PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Shirak vs FC Urartu Result & Analysis

Date: 02/03/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 1-0
Shirak
Shirak
Vs
19%
26%
55%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Urartu
FC Urartu
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Shirak win✓ Hit
18.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu win✗ Miss
54.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ShirakShirak

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L22D00D12L02L11D12L04L10W01LH·FC 26/10A·FC 30/10A·ALA04/11H·ARA08/11A·ARA11/11H·PYU28/11H·WES05/12A·VAN09/12H·BKM22/02A·FC 26/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.700.561.560.861.86
vs Stronger (19)0.631.950.452.000.881.88
vs Similar (11)0.821.270.800.600.831.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L22D12L10W22D21W02L13L11D11DA·PYU25/10H·SHI30/10H·WES03/11H·ALA08/11A·VAN12/11H·ARA29/11A·BKM04/12H·ARA09/12A·FC 22/02H·PYU27/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.471.401.201.671.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.471.681.111.331.802.00
vs Weaker (11)1.641.091.831.001.401.20
Clean sheet %17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.5%
Under 1.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.4%
Under 2.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.9%
No
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-3
6.0%
1-0 ✓
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
Shirak goals ↓
FC Urartu goals →
01234
08.5%11%11%6.0%2.6%
15.6%13%9.7%5.5%2.3%
23.0%5.2%4.4%2.5%1.1%
30.9%1.6%1.3%0.8%0.3%
40.2%0.4%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shirak goals (down), columns = FC Urartu goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Pyunik Yerevan
2.28
FC Noah
2.22
Ararat-Armenia
2.08
FC Urartu
1.39
Alashkert
1.25
Ararat
1.25
West Armenia
1.03
Shirak
0.92
Van
0.89
BKMA
0.75
Shirak is 0.47 points worse than FC Urartu in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pyunik Yerevan
2.33
Ararat-Armenia
2.03
FC Noah
1.92
Alashkert
1.50
FC Urartu
1.36
West Armenia
1.19
Ararat
1.08
Van
0.89
BKMA
0.89
Shirak
0.78
Shirak is 0.58 goals worse than FC Urartu in terms of goals scored per game (0.78 vs 1.36).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pyunik Yerevan
0.78
FC Noah
0.92
Ararat-Armenia
0.94
Shirak
1.28
FC Urartu
1.36
Ararat
1.39
Alashkert
1.56
Van
1.86
BKMA
1.86
West Armenia
2.03
Shirak is 0.08 goals better than FC Urartu in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.36).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ShirakShirak

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D00D01L00D01L01L00D00D00DH·FC 26/10A·FC 30/10A·ALA04/11H·ARA08/11A·ARA11/11H·PYU28/11H·WES05/12A·VAN09/12H·BKM22/02A·FC 26/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.730.060.690.430.79
vs Stronger (19)0.160.840.000.910.380.75
vs Similar (11)0.360.550.200.200.500.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D10W00D10W11D00D03L01L01LA·PYU25/10H·SHI30/10H·WES03/11H·ALA08/11A·VAN12/11H·ARA29/11A·BKM04/12H·ARA09/12A·FC 22/02H·PYU27/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.670.600.530.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.470.890.560.560.401.20
vs Weaker (11)0.820.450.830.670.800.20
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shirak over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ShirakShirak

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D00D11D02L10W11D04L10W01LH·FC 26/10A·FC 30/10A·ALA04/11H·ARA08/11A·ARA11/11H·PYU28/11H·WES05/12A·VAN09/12H·BKM22/02A·FC 26/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.970.500.880.431.07
vs Stronger (19)0.471.110.451.090.501.12
vs Similar (11)0.450.730.600.400.331.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D02L10W12L10W02L10W10W10WA·PYU25/10H·SHI30/10H·WES03/11H·ALA08/11A·VAN12/11H·ARA29/11A·BKM04/12H·ARA09/12A·FC 22/02H·PYU27/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.730.730.601.130.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.000.790.560.781.400.80
vs Weaker (11)0.820.641.000.330.601.00
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shirak over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
Shirak's squad is €3m less valuable than FC Urartu's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
Shirak's attack is €2m less valuable than FC Urartu's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
Shirak and FC Urartu have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
Shirak's defence is €1m less valuable than FC Urartu's (€1m vs €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
0
SHI wins
1
Draws
5
FU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Shirak vs FC Urartu · H/A from SHI
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/23AFC Urartu Vs SHI2-2
26/08/23HSHI Vs FC Urartu0-2
27/04/23AFC Urartu Vs SHI3-1
04/12/22HSHI Vs FC Urartu2-3
15/10/22AFC Urartu Vs SHI1-0
08/08/22HSHI Vs FC Urartu0-2

ShirakShirak

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/24AFC Noah Vs SHI1-0
22/02/24HSHI Vs BKMA1-0
09/12/23AVan Vs SHI4-0
05/12/23HSHI Vs West Armenia1-2
28/11/23HSHI Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-1
11/11/23AArarat-Armenia Vs SHI2-0
08/11/23HSHI Vs Ararat1-2
04/11/23AAlashkert Vs SHI0-0
30/10/23AFC Urartu Vs SHI2-2
26/10/23HSHI Vs FC Noah0-2

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/24HFU Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-1
22/02/24AFC Noah Vs FU1-1
09/12/23HFU Vs Ararat-Armenia1-3
04/12/23ABKMA Vs FU2-0
29/11/23HFU Vs Ararat2-1
12/11/23AVan Vs FU2-2
08/11/23HFU Vs Alashkert1-0
03/11/23HFU Vs West Armenia1-2
30/10/23HFU Vs Shirak2-2
25/10/23APyunik Yerevan Vs FU3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Shirak
Shirak
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL0.88
HomeLLDLW0.85
AwayDDLLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%23%25%
AVG goals2.382.192.58
Over 1.5 %62%65%58%
Over 2.5 %42%31%54%
Over 3.5 %26%19%33%
Scored0.780.690.88
Conceded1.601.501.71
BTTS34%31%38%
Clean Sheet26%31%21%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Urartu
FC Urartu
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDD1.88
HomeLWWLD1.96
AwayWLDLD1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%60%52%
AVG goals2.882.603.16
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %34%28%40%
Scored1.721.521.92
Conceded1.161.081.24
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet34%32%36%
Corners9.5010.508.50
Cards6.007.005.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan3682
67%
2.3
8428+56
3.1
86%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.30.8
-
2FC NoahFC Noah3680
72%
2.2
6933+36
2.8
67%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5341.90.9
-
3Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia3675
64%
2.1
7334+39
3.0
83%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.00.9
-
4FC UrartuFC Urartu3650
36%
1.4
4949+0
2.7
81%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.4
-
5AlashkertAlashkert3645
36%
1.2
5456-2
3.1
81%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.51.6
-
6AraratArarat3645
36%
1.2
3950-11
2.5
75%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.11.4
-
7West ArmeniaWest Armenia3637
31%
1.0
4373-30
3.2
78%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
8ShirakShirak3633
22%
0.9
2846-18
2.1
56%
31%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.3
-
9VanVan3632
22%
0.9
3267-35
2.8
75%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
10BKMABKMA3627
19%
0.8
3267-35
2.8
69%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.9
-
Armenia: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches