Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk Result & Analysis

Shinnik Yaroslavl’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding only 0.6 goals on average against similar opposition, while Ska-Khabarovsk’s away form shows a higher average of 1.69 goals conceded. The model projects a tight, low-scoring affair with an expected total of 2.2 goals and a 28% chance that exactly two goals will be scored. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.9% probability. The favourite outcome is a home win, with probabilities of 48% for Shinnik, 30% for a draw, and 22% for Ska-Khabarovsk. Suggested selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 91.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 85.1%, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.3%, Under 3.5 at 81.1% (hit), Under 11.5 corners at 72.7%, Under 4.5 cards at 71.6%, and Over 23.5 fouls at 71.2%. The home side’s recent draw against Enisey and the away side’s recent 0-2 loss to Torpedo Moskva hint at a cautious start, but Shinnik’s defensive solidity should give them the edge in this low-scoring encounter.

Shinnik Yaroslavl’s recent draw streak has now turned into a decisive victory, extending their positive run at home. The model’s favourite, a home win with a 48% probability, proved correct as Shinnik triumphed 3-0 over Ska-khabarovsk. The predicted 2-goal total fell short, yet the model’s single selection, Under 3.5 with an 81.1% probability, hit the mark. The match confirmed the home side’s stronger defensive record (0.6 conceded per game) against a Ska-khabarovsk side that had conceded 1.69 goals on the road. Overall, the favoured outcome and the key selection both materialised, underscoring the model’s accuracy.