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Sirens vs Pietà Hotspurs Result & Analysis

Date: 12/04/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 3-4
Sirens
Sirens
Vs
35%
23%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pietà Hotspurs
Pietà Hotspurs
Malta: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Sirens a 35% win probability against Pietà Hotspurs in the Malta: Challenge League on 2026-04-12, with 23% for the draw and 42% for Pietà Hotspurs. The model estimates around 3.7 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (21%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (9.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (90%), BTTS Yes (72%), Over 2.5 (72%).

Results analysis

Sirens finished 3-4 against Pietà Hotspurs (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 35% home win, 23% draw and 42% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (90%), BTTS Yes (72%), Over 2.5 (72%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sirens win✗ Miss
34.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs win✓ Hit
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SirensSirens

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-841W01L51W10W80W02L02L30W32W01LH·PIE10/01A·GUD17/01A·FGU01/02H·ZUR07/02A·MTA15/02A·MEL22/02A·SWI01/03A·ST.07/03H·FGU15/03H·BAL06/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.531.641.792.311.31
vs Stronger (4)1.501.751.501.501.502.00
vs Similar (15)1.731.531.712.001.751.12
vs Weaker (11)2.551.451.601.603.331.33
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Pietà Hotspurs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-614L10W11D60W31W13L13L10W22D40WA·SIR10/01H·FGU18/01H·GUD31/01A·MTA08/02H·ZUR14/02H·SWI22/02H·BAL28/02H·MEL08/03A·BIR14/03A·FGU04/04
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.431.821.182.001.77
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (19)1.531.841.501.501.562.22
vs Weaker (10)2.700.602.290.713.670.33
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%07%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.5%
Under 1.5
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.9%
Under 2.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.2%
Under 3.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
72.1%
No
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-3
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
Sirens goals ↓
Pietà Hotspurs goals →
01234
03.2%3.9%4.6%3.0%1.5%
13.4%9.2%8.2%5.3%2.6%
23.8%7.4%7.2%4.7%2.3%
32.2%4.4%4.3%2.8%1.4%
41.0%1.9%1.9%1.2%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sirens goals (down), columns = Pietà Hotspurs goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Balzan FC
2.18
Swieqi United
2.14
Birzebbuga
2.04
Melita
1.67
Sirens
1.59
Pietà Hotspurs
1.59
Mgarr United
1.50
Fgura United
1.45
Gudja United
1.45
Santa Lucía
1.36
Zurrieq
1.23
St. Andrews
1.23
Vittoriosa Stars
0.95
Zebbug Rangers
0.91
Marsa
0.86
Mtarfa
0.18
Sirens and Pietà Hotspurs are level in average points per game (both 1.59).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sirens
2.27
Balzan FC
2.27
Swieqi United
2.23
Birzebbuga
2.09
Pietà Hotspurs
1.91
Fgura United
1.86
Mgarr United
1.86
Melita
1.86
Santa Lucía
1.82
Zurrieq
1.64
Marsa
1.45
Gudja United
1.32
St. Andrews
1.18
Vittoriosa Stars
1.18
Zebbug Rangers
1.05
Mtarfa
0.45
Sirens is 0.36 goals better than Pietà Hotspurs in terms of goals scored per game (2.27 vs 1.91).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Balzan FC
0.95
Gudja United
1.14
Swieqi United
1.18
Birzebbuga
1.22
Melita
1.33
Santa Lucía
1.41
Sirens
1.50
Mgarr United
1.50
Vittoriosa Stars
1.50
Pietà Hotspurs
1.55
Fgura United
1.68
Zurrieq
1.73
St. Andrews
1.73
Marsa
1.73
Zebbug Rangers
2.05
Mtarfa
4.27
Sirens is 0.05 goals better than Pietà Hotspurs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.55).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SirensSirens

