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Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Neftekhimik Result & Analysis

Date: 15/10/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Vs
46%
29%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Neftekhimik
FK Neftekhimik
Russia: Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinnik Yaroslavl win✗ Miss
45.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik win✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W00D20W00D00D41W20W13L01LH·ROD23/08H·CHE30/08A·ENI03/09H·VOL07/09A·FK 14/09A·KAM20/09A·CHE24/09H·ROT28/09A·SKA05/10H·FAK11/10← First LeagueCup →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.170.711.071.001.25
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.901.210.711.071.071.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L11D15L11D10W41W11D10W00D23LA·FAK24/08H·CHE30/08H·ROD03/09A·URA08/09H·ENI15/09A·VOL20/09A·VOL24/09H·ARS29/09H·ROT05/10H·CHA11/10← First LeagueCup →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.130.671.201.331.07
vs Stronger (2)2.002.501.005.003.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.931.040.640.931.211.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.0%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.2%
No
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.3%
Shinnik Yaroslavl goals ↓
FK Neftekhimik goals →
01234
010%7.7%4.3%1.4%0.3%
112%14%6.1%2.0%0.5%
29.2%8.9%4.3%1.4%0.3%
34.3%4.2%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.5%1.5%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shinnik Yaroslavl goals (down), columns = FK Neftekhimik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Tver
2.00
Orel
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Zenit Penza
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Baltika
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
PSK Dinskaya
1.06
Shumbrat
1.06
Fankom
1.06
Kristall MEZ
1.06
Znamya Noginsk
1.06
RWChallenge
1.06
Buryatia
1.06
Murom
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
Fakel
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
KDV
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Veles
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Enisey
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl is 0.25 points better than FK Neftekhimik in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Chernomorets
3.00
Orel
2.67
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Murom
2.00
KDV
2.00
Kristall
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Chayka
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Tver
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
PSK Dinskaya
1.23
Shumbrat
1.23
Fankom
1.23
Kristall MEZ
1.23
Znamya Noginsk
1.23
RWChallenge
1.23
Buryatia
1.23
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
Zenit Penza
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
FC Orenburg
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Veles
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Enisey
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl is 0.25 goals better than FK Neftekhimik in terms of goals scored per game (0.25 vs 0.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Chayka
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Tver
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
Amkal
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Amkar
1.40
Akhmat
1.40
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Orel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Fakel
1.67
PSK Dinskaya
1.67
Shumbrat
1.67
Fankom
1.67
Kristall MEZ
1.67
Znamya Noginsk
1.67
RWChallenge
1.67
Buryatia
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
Zenit Penza
2.00
Murom
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Veles
2.00
KAMAZ
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Chernomorets
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Urozhay
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl is 0.25 goals worse than FK Neftekhimik in terms of goals conceded per game (0.25 vs 0.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.
For 0.9 · Against 0.7 · Total 1.6

🟨 Cards

50124111112111205213101H·FAKA·SKAH·ROTA·KAMA·FK H·VOLA·ENIH·CHEH·RODA·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.
For 1.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

602411132142212116210554122H·CHAH·ROTH·ARSA·VOLA·VOLH·ENIA·URAH·RODH·CHEA·FAK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---2.52.22.7---
vs Stronger (2)---4.53.06.0---
vs Similar (48)---2.42.22.6---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---26%21%31%---
% under line---74%79%69%---
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---2.53.02.0---
vs Stronger (5)---2.01.72.5---
vs Similar (45)---2.63.22.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---30%42%17%---
% under line---70%58%83%---
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Arsenal Tula
12.5
FC Orenburg
11.2
Ural
10.6
Dynamo
10.5
Lokomotiv
10.4
Akron
10.3
Nizhny Novgorod
10.0
Akhmat
10.0
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Baltika
9.6
Zenit
9.5
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Veles
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
CSKA Moscow
9.3
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.3
FC Sochi
9.3
Fakel
9.3
Spartak Moscow
9.3
Rubin
9.2
FC UFA
9.0
FC Krasnodar
8.9
FC Rostov
8.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Leningradets
8.4
Tyumen
7.4
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Torpedo Moskva
6.0
Enisey
5.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Broke Boys
7.0
Amkal
6.0
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Akhmat
5.1
PSK Dinskaya
5.0
Fakel
4.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.8
CSKA Moscow
4.8
Rubin
4.7
Nizhny Novgorod
4.7
FC Rostov
4.7
FC Orenburg
4.6
Lokomotiv
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
Veles
4.5
KAMAZ
4.4
FC UFA
4.4
Krylia Sovetov
4.4
FC Krasnodar
4.4
Baltika
4.4
Urozhay
4.3
FC Sochi
4.3
Dynamo
4.2
Zenit
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Volgar Astrakhan
4.0
Chayka
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.7
Chernomorets
3.7
FK Sokol Saratov
3.7
Akron
3.7
Chelyabinsk
3.6
Rodina Moskva
3.5
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Torpedo Moskva
3.4
Leningradets
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
Arsenal Tula
3.2
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Irkutsk
3.0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.9
Kuban Kholding
1.0
Mashuk-KMV
1.0
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Spartak Moscow
29.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.9
Akhmat
28.5
Rubin
27.2
Nizhny Novgorod
27.2
FC Rostov
27.1
Baltika
26.7
Fakel
26.5
FC Krasnodar
26.5
Dynamo
26.2
Ural
26.1
Zenit
25.6
Lokomotiv
25.4
FC Orenburg
24.9
FC Sochi
24.8
Akron
24.6
CSKA Moscow
24.5
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Krylia Sovetov
23.2
Enisey
23.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
93.7%
Under 9.5
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
92.3%
Under 21.5
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Shinnik Yaroslavl or Draw✓ Hit
75.4%
Avg Implied -
46%
29%
25%
covers Shinnik Yaroslavl + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl or FK Neftekhimik✗ Miss
70.5%
Avg Implied -
46%
29%
25%
covers Shinnik Yaroslavl + FK Neftekhimik
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FK Neftekhimik✓ Hit
54.1%
Avg Implied -
46%
29%
25%
covers Draw + FK Neftekhimik
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.6%
Under
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.2%
Under
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.0%
Under
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.1%
Under
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
25.3%
Under
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.5%
Under
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Shinnik Yaroslavl, so a minus line means Shinnik Yaroslavl give that many goals of a start and FK Neftekhimik receive them. At -1, Shinnik Yaroslavl must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Shinnik Yaroslavl win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Shinnik Yaroslavl)Actual: FK Neftekhimik
Shinnik Yaroslavl -2
8.7%
Draw -2
14.2%
FK Neftekhimik +2
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Shinnik Yaroslavl)Actual: FK Neftekhimik
Shinnik Yaroslavl -1
22.9%
Draw -1
23.0%
FK Neftekhimik +1
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Shinnik Yaroslavl)Actual: Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl +1
75.4%
Draw +1
15.4%
FK Neftekhimik -1
9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Shinnik Yaroslavl)Actual: Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl +2
90.8%
Draw +2
6.7%
FK Neftekhimik -2
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D00D00D10W20W01L00DH·ROD23/08H·CHE30/08A·ENI03/09H·VOL07/09A·FK 14/09A·KAM20/09A·CHE24/09H·ROT28/09A·SKA05/10H·FAK11/10← First LeagueCup →
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.630.210.570.500.69
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.380.660.210.570.530.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L12L11D00D20W11D10W00D12LA·FAK24/08H·CHE30/08H·ROD03/09A·URA08/09H·ENI15/09A·VOL20/09A·VOL24/09H·ARS29/09H·ROT05/10H·CHA11/10← First LeagueCup →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.330.530.870.53
vs Stronger (2)1.501.001.002.002.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.540.500.290.430.790.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W00D20W00D00D31W00D12L01LH·ROD23/08H·CHE30/08A·ENI03/09H·VOL07/09A·FK 14/09A·KAM20/09A·CHE24/09H·ROT28/09A·SKA05/10H·FAK11/10← First LeagueCup →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.500.500.500.56
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.520.550.500.500.530.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W03L00D10W21W00D00D00D11DA·FAK24/08H·CHE30/08H·ROD03/09A·URA08/09H·ENI15/09A·VOL20/09A·VOL24/09H·ARS29/09H·ROT05/10H·CHA11/10← First LeagueCup →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.330.670.470.53
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.003.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.390.540.360.500.430.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls96.7%--------
Over 8.5 corners96.6%--------
Under 5.596.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners93.7%--------
Away under 2.5 goals92.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards92.4%--------
Over 21.5 fouls92.3%--------
Home +2 handicap90.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.590.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 10.5 corners89.1%--------
Over 23.5 fouls84.7%--------
Home under 2.5 goals83.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 11.5 corners82.9%--------
Under 4.5 cards82.8%--------
Under 3.578.2%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap77.1%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals75.6%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw75.4%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap75.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals74.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls73.6%--------
Home or Away70.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Shinnik Yaroslavl's squad is €1m more valuable than FK Neftekhimik's (€6m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Shinnik Yaroslavl and FK Neftekhimik have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Shinnik Yaroslavl and FK Neftekhimik have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Shinnik Yaroslavl and FK Neftekhimik have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
SY wins
1
Draws
3
FN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Neftekhimik · H/A from SY
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/25HSY Vs FK Neftekhimik0-2
29/03/25HSY Vs FK Neftekhimik1-1
12/10/24AFK Neftekhimik Vs SY1-0
24/04/24AFK Neftekhimik Vs SY1-2
03/09/23HSY Vs FK Neftekhimik1-0
26/03/23HSY Vs FK Neftekhimik3-0
04/09/22AFK Neftekhimik Vs SY1-0

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/10/25HSY Vs Fakel0-1
05/10/25ASka-khabarovsk Vs SY3-1
28/09/25HSY Vs Rotor Volgograd2-0
24/09/25ACherepovets Vs SY1-4
20/09/25AKAMAZ Vs SY0-0
14/09/25AFK Sokol Saratov Vs SY0-0
07/09/25HSY Vs Volga Ulyanovsk2-0
03/09/25AEnisey Vs SY0-0
30/08/25HSY Vs Chernomorets1-0
23/08/25HSY Vs Rodina Moskva1-1

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/10/25HFN Vs Chayka2-3
05/10/25HFN Vs Rotor Volgograd0-0
29/09/25HFN Vs Arsenal Tula1-0
24/09/25AVolgar Astrakhan Vs FN1-1
20/09/25AVolga Ulyanovsk Vs FN1-4
15/09/25HFN Vs Enisey1-0
08/09/25AUral Vs FN1-1
03/09/25HFN Vs Rodina Moskva1-5
30/08/25HFN Vs Chelyabinsk1-1
24/08/25AFakel Vs FN1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russia: Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.20
HomeDWWWL1.25
AwayDDDWL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%33%23%
AVG goals1.761.671.85
Over 1.5 %52%58%46%
Over 2.5 %24%12%35%
Over 3.5 %12%8%15%
Scored0.760.710.81
Conceded1.000.961.04
BTTS32%21%42%
Clean Sheet40%42%38%
Corners---
Cards3.122.843.38
FK Neftekhimik
FK Neftekhimik
Russia: Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDL1.16
HomeLWWDL1.31
AwayWLDWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%31%21%
AVG goals2.021.882.17
Over 1.5 %58%50%67%
Over 2.5 %34%35%33%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored0.940.881.00
Conceded1.081.001.17
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet34%42%25%
Corners---
Cards3.103.592.53

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva3468
56%
2.0
5828+30
2.5
79%
44%
29%
-
0%
3.7
48%
-
0%
17
7371.70.8
-
2FakelFakel3468
59%
2.0
4422+22
1.9
56%
29%
18%
8.0
50%
4.0
64%
-
0%
14
5271.30.6
53%
3UralUral3461
53%
1.8
5131+20
2.4
71%
38%
21%
-
0%
3.2
38%
-
0%
11
4241.50.9
-
4Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd3456
44%
1.6
4726+21
2.1
65%
38%
18%
-
0%
4.7
67%
-
0%
9
3241.40.8
-
5KAMAZKAMAZ3449
35%
1.4
4634+12
2.4
74%
38%
21%
-
0%
5.3
86%
-
0%
5
2121.41.0
-
6Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma3449
35%
1.4
4641+5
2.6
79%
44%
21%
9.0
0%
4.0
55%
-
0%
8
3241.41.2
49%
7EniseyEnisey3449
38%
1.4
3735+2
2.1
59%
32%
18%
6.0
0%
3.1
43%
32.0
100%
6
2221.11.0
50%
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl3448
32%
1.4
3428+6
1.8
56%
29%
15%
-
0%
2.5
29%
-
0%
6
2121.00.8
-
9Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva3446
35%
1.4
3739-2
2.2
68%
29%
21%
8.5
50%
3.4
41%
32.0
100%
11
5141.11.1
48%
10ChelyabinskChelyabinsk3444
29%
1.3
4240+2
2.4
68%
44%
26%
-
0%
4.4
62%
-
0%
9
4131.21.2
-
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik3443
29%
1.3
4041-1
2.4
71%
35%
29%
9.0
0%
3.2
41%
-
0%
5
2121.21.2
51%
12Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula3439
24%
1.1
4244-2
2.5
79%
50%
26%
11.0
100%
4.2
50%
-
0%
8
3231.21.3
50%
13Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk3339
27%
1.2
3445-11
2.4
79%
42%
21%
8.0
50%
3.6
41%
-
0%
6
2231.01.4
50%
14FC UFAFC UFA3337
27%
1.1
3237-5
2.1
55%
36%
24%
-
0%
4.6
76%
-
0%
5
2221.01.1
-
15Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk3437
26%
1.1
3548-13
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
4.5
57%
-
0%
6
2131.01.4
-
16ChernomoretsChernomorets3435
26%
1.0
3749-12
2.5
74%
44%
26%
-
0%
4.0
67%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
17FK Sokol SaratovFK Sokol Saratov3426
15%
0.8
1644-28
1.8
53%
24%
15%
-
0%
4.8
67%
-
0%
0
0000.51.3
-
18ChaykaChayka3422
15%
0.6
3076-46
3.1
79%
56%
38%
-
0%
3.6
48%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
Russia: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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