This opponent (Ilves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ilves
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.47
1.44
1.69
1.64
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.35
1.61
1.54
1.77
1.10
1.40
vs Weaker (7)
2.14
1.00
1.00
1.33
3.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.2%
Under 1.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.4%
Under 2.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.9%
Under 3.5
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.2%
1-0 â
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.8%
SJK goals ↓
Ilves goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
8.4%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
1
9.2%
14%
7.7%
3.1%
0.9%
2
6.9%
8.4%
5.1%
2.1%
0.6%
3
3.0%
3.7%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SJK goals (down), columns = Ilves goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
KuPS
1.96
HJK Helsinki
1.96
VPS
1.90
SJK
1.54
Honka
1.45
AC Oulu
1.34
Inter Turku
1.29
Ilves
1.22
Haka
1.19
Lahti
1.07
Mariehamn
0.90
Kooteepee
0.74
Gnistan
0.50
SJK is 0.31 points better than Ilves in terms of average points per game (1.54 vs 1.22).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
HJK Helsinki
1.85
KuPS
1.52
AC Oulu
1.48
VPS
1.48
SJK
1.32
Haka
1.30
Ilves
1.30
Inter Turku
1.25
Honka
1.10
Mariehamn
1.07
Lahti
0.96
Kooteepee
0.78
Gnistan
0.00
SJK is 0.03 goals better than Ilves in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.30).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
KuPS
0.74
VPS
0.90
Honka
0.94
HJK Helsinki
0.96
Ilves
1.22
SJK
1.25
Mariehamn
1.38
Inter Turku
1.43
Gnistan
1.50
Lahti
1.52
Haka
1.56
Kooteepee
1.63
AC Oulu
1.79
SJK is 0.03 goals worse than Ilves in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.22).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
HJK Helsinki
53%
SJK
52%
Honka
52%
KuPS
52%
VPS
50%
Ilves
50%
Inter Turku
50%
Gnistan
49%
Kooteepee
49%
Lahti
48%
Haka
48%
Mariehamn
47%
SJK is 2.4 percentage points better than Ilves in terms of average possession (52% vs 50%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
SJK
For 6.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 12.3 · Total 26.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ilves
For 3.6 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.4
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SJK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
11.7
13.2
9.9
2.7
3.2
2.2
21.7
22.8
20.3
vs Stronger (10)
11.7
13.3
10.0
2.7
3.0
2.4
15.5
19.0
12.0
vs Similar (25)
11.5
12.9
9.9
2.7
3.2
2.2
22.6
23.7
21.4
vs Weaker (2)
16.0
16.0
-
2.0
4.0
0.0
19.0
19.0
-
% over line
67%
85%
45%
49%
63%
33%
50%
55%
44%
% under line
33%
15%
55%
51%
37%
67%
50%
45%
56%
This opponent (Ilves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ilves
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (32)
9.2
9.4
9.0
2.1
1.8
2.5
22.6
23.3
22.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
9.4
9.1
9.6
2.2
1.9
2.5
22.3
22.9
21.8
vs Weaker (7)
8.5
10.5
6.5
1.9
1.3
2.2
24.0
25.0
23.0
% over line
40%
50%
30%
28%
24%
33%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
60%
50%
70%
72%
76%
67%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SJK
11.7
Mariehamn
10.5
HJK Helsinki
10.3
Haka
10.1
Lahti
10.0
Honka
10.0
KuPS
9.7
Ilves
9.2
Inter Turku
9.2
Kooteepee
8.6
VPS
8.6
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kooteepee
5.0
Lahti
5.0
Mariehamn
4.9
SJK
4.3
Inter Turku
4.2
KuPS
4.1
HJK Helsinki
4.1
Haka
3.8
Honka
3.6
VPS
3.6
Ilves
3.4
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mariehamn
25.6
Kooteepee
24.6
HJK Helsinki
24.5
Inter Turku
23.8
Lahti
23.4
Ilves
22.6
Haka
22.4
SJK
21.7
KuPS
21.6
VPS
21.5
Honka
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
67.1%
Under 9.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.7%
Under 3.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
72.2%
Under 21.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SJK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
0.62
0.31
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.88
0.75
0.50
