This opponent (Gais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gais
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.17
1.94
0.81
1.57
1.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.41
1.32
1.67
1.00
1.10
1.70
vs Weaker (8)
2.75
0.75
2.75
0.25
2.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.4%
Under 1.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.7%
Under 2.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.3%
Under 3.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.0%
No
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1 ✓
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
Sirius goals ↓
Gais goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
4.1%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
1
8.0%
11%
5.6%
2.1%
0.6%
2
8.8%
9.9%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
5.8%
6.5%
3.6%
1.4%
0.4%
4
2.9%
3.2%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sirius goals (down), columns = Gais goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.78
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Malmo FF
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.18
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Sirius is 0.84 points better than Gais in terms of average points per game (2.21 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.28
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.41
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Sirius is 1.16 goals better than Gais in terms of goals scored per game (2.47 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.06
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.59
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Sirius is 0.47 goals worse than Gais in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 0.95).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Sirius is 2.3 percentage points worse than Gais in terms of average possession (48% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sirius
For 5.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 15.4 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gais
For 4.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 10.8 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sirius
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
10.8
11.2
2.6
2.3
3.0
25.9
25.1
26.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
11.1
11.0
11.1
2.7
2.5
3.0
25.9
25.3
26.5
vs Weaker (11)
10.9
10.0
11.8
2.1
1.6
3.0
25.9
24.2
27.5
% over line
73%
67%
80%
38%
31%
46%
90%
86%
95%
% under line
27%
33%
20%
62%
69%
54%
10%
14%
5%
This opponent (Gais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gais
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.9
9.2
3.1
3.1
3.2
25.8
24.7
26.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
10.3
11.3
9.4
3.5
3.2
3.8
26.2
24.5
27.9
vs Weaker (12)
9.1
9.6
8.3
1.9
2.7
0.8
23.8
25.2
21.3
% over line
51%
62%
40%
46%
46%
46%
80%
76%
85%
% under line
49%
38%
60%
54%
54%
54%
20%
24%
15%
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.7
Sirius
11.2
Orgryte IS
10.9
IF Brommapojkarna
10.8
Mjallby AIF
10.7
Vasteras SK FK
10.7
BK Hacken
10.6
AIK Stockholm
10.5
Degerfors IF
10.3
Malmo FF
10.2
Hammarby FF
10.2
Gais
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
IF Elfsborg
10.1
Djurgardens IF
9.9
Halmstad
9.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.8
BK Hacken
4.4
IFK Goteborg
4.4
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Gais
3.9
Hammarby FF
3.8
Malmo FF
3.7
Mjallby AIF
3.7
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Halmstad
3.6
Kalmar FF
3.4
IF Elfsborg
3.4
Vasteras SK FK
3.3
Orgryte IS
3.3
Sirius
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
IFK Goteborg
26.9
Djurgardens IF
26.6
Mjallby AIF
25.3
Sirius
25.3
Gais
25.3
Hammarby FF
25.1
Malmo FF
24.8
BK Hacken
24.7
IF Brommapojkarna
24.6
Degerfors IF
24.4
Halmstad
24.1
IF Elfsborg
24.0
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Vasteras SK FK
23.8
Kalmar FF
23.2
Orgryte IS
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.9%
Under 9.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.6%
Under 3.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.5%
Under 21.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sirius
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.43
1.25
0.31
0.93
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.00
0.57
0.91
0.45
1.08
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Gais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gais
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.47
1.19
0.19
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.50
1.00
0.25
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
0.38
1.75
0.00
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sirius over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gais over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gais over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gais over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sirius
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.87
1.38
0.56
1.36
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.35
0.91
1.45
0.36
1.25
1.42
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.71
1.20
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Gais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gais
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.75
0.62
0.86
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.82
0.67
0.75
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.38
1.00
0.25
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sirius over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gais over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gais over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gais over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sirius
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
R. Ure67%
Isak Bjerkebo58%
Mohamed Soumah25%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson18%
Tobias Anker12%
Henrik Castegren12%
M. Lindberg11%
V. Svensson11%
Victor Ekstrom10%
Odera Samuel Adindu7%
Oscar Krusnell0%
S. Sandberg0%
Joakim Persson0%
M. Heier0%
Noel Milleskog0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Matthias Nartey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Heier28%
Oscar Krusnell22%
Tobias Anker19%
Mohamed Soumah19%
Neo Jönsson18%
M. Lindberg11%
D. Celic11%
Victor Ekstrom10%
Joakim Persson8%
C. Nildén7%
Odera Samuel Adindu7%
V. Svensson5%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
Noel Milleskog0%
R. Ure0%
Isak Bjerkebo0%
August Ljungberg0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Isak Bjerkebo26%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson18%
Oscar Krusnell17%
Joakim Persson17%
M. Lindberg16%
V. Svensson16%
R. Ure13%
M. Heier11%
Tobias Anker6%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
Noel Milleskog0%
Mohamed Soumah0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Victor Ekstrom0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Odera Samuel Adindu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Isak Bjerkebo58%
R. Ure20%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson18%
V. Svensson5%
Oscar Krusnell0%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
M. Lindberg0%
Joakim Persson0%
Tobias Anker0%
M. Heier0%
Noel Milleskog0%
Mohamed Soumah0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Victor Ekstrom0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Odera Samuel Adindu0%
Gais
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuel Salter28%
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson22%
Henry Sletsjoe17%
Max Andersson17%
Rasmus Niklasson17%
William Milovanovic12%
Shalom Ekong12%
Anes Cardaklija8%
Joackim Fagerjord7%
Oscar Pettersson6%
Mergim Krasniqi0%
August Wängberg0%
Jonas Lindberg0%
Dennis Collander0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Robin Frej0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Matteo de Brienne0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Mohamed Bawa0%
Andreas Hermansen0%
Filip Beckman0%
Robin Wendin Thomasson0%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa0%
Simon Girke Jørgensen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
William Milovanovic44%
Henry Sletsjoe33%
Joackim Fagerjord33%
Robin Wendin Thomasson30%
Samuel Salter17%
Jonas Lindberg14%
Filip Beckman14%
Mohamed Bawa12%
Robin Frej12%
Matteo de Brienne12%
Oskar Ågren12%
Anes Cardaklija8%
Max Andersson6%
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson6%
Mergim Krasniqi0%
August Wängberg0%
Oscar Pettersson0%
Dennis Collander0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Shalom Ekong0%
Andreas Hermansen0%
Rasmus Niklasson0%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa0%
Simon Girke Jørgensen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
William Milovanovic19%
Dennis Collander17%
Rasmus Niklasson17%
Jonas Lindberg14%
Matteo de Brienne12%
August Wängberg11%
Samuel Salter11%
Joackim Fagerjord7%
Robin Frej6%
Max Andersson6%
Mergim Krasniqi0%
Oscar Pettersson0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Henry Sletsjoe0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Anes Cardaklija0%
Mohamed Bawa0%
Shalom Ekong0%
Andreas Hermansen0%
Filip Beckman0%
Robin Wendin Thomasson0%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa0%
Simon Girke Jørgensen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Vasic50%
Samuel Salter44%
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson28%
Shalom Ekong25%
William Milovanovic12%
Henry Sletsjoe8%
Oscar Pettersson6%
August Wängberg6%
Max Andersson6%
Rasmus Niklasson6%
Mergim Krasniqi0%
Jonas Lindberg0%
Dennis Collander0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Robin Frej0%
Joackim Fagerjord0%
Matteo de Brienne0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Anes Cardaklija0%
Mohamed Bawa0%
Andreas Hermansen0%
Filip Beckman0%
Robin Wendin Thomasson0%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa0%
Simon Girke Jørgensen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Sirius's squad is €14m more valuable than Gais's (€28m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Sirius's attack is €13m more valuable than Gais's (€18m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Sirius's midfield is €2m more valuable than Gais's (€5m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Sirius's defence is €1m less valuable than Gais's (€4m vs €5m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →