Skála’s defensive solidity is the story to open with: they concede just 0.4 goals per game at home, while AB has let in 0.62 away. The model sees a tight, low-scoring affair, with an expected 2.0 goals and a 28% chance of exactly two goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Skála, a 15.5% probability. The match-result probabilities are 45% for a home win, 33% for a draw and 22% for an away win, making a Skála victory the favourite. Skála’s average of 2.6 goals scored at home versus similar opposition contrasts with AB’s 1.25 away, and AB’s 0.62 conceded shows they are vulnerable. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.2%), Under 5.5 (98.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.7%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.7%), Under 4.5 (95.1%) and Home +2 handicap (92.8%). These reflect a defensive, low-scoring match with Skála the clear edge.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Skála win
44.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
32.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AB win
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Skála
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
3.03
0.90
3.29
0.36
2.81
1.38
vs Stronger (8)
2.38
2.00
3.25
0.50
1.50
3.50
vs Similar (12)
2.50
0.75
2.60
0.40
2.43
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
4.20
0.20
4.00
0.20
4.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
0.97
2.50
1.21
1.75
0.75
vs Stronger (10)
2.60
1.30
3.40
1.40
1.80
1.20
vs Similar (13)
1.46
0.85
1.80
1.20
1.25
0.62
vs Weaker (7)
2.57
0.71
2.25
1.00
3.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
59.6%
Under 1.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
31.2%
Under 2.5
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
13.5%
Under 3.5
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
38.7%
No
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.4%
1-0
15.4%
1-1
14.2%
2-0
9.9%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
Skála goals ↓
AB goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
9.7%
4.3%
1.1%
0.2%
1
15%
14%
5.0%
1.3%
0.3%
2
9.9%
7.7%
3.0%
0.8%
0.1%
3
3.9%
3.0%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.1%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skála goals (down), columns = AB goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.75
NSI Runavik
1.88
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
07 Vestur
1.38
Skála
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.12
EB / Streymur
1.00
AB
0.75
B68
0.50
Skála is 0.62 points better than AB in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 0.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.62
NSI Runavik
2.25
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
EB / Streymur
1.50
07 Vestur
1.25
Skála
1.12
AB
1.12
B36 Torshavn
0.75
B68
0.50
Skála and AB are level in goals scored per game (both 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.50
KI Klaksvik
1.14
B68
1.25
NSI Runavik
1.38
07 Vestur
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.38
Vikingur Gota
1.43
Skála
1.75
EB / Streymur
2.00
AB
2.00
Skála is 0.25 goals better than AB in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Skála or Draw
77.1%
Avg Implied -
44%
33%
23%
covers Skála + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Skála or AB
67.1%
Avg Implied -
44%
33%
23%
covers Skála + AB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or AB
55.8%
Avg Implied -
44%
33%
23%
covers Draw + AB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Skála over/under 0.5
Over
69.3%
Under
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5
Over
33.1%
Under
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5
Over
11.7%
Under
88.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 3.5
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 0.5
Over
54.0%
Under
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5
Over
18.3%
Under
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 3.5
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Skála, so a minus line means Skála give that many goals of a start and AB receive them. At -1, Skála must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Skála win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Skála)
Skála -2
6.6%
Draw -2
13.2%
AB +2
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Skála)
Skála -1
19.9%
Draw -1
24.3%
AB +1
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Skála)
Skála +1
77.1%
Draw +1
15.5%
AB -1
7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Skála)
Skála +2
92.6%
Draw +2
5.7%
AB -2
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Skála
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.57
1.43
0.21
1.12
0.88
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.12
1.25
0.25
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.58
0.80
0.40
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (10)
2.00
0.10
2.20
0.00
1.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.33
1.21
0.50
0.94
0.19
vs Stronger (10)
1.30
0.30
1.40
0.40
1.20
0.20
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.31
0.80
0.40
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.43
1.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skála over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Skála
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
0.33
1.86
0.14
1.69
0.50
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
0.88
2.00
0.25
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (12)
1.67
0.17
1.80
0.00
1.57
0.29
vs Weaker (10)
2.20
0.10
1.80
0.20
2.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.63
1.29
0.71
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (10)
1.30
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.54
1.00
0.80
0.50
0.38
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.29
0.75
0.25
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skála over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
AB (18)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
Skála and AB have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
AB (3)
€0m
Skála and AB have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
AB (8)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
Skála and AB have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
AB (7)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
Skála and AB have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →