The contest between Sigma Olomouc and Sparta Praha is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are 39% for Sigma, 27% for a draw and 34% for Sparta. The average goal output is 2.9, but the most likely total is two goals, with a 24% chance. The single score that the model deems most probable is 1-1, at 12.8%. Sigma Olomouc, playing at home against a stronger side, averages one goal scored and 2.5 conceded. Sparta Praha, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 1.62 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. The suggested picks are: Under 7.5 (99%), Under 6.5 (97.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.5%), Under 5.5 (92.7%), Home +2 handicap (83.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (83.6%) and Over 2.5 cards (83.6%). The recent form shows Sigma coming off a defeat, while Sparta also lost their last match.
Results analysis
The final score of 3-1 confirmed the home win that the model had predicted, with Sigma Olomouc extending their recent run after a defeat. The pre-match favourite was Home win at 39% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The suggested picks were all settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.2%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.8%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 93.5%, Under 5.5 hit at 92.7%, Home +2 handicap hit at 83.9%, and Away under 2.5 goals hit at 83.6%. The match delivered on the model’s expectations, with Sigma Olomouc overcoming Sparta Praha in a convincing home victory.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sigma Olomouc win✓ Hit
38.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha win✗ Miss
34.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sigma Olomouc
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.40
1.46
1.77
1.65
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
2.00
1.00
2.50
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.25
1.44
1.40
1.60
1.18
1.36
vs Weaker (8)
2.38
0.88
2.00
1.25
2.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.47
1.78
1.39
1.33
1.58
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.50
0.00
3.50
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.14
2.00
1.67
1.33
0.75
2.50
vs Weaker (21)
1.90
1.10
2.08
1.08
1.62
1.12
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.7%
Under 3.5
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
Sigma Olomouc goals ↓
Sparta Praha goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
6.6%
5.4%
2.5%
0.9%
1
7.2%
13%
8.1%
3.7%
1.3%
2
6.3%
8.7%
6.0%
2.8%
1.0%
3
3.1%
4.3%
3.0%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.2%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sigma Olomouc goals (down), columns = Sparta Praha goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sigma Olomouc
3.00
Teplice
2.50
Zlin
2.50
Vysoké Mýto
2.33
Baník Ostrava
2.25
FK Jablonec
2.25
Bohemians 1905
2.25
Hanácká
2.25
Kuřim
2.25
Spartak Police n/Metují
2.25
Sparta Praha
2.00
Hradec Králové
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
2.00
Pardubice
2.00
Artis
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Dukla Praha
2.00
Opava
2.00
Kladno
2.00
Viktoria Žižkov
2.00
Vyškov
2.00
Varnsdorf
2.00
Hlučín
2.00
Vítkovice
2.00
Strání
2.00
Sokol Zápy
2.00
Kozlovice
2.00
Hodonín
2.00
Uničov
2.00
Baník Souš
2.00
Viktoria Otrokovice
2.00
Český Brod
2.00
Plzen
1.75
Bílovec
1.75
Slovan Liberec
1.50
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Slovácko
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
HFK Olomouc
1.50
Rokycany
1.50
Jiskra Rýmařov
1.50
Ždírec nad Doubravou
1.50
Dobrovice
1.50
Hřebeč
1.50
Rapid Psáry
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Tatran Bohunice
1.50
Vratimov
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Sokol Brozany
1.50
Sokol Tasovice
1.50
Sokol Živanice
1.50
Ústí nad Orlicí
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Písek
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.50
Benešov
1.50
Frýdek-Místek
1.50
Karlovy Vary
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Start Brno
1.50
Horní Ředice
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.50
Slaný
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Sokol Čechovice
1.50
Kolovec
1.50
Mariánské Lázně
1.50
Kvasice
1.50
Slavia Praha
1.33
Ústí nad Labem
1.33
Žďár nad Sázavou
1.33
Uherský Brod
1.33
Beskyd Frenštát
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.33
Hořovicko
1.33
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.33
Třinec
1.00
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
Havířov
1.00
Havlíčkův Brod
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
Baník Sokolov
1.00
Unie Hlubina
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Slovan Velvary
1.00
FS Třebíč
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou
1.00
Tichá
1.00
Milin
0.67
Bzenec
0.67
Meteor Praha
0.50
Bospor Bohumín
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Velké Meziříčí
0.50
Turnov
0.50
Velké Hamry
0.50
Nový Jičín
0.50
Slovan Rosice
0.50
Olympie Březová
0.50
Karviná
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Kolín
0.00
Přepeře
0.00
Slavičín
0.00
Valašské Meziříčí
0.00
Polanka nad Odrou
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Komárov
0.00
Kosmonosy
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
0.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.00
Doubravka
0.00
Hlinsko
0.00
Trutnov
0.00
Vsetín
0.00
Štětí
0.00
Brandýs nad Labem
0.00
Sokol Hostouň
0.00
Tatran Všechovice
0.00
Vrchovina
0.00
Břidličná
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Slavia Vejprnice
0.00
Chomutov
0.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
0.00
Rousínov
0.00
Pustá Polom
0.00
Krnov
0.00
MILO Olomouc
0.00
Blansko
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Cidlina Novy Bydzov
0.00
Slavoj Žatec
0.00
Česká Třebová
0.00
Sokol Železnice
0.00
Skaštice
0.00
Ostrov
0.00
Řepiště
0.00
Kostelec na Hané
0.00
Baťov
0.00
Sigma Olomouc is 1.00 points better than Sparta Praha in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Příbram
4.00
Ústí nad Labem
4.00
Kladno
3.50
Jiskra Domažlice
3.50
Benešov
3.50
Dukla Praha
3.33
Zbrojovka Brno
3.00
Táborsko
3.00
Viktoria Žižkov
3.00
HFK Olomouc
3.00
Sokol Brozany
3.00
Havlíčkův Brod
3.00
Doubravka
3.00
Hodonín
3.00
Uničov
3.00
Sigma Olomouc
2.83
Hlučín
2.80
Hanácká
2.75
Žďár nad Sázavou
2.67
Sokol Zápy
2.67
Český Brod
2.67
Zlin
2.50
Rokycany
2.50
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Karlovy Vary
2.50
Admira Praha
2.50
Baník Souš
2.50
Slaný
2.50
Sokol Čechovice
2.50
Artis
2.33
Varnsdorf
2.33
Teplice
2.25
Bílovec
2.25
Sparta Praha
2.20
Plzen
2.00
Baník Ostrava
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Opava
2.00
Přepeře
2.00
Vysoké Mýto
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Strání
2.00
Povltava FA
2.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
2.00
Frýdek-Místek
2.00
Baník Sokolov
2.00
Spartak Soběslav
2.00
Slovan Velvary
2.00
Start Brno
2.00
Brandýs nad Labem
2.00
Sokol Hostouň
2.00
FS Třebíč
2.00
Pěnčín
2.00
Slovan Rosice
2.00
Řepiště
2.00
Kostelec na Hané
2.00
Bohemians 1905
1.75
Kuřim
1.75
Pardubice
1.67
Vyškov
1.67
Beskyd Frenštát
1.67
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.50
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Havířov
1.50
Dobrovice
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Sokol Tasovice
1.50
Písek
1.50
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.50
Viktoria Otrokovice
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Olympie Březová
1.50
Kolovec
1.50
Kvasice
1.50
Slavia Praha
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.33
Bzenec
1.33
FK Jablonec
1.25
Hradec Králové
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
1.00
Hřebeč
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Motorlet Praha
1.00
Sokol Živanice
1.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
1.00
Velké Meziříčí
1.00
Slavičín
1.00
Valašské Meziříčí
1.00
Kosmonosy
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
Velké Hamry
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Vsetín
1.00
Tatran Všechovice
1.00
Vrchovina
1.00
Břidličná
1.00
Slavia Vejprnice
1.00
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Chomutov
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Pustá Polom
1.00
MILO Olomouc
1.00
Blansko
1.00
Cidlina Novy Bydzov
1.00
Slavoj Žatec
1.00
Mariánské Lázně
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Tichá
1.00
Baťov
1.00
Milin
0.67
Uherský Brod
0.67
Hořovicko
0.67
Meteor Praha
0.50
Ždírec nad Doubravou
0.50
Vratimov
0.50
Kozlovice
0.50
Horní Ředice
0.50
Nový Jičín
0.50
Karviná
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Kolín
0.00
Bospor Bohumín
0.00
Polanka nad Odrou
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Komárov
0.00
Turnov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
0.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.00
Unie Hlubina
0.00
Hlinsko
0.00
Trutnov
0.00
Štětí
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Rousínov
0.00
Krnov
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou
0.00
Česká Třebová
0.00
Sokol Železnice
0.00
Skaštice
0.00
Sigma Olomouc is 0.63 goals better than Sparta Praha in terms of goals scored per game (2.83 vs 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Kozlovice
0.00
Unie Hlubina
0.00
Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou
0.00
Vysoké Mýto
0.33
FK Jablonec
0.50
Táborsko
0.50
Baník Souš
0.50
Viktoria Otrokovice
0.50
Slavia Praha
0.67
Sigma Olomouc
0.67
Hradec Králové
0.67
Opava
0.67
Vyškov
0.67
Uherský Brod
0.67
Hanácká
0.75
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.75
Hlučín
0.80
Baník Ostrava
1.00
Sparta Praha
1.00
Slovan Liberec
1.00
Teplice
1.00
Zlin
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.00
Pardubice
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Dukla Praha
1.00
Prostějov
1.00
Karviná
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Chrudim
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
HFK Olomouc
1.00
Bospor Bohumín
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Beskyd Frenštát
1.00
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Strání
1.00
Kuřim
1.00
Jiskra Domažlice
1.00
Sokol Zápy
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Komárov
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Štětí
1.00
Start Brno
1.00
Horní Ředice
1.00
Uničov
1.00
Holešov
1.00
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.00
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Rousínov
1.00
Nový Jičín
1.00
Humpolec
1.00
Česká Třebová
1.00
Tichá
1.00
Artis
1.33
Milin
1.33
Plzen
1.50
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Příbram
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Havířov
1.50
Hřebeč
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Motorlet Praha
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Sokol Brozany
1.50
Sokol Živanice
1.50
Bílovec
1.50
Frýdek-Místek
1.50
Karlovy Vary
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Hodonín
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Varnsdorf
1.67
Žďár nad Sázavou
1.67
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.67
Český Brod
1.67
Slovácko
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Kolín
2.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
2.00
Vratimov
2.00
Povltava FA
2.00
Velké Meziříčí
2.00
Turnov
2.00
Benešov
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Baník Sokolov
2.00
Slovan Velvary
2.00
Admira Praha
2.00
FS Třebíč
2.00
Tatran Všechovice
2.00
Břidličná
2.00
Pěnčín
2.00
Cidlina Novy Bydzov
2.00
Sokol Železnice
2.00
Kvasice
2.00
Ostrov
2.00
Baťov
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
2.33
Hořovicko
2.33
Kladno
2.50
Aritma Praha
2.50
Ústí nad Orlicí
2.50
Písek
2.50
Velké Hamry
2.50
Slovan Rosice
2.50
Olympie Březová
2.50
Mariánské Lázně
2.50
Ústí nad Labem
2.67
Meteor Praha
3.00
Přepeře
3.00
Dobrovice
3.00
Tatran Bohunice
3.00
Sokol Tasovice
3.00
Havlíčkův Brod
3.00
Slavičín
3.00
Břeclav
3.00
Kosmonosy
3.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
3.00
Trutnov
3.00
Vsetín
3.00
Brandýs nad Labem
3.00
Sokol Hostouň
3.00
Slavia Vejprnice
3.00
Slaný
3.00
Řepiště
3.00
Bzenec
3.33
Jiskra Rýmařov
3.50
Valašské Meziříčí
4.00
Frýdlant
4.00
Doubravka
4.00
Hlinsko
4.00
Vrchovina
4.00
Šumperk
4.00
Sokol Čechovice
4.00
MILO Olomouc
4.00
Kolovec
4.00
Skaštice
4.00
Rokycany
4.50
Chomutov
5.00
Pustá Polom
5.00
Blansko
5.00
Slavoj Žatec
5.00
Kostelec na Hané
5.00
Rapid Psáry
6.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
6.00
Krnov
7.00
