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Siroki Brijeg vs Radnik Bijeljina Result & Analysis

Date: 25/05/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 4-0
Siroki Brijeg
Siroki Brijeg
Vs
46%
32%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Siroki Brijeg a 46% win probability against Radnik Bijeljina in the Bosnia: Premijer Liga on 2026-05-25, with 32% for the draw and 22% for Radnik Bijeljina. The model estimates around 2.0 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-0 the most likely scoreline (15.0%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (85%).

Results analysis

Siroki Brijeg finished 4-0 against Radnik Bijeljina (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 46% home win, 32% draw and 22% away win. Missed: Under 3.5 (85%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siroki Brijeg win✓ Hit
46.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina win✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L02L01L03L21W02L01L22D22DH·ZEL22/03A·RAD04/04A·POS10/04H·RUD17/04A·VEL21/04H·ZRI26/04A·SLO02/05H·BOR10/05A·FK 16/05A·ZEL21/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.431.000.930.811.88
vs Stronger (11)1.091.821.171.171.002.60
vs Similar (16)0.751.311.000.830.601.60
vs Weaker (3)1.000.670.500.502.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W03L12L11D10W01L01L00D00DA·BOR21/03H·SIR04/04H·ZEL11/04H·FK 18/04A·POS22/04H·RUD25/04A·VEL01/05H·ZRI09/05A·SLO16/05H·BOR22/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.170.620.810.501.57
vs Stronger (17)0.411.470.561.220.251.75
vs Similar (13)0.770.770.710.290.831.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.6%
Under 1.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.3%
Under 2.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
14.9%
Under 3.5
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.1%
No
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.0%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
14.1%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.3%
Siroki Brijeg goals ↓
Radnik Bijeljina goals →
01234
014%9.0%4.0%1.1%0.2%
115%14%5.0%1.3%0.3%
210%8.0%3.1%0.8%0.2%
34.3%3.3%1.3%0.3%0.1%
41.3%1.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Siroki Brijeg goals (down), columns = Radnik Bijeljina goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Posušje
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.83
Siroki Brijeg is 0.28 points better than Radnik Bijeljina in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.86
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Posušje
0.69
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Siroki Brijeg is 0.28 goals better than Radnik Bijeljina in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 0.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Posušje
1.14
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Rudar Prijedor
1.53
Siroki Brijeg is 0.08 goals worse than Radnik Bijeljina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L01L00D02L10W01L01L11D12LH·ZEL22/03A·RAD04/04A·POS10/04H·RUD17/04A·VEL21/04H·ZRI26/04A·SLO02/05H·BOR10/05A·FK 16/05A·ZEL21/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.570.500.441.00
vs Stronger (11)0.550.730.670.500.401.00
vs Similar (16)0.440.880.500.670.401.00
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W02L11D11D10W01L00D00D00DA·BOR21/03H·SIR04/04H·ZEL11/04H·FK 18/04A·POS22/04H·RUD25/04A·VEL01/05H·ZRI09/05A·SLO16/05H·BOR22/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.600.380.380.360.86
vs Stronger (17)0.240.710.330.440.121.00
vs Similar (13)0.540.460.430.290.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (56)
€11m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (25)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
ZS (7)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
BBL (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (23)
€5m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
ZS (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Siroki Brijeg vs Radnik Bijeljina · H/A from SB
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26ARadnik Bijeljina Vs SB2-0
08/12/25HSB Vs Radnik Bijeljina1-3
26/09/25ARadnik Bijeljina Vs SB0-0
05/04/25ARadnik Bijeljina Vs SB1-1
10/11/24HSB Vs Radnik Bijeljina2-0
11/08/24ARadnik Bijeljina Vs SB1-1

Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/26AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs SB2-2
16/05/26AFK Sarajevo Vs SB2-2
10/05/26HSB Vs Borac Banja Luka0-1
02/05/26ASloga Doboj Vs SB2-0
26/04/26HSB Vs Zrinjski2-1
21/04/26AVelež Vs SB3-0
17/04/26HSB Vs Rudar Prijedor0-1
10/04/26APosušje Vs SB2-0
04/04/26ARadnik Bijeljina Vs SB2-0
22/03/26HSB Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-1

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/26HRB Vs Borac Banja Luka0-0
16/05/26ASloga Doboj Vs RB0-0
09/05/26HRB Vs Zrinjski0-1
01/05/26AVelež Vs RB1-0
25/04/26HRB Vs Rudar Prijedor1-0
22/04/26APosušje Vs RB1-1
18/04/26HRB Vs FK Sarajevo1-2
11/04/26HRB Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo0-3
04/04/26HRB Vs Siroki Brijeg2-0
21/03/26ABorac Banja Luka Vs RB1-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Siroki Brijeg
Siroki Brijeg
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDD1.26
HomeWDLWL1.64
AwayLLLDD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%48%16%
AVG goals2.342.242.44
Over 1.5 %62%56%68%
Over 2.5 %40%36%44%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.001.160.84
Conceded1.341.081.60
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDD1.00
HomeLLWLD1.44
AwayLLDLD0.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%40%8%
AVG goals2.241.922.56
Over 1.5 %58%52%64%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %20%12%28%
Scored0.941.080.80
Conceded1.300.841.76
BTTS38%28%48%
Clean Sheet30%48%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3686
75%
2.4
7620+56
2.7
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5152.10.6
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3671
58%
2.0
4825+23
2.0
67%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4231.30.7
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3665
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.5
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.0
-
4VeležVelež3651
39%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3645
31%
1.2
3748-11
2.4
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3642
28%
1.2
3437-3
2.0
56%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.0
-
7Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3635
22%
1.0
2745-18
2.0
53%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
8PosušjePosušje3634
22%
0.9
2541-16
1.8
56%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3634
22%
0.9
2146-25
1.9
53%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.3
-
10Rudar PrijedorRudar Prijedor3630
19%
0.8
3155-24
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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