This opponent (FC Sochi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sochi
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
0.97
2.18
0.88
1.46
1.08
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
3.00
2.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.61
0.87
1.92
0.83
1.27
0.91
vs Weaker (6)
2.83
1.00
3.00
0.50
2.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.7%
Under 2.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
0-1 ✓
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
Ska-khabarovsk goals ↓
FC Sochi goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
6.9%
4.2%
1.5%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.4%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.9%
9.2%
4.8%
1.7%
0.4%
3
4.5%
4.6%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.7%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ska-khabarovsk goals (down), columns = FC Sochi goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Baltika
2.03
Torpedo Moskva
1.91
Chernomorets
1.88
Ural
1.74
FC Sochi
1.68
Ska-khabarovsk
1.56
Rodina Moskva
1.47
Enisey
1.44
Rotor Volgograd
1.38
Arsenal Tula
1.21
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Chayka
1.12
KAMAZ
1.12
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.03
FC UFA
1.03
FK Sokol Saratov
0.94
Tyumen
0.79
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.79
Ska-khabarovsk is 0.12 points worse than FC Sochi in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.68).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Sochi
1.62
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Chernomorets
1.50
Ural
1.47
Baltika
1.47
Ska-khabarovsk
1.29
Rodina Moskva
1.21
Enisey
1.06
Rotor Volgograd
0.94
FC UFA
0.94
FK Neftekhimik
0.91
Chayka
0.91
KAMAZ
0.91
Tyumen
0.88
Arsenal Tula
0.74
FK Sokol Saratov
0.74
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.71
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.71
Ska-khabarovsk is 0.32 goals worse than FC Sochi in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Baltika
0.53
Torpedo Moskva
0.74
Rotor Volgograd
0.76
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Rodina Moskva
0.91
Chernomorets
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
KAMAZ
1.03
FK Neftekhimik
1.09
Ural
1.12
Enisey
1.15
Ska-khabarovsk
1.21
FK Sokol Saratov
1.21
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.24
Chayka
1.26
FC UFA
1.41
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.47
Tyumen
1.50
Ska-khabarovsk is 0.21 goals worse than FC Sochi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
51%
Enisey
49%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ska-khabarovsk
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FC Sochi
For 5.7 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 11.0 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ska-khabarovsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
2.7
2.8
2.7
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
2.0
3.0
1.5
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
-
-
-
2.8
2.8
2.8
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
30%
36%
25%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
70%
64%
75%
-
-
-
This opponent (FC Sochi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sochi
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.9
8.0
2.9
2.5
3.2
23.1
21.6
24.5
vs Stronger (9)
9.0
10.4
7.2
3.4
3.4
3.5
20.1
22.2
17.5
vs Similar (35)
8.9
9.5
8.4
2.8
2.2
3.3
25.1
21.2
28.0
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
2.5
2.8
2.0
-
-
-
% over line
35%
55%
17%
40%
35%
46%
65%
55%
75%
% under line
65%
45%
83%
60%
65%
54%
35%
45%
25%
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Shinnik Yaroslavl
11.7
Ural
10.7
Arsenal Tula
10.3
Baltika
10.2
FK Neftekhimik
10.1
Chernomorets
9.9
FC Sochi
9.4
KAMAZ
9.3
Enisey
9.1
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
Rodina Moskva
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.7
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Torpedo Moskva
7.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
4.8
FC UFA
4.6
Ural
4.0
Rodina Moskva
3.9
Enisey
3.7
Torpedo Moskva
3.7
Ska-khabarovsk
3.7
Baltika
3.7
Tyumen
3.6
FC Sochi
3.6
Chernomorets
3.6
FK Neftekhimik
3.5
Chayka
3.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.3
Rotor Volgograd
3.1
Arsenal Tula
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.0
FK Sokol Saratov
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
23.7
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Ural
23.3
Baltika
22.3
FC Sochi
22.2
Torpedo Moskva
20.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
38.6%
Under 9.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.4%
Under 3.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
3.0%
Under 21.5
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ska-khabarovsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.83
0.58
0.44
0.72
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.64
0.83
0.58
0.50
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sochi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sochi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.47
1.06
0.35
0.46
0.62
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.39
1.08
0.33
0.45
0.45
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.25
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sochi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sochi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sochi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ska-khabarovsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.75
0.50
0.33
0.61
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (28)
0.54
0.57
0.75
0.50
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sochi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sochi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.50
1.12
0.53
1.00
0.46
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.48
0.83
0.50
0.82
0.45
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
0.33
2.00
0.25
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sochi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sochi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sochi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 23.5 fouls
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 21.5 fouls
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 19.5 fouls
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Sochi · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vladimir Iljin18%
Ignacio Saavedra17%
Martin Kramarič17%
François Kamano13%
Anton Zinkovskiy11%
Mikhail Ignatov8%
Dmitriy Vasiljev8%
Kirill Kravtsov6%
Marcelo Alves6%
Maksim Mukhin5%
Aleksandr Soldatenkov5%
Zakhar Fedorov5%
Kirill Zaika4%
Roman Ezhov0%
Vyacheslav Litvinov0%
Artem Makarchuk0%
Ruslan Magal0%
Yury Dyupin0%
Nemanja Stojić0%
Yahia Attiyat Allah0%
Aleksandr Osipov0%
Saúl Guarirapa0%
Gustavo Furtado0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nabil Aberdin0%
Ruslan Bart0%
Pavel Meleshin0%
Aleksandr Degtev0%
Artem Korneev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yahia Attiyat Allah50%
Vyacheslav Litvinov36%
Marcelo Alves33%
Gustavo Furtado33%
Nabil Aberdin29%
Kirill Zaika24%
Artem Makarchuk24%
Dmitriy Vasiljev21%
Kirill Kravtsov19%
Vladimir Iljin18%
Saúl Guarirapa17%
Aleksandr Soldatenkov14%
Sergey Volkov14%
Roman Ezhov12%
Aleksandr Degtev12%
Ignacio Saavedra11%
Anton Zinkovskiy11%
Martin Kramarič11%
Yury Dyupin10%
Maksim Mukhin10%
Zakhar Fedorov10%
Aleksandr Kovalenko9%
Mikhail Ignatov8%
François Kamano7%
Ruslan Magal0%
Nemanja Stojić0%
Aleksandr Osipov0%
Ruslan Bart0%
Pavel Meleshin0%
Artem Korneev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ruslan Magal19%
Vladimir Iljin18%
Gustavo Furtado17%
Yahia Attiyat Allah12%
Anton Zinkovskiy11%
François Kamano7%
Artem Makarchuk6%
Ignacio Saavedra6%
Sergey Volkov5%
Mikhail Ignatov4%
Dmitriy Vasiljev4%
Kirill Zaika0%
Aleksandr Soldatenkov0%
Roman Ezhov0%
Vyacheslav Litvinov0%
Yury Dyupin0%
Martin Kramarič0%
Nemanja Stojić0%
Aleksandr Osipov0%
Maksim Mukhin0%
Saúl Guarirapa0%
Kirill Kravtsov0%
Marcelo Alves0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nabil Aberdin0%
Ruslan Bart0%
Pavel Meleshin0%
Zakhar Fedorov0%
Aleksandr Degtev0%
Artem Korneev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vladimir Iljin27%
Kirill Kravtsov12%
Ignacio Saavedra11%
Anton Zinkovskiy7%
Vyacheslav Litvinov7%
Mikhail Ignatov4%
François Kamano0%
Kirill Zaika0%
Aleksandr Soldatenkov0%
Roman Ezhov0%
Artem Makarchuk0%
Ruslan Magal0%
Yury Dyupin0%
Martin Kramarič0%
Nemanja Stojić0%
Yahia Attiyat Allah0%
Aleksandr Osipov0%
Maksim Mukhin0%
Saúl Guarirapa0%
Marcelo Alves0%
Gustavo Furtado0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nabil Aberdin0%
Dmitriy Vasiljev0%
Ruslan Bart0%
Pavel Meleshin0%
Zakhar Fedorov0%
Aleksandr Degtev0%
Artem Korneev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (31)
€30m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Ska-khabarovsk's squad is €9m less valuable than FC Sochi's (€6m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (10)
€10m
RM (11)
€7m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
Ska-khabarovsk's attack is €3m less valuable than FC Sochi's (€2m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (6)
€6m
RM (4)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Ska-khabarovsk and FC Sochi have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (15)
€15m
FS (11)
€9m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
AT (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
Ska-khabarovsk's defence is €6m less valuable than FC Sochi's (€3m vs €9m).
Russia: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →
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Baltika
Torpedo Moskva
Chernomorets
Ural
Rodina Moskva
Enisey
Rotor Volgograd
Arsenal Tula
KAMAZ
FK Neftekhimik
Chayka
FC UFA
Shinnik Yaroslavl
FK Sokol Saratov
Tyumen
Alaniya Vladikavkaz