Skála’s recent 2-game winning streak is tempered by a home form that shows they can score plenty - 3.25 goals per game - but they concede only 0.5, and the model still rates HB Torshavn as the clear favourite, largely because the away side is playing on a weaker ground and averages 3.56 goals while conceding 1.0 against similar opponents. The model pick is an away win, with a 64% probability, followed by a 21% draw and a 15% home win. The expected total is 3.2 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 0-2 for HB Torshavn, a 10.1% chance. Skála will likely score 3.25 and concede 0.5 at home, while HB Torshavn will score 3.56 and concede 1.0 on the road. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.2%), Under 6.5 (95.7%), Away +2 handicap (94.7%), Home under 2.5 goals (92.3%), Under 5.5 (89.7%), Away over 0.5 goals (88.9%) and Draw or Away (85.2%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Skála win
12.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn win
67.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Skála
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
3.03
0.90
3.29
0.36
2.81
1.38
vs Stronger (8)
2.38
2.00
3.25
0.50
1.50
3.50
vs Similar (12)
2.50
0.75
2.60
0.40
2.43
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
4.20
0.20
4.00
0.20
4.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Torshavn
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.50
0.97
2.33
1.20
2.67
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.77
1.08
1.83
1.83
1.71
0.43
vs Weaker (17)
3.06
0.88
2.67
0.78
3.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.2%
Under 2.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.8%
Under 3.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
9.1%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
7.3%
0-0
5.3%
0-4
4.7%
Skála goals ↓
HB Torshavn goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
9.1%
11%
8.3%
4.7%
1
3.0%
9.6%
9.7%
7.3%
4.1%
2
1.7%
3.8%
4.3%
3.2%
1.8%
3
0.5%
1.1%
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skála goals (down), columns = HB Torshavn goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.75
NSI Runavik
1.88
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
07 Vestur
1.38
Skála
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.12
EB / Streymur
1.00
AB
0.75
B68
0.50
Skála is 1.38 points worse than HB Torshavn in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 2.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.62
NSI Runavik
2.25
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
EB / Streymur
1.50
07 Vestur
1.25
Skála
1.12
AB
1.12
B36 Torshavn
0.75
B68
0.50
Skála is 1.50 goals worse than HB Torshavn in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 2.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.50
KI Klaksvik
1.14
B68
1.25
NSI Runavik
1.38
07 Vestur
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.38
Vikingur Gota
1.43
Skála
1.75
EB / Streymur
2.00
AB
2.00
Skála is 1.25 goals worse than HB Torshavn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Skála or Draw
32.6%
Avg Implied -
12%
20%
67%
covers Skála + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Skála or HB Torshavn
79.8%
Avg Implied -
12%
20%
67%
covers Skála + HB Torshavn
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or HB Torshavn
87.6%
Avg Implied -
12%
20%
67%
covers Draw + HB Torshavn
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Skála over/under 0.5
Over
58.3%
Under
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5
Over
21.8%
Under
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 3.5
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5
Over
89.3%
Under
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5
Over
65.5%
Under
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5
Over
38.8%
Under
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 3.5
Over
18.8%
Under
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Skála, so a minus line means Skála give that many goals of a start and HB Torshavn receive them. At -1, Skála must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Skála win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Skála)
Skála -2
1.0%
Draw -2
3.1%
HB Torshavn +2
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Skála)
Skála -1
4.1%
Draw -1
8.3%
HB Torshavn +1
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Skála)
Skála +1
32.6%
Draw +1
22.6%
HB Torshavn -1
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Skála)
Skála +2
55.2%
Draw +2
20.4%
HB Torshavn -2
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Skála
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.57
1.43
0.21
1.12
0.88
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.12
1.25
0.25
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.58
0.80
0.40
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (10)
2.00
0.10
2.20
0.00
1.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Torshavn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.30
0.53
0.33
1.20
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.31
0.17
0.50
0.43
0.14
vs Weaker (17)
1.29
0.29
0.78
0.22
1.88
0.38
Clean sheet %
77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.2%
Under 0.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.7%
Under 1.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.4%
Under 2.5
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skála over/under 0.5 HT
Over
28.8%
Under
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5 HT
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.3%
Under
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 HT
Over
24.3%
Under
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 HT
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Skála
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
0.33
1.86
0.14
1.69
0.50
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
0.88
2.00
0.25
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (12)
1.67
0.17
1.80
0.00
1.57
0.29
vs Weaker (10)
2.20
0.10
1.80
0.20
2.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Torshavn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.67
1.80
0.87
1.47
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.46
0.77
1.67
1.33
1.29
0.29
vs Weaker (17)
1.76
0.59
1.89
0.56
1.62
0.62
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.3%
Under 0.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.6%
Under 1.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.3%
Under 2.5
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skála over/under 0.5 2H
Over
34.1%
Under
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5 2H
Over
8.5%
Under
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 2H
Over
69.3%
Under
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 2H
Over
31.7%
Under
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 2H
Over
11.6%
Under
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 0.5 HT goals
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
AB (18)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
Skála's squad is €2m less valuable than HB Torshavn's (€0m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
AB (3)
€0m
Skála and HB Torshavn have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
AB (8)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
Skála and HB Torshavn have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
AB (7)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
Skála and HB Torshavn have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
NSI Runavik
KI Klaksvik
Vikingur Gota
07 Vestur
B36 Torshavn
EB / Streymur
AB
B68