The model sees Kooteepee as the clear favourite, rating a 62% chance of victory against SJK Akatemia. That edge comes from Kooteepee’s recent five-game winning streak and the fact that both sides have similar opponent strength, yet Kooteepee’s away form shows a slightly higher average of 1.15 goals scored and 2.23 conceded compared with SJK Akatemia’s 1.0 scored and 2.14 conceded at home. The predicted outcome is an away win, with the most likely scoreline 1-2, carrying a 9.6% probability. The expected total goals hover at 3.5, with the most probable total of three goals at 22%. SJK Akatemia’s home form suggests a modest 17% chance of winning, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 62% chance of Kooteepee winning. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (97.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.9%), Under 6.5 (93.7%), Away +2 handicap (93.1%), Away over 0.5 goals (90.0%), Home under 2.5 goals (88.6%), Over 1.5 (86.9%) and Under 5.5 (86.1%). These picks reflect the high probability of a modest scoring contest with Kooteepee edging the match.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
SJK Akatemia win
17.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee win
62.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
SJK Akatemia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.97
1.57
1.93
1.56
2.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.12
1.94
1.00
2.14
1.20
1.80
vs Weaker (12)
2.17
2.17
2.17
2.00
2.17
2.33
Clean sheet %
17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kooteepee
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.97
1.36
1.79
1.19
2.12
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.67
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.29
1.96
1.45
1.64
1.15
2.23
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.33
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.0%
Under 1.5
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67.4%
Under 2.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
45.8%
Under 3.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.8%
No
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.4%
0-3
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
SJK Akatemia goals ↓
Kooteepee goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.9%
6.3%
8.3%
6.3%
3.7%
1
2.8%
9.2%
9.6%
7.4%
4.3%
2
2.1%
4.9%
5.6%
4.3%
2.5%
3
0.8%
1.9%
2.2%
1.7%
1.0%
4
0.2%
0.6%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SJK Akatemia goals (down), columns = Kooteepee goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
SJK Akatemia is 1.54 points worse than Kooteepee in terms of average points per game (0.75 vs 2.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
SJK Akatemia is 0.70 goals worse than Kooteepee in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
SJK Akatemia is 1.00 goals worse than Kooteepee in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
SJK Akatemia or Draw
38.0%
Avg Implied -
17%
21%
62%
covers SJK Akatemia + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia or Kooteepee
79.3%
Avg Implied -
17%
21%
62%
covers SJK Akatemia + Kooteepee
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kooteepee
82.8%
Avg Implied -
17%
21%
62%
covers Draw + Kooteepee
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5
Over
68.9%
Under
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5
Over
32.5%
Under
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5
Over
11.3%
Under
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 0.5
Over
90.0%
Under
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 1.5
Over
67.1%
Under
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 2.5
Over
40.6%
Under
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 3.5
Over
20.2%
Under
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to SJK Akatemia, so a minus line means SJK Akatemia give that many goals of a start and Kooteepee receive them. At -1, SJK Akatemia must win by two or more to land; a one-goal SJK Akatemia win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (SJK Akatemia)
SJK Akatemia -2
2.1%
Draw -2
4.8%
Kooteepee +2
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (SJK Akatemia)
SJK Akatemia -1
6.8%
Draw -1
10.4%
Kooteepee +1
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (SJK Akatemia)
SJK Akatemia +1
38.0%
Draw +1
21.4%
Kooteepee -1
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (SJK Akatemia)
SJK Akatemia +2
59.3%
Draw +2
18.6%
Kooteepee -2
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SJK Akatemia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.90
0.29
0.86
0.50
0.94
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.29
0.94
0.14
1.14
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.92
0.50
0.67
0.67
1.17
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kooteepee
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.93
0.64
1.07
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.88
0.64
1.09
0.46
0.69
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SJK Akatemia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.07
1.29
1.07
1.06
1.06
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.82
1.00
0.86
1.00
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.58
1.25
1.67
1.33
1.50
1.17
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kooteepee
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.03
0.71
0.71
0.75
1.31
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.75
1.08
0.82
0.55
0.69
1.54
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kooteepee · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rangel44%
Nathaniel Tahmbi33%
Petteri Forsell20%
Luca Weckström17%
Assane Seck14%
Atomu Tanaka12%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Joni Kauko0%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Mikko Sumusalo0%
Matias Paavola0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joni Kauko50%
Mikko Sumusalo43%
Albin Linnér40%
Rangel33%
Thomas Lahdensuo33%
Nathaniel Tahmbi33%
Atomu Tanaka25%
Oscar Linnér25%
Franck Ellé25%
Joshua Akpudje25%
Constantine Edlund25%
Mitchell Glasson22%
Joona Toivio20%
Felipe Aspegren20%
Juho Lehtiranta17%
Luca Weckström17%
Assane Seck14%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Petteri Forsell10%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Matias Paavola0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joni Kauko25%
Aaro Toivonen22%
Mikko Sumusalo14%
Assane Seck14%
Atomu Tanaka12%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Matias Paavola11%
Petteri Forsell10%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Rangel0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Luca Weckström0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
Nathaniel Tahmbi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rangel33%
Petteri Forsell30%
Nathaniel Tahmbi17%
Assane Seck14%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Joni Kauko0%
Atomu Tanaka0%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Mikko Sumusalo0%
Matias Paavola0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Luca Weckström0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Haka
PK-35
JIPPO
Klubi-04
EIF
JäPS
MP
KäPa