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Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva Prediction & Stats

Date: 09/09/2026
Time: 15:00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Vs
31%
30%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Torpedo Moskva
Torpedo Moskva
Russia: Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Shinnik Yaroslavl and Torpedo Moskva is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 31% and 39%, while a draw is 30%. The expected total is 2.5 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 with a 14.2% chance. Shinnik, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.43 goals scored and 0.64 conceded. Torpedo, on the road against a comparable side, nets 1.18 and concedes 0.91 on average. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals (99.6%), Under 11.5 corners (99.6%), Under 10.5 corners (98.9%), Under 6.5 goals (98.7%), Under 9.5 corners (97.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.1%), Under 5.5 goals (96.1%), and Away under 3.5 goals (95.5%). Shinnik’s recent form shows a draw after a 0-0 stalemate with Enisey, while Torpedo enters on a three-game winning streak, having beaten Ska-khabarovsk 2-0. The match remains open, with the model’s pick clearly the most probable outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinnik Yaroslavl win
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva win
39.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W11D22D11D03L22D20W31W00DH·SKA26/04A·URA04/05H·TOR11/05A·CHE16/05A·TOR26/07A·NIZ02/08H·ARS08/08A·FK 14/08A·VOL22/08A·ENI30/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.971.430.641.001.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.200.971.430.641.001.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D20W11D10W11D01L12L40W30W20WH·FAK27/04A·CHA03/05A·SHI11/05H·ENI16/05H·SHI26/07A·ARS02/08H·FC 08/08A·CHE15/08H·SPA21/08A·SKA30/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.871.650.881.230.85
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.420.851.600.801.180.91
vs Weaker (4)1.751.002.001.501.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
44.6%
Under 2.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
23.4%
Under 3.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.2%
No
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
2-0
5.6%
Shinnik Yaroslavl goals ↓
Torpedo Moskva goals →
01234
09.8%9.9%7.4%3.2%1.1%
18.5%14%8.5%3.7%1.2%
25.6%7.4%4.8%2.1%0.7%
32.1%2.8%1.9%0.8%0.3%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shinnik Yaroslavl goals (down), columns = Torpedo Moskva goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zenit
2.55
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Irkutsk
2.25
Broke Boys
2.25
Cherepovets
2.25
Kristall MEZ
2.25
Veles
2.25
Spartak Moscow
2.08
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vologda
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Enisey
2.00
Arsenal Tula
2.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.92
CSKA Moscow
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.70
Chelyabinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.58
Zenit Penza
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
FK Spartak Tambov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Chayka
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ilpar
1.50
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
KAMAZ
1.50
Ural
1.50
Fakel
1.33
FC Rostov
1.25
Krylia Sovetov
1.10
FC 10
1.04
Metallurg Asha
1.04
Chita
1.04
Izberbash
1.04
Iskra Smolensk
1.04
Bomik
1.04
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.04
FC Tosno
1.04
SKA Rostov
1.04
Izhevsk
1.04
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.04
Anzhi
1.04
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Dinamo Bryansk
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Tver
1.00
Torpedo Miass
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.00
Baltika
0.88
Rubin
0.86
FC Orenburg
0.78
FK Neftekhimik
0.75
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.67
Akron
0.67
Akhmat
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.50
Mashuk-KMV
0.50
Nizhny Novgorod
0.50
FC Sochi
0.33
Murom
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Chertanovo Moscow
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Kvant
0.00
Shumbrat
0.00
Kristall
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Orel
