Spartak Kostroma's recent form note highlights a draw against Enisey, coming off a 2-2 scoreline. However, Ska-khabarovsk's recent form is concerning, having suffered three consecutive defeats, including a 0-3 loss to Ural.
The model predicts an away win, with a 38% probability, while the home win percentage is 33% and the draw percentage is 29%. The expected total goals are 2.6, with the most likely total goals being 2. The single most likely correct score is 1-1, with a probability of 13.9%.
Spartak Kostroma has averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded when playing away against similar opponents, while Ska-khabarovsk has averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.25 conceded at home.
The model's selection for Under 9.5 corners offers an edge of 44%, while the selection for Over 1.5 goals has a 6% edge. The model also selects Under 21.5 fouls, Under 9.5 corners, and Under 3.5 goals, with probabilities of 100%, 100%, and 74.2% respectively.
The win extends Ska-khabarovsk's run of four consecutive defeats. The final score was 1-3, with the away team, Spartak Kostroma, securing the actual result. The model's call of an away win was correct, as indicated by the actual result. The model's selection, an away win, had a pre-match probability of 38%. The model's selection was correct. The model's selection of Over 1.5 hit, with a probability of 74%. Under 3.5, with a probability of 74.2%, missed.
Ska-khabarovsk| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.90 | 1.53 | 1.00 | 1.36 | 0.81 | 1.69 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.67 | 2.33 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.93 | 1.44 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.87 | 1.67 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-14pp vs league) | |||||
Spartak Kostroma| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.23 | 1.23 | 1.27 | 1.07 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (21) | 1.33 | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.09 | 1.30 | 1.70 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 1.00 | 0.89 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Clean sheet % | 13% (-21pp vs league) | |||||
| Spartak Kostroma goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 14% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Ska-khabarovsk
Spartak Kostroma
Ska-khabarovsk| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.7 | - | 8.7 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.8 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (5) | - | - | - | 2.4 | 1.8 | 5.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (45) | 8.7 | - | 8.7 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.7 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 67% | - | 67% | 30% | 31% | 29% | - | - | - |
| % under line | 33% | - | 33% | 70% | 69% | 71% | - | - | - |
Spartak Kostroma| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (42) | 10.5 | - | 10.5 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (32) | 9.0 | - | 9.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.1 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (10) | 12.0 | - | 12.0 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 2.3 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 50% | - | 50% | 31% | 30% | 32% | - | - | - |
| % under line | 50% | - | 50% | 69% | 70% | 68% | - | - | - |
Ska-khabarovsk| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.43 | 0.90 | 0.50 | 0.86 | 0.38 | 0.94 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.48 | 0.78 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.40 | 0.93 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+16pp vs league) | |||||
Spartak Kostroma| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.50 | 0.70 | 0.53 | 0.80 | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.48 | 0.67 | 0.55 | 0.73 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 0.56 | 0.78 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
Ska-khabarovsk| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.47 | 0.63 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.44 | 0.75 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.44 | 0.67 | 0.42 | 0.58 | 0.47 | 0.73 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+16pp vs league) | |||||
Spartak Kostroma| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.53 | 0.73 | 0.27 | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.86 | 0.71 | 0.82 | 0.36 | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 0.44 | 0.11 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 cards | 84.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 3.5 | 74.2% | 1.20 | 1.24 | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | -2.1% | ✗ Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | +6.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 72.9% | 1.18 | 1.19 | 1.16 | - | - | - | -3.8% | - |
| Under 4.5 cards | 70.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 24/08/25 | H | 1-2 |
Ska-khabarovsk| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 26/07/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 20/07/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 05/04/26 | H | 1-1 |
Spartak Kostroma| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 25/07/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 01/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 22/04/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 2-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Sochi | 7 | 18 | 86% | 2.6 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 3.3 | 86% | 86% | 29% | 10.5 | 100% | 5.5 | 100% | - | 0% | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 54% |
| 2 | Nizhny Novgorod | 7 | 16 | 71% | 2.3 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 4.4 | 100% | 100% | 71% | 11.0 | 100% | 4.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 50% |
| 3 | Veles | 7 | 15 | 71% | 2.1 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 3.0 | 86% | 57% | 29% | 4.5 | 0% | 3.5 | 50% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 54% |
| 4 | Ural | 6 | 12 | 50% | 2.0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 2.3 | 83% | 50% | 17% | 6.0 | 0% | 4.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 40% |
| 5 | FC UFA | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.2 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 10.5 | 100% | 4.0 | 100% | 27.0 | 100% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 46% |
| 6 | Torpedo Moskva | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 2.5 | 83% | 50% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | - |
| 7 | Rotor Volgograd | 7 | 10 | 43% | 1.4 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 2.4 | 71% | 43% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 6 | 9 | 33% | 1.5 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 2.5 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | - |
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 8 | 9 | 25% | 1.1 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 2.5 | 62% | 50% | 38% | 8.5 | 50% | 5.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 52% |
| 10 | FK Neftekhimik | 8 | 9 | 38% | 1.1 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2.1 | 50% | 25% | 12% | 8.5 | 50% | 4.5 | 100% | 27.0 | 100% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 54% |
| 11 | Enisey | 6 | 7 | 17% | 1.2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 2.8 | 67% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | - |
| 12 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 2.7 | 83% | 50% | 33% | 6.0 | 0% | 5.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 52% |
| 13 | Spartak Kostroma | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 2.6 | 80% | 60% | 40% | 12.0 | 100% | 5.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 49% |
| 14 | Leningradets | 6 | 6 | 17% | 1.0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 0% | 12.5 | 100% | 4.0 | 50% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 50% |
| 15 | KAMAZ | 7 | 5 | 14% | 0.7 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 2.6 | 71% | 43% | 29% | 15.0 | 100% | 3.0 | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 46% |
| 16 | Tekstilshchik | 7 | 5 | 14% | 0.7 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1.3 | 29% | 14% | 14% | 9.0 | 50% | 5.5 | 100% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 49% |
| 17 | Chelyabinsk | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3.2 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 11.0 | 100% | 4.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 50% |
| 18 | Ska-khabarovsk | 7 | 3 | 14% | 0.4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2.7 | 71% | 43% | 29% | 6.5 | 50% | 2.5 | 50% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 46% |