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Shirak vs Pyunik Yerevan Result & Analysis

Date: 06/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Shirak
Shirak
Vs
22%
29%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Shirak’s visitors, Pyunik Yerevan, are the clear favourites, with a 49% chance of victory against a 22% home win probability and a 29% draw likelihood. The model expects a modest 2.3-goal affair, most likely ending 1-1 with a 13.7% chance. Shirak, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 0.89 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Pyunik, on the road to a weaker opponent, averages 1.36 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals carries a 79% probability. The home win percentage is 22%, the draw percentage 29%, and the away win percentage 49%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1. The model’s selection Under 3.5 goals is the only suggested pick, with a 79% chance of hitting.

Results analysis

The win extends Shirak’s recent form, but Pyunik Yerevan continued their three-game winning streak at home, setting the stage for a decisive clash. The final score was 0-1, an away win that matched the model’s pick, which had a 49% probability of success. The model’s favourite was correct, and the predicted outcome was delivered. The suggested pick Under 3.5 goals, with a 79% probability, also hit, confirming the low-scoring nature of the match. Overall, the model’s predictions on the result and the goal total were accurate, reflecting the teams’ recent performances and the calculated probabilities.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shirak win✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan win✓ Hit
48.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ShirakShirak

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D12L05L23L00D10W14L03L02L03LA·ALA03/10H·ALA17/10A·FC 24/10H·VAN02/11A·ARA09/11H·GAN22/11A·ARA01/12A·PYU09/03H·FC 16/03A·FC 22/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.902.131.071.290.752.88
vs Stronger (20)0.652.300.891.000.453.36
vs Similar (10)1.401.801.401.801.401.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W12L20W21W11D10W20W30W10W10WH·VAN04/10A·VAN18/10H·GAN25/10A·BKM02/11A·FC 21/11H·ARA25/11H·ARA30/11H·SHI09/03H·ALA15/03A·ALA21/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.172.291.001.311.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.222.111.251.751.202.40
vs Weaker (21)2.000.762.700.701.360.82
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.2%
Under 1.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.6%
Under 2.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.0%
Under 3.5
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.5%
No
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1 ✓
12.7%
0-0
10.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.9%
Shirak goals ↓
Pyunik Yerevan goals →
01234
011%13%10%4.9%1.8%
17.3%14%9.0%4.4%1.6%
23.8%5.6%4.0%2.0%0.7%
31.1%1.7%1.2%0.6%0.2%
40.3%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shirak goals (down), columns = Pyunik Yerevan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ararat-Armenia
2.22
FC Noah
2.07
Pyunik Yerevan
2.04
Alashkert
1.96
FC Urartu
1.81
Van
1.15
BKMA
0.85
Gandzasar
0.78
Ararat
0.48
Shirak
0.48
Shirak is 1.56 points worse than Pyunik Yerevan in terms of average points per game (0.48 vs 2.04).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
2.26
Ararat-Armenia
1.85
FC Urartu
1.59
Alashkert
1.56
Pyunik Yerevan
1.37
BKMA
1.11
Van
1.00
Ararat
0.78
Gandzasar
0.74
Shirak
0.63
Shirak is 0.74 goals worse than Pyunik Yerevan in terms of goals scored per game (0.63 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pyunik Yerevan
0.67
FC Noah
0.70
Alashkert
0.85
Ararat-Armenia
0.93
FC Urartu
0.96
Van
1.48
Gandzasar
1.52
BKMA
1.56
Shirak
1.89
Ararat
2.33
Shirak is 1.22 goals worse than Pyunik Yerevan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.89 vs 0.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ShirakShirak

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L03L10W00D00D11D02L01L02LA·ALA03/10H·ALA17/10A·FC 24/10H·VAN02/11A·ARA09/11H·GAN22/11A·ARA01/12A·PYU09/03H·FC 16/03A·FC 22/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.930.430.500.311.31
vs Stronger (20)0.301.050.330.330.271.64
vs Similar (10)0.500.700.600.800.400.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L10W10W01L10W00D20W10W10WH·VAN04/10A·VAN18/10H·GAN25/10A·BKM02/11A·FC 21/11H·ARA25/11H·ARA30/11H·SHI09/03H·ALA15/03A·ALA21/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.471.290.210.440.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.670.780.750.250.601.20
vs Weaker (21)0.900.331.500.200.360.45
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shirak over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ShirakShirak