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Rotor Volgograd
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl is 0.25 points better than Torpedo Moskva in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Irkutsk
3.75
Zvezda St. Petersburg
2.50
Cherepovets
2.50
Tyumen
2.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.50
KDV
2.33
Luki-Energiya
2.33
Zenit
2.09
FC Krasnodar
2.08
Murom
2.00
Orel
2.00
Salyut-Belgorod
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Kristall MEZ
2.00
Nosta
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Veles
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
1.85
Broke Boys
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Arsenal Tula
1.60
Dynamo
1.58
CSKA Moscow
1.58
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Enisey
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Volgar Astrakhan
1.33
Akhmat
1.33
Fakel
1.33
FC Sochi
1.33
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.30
FC 10
1.10
Metallurg Asha
1.10
Chita
1.10
Izberbash
1.10
Iskra Smolensk
1.10
Bomik
1.10
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.10
FC Tosno
1.10
SKA Rostov
1.10
Izhevsk
1.10
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.10
Anzhi
1.10
Dinamo Stavropol
1.00
Avangard Kursk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Shumbrat
1.00
Kristall
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Chayka
1.00
Akron
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
FK Sokol Saratov
1.00
Baltika
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Ural
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Orenburg
0.78
Rubin
0.71
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.33
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Mashuk-KMV
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl is 0.75 goals better than Torpedo Moskva in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Rodina Moskva
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
Dinamo Vologda
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FK Sokol Saratov
0.50
KAMAZ
0.50
Volgar Astrakhan
0.67
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Zenit
0.73
Irkutsk
0.75
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Arsenal Tula
0.80
Dynamo
0.92
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
KDV
1.00
Temp Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Salyut-Belgorod
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Tyumen
1.00
Torpedo Vladimir
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Znamya Noginsk
1.00
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.00
Ural
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.08
Broke Boys
1.25
CSKA Moscow
1.25
Baltika
1.25
Veles
1.25
Rubin
1.29
Lokomotiv
1.30
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.33
Astrakhan
1.33
Fakel
1.33
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
Mashuk-KMV
1.50
FC Rostov
1.50
Chayka
1.50
Kristall MEZ
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
FC 10
1.50
Metallurg Asha
1.50
Chita
1.50
Izberbash
1.50
Iskra Smolensk
1.50
Bomik
1.50
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.50
FC Tosno
1.50
SKA Rostov
1.50
Izhevsk
1.50
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.50
Anzhi
1.50
Luki-Energiya
1.67
Akhmat
1.67
Cherepovets
1.75
Krylia Sovetov
1.90
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2.00
Chertanovo Moscow
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Rotor Volgograd
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Akron
2.17
Nizhny Novgorod
2.17
Leningradets
2.50
FC Orenburg
2.56
Murom
3.00
Kvant
3.00
Shumbrat
3.00
Kristall
3.00
Orel
3.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
3.00
Nosta
3.00
Ilpar
3.00
Ryazan
3.00
Ska-khabarovsk
3.00
FC Sochi
3.00
Anri Vladivostok
4.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl and Torpedo Moskva are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
CSKA Moscow
64%
Baltika
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.
For 1.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

7013442311213121706434120A·CHEH·FK H·CHAA·ROTH·CHEH·SPAA·TORH·FAKA·SKAH·ROT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva

For 2.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

1102911H·SKA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

70121613411421231133713426344H·SKAA·SPAH·BALA·VOLH·ROTH·FK A·FAKH·CHAH·SHIH·VEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---1.71.71.7---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (50)---1.71.71.7---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---20%17%22%---
% under line---80%83%78%---
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.511.06.02.12.02.232.0-32.0
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (42)8.511.06.02.21.82.532.0-32.0
vs Weaker (7)---2.03.31.0---
% over line50%100%0%30%32%28%100%-100%
% under line50%0%100%70%68%72%0%-0%
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Dynamo
9.7
FC Orenburg
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Arsenal Tula
9.3
Akron
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Rubin
8.4
Ural
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
Tyumen
7.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
KDV
4.0
Novosibirsk
4.0
Dinamo Bryansk
3.0
Znamya Noginsk
3.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Broke Boys
7.0
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Fakel
4.0
Volgar Astrakhan
4.0
Akron
4.0
FK Sokol Saratov
4.0
Chayka
3.9
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Rodina Moskva
3.5
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
KDV
3.0
Novosibirsk
3.0
Irkutsk
3.0
Mashuk-KMV
1.0
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Dinamo Bryansk
0.0
Znamya Noginsk
0.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Zenit
26.8
Ural
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Enisey
23.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
31.0%
Under 9.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
45.1%
Under 3.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Shinnik Yaroslavl or Draw
60.9%
Avg Implied -
31%
30%
39%
covers Shinnik Yaroslavl + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl or Torpedo Moskva
70.3%
Avg Implied -
31%
30%
39%
covers Shinnik Yaroslavl + Torpedo Moskva
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Torpedo Moskva
68.9%
Avg Implied -
31%
30%
39%
covers Draw + Torpedo Moskva
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5
Over
68.2%
Under
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5
Over
31.8%
Under
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 3.5
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 0.5
Over
73.1%
Under
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 1.5
Over
37.8%
Under
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 2.5
Over
14.6%
Under
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 3.5
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Shinnik Yaroslavl, so a minus line means Shinnik Yaroslavl give that many goals of a start and Torpedo Moskva receive them. At -1, Shinnik Yaroslavl must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Shinnik Yaroslavl win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Shinnik Yaroslavl)
Shinnik Yaroslavl -2
4.1%
Draw -2
9.0%
Torpedo Moskva +2
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Shinnik Yaroslavl)
Shinnik Yaroslavl -1
13.2%
Draw -1
18.0%
Torpedo Moskva +1
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Shinnik Yaroslavl)
Shinnik Yaroslavl +1
60.9%
Draw +1
20.8%
Torpedo Moskva -1
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Shinnik Yaroslavl)
Shinnik Yaroslavl +2
81.6%
Draw +2
11.8%
Torpedo Moskva -2
6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W10W12L10W01L20W20W20W00DH·SKA26/04A·URA04/05H·TOR11/05A·CHE16/05A·TOR26/07A·NIZ02/08H·ARS08/08A·FK 14/08A·VOL22/08A·ENI30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.301.070.070.620.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.830.301.070.070.620.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W01L10W01L01L11D10W20W00DH·FAK27/04A·CHA03/05A·SHI11/05H·ENI16/05H·SHI26/07A·ARS02/08H·FC 08/08A·CHE15/08H·SPA21/08A·SKA30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.760.350.310.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.580.540.800.400.270.73
vs Weaker (4)0.500.250.500.000.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L10W01L02L02L00D11D00DH·SKA26/04A·URA04/05H·TOR11/05A·CHE16/05A·TOR26/07A·NIZ02/08H·ARS08/08A·FK 14/08A·VOL22/08A·ENI30/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.670.360.570.380.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.370.670.360.570.380.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W10W00D10W00D01L30W10W20WH·FAK27/04A·CHA03/05A·SHI11/05H·ENI16/05H·SHI26/07A·ARS02/08H·FC 08/08A·CHE15/08H·SPA21/08A·SKA30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.370.880.530.920.15
