Sigma Olomouc vs Plzen Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with Plzen expected to edge Sigma Olomouc. The odds show a 50% chance of a Plzen victory, 28% for a draw and 22% for a Sigma win. A modest 2.5 goals are anticipated, averaging two goals per game, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.4% probability. Plzen, playing away against a weaker opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded, while Sigma Olomouc’s home form is not provided here but the match is set at a 2-3 final score. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards (92.1%), Over 19.5 fouls (82.6%), Over 3.5 cards (81.6%), Under 3.5 (75.9%), Over 1.5 (72.3%) and Over 8.5 corners (72.1%). Each pick is listed with its probability and the edge where noted. The preview highlights Plzen’s stronger away performance and the overall shape of a tight contest, with the 1-1 scoreline as the single most likely outcome.

Sigma Olomouc’s recent form, ending with a loss, was eclipsed by Plzen’s away run, which had just drawn its last match. The final score of 2-3 confirmed an away win, exactly what the model had picked as the favourite with a 50% probability. The predicted total of 2.5 goals was far below the actual total of five, a clear over-performance. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 2.5 cards hit at 92.1%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 81.6%, Over 1.5 hit at 72.3%, and Over 8.5 corners hit at 72.1%. Over 19.5 fouls missed at 82.6% and Under 3.5 missed at 75.9%. All figures were reported once, with probabilities expressed as percentages.