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Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rotor Volgograd Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Vs
36%
33%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rotor Volgograd
Rotor Volgograd
Russia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Shinnik Yaroslavl’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding only 0.64 goals per match, while Rotor Volgograd’s away form shows a higher average of 1.21 conceded. The model favours a home win, with a 36% chance, a draw at 33%, and an away win at 31%. The expected total goals is 2.1, centring on a 2-goal total with a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 14.8% chance. Shinnik’s average goals scored at home is 1.43, Rotor’s away scoring average is 1.07. The suggested picks are: Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.2%), Under 5.5 (98.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.4%), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%). The match is expected to be tight and low-scoring, with Shinnik’s recent draw against Enisey and Rotor’s recent 0-1 loss to Spartak Kostroma setting the stage.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinnik Yaroslavl win
36.4%
Avg Implied 32.9% · @ 2.79
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.92
Pinnacle
2.89
Marathonbet
2.83
Dafabet
2.80
Superbet
2.77
Draw
32.7%
Avg Implied 32.0% · @ 2.87
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.96
Pinnacle
2.92
Dafabet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.88
Superbet
2.87
Rotor Volgograd win
30.9%
Avg Implied 35.0% · @ 2.63
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.73
Pinnacle
2.70
Marathonbet
2.65
Dafabet
2.65
Superbet
2.62

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W11D22D11D03L22D20W31W00DH·SKA26/04A·URA04/05H·TOR11/05A·CHE16/05A·TOR26/07A·NIZ02/08H·ARS08/08A·FK 14/08A·VOL22/08A·ENI30/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.971.430.641.001.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.200.971.430.641.001.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W10W20W12L41W11D12L01L01LH·AKR20/05A·AKR23/05H·SKA20/07A·KAM27/07A·VEL03/08H·CHE09/08H·URA14/08A·ARS20/08H·FK 24/08A·SPA31/08← Premier LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.971.530.731.001.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.231.081.420.921.071.21
vs Weaker (4)1.500.252.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
63.1%
@ 1.50+0.4%
Under 1.5
36.9%
@ 2.51-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.58
Pinnacle
2.57
Marathonbet
2.53
Superbet
2.37
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
34.7%
@ 2.49-2.1%
Under 2.5
65.3%
@ 1.45+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.58
Superbet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.43
1xBet
2.43
Under
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
15.9%
@ 4.79-3.2%
Under 3.5
84.1%
@ 1.13+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Both teams to score
Yes
43.3%
@ 2.06-1.6%
No
56.7%
@ 1.67+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
No
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Superbet
1.64

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%@ 5.17+6.5%
0-0
13.7%@ 6.23+6.8%
1-0
12.2%@ 6.25+5.3%
0-1
10.9%@ 5.98+3.7%
2-0
7.5%@ 12.18+3.9%
2-1
7.4%@ 10.95+3.5%
1-2
6.7%@ 10.46+2.6%
0-2
6.1%@ 11.19+2.2%
Shinnik Yaroslavl goals ↓
Rotor Volgograd goals →
01234
014%11%6.1%2.0%0.5%
112%15%6.7%2.2%0.5%
27.5%7.4%3.7%1.2%0.3%
32.7%2.7%1.3%0.4%0.1%
40.7%0.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shinnik Yaroslavl goals (down), columns = Rotor Volgograd goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Shinnik Yaroslavl is 0.25 points better than Rotor Volgograd in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Shinnik Yaroslavl is 0.08 goals better than Rotor Volgograd in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl is 0.17 goals worse than Rotor Volgograd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.
For 1.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

7013442311213121706434120A·CHEH·FK H·CHAA·ROTH·CHEH·SPAA·TORH·FAKA·SKAH·ROT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd

For 8.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

13063112913A·AKRH·AKR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

60121132442415211314646622A·AKRH·AKRA·ENIH·CHEA·TORH·SHIH·ARSA·RODA·FAK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 13.5 · Total 28.5