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.850.310.800.400.910.18
vs Weaker (4)1.250.751.501.501.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.6%-------
Under 6.598.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.1%-------
Under 5.596.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals95.5%-------
Under 4.589.6%-------
Home under 2.5 goals89.1%-------
Under 11.5 corners87.2%-------
Away +2 handicap86.8%-------
Under 5.5 cards86.5%-------
Away under 2.5 goals85.4%-------
Home +2 handicap81.6%-------
Under 10.5 corners79.4%-------
Under 3.576.6%-------
Under 4.5 cards73.7%-------
Away over 0.5 goals73.1%-------
Over 1.571.8%-------
Home or Away70.3%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Torpedo Moskva · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ilya Stefanovich38%
André20%
Stefan Šapić20%
Aleksei Pomerko12%
Ilya Kukharchuk11%
Mihail Caimacov10%
Igor Lebedenko9%
Yordy Reyna8%
David Karaev7%
Igor Smolnikov6%
Mario Ćurić6%
Ravil Netfullin5%
Ilya Kutepov0%
Roman Yuzepchuk0%
Denis Laptev0%
Damien Le Tallec0%
Márk Koszta0%
Evgeni Shlyakov0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Oleg Kozhemyakin0%
Egor Proshkin0%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev0%
Mukhammad Sultonov0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Egor Baburin0%
Ivan Temnikov0%
Bojan Roganović0%
Ivan Enin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Khozhimat Erkinov0%
Artem Samsonov0%
Aleksandr Orekhov0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Maksim Turishchev0%
Jajá0%
Igor Savić0%
Bogdan Reichman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ilya Kutepov56%
Artem Samsonov45%
Bojan Roganović38%
Evgeni Shlyakov38%
Igor Savić33%
Aleksei Pomerko25%
Ivan Temnikov25%
Bogdan Reichman25%
Damien Le Tallec22%
André20%
Stefan Šapić20%
Khozhimat Erkinov20%
Aleksandr Orekhov20%
Mario Ćurić18%
Igor Lebedenko17%
Ravil Netfullin14%
Ivan Enin14%
Igor Smolnikov12%
David Karaev10%
Mihail Caimacov10%
Egor Baburin10%
Roman Yuzepchuk8%
Egor Proshkin8%
Maksim Turishchev8%
Oleg Kozhemyakin4%
Yordy Reyna0%
Denis Laptev0%
Márk Koszta0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Ilya Kukharchuk0%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev0%
Mukhammad Sultonov0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Ilya Stefanovich0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Jajá0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yordy Reyna17%
Roman Yuzepchuk17%
Ilya Kukharchuk11%
Maksim Turishchev8%
David Karaev7%
Igor Smolnikov6%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev6%
Mario Ćurić6%
Khozhimat Erkinov5%
Artem Samsonov5%
Igor Lebedenko4%
Ilya Kutepov0%
Denis Laptev0%
André0%
Mihail Caimacov0%
Damien Le Tallec0%
Márk Koszta0%
Aleksei Pomerko0%
Evgeni Shlyakov0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Oleg Kozhemyakin0%
Egor Proshkin0%
Ravil Netfullin0%
Mukhammad Sultonov0%
Stefan Šapić0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Egor Baburin0%
Ivan Temnikov0%
Bojan Roganović0%
Ivan Enin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Aleksandr Orekhov0%
Ilya Stefanovich0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Jajá0%
Igor Savić0%
Bogdan Reichman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jajá14%
David Karaev14%
Mukhammad Sultonov11%
Yordy Reyna8%
Ilya Stefanovich8%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev6%
Khozhimat Erkinov5%
Ravil Netfullin5%
Artem Samsonov5%
Maksim Turishchev4%
Igor Smolnikov0%
Ilya Kutepov0%
Roman Yuzepchuk0%
Denis Laptev0%
André0%
Mihail Caimacov0%
Mario Ćurić0%
Damien Le Tallec0%
Márk Koszta0%
Aleksei Pomerko0%
Evgeni Shlyakov0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Oleg Kozhemyakin0%
Egor Proshkin0%
Ilya Kukharchuk0%
Igor Lebedenko0%
Stefan Šapić0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Egor Baburin0%
Ivan Temnikov0%
Bojan Roganović0%
Ivan Enin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Aleksandr Orekhov0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Igor Savić0%
Bogdan Reichman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Shinnik Yaroslavl's squad is €5m less valuable than Torpedo Moskva's (€6m vs €11m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Shinnik Yaroslavl's attack is €3m less valuable than Torpedo Moskva's (€2m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Shinnik Yaroslavl and Torpedo Moskva have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Shinnik Yaroslavl's defence is €2m less valuable than Torpedo Moskva's (€2m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
