This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.43
1.20
2.80
1.33
2.07
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.38
1.75
2.00
1.75
0.75
1.75
vs Weaker (22)
2.82
1.00
3.09
1.18
2.55
0.82
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.5%
Under 1.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.7%
Under 2.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.7%
Under 3.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.7%
No
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
0-1
5.8%
0-0
4.5%
SJK goals ↓
HJK Helsinki goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
5.8%
6.4%
4.1%
1.9%
1
4.2%
11%
9.2%
5.8%
2.8%
2
3.7%
7.0%
6.6%
4.2%
2.0%
3
1.8%
3.3%
3.2%
2.0%
0.9%
4
0.6%
1.2%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SJK goals (down), columns = HJK Helsinki goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Turku PS
3.00
KuPS
2.09
Inter Turku
1.91
Ilves
1.88
SJK
1.84
HJK Helsinki
1.53
FF Jaro
1.26
Mariehamn
1.19
VPS
1.15
Gnistan
1.03
AC Oulu
1.00
Kooteepee
0.72
Haka
0.63
SJK is 0.31 points better than HJK Helsinki in terms of average points per game (1.84 vs 1.53).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Turku PS
3.00
HJK Helsinki
2.31
SJK
2.19
Ilves
2.12
KuPS
1.94
Inter Turku
1.88
Gnistan
1.47
VPS
1.37
FF Jaro
1.30
AC Oulu
1.30
Mariehamn
1.26
Kooteepee
1.14
Haka
1.11
SJK is 0.12 goals worse than HJK Helsinki in terms of goals scored per game (2.19 vs 2.31).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Turku PS
1.00
Inter Turku
1.03
KuPS
1.06
Ilves
1.41
VPS
1.56
SJK
1.59
HJK Helsinki
1.62
FF Jaro
1.63
Haka
1.85
Mariehamn
1.96
AC Oulu
1.96
Gnistan
2.03
Kooteepee
2.31
SJK is 0.03 goals better than HJK Helsinki in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.62).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
HJK Helsinki
58%
Ilves
54%
KuPS
53%
VPS
50%
Kooteepee
50%
Inter Turku
50%
SJK
49%
AC Oulu
49%
FF Jaro
49%
Mariehamn
48%
Gnistan
44%
Haka
44%
Turku PS
37%
SJK is 9.0 percentage points worse than HJK Helsinki in terms of average possession (49% vs 58%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
SJK
For 7.1 · Against 3.7 · Total 10.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 9.4 · Total 18.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
HJK Helsinki
For 6.9 · Against 4.2 · Total 11.1
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 9.2 · Total 18.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SJK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
12.0
9.3
0.6
0.8
0.4
18.9
19.8
17.7
vs Stronger (12)
16.0
16.0
-
0.4
0.8
0.0
20.0
20.0
-
vs Similar (33)
10.0
10.7
9.3
0.8
0.9
0.6
18.7
19.7
17.7
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
57%
75%
33%
10%
12%
8%
29%
25%
33%
% under line
43%
25%
67%
90%
88%
92%
71%
75%
67%
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.4
11.1
1.1
1.2
1.0
22.4
20.8
24.3
vs Stronger (2)
10.0
-
10.0
3.0
-
3.0
30.0
-
30.0
vs Similar (19)
9.2
9.6
7.0
1.2
2.0
0.1
24.3
23.8
27.0
vs Weaker (29)
12.3
11.7
12.8
0.9
0.6
1.1
18.6
15.7
20.8
% over line
73%
75%
71%
14%
12%
16%
53%
38%
71%
% under line
27%
25%
29%
86%
88%
84%
47%
62%
29%
This opponent (SJK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
13.2
FF Jaro
12.0
Kooteepee
11.4
Haka
10.8
SJK
10.7
Mariehamn
10.5
Ilves
10.5
AC Oulu
10.4
KuPS
10.1
VPS
10.1
Inter Turku
9.9
HJK Helsinki
9.7
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gnistan
5.3
AC Oulu
4.7
Kooteepee
4.7
Inter Turku
4.4
Haka
4.4
Mariehamn
4.3
KuPS
4.3
FF Jaro
4.1
SJK
4.0
Ilves
4.0
VPS
3.7
HJK Helsinki
3.3
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ilves
24.6
Inter Turku
24.2
Mariehamn
23.9
KuPS
23.8
AC Oulu
23.3
SJK
23.3
Gnistan
22.8
HJK Helsinki
22.6
Kooteepee
22.5
VPS
22.2
Haka
22.0
FF Jaro
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
76.3%
Under 9.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.3%
Under 3.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
38.3%
Under 21.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SJK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.63
1.27
0.47
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (21)
1.00
0.52
1.30
0.40
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
3.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.47
1.13
0.47
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.75
0.25
0.75
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (22)
0.95
0.36
1.45
0.36
0.45
0.36
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SJK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SJK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.90
1.13
0.73
1.07
1.07
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.71
0.75
0.50
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.19
1.00
1.30
0.80
1.09
1.18
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.73
1.67
0.87
1.53
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.00
1.75
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
1.86
0.64
1.64
0.82
2.09
0.45
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SJK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 8.5 corners
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 23.5 fouls
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 9.5 corners
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
