Ska-khabarovsk, fresh from a 2-4 loss to Nizhny Novgorod, is struggling to find form at home, while Torpedo Moskva, riding a two-game winning streak that ended with a 3-0 victory over Spartak Kostroma, looks poised to capitalize on their recent momentum. The model’s strongest edge lies in the away win, with a 46 % probability versus 24 % for a home win and 30 % for a draw, making the away victory the clear favourite. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14 % chance. Home side Ska-khabarovsk averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.23 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Torpedo Moskva averages 1.1 scored and 1.0 conceded on the road. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Under 6.5 (99.0 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.9 %), Home under 3.5 goals (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.5 %), Under 5.5 (96.9 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.5 %), Away under 3.5 goals (94.9 %) with an 8 % edge.
Results analysis
The win extends Ska-khabarovsk’s recent run of two straight defeats, while Torpedo Moskva continues a three-game winning streak. The final score was 0-2, confirming the away victory that the model predicted with a 46% probability. The model’s favourite, Away win, was correct. The suggested picks all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.7%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.0%, Under 6.5 at 99.0%, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.3%, Under 5.5 at 96.9% and Away under 3.5 goals at 94.9%. The model’s selections performed exceptionally well, matching the actual outcome across all choices.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ska-khabarovsk win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied 17.0% · @ 5.42
Edge
+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.66
Dafabet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.50
Pinnacle
5.38
Superbet
5.35
Draw✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.77
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.90
Pinnacle
3.89
Dafabet
3.85
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.78
Torpedo Moskva win✓ Hit
45.8%
Avg Implied 58.6% · @ 1.57
Edge
-12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.58
Dafabet
1.55
Superbet
1.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ska-khabarovsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.60
1.07
1.40
0.93
1.80
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.33
1.00
2.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.04
1.52
1.08
1.23
1.00
1.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Moskva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.00
1.61
1.06
1.17
0.92
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.38
1.00
1.56
1.00
1.10
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
1.00
2.00
1.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.6%
@ 1.32-0.5%
Under 1.5
31.4%
@ 2.96+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Under
Pinnacle
3.17
Superbet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.8%
@ 2.11-3.8%
Under 2.5
59.2%
@ 1.70+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
Superbet
2.02
Under
1xBet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.4%
@ 3.69-4.4%
Under 3.5
79.6%
@ 1.22+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.89
1xBet
3.72
Marathonbet
3.72
Superbet
3.45
Under
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.8%
@ 2.08+2.4%
No
53.2%
@ 1.66-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
No
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.65
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 6.67+7.6%
0-1
12.3%@ 5.18+4.0%
0-0
11.1%@ 8.43+6.0%
0-2 ✓
9.4%@ 6.23+2.5%
1-2
8.8%@ 7.81+3.3%
1-0
8.0%@ 11.92+4.4%
2-1
6.0%@ 18.00+3.6%
2-0
4.3%@ 31.17+3.0%
Ska-khabarovsk goals ↓
Torpedo Moskva goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
12%
9.4%
4.3%
1.5%
1
8.0%
14%
8.8%
4.0%
1.4%
2
4.3%
6.0%
4.1%
1.9%
0.7%
3
1.4%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ska-khabarovsk goals (down), columns = Torpedo Moskva goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Ska-khabarovsk is 1.24 points worse than Torpedo Moskva in terms of average points per game (0.43 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Ska-khabarovsk is 1.12 goals worse than Torpedo Moskva in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Ska-khabarovsk is 1.33 goals worse than Torpedo Moskva in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ska-khabarovsk
For 4.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 7.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Torpedo Moskva
For 2.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Ska-khabarovsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.2
3.0
8.7
2.2
1.8
2.6
-
-
-
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
2.4
1.8
5.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
7.2
3.0
8.7
2.2
1.9
2.5
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
0%
67%
26%
23%
29%
-
-
-
% under line
50%
100%
33%
74%
77%
71%
-
-
-
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Moskva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
11.0
6.0
2.3
2.2
2.4
32.0
-
32.0
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (42)
8.5
11.0
6.0
2.3
2.0
2.7
32.0
-
32.0
vs Weaker (7)
-
-
-
2.4
3.3
1.8
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
32%
35%
29%
100%
-
100%
% under line
50%
0%
100%
68%
65%
71%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
Arsenal Tula
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Ural
8.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
30.2%
@ 1.95-17.5%
Under 9.5
69.8%
@ 1.77+17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
47.3%
Under 3.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.9%
Under 21.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ska-khabarovsk or Draw✗ Miss
54.2%
Avg Implied 41.2% · @ 2.24
Edge
+13.0%
24%
30%
46%
covers Ska-khabarovsk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.25
Superbet
2.22
SBO
2.20