⚠️ Fouls

300131417132730A·AKRH·AKR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---1.81.81.8---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (50)---1.81.81.8---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---20%18%21%---
% under line---80%82%79%---
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.013.09.02.42.52.328.530.027.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (40)11.013.09.02.22.61.928.530.027.0
vs Weaker (10)---3.32.24.4---
% over line50%100%0%32%33%31%100%100%100%
% under line50%0%100%68%67%69%0%0%0%
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
Arsenal Tula
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Ural
8.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.4%
@ 2.10-1.7%
Under 9.5
57.6%
@ 1.65+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Marathonbet
2.08
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.62
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
46.3%
Under 3.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.7%
Under 21.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Shinnik Yaroslavl or Draw
69.1%
Avg Implied 64.9% · @ 1.42
Edge
+4.1%
36%
33%
31%
covers Shinnik Yaroslavl + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
SBO
1.38
Shinnik Yaroslavl or Rotor Volgograd
67.3%
Avg Implied 68.0% · @ 1.35
Edge
-0.7%
36%
33%
31%
covers Shinnik Yaroslavl + Rotor Volgograd
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.35
SBO
1.30
Draw or Rotor Volgograd
63.6%
Avg Implied 67.0% · @ 1.38
Edge
-3.4%
36%
33%
31%
covers Draw + Rotor Volgograd
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
SBO
1.34

