4%0.3%
38.3%8.1%3.9%1.3%0.3%
45.5%5.4%2.6%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sheriff II goals (down), columns = Făleşti goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Sireți
2.33
Floreşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
Sheriff II
0.95
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Olimp Comrat
0.68
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Sheriff II is 0.23 points better than Făleşti in terms of average points per game (0.95 vs 0.73).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sireți
3.47
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Univer Comrat
2.00
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Sheriff II
1.05
Sheriff II is 0.09 goals worse than Făleşti in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Sireți
1.33
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Sheriff II
1.68
Univer Comrat
1.68
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Olimp Comrat
2.82
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Sheriff II is 0.86 goals better than Făleşti in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 2.55).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sheriff IISheriff II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D40W20W40W00D01L10W00D10WA·FĂL07/12A·GAG07/03H·FCM14/03A·VUL28/03H·SPE04/04A·OLI11/04A·SPE18/04H·ISK26/04H·FC 25/07A·OLI01/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.240.191.450.181.000.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.120.121.330.170.500.00
vs Weaker (13)1.310.231.600.201.120.25
Clean sheet %81% (+59pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L02L40W02L01L00D02L11D02LH·SAX11/04H·DAC19/04H·VIC25/04A·FLO03/05H·FC 07/05A·SAX10/05H·FLO17/05A·SAX21/05H·SIR26/07H·UNI01/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.100.251.190.711.00
vs Stronger (10)0.201.200.001.400.401.00
vs Similar (16)0.501.250.501.380.501.12
vs Weaker (4)1.000.250.000.334.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sheriff II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sheriff IISheriff II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
70-720W11D12L10W10W71W00D00D00D00DA·FĂL07/12A·GAG07/03H·FCM14/03A·VUL28/03H·SPE04/04A·OLI11/04A·SPE18/04H·ISK26/04H·FC 25/07A·OLI01/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.250.451.000.501.500.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.880.620.830.501.001.00
vs Weaker (12)1.500.331.250.501.620.25
Clean sheet %65% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L03L02L51W01L01L20W00D11D04LH·SAX11/04H·DAC19/04H·VIC25/04A·FLO03/05H·FC 07/05A·SAX10/05H·FLO17/05A·SAX21/05H·SIR26/07H·UNI01/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.830.501.941.141.71
vs Stronger (9)0.111.440.002.000.250.75
vs Similar (16)0.882.190.502.381.252.00
vs Weaker (5)1.801.401.330.672.502.50
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sheriff II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.4%-------✓ Hit
Home win72.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.570.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (7)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (5)
€1m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
5
SI wins
1
Draws
0
FĂL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sheriff II vs Făleşti · H/A from SI
DateH/AGameScore
07/12/24AFăleşti Vs SI0-3
25/10/24HSI Vs Făleşti2-0
13/09/24AFăleşti Vs SI0-3
19/04/24HSI Vs Făleşti9-0
08/11/22HSI Vs Făleşti4-1
01/10/22AFăleşti Vs SI1-1

Sheriff IISheriff II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/25AOlimp Comrat Vs SI0-1
25/07/25HSI Vs FC Stăuceni0-0
26/04/25HSI Vs Iskra1-0
18/04/25ASperanis Nisporeni Vs SI1-0
11/04/25AOlimp Comrat Vs SI1-7
04/04/25HSI Vs Speranța Drochia5-0
28/03/25AVulturii Cutezători Vs SI0-3
14/03/25HSI Vs FCM Ungheni5-2
07/03/25AGagauziya-Oguzsport Vs SI1-1
07/12/24AFăleşti Vs SI0-3

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/25HFĂL Vs Univer Comrat0-6
26/07/25HFĂL Vs Sireți2-2
21/05/25ASaxan Vs FĂL2-0
17/05/25HFĂL Vs Floreşti2-0
10/05/25ASaxan Vs FĂL2-0
07/05/25HFĂL Vs FC Stăuceni0-3
03/05/25AFloreşti Vs FĂL1-9
25/04/25HFĂL Vs Victoria Bardar0-4
19/04/25HFĂL Vs Dacia-Buiucani0-4
11/04/25HFĂL Vs Saxan0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sheriff II
Sheriff II
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW2.48
HomeDWWWD2.69
AwayDWWLW2.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %78%85%71%
AVG goals3.524.003.00
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %38%50%25%
Scored2.923.422.38
Conceded0.600.580.62
BTTS40%46%33%
Clean Sheet54%54%54%
Corners---
Cards---
Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.04
HomeLLWDL1.00
AwayLLWLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%29%35%
AVG goals3.823.713.92
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %72%79%65%
Over 3.5 %42%46%38%
Scored1.381.251.50
Conceded2.442.462.42
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2242
59%
1.9
5734+23
4.1
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.5
-
2FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1538
80%
2.5
4512+33
3.8
80%
67%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.8
-
3Univer ComratUniver Comrat2238
55%
1.7
4437+7
3.7
100%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
4Zimbru IIZimbru II2236
50%
1.6
4135+6
3.5
82%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
5SirețiSireți1535
73%
2.3
5220+32
4.8
93%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0103.51.3
-
6FloreştiFloreşti1531
60%
2.1
4313+30
3.7
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.9
-
7IskraIskra1527
53%
1.8
2929+0
3.9
80%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.9
-
8Sheriff IISheriff II2221
23%
1.0
2337-14
2.7
73%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
9OguzsportOguzsport2219
18%
0.9
2436-12
2.7
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10FăleştiFăleşti2216
18%
0.7
2556-31
3.7
77%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar2215
18%
0.7
2764-37
4.1
91%
82%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2215
18%
0.7
2562-37
4.0
77%
59%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.8
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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