This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Moskva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.87
1.25
0.88
1.14
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.12
0.92
1.29
0.93
0.91
0.91
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
0.60
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
54.0%
Under 1.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.0%
Under 2.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
10.3%
Under 3.5
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
35.7%
No
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
18.4%
1-1 ✓
14.6%
0-1
14.4%
1-0
13.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
Shinnik Yaroslavl goals ↓
Torpedo Moskva goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
18%
14%
7.3%
2.2%
0.5%
1
13%
15%
6.1%
1.9%
0.4%
2
6.1%
5.6%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
3
1.7%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shinnik Yaroslavl goals (down), columns = Torpedo Moskva goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Baltika
2.03
Torpedo Moskva
1.91
Chernomorets
1.88
Ural
1.74
FC Sochi
1.68
Ska-khabarovsk
1.56
Rodina Moskva
1.47
Enisey
1.44
Rotor Volgograd
1.38
Arsenal Tula
1.21
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Chayka
1.12
KAMAZ
1.12
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.03
FC UFA
1.03
FK Sokol Saratov
0.94
Tyumen
0.79
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.79
Shinnik Yaroslavl is 0.88 points worse than Torpedo Moskva in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.91).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Sochi
1.62
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Chernomorets
1.50
Ural
1.47
Baltika
1.47
Ska-khabarovsk
1.29
Rodina Moskva
1.21
Enisey
1.06
Rotor Volgograd
0.94
FC UFA
0.94
FK Neftekhimik
0.91
Chayka
0.91
KAMAZ
0.91
Tyumen
0.88
Arsenal Tula
0.74
FK Sokol Saratov
0.74
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.71
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.71
Shinnik Yaroslavl is 0.79 goals worse than Torpedo Moskva in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Baltika
0.53
Torpedo Moskva
0.74
Rotor Volgograd
0.76
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Rodina Moskva
0.91
Chernomorets
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
KAMAZ
1.03
FK Neftekhimik
1.09
Ural
1.12
Enisey
1.15
Ska-khabarovsk
1.21
FK Sokol Saratov
1.21
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.24
Chayka
1.26
FC UFA
1.41
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.47
Tyumen
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl is 0.50 goals worse than Torpedo Moskva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 0.74).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
51%
Enisey
49%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Shinnik Yaroslavl
For 4.7 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Torpedo Moskva
For 3.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.7
10.5
12.5
1.8
1.8
1.9
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
11.7
10.5
12.5
1.8
1.8
1.9
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
79%
62%
91%
18%
20%
16%
-
-
-
% under line
21%
38%
9%
82%
80%
84%
-
-
-
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Moskva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.5
7.6
7.3
3.0
3.2
2.8
21.0
23.0
19.0
vs Stronger (3)
9.0
7.0
10.0
4.3
4.0
4.5
20.0
21.0
19.5
vs Similar (39)
7.3
7.7
6.6
2.9
3.0
2.7
22.0
24.0
18.0
vs Weaker (8)
7.0
7.0
-
3.1
3.8
2.5
-
-
-
% over line
30%
36%
22%
44%
50%
38%
17%
33%
0%
% under line
70%
64%
78%
56%
50%
62%
83%
67%
100%
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.8
Arsenal Tula
10.7
Ural
10.5
Baltika
10.1
FK Neftekhimik
10.0
Chernomorets
9.9
Enisey
9.6
FC Sochi
9.2
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
Rodina Moskva
9.0
KAMAZ
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.6
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Torpedo Moskva
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
5.7
FC UFA
5.4
Rodina Moskva
4.6
Enisey
4.2
Torpedo Moskva
4.1
Ural
4.1
FK Neftekhimik
4.0
Baltika
3.8
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.8
FC Sochi
3.7
Chayka
3.7
Tyumen
3.6
Chernomorets
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Rotor Volgograd
3.3
Arsenal Tula
3.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.0
FK Sokol Saratov
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Torpedo Moskva
24.0
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Ural
23.1
Baltika
22.3
FC Sochi
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.3%
Under 9.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.8%
Under 3.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.47
0.38
0.50
0.43
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.40
0.47
0.38
0.50
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Moskva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.30
0.62
0.38
0.64
0.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.32
0.57
0.36
0.55
0.27
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.50
0.44
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.53
0.53
0.50
0.44
0.57
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Moskva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.62
0.50
0.50
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.60
0.71
0.57
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Torpedo Moskva · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ilya Stefanovich38%
André20%
Stefan Šapić20%
Aleksei Pomerko12%
Ilya Kukharchuk11%
Mihail Caimacov10%
Igor Lebedenko9%
Yordy Reyna8%
David Karaev7%
Igor Smolnikov6%
Mario Ćurić6%
Ravil Netfullin5%
Ilya Kutepov0%
Roman Yuzepchuk0%
Denis Laptev0%
Damien Le Tallec0%
Márk Koszta0%
Evgeni Shlyakov0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Oleg Kozhemyakin0%
Egor Proshkin0%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev0%
Mukhammad Sultonov0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Egor Baburin0%
Ivan Temnikov0%
Bojan Roganović0%
Ivan Enin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Khozhimat Erkinov0%
Artem Samsonov0%
Aleksandr Orekhov0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Maksim Turishchev0%
Jajá0%
Igor Savić0%
Bogdan Reichman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ilya Kutepov56%
Artem Samsonov45%
Bojan Roganović38%
Evgeni Shlyakov38%
Igor Savić33%
Aleksei Pomerko25%
Ivan Temnikov25%
Bogdan Reichman25%
Damien Le Tallec22%
André20%
Stefan Šapić20%
Khozhimat Erkinov20%
Aleksandr Orekhov20%
Mario Ćurić18%
Igor Lebedenko17%
Ravil Netfullin14%
Ivan Enin14%
Igor Smolnikov12%
David Karaev10%
Mihail Caimacov10%
Egor Baburin10%
Roman Yuzepchuk8%
Egor Proshkin8%
Maksim Turishchev8%
Oleg Kozhemyakin4%
Yordy Reyna0%
Denis Laptev0%
Márk Koszta0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Ilya Kukharchuk0%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev0%
Mukhammad Sultonov0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Ilya Stefanovich0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Jajá0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yordy Reyna17%
Roman Yuzepchuk17%
Ilya Kukharchuk11%
Maksim Turishchev8%
David Karaev7%
Igor Smolnikov6%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev6%
Mario Ćurić6%
Khozhimat Erkinov5%
Artem Samsonov5%
Igor Lebedenko4%
Ilya Kutepov0%
Denis Laptev0%
André0%
Mihail Caimacov0%
Damien Le Tallec0%
Márk Koszta0%
Aleksei Pomerko0%
Evgeni Shlyakov0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Oleg Kozhemyakin0%
Egor Proshkin0%
Ravil Netfullin0%
Mukhammad Sultonov0%
Stefan Šapić0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Egor Baburin0%
Ivan Temnikov0%
Bojan Roganović0%
Ivan Enin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Aleksandr Orekhov0%
Ilya Stefanovich0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Jajá0%
Igor Savić0%
Bogdan Reichman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jajá14%
David Karaev14%
Mukhammad Sultonov11%
Yordy Reyna8%
Ilya Stefanovich8%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev6%
Khozhimat Erkinov5%
Ravil Netfullin5%
Artem Samsonov5%
Maksim Turishchev4%
Igor Smolnikov0%
Ilya Kutepov0%
Roman Yuzepchuk0%
Denis Laptev0%
André0%
Mihail Caimacov0%
Mario Ćurić0%
Damien Le Tallec0%
Márk Koszta0%
Aleksei Pomerko0%
Evgeni Shlyakov0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Oleg Kozhemyakin0%
Egor Proshkin0%
Ilya Kukharchuk0%
Igor Lebedenko0%
Stefan Šapić0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Egor Baburin0%
Ivan Temnikov0%
Bojan Roganović0%
Ivan Enin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Aleksandr Orekhov0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Igor Savić0%
Bogdan Reichman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (31)
€30m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Shinnik Yaroslavl's squad is €5m less valuable than Torpedo Moskva's (€6m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (10)
€10m
RM (11)
€7m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
Shinnik Yaroslavl's attack is €3m less valuable than Torpedo Moskva's (€2m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (6)
€6m
RM (4)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Shinnik Yaroslavl and Torpedo Moskva have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (15)
€15m
FS (11)
€9m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
AT (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
Shinnik Yaroslavl's defence is €2m less valuable than Torpedo Moskva's (€2m vs €4m).
Russia: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Baltika
Chernomorets
Ural
FC Sochi
Ska-khabarovsk
Rodina Moskva
Enisey
Rotor Volgograd
Arsenal Tula
KAMAZ
FK Neftekhimik
Chayka
FC UFA
FK Sokol Saratov
Tyumen
Alaniya Vladikavkaz