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Siofok vs Kozarmisleny FC Result & Analysis

Date: 21/05/2023
Time: 17:45
Final 1-0
Siofok
Siofok
Vs
43%
29%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kozarmisleny FC
Kozarmisleny FC
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siofok win✓ Hit
42.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC win✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SiofokSiofok

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L22D10W21W21W31W11D22D21W10WH·AJK19/03A·PÉC02/04H·KAZ09/04A·GYI12/04H·MTK16/04A·SZE23/04H·DOR26/04A·BEK30/04H·BUD07/05A·MTE14/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.401.071.071.381.69
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (29)1.281.411.151.081.381.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D20W10W32W23L32W02L20W21WH·DOR19/03A·BEK02/04H·BUD09/04A·MTE12/04H·SZE16/04H·DIO23/04A·CSA26/04H·NYI30/04A·GYO07/05H·SZO14/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.631.121.691.291.57
vs Stronger (7)0.861.710.752.251.001.00
vs Similar (23)1.301.611.251.501.361.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Siofok) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.7%
Under 2.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0 ✓
10.0%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.0%
Siofok goals ↓
Kozarmisleny FC goals →
01234
09.1%7.6%4.9%1.8%0.5%
110.0%14%7.0%2.6%0.7%
28.0%8.9%5.0%1.9%0.5%
33.8%4.2%2.4%0.9%0.2%
41.3%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Siofok goals (down), columns = Kozarmisleny FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Diosgyori VTK
2.29
BVSC
2.00
MTK Budapest
1.95
Ajka
1.79
Szeged 2011
1.68
Soroksar
1.61
Gyirmot SE
1.58
Pécsi MFC
1.53
Iváncsa
1.50
Siofok
1.47
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.34
Budafoki LC
1.32
Gyori ETO FC
1.21
MTE 1904
1.21
Tiszakecske FC
1.21
Kazincbarcikai
1.18
Csakvar
1.11
Nyiregyhaza
1.05
Kozarmisleny FC
1.02
Szentlőrinc SE
1.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.97
Dorogi FC
0.82
Veszprém
0.50
Siofok is 0.45 points better than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.02).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
MTK Budapest
2.26
Diosgyori VTK
2.08
Gyirmot SE
1.55
Soroksar
1.50
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.42
Ajka
1.42
Szeged 2011
1.32
Bekescsaba 1912
1.24
Siofok
1.18
Nyiregyhaza
1.18
Csakvar
1.16
Kozarmisleny FC
1.15
Szentlőrinc SE
1.12
Budafoki LC
1.11
Kazincbarcikai
1.08
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
BVSC
1.00
Pécsi MFC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
0.97
MTE 1904
0.95
Dorogi FC
0.84
Iváncsa
0.50
Veszprém
0.00
Siofok is 0.03 goals better than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Veszprém
0.50
BVSC
0.50
Pécsi MFC
0.82
Diosgyori VTK
0.95
Ajka
0.97
Szeged 2011
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.11
Budafoki LC
1.13
MTE 1904
1.16
Gyirmot SE
1.21
Soroksar
1.26
MTK Budapest
1.26
Csakvar
1.32
Tiszakecske FC
1.32
Siofok
1.34
Nyiregyhaza
1.38
Kazincbarcikai
1.47
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.47
Bekescsaba 1912
1.47
Iváncsa
1.50
Szentlőrinc SE
1.50
Dorogi FC
1.61
Kozarmisleny FC
1.68
Siofok is 0.33 goals better than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.68).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SiofokSiofok

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D11D00D20W11D12L10W10WH·AJK19/03A·PÉC02/04H·KAZ09/04A·GYI12/04H·MTK16/04A·SZE23/04H·DOR26/04A·BEK30/04H·BUD07/05A·MTE14/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.640.430.750.94
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (29)0.720.720.690.460.750.94
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D00D20W01L00D00D00D00DH·DOR19/03A·BEK02/04H·BUD09/04A·MTE12/04H·SZE16/04H·DIO23/04A·CSA26/04H·NYI30/04A·GYO07/05H·SZO14/05
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.440.380.360.71
vs Stronger (7)0.140.430.250.750.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.480.570.500.250.450.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Siofok) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Siofok over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siofok over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siofok over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SiofokSiofok

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L10W10W21W11D00D10W11D00DH·AJK19/03A·PÉC02/04H·KAZ09/04A·GYI12/04H·MTK16/04A·SZE23/04H·DOR26/04A·BEK30/04H·BUD07/05A·MTE14/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.430.640.620.75
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.550.690.460.620.620.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W20W10W12L22D32W02L20W21WH·DOR19/03A·BEK02/04H·BUD09/04A·MTE12/04H·SZE16/04H·DIO23/04A·CSA26/04H·NYI30/04A·GYO07/05H·SZO14/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.100.691.310.930.86
vs Stronger (7)0.711.290.501.501.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.831.040.751.250.910.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Siofok) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Siofok over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siofok over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siofok over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
MB (23)
€11m
NYI (29)
€7m
DV (18)
€3m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
MB (9)
€2m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
DV (9)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SIO wins
0
Draws
1
KF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Siofok vs Kozarmisleny FC · H/A from SIO
DateH/AGameScore
04/12/22AKozarmisleny FC Vs SIO4-0

SiofokSiofok

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23AMTE 1904 Vs SIO0-1
07/05/23HSIO Vs Budafoki LC2-1
30/04/23ABekescsaba 1912 Vs SIO2-2
26/04/23HSIO Vs Dorogi FC1-1
23/04/23ASzentlőrinc SE Vs SIO1-3
16/04/23HSIO Vs MTK Budapest2-1
12/04/23AGyirmot SE Vs SIO1-2
09/04/23HSIO Vs Kazincbarcikai1-0
02/04/23APécsi MFC Vs SIO2-2
19/03/23HSIO Vs Ajka0-2

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23HKF Vs Szombathelyi Haladas2-1
07/05/23AGyori ETO FC Vs KF0-2
30/04/23HKF Vs Nyiregyhaza0-2
26/04/23ACsakvar Vs KF2-3
23/04/23HKF Vs Diosgyori VTK2-3
16/04/23HKF Vs Szeged 20113-2
12/04/23AMTE 1904 Vs KF0-1
09/04/23HKF Vs Budafoki LC2-0
02/04/23ABekescsaba 1912 Vs KF1-1
19/03/23HKF Vs Dorogi FC0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Siofok
Siofok
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWW1.43
HomeLWWDW1.67
AwayDWWDW1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.572.063.05
Over 1.5 %70%61%79%
Over 2.5 %54%39%68%
Over 3.5 %32%17%47%
Scored1.191.111.26
Conceded1.380.941.79
BTTS59%50%68%
Clean Sheet22%33%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Kozarmisleny FC
Kozarmisleny FC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.03
HomeWWLLW1.11
AwayDDWWW0.94
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%32%22%
AVG goals2.922.633.22
Over 1.5 %76%74%78%
Over 2.5 %49%53%44%
Over 3.5 %35%32%39%
Scored1.161.111.22
Conceded1.761.532.00
BTTS49%42%56%
Clean Sheet19%21%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Diosgyori VTKDiosgyori VTK3887
74%
2.3
7936+43
3.0
82%
66%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.9
-
2MTK BudapestMTK Budapest3874
58%
1.9
8648+38
3.5
84%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
2452.31.3
-
3AjkaAjka3868
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.4
66%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113864
47%
1.7
5038+12
2.3
66%
39%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.0
-
5SoroksarSoroksar3861
42%
1.6
5748+9
2.8
82%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3860
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
74%
58%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3858
37%
1.5
3831+7
1.8
50%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
8SiofokSiofok3856
39%
1.5
4551-6
2.5
68%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
9Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3851
37%
1.3
5456-2
2.9
79%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3850
34%
1.3
4243-1
2.2
66%
53%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
11Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3846
29%
1.2
3742-5
2.1
68%
29%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.01.1
-
12MTE 1904MTE 19043846
32%
1.2
3644-8
2.1
58%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
13Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3846
34%
1.2
3850-12
2.3
61%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.3
-
14KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3845
32%
1.2
4156-15
2.6
68%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
15CsakvarCsakvar3842
24%
1.1
4450-6
2.5
79%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
16NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza4042
25%
1.1
4755-8
2.5
72%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.21.4
-
17Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC4041
28%
1.0
4667-21
2.8
72%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.7
-
18Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE4040
22%
1.0
4560-15
2.6
85%
48%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.5
-
19Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123837
21%
1.0
4756-9
2.7
71%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
20Dorogi FCDorogi FC3831
18%
0.8
3261-29
2.4
68%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
21BVSCBVSC24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.00.5
-
22IváncsaIváncsa23
50%
1.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
23VeszprémVeszprém21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Hungary: NB II 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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