Ska-khabarovsk or Torpedo Moskva✓ Hit
70.1%
Avg Implied 75.6% · @ 1.22
Edge
-5.5%
24%
30%
46%
covers Ska-khabarovsk + Torpedo Moskva
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.21
SBO
1.18
Draw or Torpedo Moskva✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied 83.2% · @ 1.11
Edge
-7.5%
24%
30%
46%
covers Draw + Torpedo Moskva
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
SBO
1.06
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
60.9%
@ 1.74+7.5%
Under
39.1%
@ 1.99-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
24.2%
@ 4.73+4.7%
Under
75.8%
@ 1.14-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
Superbet
4.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 11.00-93.1%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.8%
@ 1.14-5.2%
Under
25.2%
@ 4.55+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Under
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.40
Torpedo Moskva over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.1%
@ 1.84-10.6%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.89+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
Superbet
1.77
Under
Superbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Torpedo Moskva over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.1%
@ 3.64-9.1%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.23+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.88
1xBet
3.72
Marathonbet
3.72
Superbet
3.25
Under
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Torpedo Moskva over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 8.20-5.9%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.02+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Marathonbet
8.20
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ska-khabarovsk, so a minus line means Ska-khabarovsk give that many goals of a start and Torpedo Moskva receive them. At -1, Ska-khabarovsk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ska-khabarovsk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ska-khabarovsk)Actual: Torpedo Moskva
Ska-khabarovsk -2
2.4%
Draw -2
6.5%
Torpedo Moskva +2
91.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ska-khabarovsk)Actual: Torpedo Moskva
Ska-khabarovsk -1
8.9%
@ 7.60-1.5%
Draw -1
15.4%
@ 4.20-3.5%
Torpedo Moskva +1
75.7%
@ 1.12+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.60
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Away
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap +1 (Ska-khabarovsk)Actual: Torpedo Moskva
Ska-khabarovsk +1
54.2%
@ 2.25+14.6%
Draw +1
23.2%
@ 3.24-4.3%
Torpedo Moskva -1
22.6%
@ 2.71-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.25
Draw
Marathonbet
3.24
Away
Marathonbet
2.71
Handicap +2 (Ska-khabarovsk)Actual: Draw
Ska-khabarovsk +2
77.4%
@ 1.36+12.3%
Draw +2
14.1%
@ 4.70-4.7%
Torpedo Moskva -2
8.4%
@ 5.55-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.36
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Marathonbet
5.55
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ska-khabarovsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.93
0.53
0.80
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.81
0.62
0.54
0.43
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Moskva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.78
0.44
0.33
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.62
0.81
0.50
0.30
0.80
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.5%
@ 1.41+1.8%
Under 0.5
32.5%
@ 2.69-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.37
Under
Pinnacle
2.78
Superbet
2.67
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.8%
@ 3.02+0.2%
Under 1.5
69.2%
@ 1.33-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.19
1xBet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
Superbet
2.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.4%
@ 7.30-1.0%
Under 2.5
88.6%
@ 1.03+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.80
Superbet
6.30
Under
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.8%
@ 3.09+8.9%
Under
61.2%
@ 1.32-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.32
Marathonbet
3.08
1xBet
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Under
1xBet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
48.5%
@ 1.73-5.1%
Under
51.5%
@ 2.00+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.69
Under
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
Marathonbet
1.94
Torpedo Moskva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.3%
@ 4.85-4.8%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.14+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
4.60
Under
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
Torpedo Moskva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ska-khabarovsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.53
0.60
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.70
0.46
0.69
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torpedo Moskva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.43
0.83
0.61
0.83
0.17
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.38
0.75
0.50
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
1.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.2%
@ 1.24+2.2%
Under 0.5
24.8%
@ 3.36-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Under
Marathonbet
3.36
1xBet
3.36
Superbet
3.35
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.4%
@ 2.29+1.9%
Under 1.5
57.6%
@ 1.56-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Superbet
2.25
Under
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.56
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.0%
@ 5.00-1.2%
Under 2.5
83.0%
@ 1.11+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Superbet
4.60
Under
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.2%
@ 2.54+10.0%
Under
53.8%
@ 1.44-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.58
1xBet
2.55
Superbet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.0%
@ 10.10+3.9%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.01-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
9.70
Under
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