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.20
0.64
0.27
0.56
0.11
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ilves
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.60
0.75
0.56
0.86
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.61
0.85
0.62
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.57
0.33
0.33
2.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SJK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SJK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
1.06
0.81
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.88
1.25
0.75
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.80
1.00
0.91
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ilves
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.69
1.12
0.79
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.70
1.00
0.69
1.15
0.70
0.80
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.43
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SJK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 8.5 corners
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 5.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 3.5
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
SJK · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
E. Mastokangas25%
K. Paananen20%
O. Tessilimi20%
J. Streng0%
Rangel0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
M. Arsalo0%
O. VÃĪistÃķ0%
A. BostrÃķm0%
A. Wilson0%
S. Yussif0%
Caio AraÚjo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Yussif50%
O. Tessilimi40%
A. BostrÃķm33%
Rangel25%
K. Paananen20%
M. Arsalo17%
J. Streng0%
E. Mastokangas0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
O. VÃĪistÃķ0%
A. Wilson0%
Caio AraÚjo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Streng20%
Rangel0%
E. Mastokangas0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
M. Arsalo0%
K. Paananen0%
O. VÃĪistÃķ0%
A. BostrÃķm0%
O. Tessilimi0%
A. Wilson0%
S. Yussif0%
Caio AraÚjo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Wilson33%
Rangel25%
J. Streng20%
K. Paananen20%
E. Mastokangas0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
M. Arsalo0%
O. VÃĪistÃķ0%
A. BostrÃķm0%
O. Tessilimi0%
S. Yussif0%
Caio AraÚjo0%
Ilves · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
T. HytÃķnen43%
J. Kanga43%
R. Riski33%
J. Veteli25%
Maksim Stjopin20%
Otto Tiitinen17%
Oliver Pettersson12%
T. Miettunen0%
A. Popovitch0%
M. Rale0%
F. KrkaliÄ0%
K. Wallius0%
J. Kilo0%
Stanislav Baranov0%
Y. Raap0%
Oskari Multala0%
V. Kumpu0%
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
K. Wallius33%
Y. Raap29%
T. Miettunen25%
Maksim Stjopin20%
R. Riski17%
J. Kanga14%
A. Popovitch12%
J. Veteli0%
M. Rale0%
F. KrkaliÄ0%
T. HytÃķnen0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
J. Kilo0%
Stanislav Baranov0%
Oskari Multala0%
Otto Tiitinen0%
V. Kumpu0%
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Kilo50%
J. Kanga29%
R. Riski0%
T. Miettunen0%
A. Popovitch0%
J. Veteli0%
M. Rale0%
F. KrkaliÄ0%
Maksim Stjopin0%
K. Wallius0%
T. HytÃķnen0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Stanislav Baranov0%
Y. Raap0%
Oskari Multala0%
Otto Tiitinen0%
V. Kumpu0%
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
T. HytÃķnen29%
Maksim Stjopin20%
J. Kanga14%
J. Kilo12%
R. Riski0%
T. Miettunen0%
A. Popovitch0%
J. Veteli0%
M. Rale0%
F. KrkaliÄ0%
K. Wallius0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Stanislav Baranov0%
Y. Raap0%
Oskari Multala0%
Otto Tiitinen0%
V. Kumpu0%
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (22)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
SJK and Ilves have a similar squad value (both €4m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
HAK (7)
€0m
SJK and Ilves have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (3)
€1m
HAK (5)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
SJK and Ilves have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
SJK and Ilves have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
VPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
Honka
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
Haka
Lahti
Mariehamn
Kooteepee
Gnistan