Skála’s recent draw against 07 Vestur leaves them still struggling to keep the ball in the final third, while NSI Runavik, unbeaten in five outings, have been scoring at a rate of four a game on the road. The model predicts a high-scoring affair with an expected 3.6 goals, and the most likely total is three, a 21% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 9.7% probability, and the model’s pick is an away win.
The odds of the match outcome are 30% for a home win, 23% for a draw, and 47% for an away win. Skála will average 3.25 goals scored and 0.5 conceded against stronger opposition, whereas Runavik will average 4.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded against weaker sides.
Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97%), Under 6.5 (92.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.4%), Over 1.5 (88.2%), Away over 0.5 goals (86.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (85.6%), Away +2 handicap (85.4%), and Under 5.5 (84.6%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Skála win
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik win
52.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Skála
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
3.03
0.90
3.29
0.36
2.81
1.38
vs Stronger (8)
2.38
2.00
3.25
0.50
1.50
3.50
vs Similar (12)
2.50
0.75
2.60
0.40
2.43
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
4.20
0.20
4.00
0.20
4.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NSI Runavik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.57
2.33
1.07
2.33
2.07
vs Stronger (8)
1.50
2.12
2.00
1.50
1.00
2.75
vs Similar (9)
1.67
2.22
1.33
2.00
1.83
2.33
vs Weaker (13)
3.31
0.77
2.88
0.50
4.00
1.20
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.6%
Under 1.5
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70.3%
Under 2.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
49.2%
Under 3.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
68.9%
No
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
0-1
4.9%
2-3
4.8%
Skála goals ↓
NSI Runavik goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.5%
4.9%
6.2%
4.5%
2.4%
1
3.0%
9.2%
9.1%
6.6%
3.6%
2
2.8%
6.1%
6.7%
4.8%
2.6%
3
1.4%
3.0%
3.2%
2.3%
1.3%
4
0.5%
1.1%
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skála goals (down), columns = NSI Runavik goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.75
NSI Runavik
1.88
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
07 Vestur
1.38
Skála
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.12
EB / Streymur
1.00
AB
0.75
B68
0.50
Skála is 0.50 points worse than NSI Runavik in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.62
NSI Runavik
2.25
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
EB / Streymur
1.50
07 Vestur
1.25
Skála
1.12
AB
1.12
B36 Torshavn
0.75
B68
0.50
Skála is 1.12 goals worse than NSI Runavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 2.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.50
KI Klaksvik
1.14
B68
1.25
NSI Runavik
1.38
07 Vestur
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.38
Vikingur Gota
1.43
Skála
1.75
EB / Streymur
2.00
AB
2.00
Skála is 0.38 goals worse than NSI Runavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Skála or Draw
47.1%
Avg Implied -
25%
22%
53%
covers Skála + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Skála or NSI Runavik
77.7%
Avg Implied -
25%
22%
53%
covers Skála + NSI Runavik
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or NSI Runavik
75.1%
Avg Implied -
25%
22%
53%
covers Draw + NSI Runavik
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Skála over/under 0.5
Over
76.8%
Under
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5
Over
43.0%
Under
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5
Over
18.2%
Under
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 3.5
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5
Over
88.6%
Under
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5
Over
63.8%
Under
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5
Over
36.9%
Under
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 3.5
Over
17.5%
Under
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Skála, so a minus line means Skála give that many goals of a start and NSI Runavik receive them. At -1, Skála must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Skála win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Skála)
Skála -2
4.1%
Draw -2
7.3%
NSI Runavik +2
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Skála)
Skála -1
11.4%
Draw -1
13.4%
NSI Runavik +1
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Skála)
Skála +1
47.1%
Draw +1
20.3%
NSI Runavik -1
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Skála)
Skála +2
67.4%
Draw +2
16.1%
NSI Runavik -2
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Skála
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.57
1.43
0.21
1.12
0.88
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.12
1.25
0.25
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.58
0.80
0.40
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (10)
2.00
0.10
2.20
0.00
1.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NSI Runavik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.60
0.93
0.47
1.20
0.73
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.88
1.00
0.75
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (13)
1.77
0.38
1.12
0.25
2.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skála over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Skála
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
0.33
1.86
0.14
1.69
0.50
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
0.88
2.00
0.25
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (12)
1.67
0.17
1.80
0.00
1.57
0.29
vs Weaker (10)
2.20
0.10
1.80
0.20
2.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NSI Runavik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.97
1.40
0.60
1.13
1.33
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.25
1.00
0.75
0.75
1.75
vs Similar (9)
1.22
1.56
1.00
1.33
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (13)
1.54
0.38
1.75
0.25
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skála over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
AB (18)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
Skála's squad is €2m less valuable than NSI Runavik's (€0m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
AB (3)
€0m
Skála and NSI Runavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
AB (8)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
Skála's midfield is €1m less valuable than NSI Runavik's (€0m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
AB (7)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
Skála and NSI Runavik have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
HB Torshavn
KI Klaksvik
Vikingur Gota
07 Vestur
B36 Torshavn
EB / Streymur
AB
B68