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Skeid vs jerv Result & Analysis

Date: 28/10/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Skeid
Skeid
Vs
42%
22%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
jerv
jerv
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Skeid win✗ Miss
41.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
jerv win✓ Hit
36.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SkeidSkeid

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L02L01L02L13L03L12L02L30W01LH·RAU13/08A·HOD19/08H·RAN23/08A·SOG27/08H·ASA01/09A·MOS17/09H·KON23/09A·MJO30/09H·SAN07/10A·BRY22/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.901.501.930.691.88
vs Stronger (10)0.702.301.002.400.402.20
vs Similar (20)1.251.701.781.670.821.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (jerv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

jervjerv

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-613L02L22D13L26L01L22D13L24L02LA·KRI13/08H·SAN19/08A·MJO23/08H·BRY27/08A·KFU03/09H·STA16/09A·HOD23/09H·SOG30/09A·RAN08/10H·KON21/10
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.472.171.331.931.602.40
vs Stronger (9)1.442.561.402.201.503.00
vs Similar (21)1.482.001.301.801.642.18
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%2%05%115%219%320%416%523%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
92.3%
Under 1.5
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
77.7%
Under 2.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.7%
Under 3.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
76.6%
No
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
5.2%
2-3
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
Skeid goals ↓
jerv goals →
01234
02.3%2.6%3.2%2.1%1.1%
12.8%7.6%6.9%4.5%2.2%
23.7%7.4%7.3%4.8%2.4%
32.6%5.2%5.2%3.4%1.7%
41.4%2.8%2.8%1.8%0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skeid goals (down), columns = jerv goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fredrikstad
2.13
KFUM Oslo
1.93
Kristiansund BK
1.69
Kongsvinger
1.68
Bryne
1.50
Start
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.33
Moss
1.27
Raufoss
1.27
Asane
1.23
Mjondalen
1.23
Sandnes ULF
1.23
hodd
1.10
jerv
1.03
Skeid
0.47
Skeid is 0.57 points worse than jerv in terms of average points per game (0.47 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kristiansund BK
1.91
Kongsvinger
1.77
KFUM Oslo
1.70
Fredrikstad
1.67
Start
1.58
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.40
Bryne
1.38
Asane
1.37
jerv
1.33
Mjondalen
1.30
Moss
1.23
Ranheim
1.20
Raufoss
1.17
hodd
0.97
Skeid
0.80
Skeid is 0.53 goals worse than jerv in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fredrikstad
0.77
KFUM Oslo
1.03
Bryne
1.16
Raufoss
1.20
Start
1.26
hodd
1.27
Kristiansund BK
1.28
Moss
1.33
Kongsvinger
1.39
Mjondalen
1.40
Asane
1.47
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.50
Ranheim
1.77
jerv
1.97
Skeid
2.07
Skeid is 0.10 goals worse than jerv in terms of goals conceded per game (2.07 vs 1.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SkeidSkeid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D02L12L01L11D01L20W00DH·RAU13/08A·HOD19/08H·RAN23/08A·SOG27/08H·ASA01/09A·MOS17/09H·KON23/09A·MJO30/09H·SAN07/10A·BRY22/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.790.790.250.75
vs Stronger (10)0.600.800.801.000.400.60
vs Similar (20)0.450.750.780.670.180.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (jerv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

jervjerv

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L21W01L11D01L11D12L21W01LA·KRI13/08H·SAN19/08A·MJO23/08H·BRY27/08A·KFU03/09H·STA16/09A·HOD23/09H·SOG30/09A·RAN08/10H·KON21/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.000.271.000.671.00
vs Stronger (9)0.110.780.001.200.250.25
vs Similar (21)0.621.100.400.900.821.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skeid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SkeidSkeid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L01L00D01L02L01L01L10W01LH·RAU13/08A·HOD19/08H·RAN23/08A·SOG27/08H·ASA01/09A·MOS17/09H·KON23/09A·MJO30/09H·SAN07/10A·BRY22/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.130.711.140.441.12
vs Stronger (10)0.101.500.201.400.001.60
vs Similar (20)0.800.951.001.000.640.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (jerv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

jervjerv

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D01L01L12L15L00D11D01L03L01LA·KRI13/08H·SAN19/08A·MJO23/08H·BRY27/08A·KFU03/09H·STA16/09A·HOD23/09H·SOG30/09A·RAN08/10H·KON21/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.171.070.930.931.40
vs Stronger (9)1.331.781.401.001.252.75
vs Similar (21)0.860.900.900.900.820.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skeid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.577.7%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes76.6%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

jerv · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Felix Schröter42%
Peter Wilson20%
Mikael Ugland19%
Aral Şimşir15%
Erik Brenden14%
Daniel Håkans14%
Willis Alvés Furtado11%
Amadou Tidiane Diallo11%
Ask Tjaerandsen-Skau10%
John Olav Norheim7%
Mathias Haarup4%
Mathias Wichmann3%
Jeremy Cijntje0%
Rodney Antwi0%
Amund Wichne0%
Erik Tobias Sandberg0%
Leandro Fernandes0%
Iman Mafi0%
Daniel Arrocha0%
Oystein Ovretveit0%
Torje Wichne0%
Erlend Hustad0%
Dylan Mboumbouni0%
Ole Martin Lekven Kolskogen0%
Henrik Bredeli0%
Kristian Sirum Novak0%
Thomas Ness0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leandro Fernandes47%
Thomas Ness25%
Erik Brenden24%
Willis Alvés Furtado22%
Ask Tjaerandsen-Skau20%
Erik Tobias Sandberg19%
John Olav Norheim17%
Iman Mafi17%
Mikael Ugland14%
Jeremy Cijntje12%
Dylan Mboumbouni12%
Ole Martin Lekven Kolskogen12%
Kristian Sirum Novak12%
Torje Wichne10%
Aral Şimşir10%
Erlend Hustad10%
Henrik Bredeli8%
Amadou Tidiane Diallo7%
Oystein Ovretveit4%
Mathias Wichmann3%
Mathias Haarup0%
Rodney Antwi0%
Amund Wichne0%
Peter Wilson0%
Daniel Håkans0%
Daniel Arrocha0%
Felix Schröter0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Peter Wilson20%
Felix Schröter17%
Aral Şimşir15%
Erlend Hustad14%
Iman Mafi11%
Henrik Bredeli8%
Torje Wichne7%
Mathias Wichmann7%
Leandro Fernandes7%
Erik Brenden5%
Mathias Haarup4%
Amadou Tidiane Diallo4%
Jeremy Cijntje0%
Rodney Antwi0%
Amund Wichne0%
Erik Tobias Sandberg0%
Daniel Håkans0%
Mikael Ugland0%
Daniel Arrocha0%
Oystein Ovretveit0%
John Olav Norheim0%
Dylan Mboumbouni0%
Ole Martin Lekven Kolskogen0%
Ask Tjaerandsen-Skau0%
Kristian Sirum Novak0%
Willis Alvés Furtado0%
Thomas Ness0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Peter Wilson30%
Felix Schröter25%
Daniel Håkans14%
Willis Alvés Furtado11%
Amadou Tidiane Diallo11%
John Olav Norheim10%
Mikael Ugland10%
Erik Brenden5%
Mathias Haarup0%
Jeremy Cijntje0%
Rodney Antwi0%
Amund Wichne0%
Erik Tobias Sandberg0%
Leandro Fernandes0%
Iman Mafi0%
Daniel Arrocha0%
Oystein Ovretveit0%
Torje Wichne0%
Mathias Wichmann0%
Erlend Hustad0%
Dylan Mboumbouni0%
Ole Martin Lekven Kolskogen0%
Henrik Bredeli0%
Ask Tjaerandsen-Skau0%
Kristian Sirum Novak0%
Aral Şimşir0%
Thomas Ness0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (25)
€15m
KB (21)
€13m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SKE wins
0
Draws
1
JER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Skeid vs jerv · H/A from SKE
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/23Ajerv Vs SKE3-2

SkeidSkeid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/23ABryne Vs SKE1-0
07/10/23HSKE Vs Sandnes ULF3-0
30/09/23AMjondalen Vs SKE2-0
23/09/23HSKE Vs Kongsvinger1-2
17/09/23AMoss Vs SKE3-0
01/09/23HSKE Vs Asane1-3
27/08/23ASogndal Vs SKE2-0
23/08/23HSKE Vs Ranheim0-1
19/08/23Ahodd Vs SKE2-0
13/08/23HSKE Vs Raufoss1-2

jervjerv

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/23HJER Vs Kongsvinger0-2
08/10/23ARanheim Vs JER4-2
30/09/23HJER Vs Sogndal1-3
23/09/23Ahodd Vs JER2-2
16/09/23HJER Vs Start0-1
03/09/23AKFUM Oslo Vs JER6-2
27/08/23HJER Vs Bryne1-3
23/08/23AMjondalen Vs JER2-2
19/08/23HJER Vs Sandnes ULF0-2
13/08/23AKristiansund BK Vs JER3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Skeid
Skeid
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL0.90
HomeLLLLW1.17
AwayLLLLL0.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%33%15%
AVG goals3.043.712.42
Over 1.5 %78%92%65%
Over 2.5 %60%75%46%
Over 3.5 %40%54%27%
Scored1.221.790.69
Conceded1.821.921.73
BTTS42%62%23%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners---
Cards---
jerv
jerv
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.80
HomeLLLLL0.88
AwayLDLDL0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%24%16%
AVG goals3.663.284.04
Over 1.5 %88%80%96%
Over 2.5 %72%56%88%
Over 3.5 %48%40%56%
Scored1.321.201.44
Conceded2.342.082.60
BTTS76%64%88%
Clean Sheet8%12%4%
Corners12.0011.4512.50
Cards3.773.903.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FredrikstadFredrikstad3064
60%
2.1
5023+27
2.4
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.70.8
-
2KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3058
57%
1.9
5131+20
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.71.0
-
3Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3254
47%
1.7
6141+20
3.2
88%
56%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5431.91.3
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3152
52%
1.7
5543+12
3.2
94%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.81.4
-
5BryneBryne3248
44%
1.5
4437+7
2.5
75%
59%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.2
-
6StartStart3146
39%
1.5
4939+10
2.8
81%
65%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.61.3
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4545+0
3.0
83%
63%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.51.5
-
8RanheimRanheim3040
40%
1.3
3653-17
3.0
73%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.8
-
9RaufossRaufoss3038
33%
1.3
3536-1
2.4
63%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.2
-
10MossMoss3038
33%
1.3
3740-3
2.6
73%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.3
-
11Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3037
33%
1.2
4245-3
2.9
77%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
12AsaneAsane3037
30%
1.2
4144-3
2.8
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.41.5
-
13MjondalenMjondalen3037
33%
1.2
3942-3
2.7
77%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
14hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
2938-9
2.2
63%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.3
-
15jervjerv3031
27%
1.0
4059-19
3.3
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
16SkeidSkeid3014
10%
0.5
2462-38
2.9
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
Norway: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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