SJK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kasper Paananen57%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko43%
Jeremiah Streng38%
Olatoundji Tessilimi27%
Rasmus Karjalainen25%
Lauri Laine11%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi10%
Armaan Wilson9%
Markus Arsalo8%
ValentÃn Gasc8%
Alenis Vargas8%
Ayo Obileye0%
Elias Mastokangas0%
Roope Paunio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Murilo0%
Kelvin Pires0%
Babacar Fati0%
Oskari VÃĪistÃķ0%
Salim Giabo Yussif0%
Prosper Padera0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi40%
Salim Giabo Yussif38%
Babacar Fati25%
Olatoundji Tessilimi18%
Armaan Wilson18%
Roope Paunio17%
Markus Arsalo15%
ValentÃn Gasc15%
Elias Mastokangas11%
Ayo Obileye10%
Kelvin Pires10%
Alenis Vargas8%
Jeremiah Streng0%
Rasmus Karjalainen0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Murilo0%
Lauri Laine0%
Kasper Paananen0%
Oskari VÃĪistÃķ0%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko0%
Prosper Padera0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jeremiah Streng31%
Prosper Padera20%
Babacar Fati17%
Markus Arsalo15%
Kasper Paananen14%
Elias Mastokangas11%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi10%
Olatoundji Tessilimi9%
Rasmus Karjalainen8%
ValentÃn Gasc8%
Salim Giabo Yussif8%
Alenis Vargas8%
Ayo Obileye0%
Roope Paunio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Murilo0%
Kelvin Pires0%
Lauri Laine0%
Oskari VÃĪistÃķ0%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko0%
Armaan Wilson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jeremiah Streng38%
Kasper Paananen36%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko14%
Olatoundji Tessilimi9%
Rasmus Karjalainen8%
Markus Arsalo8%
Alenis Vargas8%
Ayo Obileye0%
Elias Mastokangas0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
Roope Paunio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Murilo0%
Kelvin Pires0%
Babacar Fati0%
ValentÃn Gasc0%
Lauri Laine0%
Oskari VÃĪistÃķ0%
Armaan Wilson0%
Salim Giabo Yussif0%
Prosper Padera0%
HJK Helsinki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kai Meriluoto67%
Alexander Ring38%
Michael Boamah33%
Santeri Hostikka31%
Lucas Lingman23%
Georgios Antzoulas22%
Teemu Pukki18%
Jere Kallinen17%
Michel Benjamin Stanley14%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan14%
Liam MÃķller14%
Vicente Besuijen12%
Georgios Kanellopoulos11%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster9%
Pyry Mentu8%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Ricardo Friedrich0%
Ville Tikkanen0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Miska Ylitolva0%
Mihailo BogiÄeviÄ0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
David Ezeh0%
Kaius Simojoki0%
Toivo Mero0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Kanellopoulos22%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster18%
Pyry Mentu17%
Ville Tikkanen14%
Liam MÃķller14%
Georgios Antzoulas11%
Teemu Pukki9%
Jere Kallinen8%
Alexander Ring8%
Lucas Lingman8%
Kaius Simojoki7%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Ricardo Friedrich0%
Santeri Hostikka0%
Michel Benjamin Stanley0%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan0%
Kai Meriluoto0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Miska Ylitolva0%
Mihailo BogiÄeviÄ0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Michael Boamah0%
David Ezeh0%
Toivo Mero0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Teemu Pukki45%
Santeri Hostikka31%
David Ezeh25%
Lucas Lingman23%
Georgios Kanellopoulos22%
Pyry Mentu17%
Liam MÃķller14%
Kaius Simojoki14%
Alexander Ring8%
Michel Benjamin Stanley7%
Georgios Antzoulas0%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Ricardo Friedrich0%
Ville Tikkanen0%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan0%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster0%
Kai Meriluoto0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Jere Kallinen0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Miska Ylitolva0%
Mihailo BogiÄeviÄ0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Michael Boamah0%
Toivo Mero0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Santeri Hostikka38%
Alexander Ring38%
Kai Meriluoto33%
Teemu Pukki27%
Lucas Lingman15%
Georgios Kanellopoulos11%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster9%
Michel Benjamin Stanley7%
Georgios Antzoulas0%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Ricardo Friedrich0%
Ville Tikkanen0%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Jere Kallinen0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Miska Ylitolva0%
Mihailo BogiÄeviÄ0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Michael Boamah0%
Liam MÃķller0%
David Ezeh0%
Kaius Simojoki0%
Pyry Mentu0%
Toivo Mero0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
SJK's squad is €3m less valuable than HJK Helsinki's (€4m vs €7m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
HAK (7)
€0m
SJK and HJK Helsinki have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
SJK and HJK Helsinki have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
SJK's defence is €2m less valuable than HJK Helsinki's (€2m vs €3m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
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KuPS
Inter Turku
Ilves
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Mariehamn
VPS
AC Oulu
Kooteepee
Haka
Turku PS