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D11D10W30W01L00D10W10W01LH·PIE10/01A·GUD17/01A·FGU01/02H·ZUR07/02A·MTA15/02A·MEL22/02A·SWI01/03A·ST.07/03H·FGU15/03H·BAL06/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.530.710.640.880.44
vs Stronger (4)0.750.500.500.501.000.50
vs Similar (15)0.600.530.570.860.620.25
vs Weaker (11)1.090.551.000.401.170.67
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Pietà Hotspurs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D10W30W30W02L01L00D01L00DA·SIR10/01H·FGU18/01H·GUD31/01A·MTA08/02H·ZUR14/02H·SWI22/02H·BAL28/02H·MEL08/03A·BIR14/03A·FGU04/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.531.000.350.850.77
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (19)0.740.680.600.500.890.89
vs Weaker (10)1.400.101.570.141.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sirens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.5%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes72.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.571.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BF (32)
€1m
BIR (28)
€0m
SU (27)
€0m
FU (45)
€0m
ZR (43)
€0m
ZUR (38)
€0m
GU (30)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BF (0)
€0m
BIR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BF (0)
€0m
BIR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BF (0)
€0m
BIR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
SIR wins
1
Draws
0
PH wins

Head-to-head

Sirens vs Pietà Hotspurs · H/A from SIR
DateH/AGameScore
10/01/26HSIR Vs Pietà Hotspurs4-1
30/11/24APietà Hotspurs Vs SIR0-3
20/04/23HSIR Vs Pietà Hotspurs0-0
10/12/22APietà Hotspurs Vs SIR0-1

SirensSirens

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/26HSIR Vs Balzan FC0-1
15/03/26HSIR Vs Fgura United3-2
07/03/26ASt. Andrews Vs SIR0-3
01/03/26ASwieqi United Vs SIR2-0
22/02/26AMelita Vs SIR2-0
15/02/26AMtarfa Vs SIR0-8
07/02/26HSIR Vs Zurrieq1-0
01/02/26AFgura United Vs SIR1-5
17/01/26AGudja United Vs SIR1-0
10/01/26HSIR Vs Pietà Hotspurs4-1

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26AFgura United Vs PH0-4
14/03/26ABirzebbuga Vs PH2-2
08/03/26HPH Vs Melita1-0
28/02/26HPH Vs Balzan FC1-3
22/02/26HPH Vs Swieqi United1-3
14/02/26HPH Vs Zurrieq3-1
08/02/26AMtarfa Vs PH0-6
31/01/26HPH Vs Gudja United1-1
18/01/26HPH Vs Fgura United1-0
10/01/26ASirens Vs PH4-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Sirens
Sirens
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.40
HomeDWWWL1.26
AwayWWLLW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%35%44%
AVG goals3.463.653.30
Over 1.5 %92%91%93%
Over 2.5 %76%78%74%
Over 3.5 %36%43%30%
Scored1.821.741.89
Conceded1.641.911.41
BTTS66%74%59%
Clean Sheet18%13%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Pietà Hotspurs
Pietà Hotspurs
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.46
HomeDWLLW1.78
AwayLLWDW1.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%52%30%
AVG goals3.102.933.30
Over 1.5 %76%70%83%
Over 2.5 %62%56%70%
Over 3.5 %44%41%48%
Scored1.581.701.43
Conceded1.521.221.87
BTTS60%59%61%
Clean Sheet24%30%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Balzan FCBalzan FC2248
68%
2.2
5021+29
3.2
86%
64%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.31.0
-
2Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United2247
64%
2.1
4926+23
3.4
91%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3BirzebbugaBirzebbuga2347
61%
2.0
4828+20
3.3
78%
65%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.2
-
4SirensSirens2235
50%
1.6
5033+17
3.8
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.5
-
5MelitaMelita2135
52%
1.7
3928+11
3.2
81%
62%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
6Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs2235
45%
1.6
4234+8
3.5
82%
64%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
7Mgarr UnitedMgarr United2233
41%
1.5
4133+8
3.4
82%
55%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
8Fgura UnitedFgura United2232
45%
1.5
4137+4
3.5
86%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
9Gudja UnitedGudja United2232
36%
1.5
2925+4
2.5
73%
45%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
10Santa LucíaSanta Lucía2230
32%
1.4
4031+9
3.2
82%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
11ZurrieqZurrieq2227
36%
1.2
3638-2
3.4
82%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
12St. AndrewsSt. Andrews2227
36%
1.2
2638-12
2.9
82%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
13Vittoriosa StarsVittoriosa Stars2221
23%
1.0
2633-7
2.7
68%
41%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
14Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers2220
23%
0.9
2345-22
3.1
77%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
15MarsaMarsa2219
18%
0.9
3238-6
3.2
82%
64%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
16MtarfaMtarfa224
5%
0.2
1094-84
4.7
95%
77%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.3
-
Malta: Challenge League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Challenge League stats & trends →

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