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W02L13L00D10W03L01L01L01LA·ALA03/10H·ALA17/10A·FC 24/10H·VAN02/11A·ARA09/11H·GAN22/11A·ARA01/12A·PYU09/03H·FC 16/03A·FC 22/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.200.640.790.441.56
vs Stronger (20)0.351.250.560.670.181.73
vs Similar (10)0.901.100.801.001.001.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D10W11D10W00D20W10W00D00DH·VAN04/10A·VAN18/10H·GAN25/10A·BKM02/11A·FC 21/11H·ARA25/11H·ARA30/11H·SHI09/03H·ALA15/03A·ALA21/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.701.000.790.880.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.561.330.501.500.601.20
vs Weaker (21)1.100.431.200.501.000.36
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shirak over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Pyunik Yerevan · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yusuf Otubanjo33%
Aras Özbiliz33%
Artak Dashyan33%
Luka Juričić20%
Juninho17%
Eugeniu Cociuc17%
Alexander González0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Mikhail Kovalenko0%
David Yurchenko0%
Alexander Karapetyan0%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan0%
Sergiy Vakulenko0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Dame Diop0%
Anton Bratkov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Miljković60%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan33%
Anton Bratkov33%
Mikhail Kovalenko25%
Sergiy Vakulenko25%
Alexander Karapetyan20%
Luka Juričić20%
David Yurchenko17%
Eugeniu Cociuc17%
Alexander González0%
Yusuf Otubanjo0%
Juninho0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aras Özbiliz0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Dame Diop0%
Artak Dashyan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander González33%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan17%
Yusuf Otubanjo0%
Juninho0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Mikhail Kovalenko0%
David Yurchenko0%
Eugeniu Cociuc0%
Aras Özbiliz0%
Alexander Karapetyan0%
Sergiy Vakulenko0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Dame Diop0%
Artak Dashyan0%
Anton Bratkov0%
Luka Juričić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Artak Dashyan67%
Aras Özbiliz33%
Luka Juričić20%
Yusuf Otubanjo17%
Dame Diop17%
Alexander González0%
Juninho0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Mikhail Kovalenko0%
David Yurchenko0%
Eugeniu Cociuc0%
Alexander Karapetyan0%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan0%
Sergiy Vakulenko0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Anton Bratkov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
GAN (25)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
Shirak's squad is €3m less valuable than Pyunik Yerevan's (€3m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
GAN (8)
€1m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
Shirak's attack is €1m less valuable than Pyunik Yerevan's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
GAN (5)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
Shirak's midfield is €1m less valuable than Pyunik Yerevan's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
GAN (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
Shirak's defence is €1m less valuable than Pyunik Yerevan's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
SHI wins
3
Draws
4
PY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Shirak vs Pyunik Yerevan · H/A from SHI
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/26APyunik Yerevan Vs SHI3-0
11/08/25HSHI Vs Pyunik Yerevan0-0
14/03/25APyunik Yerevan Vs SHI6-1
28/11/24HSHI Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-0
01/09/24APyunik Yerevan Vs SHI2-0
25/05/24HSHI Vs Pyunik Yerevan0-1
04/04/24APyunik Yerevan Vs SHI1-1
28/11/23HSHI Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-1

ShirakShirak

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/26AFC Noah Vs SHI3-0
16/03/26HSHI Vs FC Noah0-2
09/03/26APyunik Yerevan Vs SHI3-0
01/12/25AArarat-Armenia Vs SHI4-1
22/11/25HSHI Vs Gandzasar1-0
09/11/25AArarat Vs SHI0-0
02/11/25HSHI Vs Van2-3
24/10/25AFC Urartu Vs SHI5-0
17/10/25HSHI Vs Alashkert1-2
03/10/25AAlashkert Vs SHI1-1

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26AAlashkert Vs PY0-1
15/03/26HPY Vs Alashkert1-0
09/03/26HPY Vs Shirak3-0
30/11/25HPY Vs Ararat2-0
25/11/25HPY Vs Ararat-Armenia1-0
21/11/25AFC Urartu Vs PY1-1
02/11/25ABKMA Vs PY1-2
25/10/25HPY Vs Gandzasar2-0
18/10/25AVan Vs PY2-1
04/10/25HPY Vs Van5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Shirak
Shirak
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.86
HomeLLLWL0.83
AwayLDLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%21%23%
AVG goals2.642.083.15
Over 1.5 %70%54%85%
Over 2.5 %50%33%65%
Over 3.5 %30%21%38%
Scored0.840.750.92
Conceded1.801.332.23
BTTS40%25%54%
Clean Sheet22%33%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.92
HomeWWWWW2.17
AwayWLWDW1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%71%54%
AVG goals3.043.252.85
Over 1.5 %80%83%77%
Over 2.5 %62%67%58%
Over 3.5 %34%29%38%
Scored1.922.251.62
Conceded1.121.001.23
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet38%46%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia2760
67%
2.2
5025+25
2.8
70%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.90.9
-
2FC NoahFC Noah2756
59%
2.1
6119+42
3.0
81%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5342.30.7
-
3Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan2755
63%
2.0
3718+19
2.0
63%
37%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.40.7
-
4AlashkertAlashkert2753
59%
2.0
4223+19
2.4
74%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.60.9
-
5FC UrartuFC Urartu2749
52%
1.8
4326+17
2.6
67%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
6VanVan2731
33%
1.1
2740-13
2.5
67%
56%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.5
-
7BKMABKMA2723
15%
0.9
3042-12
2.7
81%
52%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.6
-
8GandzasarGandzasar2721
19%
0.8
2041-21
2.3
59%
33%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.71.5
-
9ShirakShirak2713
7%
0.5
1751-34
2.5
67%
44%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.61.9
-
10AraratArarat2713
11%
0.5
2163-42
3.1
81%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0120.82.3
-
Armenia: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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