Sigma Olomouc is 0.33 goals better than Sparta Praha in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sigma Olomouc or Draw✓ Hit
66.0%
Avg Implied -
39%
27%
34%
covers Sigma Olomouc + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc or Sparta Praha✓ Hit
72.9%
Avg Implied -
39%
27%
34%
covers Sigma Olomouc + Sparta Praha
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sparta Praha✗ Miss
61.2%
Avg Implied -
39%
27%
34%
covers Draw + Sparta Praha
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sigma Olomouc over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.6%
Under
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
44.1%
Under
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
19.0%
Under
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.1%
Under
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.4%
Under
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sigma Olomouc, so a minus line means Sigma Olomouc give that many goals of a start and Sparta Praha receive them. At -1, Sigma Olomouc must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sigma Olomouc win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sigma Olomouc)Actual: Draw
Sigma Olomouc -2
7.5%
Draw -2
11.9%
Sparta Praha +2
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Sigma Olomouc)Actual: Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc -1
19.4%
Draw -1
19.5%
Sparta Praha +1
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Sigma Olomouc)Actual: Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc +1
66.0%
Draw +1
18.0%
Sparta Praha -1
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Sigma Olomouc)Actual: Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc +2
83.9%
Draw +2
10.2%
Sparta Praha -2
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sigma Olomouc
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.62
0.92
0.76
0.35
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.75
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.56
0.40
1.00
0.64
0.36
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.62
0.50
1.00
1.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.61
0.72
0.75
0.92
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
1.14
0.67
0.67
0.25
1.50
vs Weaker (21)
0.81
0.62
0.69
0.62
1.00
0.62
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sigma Olomouc over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sigma Olomouc
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
0.85
0.85
0.88
0.76
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.33
0.00
1.75
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.88
1.00
0.60
0.55
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
0.25
1.50
0.25
1.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
1.17
0.67
0.58
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.86
1.00
0.67
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
1.10
0.48
1.38
0.46
0.62
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sigma Olomouc over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sigma Olomouc
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jan Kliment62%
Antonín Růsek25%
Jakub Elbel18%
Filip Zorvan16%
Matej Mikulenka16%
Juraj Chvátal14%
Jiří Spáčil11%
Artur Dolznikov10%
Adam Dohnalek9%
Jakub Pokorný7%
Jáchym Šíp7%
Dele Israel7%
Yunusa Owolabi Muritala6%
Jan Fiala6%
Jan Navratil4%
Radim Breite3%
Jan Král0%
Jan Sýkora0%
Jan Vodhanel0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Jiří Sláma0%
Lukas Vrastil0%
Michal Leibl0%
Štěpán Langer0%
Abdoulaye Sylla0%
Tadeas Stoppen0%
Matěj Hadaš0%
Filip Slavicek0%
Moses Emmanuel0%
Jan Koutny0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jan Kliment33%
Artur Dolznikov30%
Jan Král29%
Yunusa Owolabi Muritala28%
Michal Leibl25%
Juraj Chvátal21%
Jakub Pokorný19%
Jan Navratil16%
Matej Mikulenka16%
Jiří Sláma14%
Dele Israel13%
Štěpán Langer13%
Jan Sýkora12%
Filip Zorvan12%
Moses Emmanuel11%
Radim Breite10%
Matěj Hadaš10%
Adam Dohnalek9%
Jan Koutny9%
Jan Vodhanel8%
Tadeas Stoppen8%
Filip Slavicek8%
Jáchym Šíp7%
Jiří Spáčil7%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Lukas Vrastil0%
Antonín Růsek0%
Abdoulaye Sylla0%
Jakub Elbel0%
Jan Fiala0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filip Zorvan28%
Jan Vodhanel25%
Antonín Růsek25%