54.4%
@ 1.50-6.8%
Under
45.6%
@ 2.38+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.35
Torpedo Moskva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
17.9%
@ 3.52-8.3%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.25+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
Torpedo Moskva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 9.40-4.4%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
Under
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.9%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.9%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.7%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.4%
1.05
Pinnacle
1.10
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.03
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
87.7%
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
-
-
-
+14.2%
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
-3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.7%
1.14
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
83.9%
1.23
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
-
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.0%
1.11
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.1%
1.25
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
-
-
-
+8.3%
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
80.1%
1.45
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
-
-
+16.8%
-
Under 3.5
79.6%
1.22
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
77.4%
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
-
-
-
-
+12.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
75.8%
1.14
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.13
-
-
-4.7%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
75.7%
1.11
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
SBO
1.06
-
-7.5%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
75.7%
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.2%
1.24
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
74.8%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
-
-
-
-5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.1%
1.22
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.21
SBO
1.18
-
-5.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Torpedo Moskva · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ilya Stefanovich38%
André20%
Stefan Šapić20%
Aleksei Pomerko12%
Ilya Kukharchuk11%
Mihail Caimacov10%
Igor Lebedenko9%
Yordy Reyna8%
David Karaev7%
Igor Smolnikov6%
Mario Ćurić6%
Ravil Netfullin5%
Ilya Kutepov0%
Roman Yuzepchuk0%
Denis Laptev0%
Damien Le Tallec0%
Márk Koszta0%
Evgeni Shlyakov0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Oleg Kozhemyakin0%
Egor Proshkin0%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev0%
Mukhammad Sultonov0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Egor Baburin0%
Ivan Temnikov0%
Bojan Roganović0%
Ivan Enin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Khozhimat Erkinov0%
Artem Samsonov0%
Aleksandr Orekhov0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Maksim Turishchev0%
Jajá0%
Igor Savić0%
Bogdan Reichman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ilya Kutepov56%
Artem Samsonov45%
Bojan Roganović38%
Evgeni Shlyakov38%
Igor Savić33%
Aleksei Pomerko25%
Ivan Temnikov25%
Bogdan Reichman25%
Damien Le Tallec22%
André20%
Stefan Šapić20%
Khozhimat Erkinov20%
Aleksandr Orekhov20%
Mario Ćurić18%
Igor Lebedenko17%
Ravil Netfullin14%
Ivan Enin14%
Igor Smolnikov12%
David Karaev10%
Mihail Caimacov10%
Egor Baburin10%
Roman Yuzepchuk8%
Egor Proshkin8%
Maksim Turishchev8%
Oleg Kozhemyakin4%
Yordy Reyna0%
Denis Laptev0%
Márk Koszta0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Ilya Kukharchuk0%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev0%
Mukhammad Sultonov0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Ilya Stefanovich0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Jajá0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yordy Reyna17%
Roman Yuzepchuk17%
Ilya Kukharchuk11%
Maksim Turishchev8%
David Karaev7%
Igor Smolnikov6%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev6%
Mario Ćurić6%
Khozhimat Erkinov5%
Artem Samsonov5%
Igor Lebedenko4%
Ilya Kutepov0%
Denis Laptev0%
André0%
Mihail Caimacov0%
Damien Le Tallec0%
Márk Koszta0%
Aleksei Pomerko0%
Evgeni Shlyakov0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Oleg Kozhemyakin0%
Egor Proshkin0%
Ravil Netfullin0%
Mukhammad Sultonov0%
Stefan Šapić0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Egor Baburin0%
Ivan Temnikov0%
Bojan Roganović0%
Ivan Enin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Aleksandr Orekhov0%
Ilya Stefanovich0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Jajá0%
Igor Savić0%
Bogdan Reichman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jajá14%
David Karaev14%
Mukhammad Sultonov11%
Yordy Reyna8%
Ilya Stefanovich8%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev6%
Khozhimat Erkinov5%
Ravil Netfullin5%
Artem Samsonov5%
Maksim Turishchev4%
Igor Smolnikov0%
Ilya Kutepov0%
Roman Yuzepchuk0%
Denis Laptev0%
André0%
Mihail Caimacov0%
Mario Ćurić0%
Damien Le Tallec0%
Márk Koszta0%
Aleksei Pomerko0%
Evgeni Shlyakov0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Oleg Kozhemyakin0%
Egor Proshkin0%
Ilya Kukharchuk0%
Igor Lebedenko0%
Stefan Šapić0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Egor Baburin0%
Ivan Temnikov0%
Bojan Roganović0%
Ivan Enin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Aleksandr Orekhov0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Igor Savić0%
Bogdan Reichman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Ska-khabarovsk's squad is €4m less valuable than Torpedo Moskva's (€6m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Ska-khabarovsk's attack is €3m less valuable than Torpedo Moskva's (€2m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Ska-khabarovsk and Torpedo Moskva have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Ska-khabarovsk's defence is €2m less valuable than Torpedo Moskva's (€3m vs €4m).
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →