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Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo Result & Analysis

Date: 26/05/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Siroki Brijeg
Siroki Brijeg
Vs
37%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siroki Brijeg win✗ Miss
37.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo win✗ Miss
33.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L32W22D13L41W01L12L03L01L32WA·POS17/03A·ZVI30/03H·GOŠ08/04A·TUZ12/04H·IGM20/04A·ZEL23/04H·BOR28/04A·ZRI03/05H·VEL11/05A·SLO20/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.401.361.070.811.69
vs Stronger (8)0.751.750.501.501.002.00
vs Similar (19)1.111.161.670.890.601.40
vs Weaker (3)1.672.002.001.001.502.50
Clean sheet %17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W51W32W00D11D34L30W10W21W11DH·GOŠ16/03A·TUZ29/03H·IGM06/04A·ZEL14/04H·BOR20/04A·ZRI24/04H·VEL28/04A·SLO04/05H·ZVI10/05H·POS20/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.132.270.871.131.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.111.331.500.500.802.00
vs Weaker (21)1.951.052.551.001.301.10
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.8%
Under 2.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
Siroki Brijeg goals ↓
FK Sarajevo goals →
01234
08.8%8.2%5.9%2.5%0.8%
18.8%14%7.9%3.3%1.0%
26.7%8.4%5.3%2.2%0.7%
33.0%3.7%2.3%1.0%0.3%
41.0%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Siroki Brijeg goals (down), columns = FK Sarajevo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.36
Zrinjski
2.30
Velež
1.79
FK Sarajevo
1.70
Posušje
1.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.30
Sloga Doboj
1.27
Siroki Brijeg
1.18
GOŠK Gabela
1.03
Igman Konjic
1.00
Tuzla City
0.82
Zvijezda 09
0.64
Siroki Brijeg is 0.52 points worse than FK Sarajevo in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.70).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.30
Borac Banja Luka
2.06
FK Sarajevo
1.73
Velež
1.52
Tuzla City
1.36
Igman Konjic
1.21
GOŠK Gabela
1.15
Sloga Doboj
1.12
Siroki Brijeg
1.12
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.06
Posušje
1.06
Zvijezda 09
1.00
Siroki Brijeg is 0.61 goals worse than FK Sarajevo in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.79
Zrinjski
0.82
Velež
0.85
Posušje
0.88
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.09
FK Sarajevo
1.15
Siroki Brijeg
1.36
Sloga Doboj
1.52
GOŠK Gabela
1.94
Igman Konjic
2.03
Tuzla City
2.09
Zvijezda 09
2.18
Siroki Brijeg is 0.21 goals worse than FK Sarajevo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.15).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D10W11D11D00D01L02L01L22DA·POS17/03A·ZVI30/03H·GOŠ08/04A·TUZ12/04H·IGM20/04A·ZEL23/04H·BOR28/04A·ZRI03/05H·VEL11/05A·SLO20/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.500.500.380.88
vs Stronger (8)0.121.250.001.000.251.50
vs Similar (19)0.470.420.560.330.400.50
vs Weaker (3)1.001.002.000.000.501.50
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W31W00D01L13L10W00D01L00DH·GOŠ16/03A·TUZ29/03H·IGM06/04A·ZEL14/04H·BOR20/04A·ZRI24/04H·VEL28/04A·SLO04/05H·ZVI10/05H·POS20/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.930.330.470.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.330.890.500.500.201.20
vs Weaker (21)0.860.291.090.270.600.30
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W12L02L30W01L11D01L00D10WA·POS17/03A·ZVI30/03H·GOŠ08/04A·TUZ12/04H·IGM20/04A·ZEL23/04H·BOR28/04A·ZRI03/05H·VEL11/05A·SLO20/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.860.570.440.81
vs Stronger (8)0.620.500.500.500.750.50
vs Similar (19)0.630.741.110.560.200.90
vs Weaker (3)0.671.000.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W31W01L00D10W21W20W10W20W11DH·GOŠ16/03A·TUZ29/03H·IGM06/04A·ZEL14/04H·BOR20/04A·ZRI24/04H·VEL28/04A·SLO04/05H·ZVI10/05H·POS20/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.671.330.530.670.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.441.000.000.600.80
vs Weaker (21)1.100.761.450.730.700.80
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Siroki Brijeg's squad is €5m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€4m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Siroki Brijeg's attack is €2m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Siroki Brijeg's midfield is €1m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€1m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Siroki Brijeg's defence is €2m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€1m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
SB wins
1
Draws
2
FS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo · H/A from SB
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/24AFK Sarajevo Vs SB1-3
22/09/23HSB Vs FK Sarajevo1-0
29/04/23AFK Sarajevo Vs SB2-1
05/03/23HSB Vs FK Sarajevo1-3
11/09/22AFK Sarajevo Vs SB0-0

Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/24ASloga Doboj Vs SB2-3
11/05/24HSB Vs Velež0-1
03/05/24AZrinjski Vs SB3-0
28/04/24HSB Vs Borac Banja Luka1-2
23/04/24AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs SB1-0
20/04/24HSB Vs Igman Konjic4-1
12/04/24ATuzla City Vs SB3-1
08/04/24HSB Vs GOŠK Gabela2-2
30/03/24AZvijezda 09 Vs SB2-3
17/03/24APosušje Vs SB1-0

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/24HFS Vs Posušje1-1
10/05/24HFS Vs Zvijezda 092-1
04/05/24ASloga Doboj Vs FS0-1
28/04/24HFS Vs Velež3-0
24/04/24AZrinjski Vs FS4-3
20/04/24HFS Vs Borac Banja Luka1-1
14/04/24AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs FS0-0
06/04/24HFS Vs Igman Konjic3-2
29/03/24ATuzla City Vs FS1-5
16/03/24HFS Vs GOŠK Gabela4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Siroki Brijeg
Siroki Brijeg
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.16
HomeLDWLL1.60
AwayWLLLW0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%44%20%
AVG goals2.462.242.68
Over 1.5 %66%68%64%
Over 2.5 %44%32%56%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored1.121.280.96
Conceded1.340.961.72
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet24%40%8%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.68
HomeWDWWD1.85
AwayLWDLW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%43%
AVG goals2.962.893.04
Over 1.5 %76%81%70%
Over 2.5 %56%56%57%
Over 3.5 %32%30%35%
Scored1.721.851.57
Conceded1.241.041.48
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet28%37%17%
Corners11.5010.0013.00
Cards6.006.00-

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3378
73%
2.4
6826+42
2.8
76%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.8
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3376
73%
2.3
7627+49
3.1
79%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.30.8
-
3VeležVelež3359
48%
1.8
5028+22
2.4
61%
36%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.50.8
-
4FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3356
48%
1.7
5738+19
2.9
76%
58%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.71.2
-
5PosušjePosušje3348
39%
1.5
3529+6
1.9
61%
24%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3343
39%
1.3
3536-1
2.2
61%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
7Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3342
39%
1.3
3750-13
2.6
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.5
-
8Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3339
33%
1.2
3745-8
2.5
70%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.11.4
-
9GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3334
24%
1.0
3864-26
3.1
79%
67%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3333
27%
1.0
4067-27
3.2
82%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
11Tuzla CityTuzla City3327
21%
0.8
4569-24
3.5
91%
64%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.1
-
12Zvijezda 09Zvijezda 093321
18%
0.6
3372-39
3.2
85%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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