Moses Emmanuel22%
Abdoulaye Sylla12%
Jiří Spáčil11%
Jiří Sláma11%
Jan Kliment10%
Juraj Chvátal7%
Yunusa Owolabi Muritala6%
Jakub Pokorný4%
Jáchym Šíp4%
Matej Mikulenka3%
Jan Král0%
Radim Breite0%
Jan Sýkora0%
Jan Navratil0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Lukas Vrastil0%
Michal Leibl0%
Artur Dolznikov0%
Štěpán Langer0%
Dele Israel0%
Jakub Elbel0%
Tadeas Stoppen0%
Jan Fiala0%
Matěj Hadaš0%
Filip Slavicek0%
Adam Dohnalek0%
Jan Koutny0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jan Kliment33%
Matej Mikulenka12%
Artur Dolznikov10%
Jan Vodhanel8%
Filip Zorvan6%
Jakub Pokorný4%
Jáchym Šíp4%
Jan Král0%
Radim Breite0%
Jan Sýkora0%
Jan Navratil0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Juraj Chvátal0%
Jiří Sláma0%
Lukas Vrastil0%
Antonín Růsek0%
Michal Leibl0%
Štěpán Langer0%
Jiří Spáčil0%
Abdoulaye Sylla0%
Yunusa Owolabi Muritala0%
Dele Israel0%
Jakub Elbel0%
Tadeas Stoppen0%
Jan Fiala0%
Matěj Hadaš0%
Filip Slavicek0%
Adam Dohnalek0%
Moses Emmanuel0%
Jan Koutny0%
Sparta Praha
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lukáš Haraslín33%
Jan Kuchta33%
Victor Olatunji25%
Albion Rrahmani23%
Indrit Tuci15%
Veljko Birmančević13%
Ermal Krasniqi11%
Martin Vitík11%
Qazim Laci10%
Elias Cobbaut8%
Lukáš Sadílek8%
Asger Sørensen7%
Matěj Ryneš6%
Markus Solbakken6%
Jaroslav Zelený6%
Kaan Kairinen5%
Filip Panák5%
Martin Suchomel4%
Tomáš Wiesner3%
Ángelo Preciado0%
Mathias Ross0%
Peter Vindahl Jensen0%
Magnus Kofod Andersen0%
David Pavelka0%
Jakub Pešek0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Roman Horák0%
Adam Sevinsky0%
Patrik Vydra0%
Lukas Penxa0%
Uchenna Aririerisim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Victor Olatunji31%
Martin Vitík28%
Patrik Vydra25%
Jakub Pešek22%
Ángelo Preciado20%
Martin Suchomel20%
Elias Cobbaut17%
Lukáš Haraslín17%
Jan Kuchta17%
Krystof Daněk17%
Uchenna Aririerisim17%
Matěj Ryneš16%
Kaan Kairinen16%
Jaroslav Zelený14%
Tomáš Wiesner13%
Albion Rrahmani13%
Ermal Krasniqi11%
Veljko Birmančević10%
Mathias Ross8%
Lukáš Sadílek8%
Indrit Tuci8%
Filip Panák8%
Qazim Laci7%
Asger Sørensen7%
Peter Vindahl Jensen7%
Markus Solbakken6%
Magnus Kofod Andersen0%
David Pavelka0%
Roman Horák0%
Adam Sevinsky0%
Lukas Penxa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrik Vydra25%
David Pavelka17%
Krystof Daněk17%
Ángelo Preciado13%
Lukáš Haraslín13%
Matěj Ryneš13%
Jaroslav Zelený11%
Magnus Kofod Andersen11%
Jakub Pešek11%
Tomáš Wiesner10%
Qazim Laci10%
Ermal Krasniqi9%
Martin Suchomel8%
Kaan Kairinen8%
Indrit Tuci8%
Filip Panák8%
Veljko Birmančević7%
Albion Rrahmani7%
Markus Solbakken6%
Jan Kuchta6%
Lukáš Sadílek5%
Asger Sørensen4%
Victor Olatunji3%
Elias Cobbaut0%
Mathias Ross0%
Peter Vindahl Jensen0%
Martin Vitík0%
Roman Horák0%
Adam Sevinsky0%
Lukas Penxa0%
Uchenna Aririerisim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jan Kuchta44%
Lukáš Haraslín40%
Veljko Birmančević23%
Qazim Laci15%
Victor Olatunji8%
Uchenna Aririerisim8%
Ángelo Preciado7%
Tomáš Wiesner7%
Albion Rrahmani7%
Ermal Krasniqi6%
Martin Vitík6%
Martin Suchomel4%
Lukáš Sadílek3%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Elias Cobbaut0%
Mathias Ross0%
Peter Vindahl Jensen0%
Magnus Kofod Andersen0%
Asger Sørensen0%
David Pavelka0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Jakub Pešek0%
Indrit Tuci0%
Filip Panák0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Matěj Ryneš0%
Roman Horák0%
Adam Sevinsky0%
Patrik Vydra0%
Lukas Penxa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
KAR (24)
€7m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Sigma Olomouc's squad is €62m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€30m vs €92m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
KAR (11)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Sigma Olomouc's attack is €36m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€7m vs €43m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Sigma Olomouc's midfield is €17m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€10m vs €27m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Sigma Olomouc's defence is €9m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€12m vs €22m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →