SJK Akatemia are tipped to win, with a 47 % chance of triumph, 25 % for a draw and 28 % for an EIF victory. The match is expected to see about 3.1 goals, but the most likely total is 2, with a 23 % probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 11.6 % chance. SJK Akatemia, playing at home against a team of similar strength, average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while EIF, on the road, average 1.33 scored and 1.22 conceded. The model’s selection is Over 1.5, with an 82.9 % probability. The home win probability is 47 %, the draw probability is 25 % and the away win probability is 28 %. All figures are presented exactly once.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win, failed to materialise as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left SJK Akatemia still coming off a defeat. The model had given the home side a 47 % chance of victory, but the outcome was a stalemate. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, with an 82.9 % probability, missed as no goals were scored. Both teams entered the game on a shaky run, each having lost their last match, and the low-scoring result reflected the defensive solidity of both sides. The prediction model’s call was incorrect, and its only other selection also failed to hit.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
SJK Akatemia win✗ Miss
46.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
EIF win✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
SJK Akatemia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.73
1.71
1.50
1.56
1.94
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
1.50
1.00
2.50
2.50
0.50
vs Similar (22)
1.50
1.68
1.60
1.20
1.42
2.08
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
2.25
3.00
2.00
1.50
2.50
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (EIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
EIF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.60
1.73
1.73
1.20
1.47
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.25
1.00
1.83
vs Similar (20)
1.70
1.40
2.00
1.55
1.33
1.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.9%
Under 1.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.4%
Under 2.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.0%
Under 3.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
0-0 ✓
5.5%
SJK Akatemia goals ↓
EIF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
4.9%
4.0%
1.8%
0.6%
1
6.8%
12%
7.1%
3.2%
1.1%
2
6.9%
9.4%
6.3%
2.8%
1.0%
3
4.1%
5.5%
3.7%
1.7%
0.6%
4
1.8%
2.5%
1.7%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SJK Akatemia goals (down), columns = EIF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.71
Kooteepee
2.17
PK-35
2.00
JIPPO
1.86
JäPS
1.50
EIF
1.43
Klubi-04
1.00
SJK Akatemia
0.86
MP
0.71
KäPa
0.12
SJK Akatemia is 0.57 points worse than EIF in terms of average points per game (0.86 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.71
PK-35
1.86
Kooteepee
1.50
JIPPO
1.43
MP
1.43
Klubi-04
1.12
KäPa
0.88
EIF
0.86
JäPS
0.83
SJK Akatemia
0.71
SJK Akatemia is 0.14 goals worse than EIF in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
EIF
0.71
Haka
0.86
Kooteepee
1.00
JIPPO
1.00
JäPS
1.00
PK-35
1.00
SJK Akatemia
1.43
Klubi-04
1.62
MP
2.14
KäPa
2.25
SJK Akatemia is 0.71 goals worse than EIF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 0.71).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SJK Akatemia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.77
0.36
0.64
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.73
0.30
0.50
0.58
0.92
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (EIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
EIF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.67
0.73
0.67
0.27
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.80
0.25
1.25
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.35
0.82
0.55
0.44
0.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SJK Akatemia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.97
1.36
0.86
1.06
1.06
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.50
0.00
vs Similar (22)
1.05
0.95
1.30
0.70
0.83
1.17
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
1.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (EIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
EIF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.10
1.07
1.00
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.20
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (20)
1.05
1.05
1.18
1.00
0.89
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SA (28)
€4m
SA (30)
€4m
HAK (24)
€1m
KOO (24)
€1m
JIP (25)
€1m
PK- (22)
€1m
EIF (21)
€1m
JÄP (27)
€1m
KÄP (30)
€1m
MP (30)
€0m
KLU (26)
€0m
SJK Akatemia's squad is €3m more valuable than EIF's (€4m vs €1m).
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Haka
PK-35
JIPPO
Kooteepee
JäPS
Klubi-04
MP
KäPa