This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hammarby FF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
0.90
2.25
0.50
2.00
1.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.75
1.06
1.78
0.67
1.71
1.57
vs Weaker (14)
2.57
0.71
2.86
0.29
2.29
1.14
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.9%
Under 2.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.5%
No
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-0 ✓
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
Sirius goals ↓
Hammarby FF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
5.1%
4.1%
1.8%
0.6%
1
7.1%
12%
7.1%
3.1%
1.0%
2
7.1%
9.4%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
3
4.1%
5.4%
3.6%
1.6%
0.5%
4
1.8%
2.4%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sirius goals (down), columns = Hammarby FF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.78
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Malmo FF
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.18
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Sirius is 0.32 points better than Hammarby FF in terms of average points per game (2.21 vs 1.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.28
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.41
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Sirius is 0.16 goals better than Hammarby FF in terms of goals scored per game (2.47 vs 2.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.06
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.59
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Sirius is 0.47 goals worse than Hammarby FF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 0.95).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Sirius is 12.8 percentage points worse than Hammarby FF in terms of average possession (48% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sirius
For 5.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 13.6 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hammarby FF
For 5.1 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 13.2 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sirius
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.1
11.6
2.5
2.4
2.7
25.0
24.5
25.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
11.3
11.2
11.4
2.6
2.6
2.7
24.6
24.5
24.8
vs Weaker (11)
11.4
10.3
12.0
2.2
1.7
2.8
26.2
24.3
27.4
% over line
78%
70%
86%
36%
32%
40%
83%
80%
86%
% under line
22%
30%
14%
64%
68%
60%
17%
20%
14%
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hammarby FF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.4
10.7
2.7
2.8
2.5
25.2
25.2
25.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
10.6
10.4
10.9
3.0
3.3
2.6
25.4
26.4
24.1
vs Weaker (24)
10.4
10.4
10.5
2.3
2.2
2.4
25.1
23.6
26.6
% over line
58%
53%
65%
36%
37%
35%
75%
68%
82%
% under line
42%
47%
35%
64%
63%
65%
25%
32%
18%
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.8
Sirius
11.5
Orgryte IS
11.4
IF Brommapojkarna
11.2
Mjallby AIF
11.1
Gais
11.0
Vasteras SK FK
10.8
Hammarby FF
10.7
BK Hacken
10.7
IF Elfsborg
10.6
Degerfors IF
10.5
Malmo FF
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.0
AIK Stockholm
9.8
Djurgardens IF
9.7
Halmstad
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.9
IFK Goteborg
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
Gais
4.1
AIK Stockholm
4.0
Malmo FF
4.0
Hammarby FF
4.0
Degerfors IF
3.9
Mjallby AIF
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.6
Orgryte IS
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Halmstad
3.4
IF Elfsborg
3.3
Vasteras SK FK
3.3
Kalmar FF
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Djurgardens IF
27.3
IFK Goteborg
26.4
Mjallby AIF
25.6
Gais
25.5
Sirius
25.0
Hammarby FF
24.9
IF Elfsborg
24.5
Malmo FF
24.5
AIK Stockholm
24.3
Vasteras SK FK
24.3
Degerfors IF
24.3
IF Brommapojkarna
24.1
BK Hacken
24.1
Kalmar FF
23.5
Halmstad
23.1
Orgryte IS
21.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
64.8%
Under 9.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.3%
Under 3.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.3%
Under 21.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sirius
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.40
1.27
0.33
0.73
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.88
0.50
0.91
0.45
0.85
0.54
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.00
2.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hammarby FF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.33
0.75
0.25
0.79
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.31
0.56
0.22
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (14)
0.86
0.36
1.00
0.29
0.71
0.43
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sirius over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hammarby FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hammarby FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hammarby FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sirius
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.03
1.20
0.60
1.27
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.17
1.08
1.18
0.36
1.15
1.69
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.83
1.25
1.25
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hammarby FF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.57
1.50
0.25
1.21
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.06
0.75
1.22
0.44
0.86
1.14
vs Weaker (14)
1.71
0.36
1.86
0.00
1.57
0.71
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sirius over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hammarby FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hammarby FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hammarby FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sirius
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
R. Ure67%
Isak Bjerkebo58%
Mohamed Soumah25%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson18%
Tobias Anker12%
Henrik Castegren12%
M. Lindberg11%
V. Svensson11%
Victor Ekstrom10%
Odera Samuel Adindu7%
Oscar Krusnell0%
S. Sandberg0%
Joakim Persson0%
M. Heier0%
Noel Milleskog0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Matthias Nartey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Heier28%
Oscar Krusnell22%
Tobias Anker19%
Mohamed Soumah19%
Neo Jönsson18%
M. Lindberg11%
D. Celic11%
Victor Ekstrom10%
Joakim Persson8%
C. Nildén7%
Odera Samuel Adindu7%
V. Svensson5%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
Noel Milleskog0%
R. Ure0%
Isak Bjerkebo0%
August Ljungberg0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Isak Bjerkebo26%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson18%
Oscar Krusnell17%
Joakim Persson17%
M. Lindberg16%
V. Svensson16%
R. Ure13%
M. Heier11%
Tobias Anker6%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
Noel Milleskog0%
Mohamed Soumah0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Victor Ekstrom0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Odera Samuel Adindu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Isak Bjerkebo58%
R. Ure20%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson18%
V. Svensson5%
Oscar Krusnell0%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
M. Lindberg0%
Joakim Persson0%
Tobias Anker0%
M. Heier0%
Noel Milleskog0%
Mohamed Soumah0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Victor Ekstrom0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Odera Samuel Adindu0%
Hammarby FF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Paulos Abraham53%
Victor Lind37%
Waylon Renecke25%
Montader Madjed21%
Frank Junior Adjei19%
Nahir Besara18%
Nikola Vasic14%
Noah Persson11%
Tesfaldet Tekie8%
Victor Eriksson7%
Ibrahima Fofana7%
Frederik Winther6%
Warner Hahn0%
Oscar Johansson Schellhas0%
Markus Karlsson0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Amin Boudri0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Hampus Skoglund0%
Wilson Lindberg Uhrstrom0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Oscar Steinke Brånby0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Victor Eriksson27%
Frank Junior Adjei19%
Hampus Skoglund17%
Moise Kaboré12%
Noah Persson11%
Nahir Besara6%
Frederik Winther6%
Oscar Johansson Schellhas6%
Warner Hahn5%
Markus Karlsson5%
Tesfaldet Tekie0%
Victor Lind0%
Ibrahima Fofana0%
Paulos Abraham0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Montader Madjed0%
Waylon Renecke0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Amin Boudri0%
Wilson Lindberg Uhrstrom0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Oscar Steinke Brånby0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Victor Lind37%
Amin Boudri20%
Nahir Besara18%
Paulos Abraham16%
Oscar Johansson Schellhas11%
Noah Persson11%
Markus Karlsson11%
Ibrahima Fofana7%
Frank Junior Adjei6%
Hampus Skoglund6%
Frederik Winther0%
Warner Hahn0%
Tesfaldet Tekie0%
Victor Eriksson0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Montader Madjed0%
Waylon Renecke0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Wilson Lindberg Uhrstrom0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Oscar Steinke Brånby0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nahir Besara53%
Paulos Abraham42%
Victor Lind37%
Montader Madjed37%
Frank Junior Adjei25%
Nikola Vasic14%
Frederik Winther11%
Warner Hahn0%
Oscar Johansson Schellhas0%
Tesfaldet Tekie0%
Victor Eriksson0%
Ibrahima Fofana0%
Noah Persson0%
Waylon Renecke0%
Markus Karlsson0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Amin Boudri0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Hampus Skoglund0%
Wilson Lindberg Uhrstrom0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Oscar Steinke Brånby0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Sirius's squad is €7m less valuable than Hammarby FF's (€28m vs €35m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Sirius's attack is €5m more valuable than Hammarby FF's (€18m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Sirius's midfield is €6m less valuable than Hammarby FF's (€5m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Sirius's defence is €6m less valuable than Hammarby FF's (€4m vs €10m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
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Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad