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Skanste vs JFK Ventspils Result & Analysis

Date: 29/06/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 3-0
Skanste
Skanste
Vs
47%
27%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
JFK Ventspils
JFK Ventspils
Latvia: 1. Liga
Referee: -

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

Skanste wināœ“ Hit
47.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawāœ— Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
JFK Ventspils wināœ— Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SkansteSkanste

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L11D11D00D00D60W01L02L05L31WH·MET25/11H·MĀR06/04A·OGR14/04H·SUP20/04A·RIG28/04H·RĒZ04/05H·JDF12/05A·LEE19/05H·RÄŖG26/05A·TUK15/06← Virsliga1. Liga →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.202.000.931.531.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.541.381.171.671.861.14
vs Weaker (17)1.941.062.560.441.251.75
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (JFK Ventspils) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D22D03L22D20W01L20W12L11DH·SKA12/11A·TUK06/04A·RĒZ15/04H·VAL21/04H·PRO27/04H·SMI05/05A·MĀR11/05H·OGR19/05A·SUP26/05H·RIG15/06
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.130.941.061.071.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.951.050.911.091.001.00
vs Weaker (10)1.101.301.001.001.201.60
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Skanste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.1%
Under 1.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.3%
Under 3.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
Skanste goals ↓
JFK Ventspils goals →
01234
08.0%6.4%4.2%1.6%0.4%
19.5%13%6.6%2.4%0.7%
28.5%9.4%5.2%1.9%0.5%
34.5%4.9%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.8%2.0%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skanste goals (down), columns = JFK Ventspils goals (across).

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
Super Nova
2.50
Rīgas FS II
2.42
JDFS Alberts
2.23
Riga FC II
1.85
Skanste
1.58
Valmiera II
1.31
Mārupe
1.27
Leevon / PPK
1.19
Progress / AFA Olaine
1.15
JFK Ventspils
1.15
Ogre United
1.12
Tukums II
0.73
Smiltene
0.65
Rēzekne FA
0.54
Skanste is 0.42 points better than JFK Ventspils in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.15).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
Rīgas FS II
2.73
Super Nova
2.50
Riga FC II
2.27
JDFS Alberts
2.04
Progress / AFA Olaine
1.73
Valmiera II
1.58
Skanste
1.50
Ogre United
1.42
Leevon / PPK
1.38
JFK Ventspils
1.23
Mārupe
0.96
Tukums II
0.96
Smiltene
0.92
Rēzekne FA
0.69
Skanste is 0.27 goals better than JFK Ventspils in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.23).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Super Nova
0.42
Rīgas FS II
0.69
JDFS Alberts
0.81
Riga FC II
1.00
Skanste
1.08
JFK Ventspils
1.42
Leevon / PPK
1.46
Valmiera II
1.50
Ogre United
1.69
Mārupe
1.69
Progress / AFA Olaine
1.92
Smiltene
2.38
Tukums II
2.62
Rēzekne FA
3.23
Skanste is 0.35 goals better than JFK Ventspils in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.42).

ā±ļø Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

šŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

šŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

āš–ļø 7. Handicap

ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SkansteSkanste

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D00D00D00D20W01L01L03L10WH·MET25/11H·MĀR06/04A·OGR14/04H·SUP20/04A·RIG28/04H·RĒZ04/05H·JDF12/05A·LEE19/05H·RÄŖG26/05A·TUK15/06← Virsliga1. Liga →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.800.600.530.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.460.620.501.000.430.29
vs Weaker (17)0.820.531.000.330.620.75
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (JFK Ventspils) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W12L00D11D10W00D10W01L10WH·SKA12/11A·TUK06/04A·RĒZ15/04H·VAL21/04H·PRO27/04H·SMI05/05A·MĀR11/05H·OGR19/05A·SUP26/05H·RIG15/06
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.500.380.500.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.450.350.450.360.440.33
vs Weaker (10)0.600.800.600.400.601.20
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Skanste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skanste over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JFK Ventspils over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JFK Ventspils over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JFK Ventspils over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SkansteSkanste

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D11D00D00D40W00D01L02L21WH·MET25/11H·MĀR06/04A·OGR14/04H·SUP20/04A·RIG28/04H·RĒZ04/05H·JDF12/05A·LEE19/05H·RÄŖG26/05A·TUK15/06← Virsliga1. Liga →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.631.200.331.000.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.080.770.670.671.430.86
vs Weaker (17)1.120.531.560.110.621.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (JFK Ventspils) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W03L11D10W01L10W11D01LH·SKA12/11A·TUK06/04A·RĒZ15/04H·VAL21/04H·PRO27/04H·SMI05/05A·MĀR11/05H·OGR19/05A·SUP26/05H·RIG15/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.440.690.570.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.500.700.450.730.560.67
vs Weaker (10)0.500.500.400.600.600.40
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Skanste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skanste over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skanste over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JFK Ventspils over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JFK Ventspils over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JFK Ventspils over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.1%-------āœ“ Hit
Under 3.571.7%-------āœ“ Hit

šŸ’° 14. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OU (27)
€3m
SN (24)
€3m
L/P (1)
€0m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OU (12)
€2m
SN (8)
€1m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
L/P (0)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SN (6)
€1m
OU (4)
€1m
L/P (1)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
TI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OU (11)
€1m
SN (10)
€1m
JA (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
L/P (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

šŸ¤ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
SKA wins
0
Draws
0
JV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Skanste vs JFK Ventspils · H/A from SKA
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/23AJFK Ventspils Vs SKA0-1
30/07/23HSKA Vs JFK Ventspils2-1

SkansteSkanste

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/06/24ATukums II Vs SKA1-3
26/05/24HSKA Vs Rīgas FS II0-5
19/05/24ALeevon / PPK Vs SKA2-0
12/05/24HSKA Vs JDFS Alberts0-1
04/05/24HSKA Vs Rēzekne FA6-0
28/04/24ARiga FC II Vs SKA0-0
20/04/24HSKA Vs Super Nova0-0
14/04/24AOgre United Vs SKA1-1
06/04/24HSKA Vs Mārupe1-1
25/11/23HSKA Vs Metta / LU1-2

JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/06/24HJV Vs Riga FC II1-1
26/05/24ASuper Nova Vs JV2-1
19/05/24HJV Vs Ogre United2-0
11/05/24AMārupe Vs JV1-0
05/05/24HJV Vs Smiltene2-0
27/04/24HJV Vs Progress / AFA Olaine2-2
21/04/24HJV Vs Valmiera II0-3
15/04/24ARēzekne FA Vs JV2-2
06/04/24ATukums II Vs JV1-1
12/11/23HJV Vs Skanste0-1

šŸ“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Skanste
Skanste
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.66
HomeDDWLL1.81
AwayLDDLW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%43%
AVG goals3.082.963.22
Over 1.5 %78%70%87%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %32%30%35%
Scored1.701.891.48
Conceded1.381.071.74
BTTS50%44%57%
Clean Sheet32%41%22%
Corners---
Cards---
JFK Ventspils
JFK Ventspils
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.09
HomeLDWWD1.11
AwayWDDLL1.06
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%28%25%
AVG goals2.152.002.31
Over 1.5 %65%56%75%
Over 2.5 %32%28%38%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored0.940.891.00
Conceded1.211.111.31
BTTS41%33%50%
Clean Sheet32%39%25%
Corners---
Cards---

šŸ† 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Super NovaSuper Nova2665
81%
2.5
6511+54
2.9
73%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.50.4
-
2Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2663
77%
2.4
7118+53
3.4
88%
69%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.70.7
-
3JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2658
73%
2.2
5321+32
2.8
77%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.8
-
4Riga FC IIRiga FC II2648
50%
1.8
5926+33
3.3
77%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
5SkansteSkanste2641
46%
1.6
3928+11
2.6
58%
46%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6Valmiera IIValmiera II2634
38%
1.3
4139+2
3.1
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
7MārupeMārupe2633
35%
1.3
2544-19
2.7
65%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
8Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK2631
35%
1.2
3638-2
2.8
73%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
9Progress / AFA OlaineProgress / AFA Olaine2630
31%
1.2
4550-5
3.7
92%
73%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.9
-
10JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2630
31%
1.2
3237-5
2.7
77%
46%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
11Ogre UnitedOgre United2629
27%
1.1
3744-7
3.1
85%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.41.7
-
12Tukums IITukums II2619
19%
0.7
2568-43
3.6
88%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.6
-
13SmilteneSmiltene2617
15%
0.7
2462-38
3.3
92%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.4
-
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2614
12%
0.5
1884-66
3.9
92%
73%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.2
-
Latvia: 1. Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: 1. Liga stats & trends →

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