Ska-khabarovsk, currently on a rollercoaster of results, faces Veles, who have found some momentum with two consecutive wins. This match has seen a recent shift in form for both teams, with Ska-khabarovsk enduring four straight defeats before a last-minute win, and Veles enjoying a 2-game winning run.
The model predicts a home win, with a 47% probability of Ska-khabarovsk taking the three points. The probability of a draw is 27%, while Veles winning stands at 26%. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely total number of goals being 2.
The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring with a probability of 12.8%.
At home, Ska-khabarovsk averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.11 conceded against similar opponents. On the road, Veles averages 1.43 goals scored and 2.86 conceded against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.8% probability, offering a 13% edge. The model also suggests the Home win with a 47% probability, and the Draw with a 27% probability. Additionally, the model suggests the Away win with a 26% probability.
The win extends Ska-khabarovsk's run of form, following a 2-0 victory over Veles. The final score was a convincing 2-0, resulting in a home win. The model correctly predicted this outcome, backing the home team to win with a pre-match probability of 47%. The model's selection, a home win, was the favourite.
The model's Over 1.5 pick, with a 77.8% probability, hit, while the most likely score of 2-1 had a 9.5% probability. The most likely total goals were 2, with a 25% probability.
Ska-khabarovsk| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.90 | 1.53 | 1.00 | 1.47 | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.67 | 2.33 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.93 | 1.44 | 1.00 | 1.31 | 0.86 | 1.57 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-14pp vs league) | |||||
Veles| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.23 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 0.80 | 1.13 | 2.53 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (25) | 1.28 | 1.76 | 1.38 | 0.77 | 1.17 | 2.83 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-11pp vs league) | |||||
| Veles goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 13% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Ska-khabarovsk
Veles
Ska-khabarovsk| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.7 | - | 8.7 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.7 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (5) | - | - | - | 2.4 | 1.8 | 5.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (45) | 8.7 | - | 8.7 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.6 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 67% | - | 67% | 30% | 30% | 30% | - | - | - |
| % under line | 33% | - | 33% | 70% | 70% | 70% | - | - | - |
Veles| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (42) | 9.4 | 8.8 | 10.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (8) | 10.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (34) | 9.3 | 8.9 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 36% | 38% | 33% | 24% | 27% | 20% | - | - | - |
| % under line | 64% | 62% | 67% | 76% | 73% | 80% | - | - | - |
Ska-khabarovsk| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.40 | 0.83 | 0.47 | 0.80 | 0.33 | 0.87 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.44 | 0.70 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.36 | 0.86 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+19pp vs league) | |||||
Veles| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.50 | 0.70 | 0.53 | 0.33 | 0.47 | 1.07 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| vs Similar (25) | 0.56 | 0.76 | 0.62 | 0.31 | 0.50 | 1.25 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+16pp vs league) | |||||
Ska-khabarovsk| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.50 | 0.70 | 0.53 | 0.67 | 0.47 | 0.73 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.48 | 0.74 | 0.46 | 0.77 | 0.50 | 0.71 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+16pp vs league) | |||||
Veles| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.97 | 0.80 | 0.47 | 0.67 | 1.47 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.80 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (25) | 0.72 | 1.00 | 0.77 | 0.46 | 0.67 | 1.58 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 cards | 83.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 77.8% | 1.41 | 1.44 | 1.43 | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | +12.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 76.3% | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | -2.9% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 70.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/23 | A | 1-0 | |
| 23/10/22 | H | 6-0 |
Ska-khabarovsk| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 02/08/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 26/07/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 20/07/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 2-2 |
Veles| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 03/08/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 26/07/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 16/10/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 24/09/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 10/09/25 | A | 1-4 | |
| 20/08/25 | H | 2-0 | |
| 20/08/24 | H | 0-2 | |
| 03/06/23 | A | 2-1 | |
| 27/05/23 | H | 1-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Sochi | 7 | 18 | 86% | 2.6 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 3.3 | 86% | 86% | 29% | 10.5 | 100% | 5.5 | 100% | - | 0% | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 54% |
| 2 | Nizhny Novgorod | 7 | 16 | 71% | 2.3 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 4.4 | 100% | 100% | 71% | 11.0 | 100% | 4.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 50% |
| 3 | Veles | 7 | 15 | 71% | 2.1 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 3.0 | 86% | 57% | 29% | 4.5 | 0% | 3.5 | 50% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 54% |
| 4 | Ural | 6 | 12 | 50% | 2.0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 2.3 | 83% | 50% | 17% | 6.0 | 0% | 4.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 40% |
| 5 | FC UFA | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.2 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 10.5 | 100% | 4.0 | 100% | 27.0 | 100% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 46% |
| 6 | Torpedo Moskva | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 2.5 | 83% | 50% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | - |
| 7 | Rotor Volgograd | 8 | 10 | 38% | 1.2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 2.2 | 62% | 38% | 12% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 6 | 9 | 33% | 1.5 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 2.5 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | - |
| 9 | Spartak Kostroma | 6 | 9 | 33% | 1.5 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.3 | 67% | 50% | 33% | 12.0 | 100% | 5.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 49% |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 8 | 9 | 25% | 1.1 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 2.5 | 62% | 50% | 38% | 8.5 | 50% | 5.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 52% |
| 11 | FK Neftekhimik | 8 | 9 | 38% | 1.1 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2.1 | 50% | 25% | 12% | 8.5 | 50% | 4.5 | 100% | 27.0 | 100% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 54% |
| 12 | Enisey | 6 | 7 | 17% | 1.2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 2.8 | 67% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | - |
| 13 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 2.7 | 83% | 50% | 33% | 6.0 | 0% | 5.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 52% |
| 14 | Leningradets | 6 | 6 | 17% | 1.0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 0% | 12.5 | 100% | 4.0 | 50% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 50% |
| 15 | KAMAZ | 7 | 5 | 14% | 0.7 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 2.6 | 71% | 43% | 29% | 15.0 | 100% | 3.0 | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 46% |
| 16 | Tekstilshchik | 7 | 5 | 14% | 0.7 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1.3 | 29% | 14% | 14% | 9.0 | 50% | 5.5 | 100% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 49% |
| 17 | Chelyabinsk | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3.2 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 11.0 | 100% | 4.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 50% |
| 18 | Ska-khabarovsk | 7 | 3 | 14% | 0.4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2.7 | 71% | 43% | 29% | 6.5 | 50% | 2.5 | 50% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 46% |