0
SY wins
6
Draws
1
TM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva · H/A from SY
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26ATorpedo Moskva Vs SY1-1
11/05/26HSY Vs Torpedo Moskva1-1
20/10/25ATorpedo Moskva Vs SY0-0
11/05/25ATorpedo Moskva Vs SY1-0
21/09/24HSY Vs Torpedo Moskva1-1
20/05/24ATorpedo Moskva Vs SY1-1
28/10/23HSY Vs Torpedo Moskva1-1

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AEnisey Vs SY0-0
22/08/26AVolga Ulyanovsk Vs SY1-3
14/08/26AFK Neftekhimik Vs SY0-2
08/08/26HSY Vs Arsenal Tula2-2
02/08/26ANizhny Novgorod Vs SY3-0
26/07/26ATorpedo Moskva Vs SY1-1
16/05/26AChelyabinsk Vs SY2-2
11/05/26HSY Vs Torpedo Moskva1-1
04/05/26AUral Vs SY0-1
26/04/26HSY Vs Ska-khabarovsk3-0

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ASka-khabarovsk Vs TM0-2
21/08/26HTM Vs Spartak Kostroma3-0
15/08/26AChelyabinsk Vs TM0-4
08/08/26HTM Vs FC Sochi1-2
02/08/26AArsenal Tula Vs TM1-0
26/07/26HTM Vs Shinnik Yaroslavl1-1
16/05/26HTM Vs Enisey1-0
11/05/26AShinnik Yaroslavl Vs TM1-1
03/05/26AChayka Vs TM0-2
27/04/26HTM Vs Fakel2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russia: Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWD1.34
HomeDWWDD1.59
AwayDLWWD1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%41%25%
AVG goals2.182.092.25
Over 1.5 %64%68%61%
Over 2.5 %38%27%46%
Over 3.5 %20%18%21%
Scored1.081.181.00
Conceded1.100.911.25
BTTS44%36%50%
Clean Sheet36%41%32%
Corners---
Cards3.032.793.27
Torpedo Moskva
Torpedo Moskva
Russia: Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.54
HomeDWDLW1.50
AwayWDLWW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%38%46%
AVG goals2.302.502.08
Over 1.5 %70%77%62%
Over 2.5 %32%38%25%
Over 3.5 %20%23%17%
Scored1.281.421.12
Conceded1.021.080.96
BTTS38%50%25%
Clean Sheet40%38%42%
Corners8.5011.006.00
Cards3.733.563.93

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC SochiFC Sochi718
86%
2.6
167+9
3.3
86%
86%
29%
10.5
100%
5.5
100%
-
0%
15
5192.31.0
54%
2Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod716
71%
2.3
2110+11
4.4
100%
100%
71%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
18
6393.01.4
50%
3VelesVeles715
71%
2.1
1110+1
3.0
86%
57%
29%
4.5
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
5
2221.61.4
54%
4UralUral612
50%
2.0
113+8
2.3
83%
50%
17%
6.0
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
11
4241.80.5
40%
5FC UFAFC UFA611
50%
1.8
76+1
2.2
67%
33%
17%
10.5
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
5
2221.21.0
46%
6Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva610
50%
1.7
114+7
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5141.80.7
-
7Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd810
38%
1.2
108+2
2.2
62%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.21.0
-
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl69
33%
1.5
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.2
-
9Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma69
33%
1.5
77+0
2.3
67%
50%
33%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3241.21.2
49%
10Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula89
25%
1.1
713-6
2.5
62%
50%
38%
8.5
50%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3230.91.6
52%
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik89
38%
1.1
512-7
2.1
50%
25%
12%
8.5
50%
4.5
100%
27.0
100%
5
2120.61.5
54%
12EniseyEnisey67
17%
1.2
98+1
2.8
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.51.3
-
13Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk67
33%
1.2
79-2
2.7
83%
50%
33%
6.0
0%
5.0
100%
-
0%
6
2131.21.5
52%
14LeningradetsLeningradets66
17%
1.0
45-1
1.5
50%
33%
0%
12.5
100%
4.0
50%
-
0%
5
1120.70.8
50%
15KAMAZKAMAZ75
14%
0.7
711-4
2.6
71%
43%
29%
15.0
100%
3.0
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.6
46%
16TekstilshchikTekstilshchik75
14%
0.7
27-5
1.3
29%
14%
14%
9.0
50%
5.5
100%
-
0%
5
2120.31.0
49%
17ChelyabinskChelyabinsk64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
67%
33%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
9
4131.02.2
50%
18Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk73
14%
0.4
514-9
2.7
71%
43%
29%
6.5
50%
2.5
50%
-
0%
6
2230.72.0
46%
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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