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5
Over
66.6%
@ 1.44+2.5%
Under
33.4%
@ 2.58-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Under
Pinnacle
2.72
Marathonbet
2.61
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5
Over
30.0%
@ 3.16+0.9%
Under
70.0%
@ 1.30-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.29
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Under
Marathonbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5
Over
9.9%
@ 8.30-1.1%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.02+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.80
Superbet
7.10
Under
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 0.5
Over
62.9%
@ 1.41-2.6%
Under
37.1%
@ 2.68+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.39
Under
Pinnacle
2.84
Marathonbet
2.72
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Rotor Volgograd over/under 1.5
Over
26.1%
@ 3.02-4.4%
Under
73.9%
@ 1.33+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.13
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Under
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Rotor Volgograd over/under 2.5
Over
7.9%
@ 7.70-4.0%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.03+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
8.10
Superbet
6.70
Under
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Rotor Volgograd over/under 3.5
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Shinnik Yaroslavl, so a minus line means Shinnik Yaroslavl give that many goals of a start and Rotor Volgograd receive them. At -1, Shinnik Yaroslavl must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Shinnik Yaroslavl win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Shinnik Yaroslavl)
Shinnik Yaroslavl -2
4.7%
Draw -2
10.6%
Rotor Volgograd +2
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Shinnik Yaroslavl)
Shinnik Yaroslavl -1
15.3%
@ 6.45+1.3%
Draw -1
21.1%
@ 4.33+0.3%
Rotor Volgograd +1
63.6%
@ 1.38-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.45
Draw
Marathonbet
4.33
Away
Marathonbet
1.38
Handicap +1 (Shinnik Yaroslavl)
Shinnik Yaroslavl +1
69.1%
@ 1.43+6.0%
Draw +1
18.9%
@ 4.15-2.8%
Rotor Volgograd -1
12.0%
@ 5.90-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.43
Draw
Marathonbet
4.15
Away
Marathonbet
5.90
Handicap +2 (Shinnik Yaroslavl)
Shinnik Yaroslavl +2
88.0%
Draw +2
8.6%
Rotor Volgograd -2
3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W10W12L10W01L20W20W20W00DH·SKA26/04A·URA04/05H·TOR11/05A·CHE16/05A·TOR26/07A·NIZ02/08H·ARS08/08A·FK 14/08A·VOL22/08A·ENI30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.301.070.070.620.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.830.301.070.070.620.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D10W10W31W10W02L00D00DH·AKR20/05A·AKR23/05H·SKA20/07A·KAM27/07A·VEL03/08H·CHE09/08H·URA14/08A·ARS20/08H·FK 24/08A·SPA31/08← Premier LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.370.600.400.400.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.540.420.670.500.430.36
vs Weaker (4)0.250.000.330.000.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
65.2%
@ 1.56+5.6%
Under 0.5
34.8%
@ 2.31-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Superbet
2.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
29.6%
@ 3.54+4.0%
Under 1.5
70.4%
@ 1.22-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
Superbet
3.45
Under
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.6%
@ 9.13-0.3%
Under 2.5
90.4%
@ 1.01+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.10
Superbet
8.30
Under
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.1%
@ 2.47+4.7%
Under
57.9%
@ 1.48-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.52
1xBet
2.46
Marathonbet
2.46
Superbet
2.45
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.3%
@ 10.22+1.2%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.02-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.20
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 0.5 HT
Over
40.7%
@ 2.41+2.4%
Under
59.3%
@ 1.50-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
1xBet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.52
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
Rotor Volgograd over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.6%
@ 9.60+0.0%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.02-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
Marathonbet
9.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Rotor Volgograd over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L10W01L02L02L00D11D00DH·SKA26/04A·URA04/05H·TOR11/05A·CHE16/05A·TOR26/07A·NIZ02/08H·ARS08/08A·FK 14/08A·VOL22/08A·ENI30/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.670.360.570.380.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.370.670.360.570.380.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W10W02L10W01L10W01L01LH·AKR20/05A·AKR23/05H·SKA20/07A·KAM27/07A·VEL03/08H·CHE09/08H·URA14/08A·ARS20/08H·FK 24/08A·SPA31/08← Premier LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.930.330.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.690.650.750.420.640.86
vs Weaker (4)1.250.251.670.000.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.6%
@ 1.34+3.0%
Under 0.5
28.4%
@ 2.92-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Under
Marathonbet
2.99
1xBet
2.99
Superbet
2.77
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.4%
@ 2.62+2.3%
Under 1.5
62.6%
@ 1.41-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.65
1xBet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.59
Under
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.39
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.3%
@ 6.22-1.2%
Under 2.5
86.7%
@ 1.05+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.40
Superbet
5.85
Under
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.9%
@ 2.04+3.8%
Under
51.1%
@ 1.67-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.65
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.4%
@ 6.95+0.1%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.07-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.95
Marathonbet
6.95
Under
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.6%
@ 1.99-2.8%
Under
56.4%
@ 1.72+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Under
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.69
Rotor Volgograd over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.2%
@ 6.55+0.0%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.08-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.55
Marathonbet
6.55
Under
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Rotor Volgograd over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.9%-------
Under 6.599.4%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.5%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.3%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.2%-------
Under 5.598.0%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+2.4%
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.6%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.4%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.3%-------
Under 4.593.9%1.02
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.01
---+3.3%
Over 19.5 fouls92.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals92.1%1.03
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
--+4.0%
Under 2.5 HT goals90.4%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
---+0.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.4%1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
----0.0%
Home under 2.5 goals90.1%1.02
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
--+1.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.7%1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
----1.2%
Home +2 handicap88.0%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals86.7%1.05
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
--+1.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals86.6%1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
----0.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals85.8%1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
----0.0%
Under 5.5 cards85.8%-------
Away +2 handicap84.7%-------
Over 21.5 fouls84.7%-------
Under 3.584.1%1.13
Pinnacle
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
-+3.2%
Under 11.5 corners79.5%1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
----+2.7%
Away under 1.5 goals73.9%1.33
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.31
-+4.4%
Over 23.5 fouls73.1%-------
Under 4.5 cards72.6%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals71.6%1.34
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
--+3.0%
Under 1.5 HT goals70.4%1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
---4.0%
Home under 1.5 goals70.0%1.30
Marathonbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
--0.9%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Shinnik Yaroslavl's squad is €3m less valuable than Rotor Volgograd's (€6m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Shinnik Yaroslavl and Rotor Volgograd have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Shinnik Yaroslavl's midfield is €1m less valuable than Rotor Volgograd's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Shinnik Yaroslavl's defence is €1m less valuable than Rotor Volgograd's (€2m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
SY wins
1
Draws
2
RV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rotor Volgograd · H/A from SY
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25ARotor Volgograd Vs SY3-0
28/09/25HSY Vs Rotor Volgograd2-0
01/12/24ARotor Volgograd Vs SY1-1
14/07/24HSY Vs Rotor Volgograd0-1

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AEnisey Vs SY0-0
22/08/26AVolga Ulyanovsk Vs SY1-3
14/08/26AFK Neftekhimik Vs SY0-2
08/08/26HSY Vs Arsenal Tula2-2
02/08/26ANizhny Novgorod Vs SY3-0
26/07/26ATorpedo Moskva Vs SY1-1
16/05/26AChelyabinsk Vs SY2-2
11/05/26HSY Vs Torpedo Moskva1-1
04/05/26AUral Vs SY0-1
26/04/26HSY Vs Ska-khabarovsk3-0

Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26ASpartak Kostroma Vs RV1-0
24/08/26HRV Vs FK Neftekhimik0-1
20/08/26AArsenal Tula Vs RV2-1
14/08/26HRV Vs Ural1-1
09/08/26HRV Vs Chelyabinsk4-1
03/08/26AVeles Vs RV2-1
27/07/26AKAMAZ Vs RV0-2
20/07/26HRV Vs Ska-khabarovsk1-0
23/05/26AAkron Vs RV0-1
20/05/26HRV Vs Akron0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russia: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWD1.34
HomeDWWDD1.59
AwayDLWWD1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%41%25%
AVG goals2.182.092.25
Over 1.5 %64%68%61%
Over 2.5 %38%27%46%
Over 3.5 %20%18%21%
Scored1.081.181.00
Conceded1.100.911.25
BTTS44%36%50%
Clean Sheet36%41%32%
Corners---
Cards3.032.793.27
Rotor Volgograd
Rotor Volgograd
Russia: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLL1.52
HomeLWWDL1.92
AwayWWLLL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%58%27%
AVG goals2.182.172.19
Over 1.5 %66%67%65%
Over 2.5 %38%38%38%
Over 3.5 %16%12%19%
Scored1.341.541.15
Conceded0.840.621.04
BTTS34%25%42%
Clean Sheet44%58%31%
Corners11.0013.009.00
Cards4.214.693.81

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC SochiFC Sochi718
86%
2.6
167+9
3.3
86%
86%
29%
10.5
100%
5.5
100%
-
0%
15
5192.31.0
54%
2Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod716
71%
2.3
2110+11
4.4
100%
100%
71%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
18
6393.01.4
50%
3VelesVeles715
71%
2.1
1110+1
3.0
86%
57%
29%
4.5
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
5
2221.61.4
54%
4UralUral612
50%
2.0
113+8
2.3
83%
50%
17%
6.0
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
11
4241.80.5
40%
5FC UFAFC UFA611
50%
1.8
76+1
2.2
67%
33%
17%
10.5
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
5
2221.21.0
46%
6Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva610
50%
1.7
114+7
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5141.80.7
-
7Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd810
38%
1.2
108+2
2.2
62%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.21.0
-
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl69
33%
1.5
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.2
-
9Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma69
33%
1.5
77+0
2.3
67%
50%
33%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3241.21.2
49%
10Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula89
25%
1.1
713-6
2.5
62%
50%
38%
8.5
50%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3230.91.6
52%
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik89
38%
1.1
512-7
2.1
50%
25%
12%
8.5
50%
4.5
100%
27.0
100%
5
2120.61.5
54%
12EniseyEnisey67
17%
1.2
98+1
2.8
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.51.3
-
13Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk67
33%
1.2
79-2
2.7
83%
50%
33%
6.0
0%
5.0
100%
-
0%
6
2131.21.5
52%
14LeningradetsLeningradets66
17%
1.0
45-1
1.5
50%
33%
0%
12.5
100%
4.0
50%
-
0%
5
1120.70.8
50%
15KAMAZKAMAZ75
14%
0.7
711-4
2.6
71%
43%
29%
15.0
100%
3.0
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.6
46%
16TekstilshchikTekstilshchik75
14%
0.7
27-5
1.3
29%
14%
14%
9.0
50%
5.5
100%
-
0%
5
2120.31.0
49%
17ChelyabinskChelyabinsk64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
67%
33%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
9
4131.02.2
50%
18Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk73
14%
0.4
514-9
2.7
71%
43%
29%
6.5
50%
2.5
50%
-
0%
6
2230.72.0
46%
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

← all matches