PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Skeid vs Kongsvinger Result & Analysis

Date: 22/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 4-0
Skeid
Skeid
Vs
31%
26%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Skeid win✓ Hit
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger win✗ Miss
42.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SkeidSkeid

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D20W11D15L10W01L33D30W32W03LA·SAN08/08H·ASA14/08A·GRO22/08H·KFU29/08A·SOG05/09A·MJO12/09H·FRE17/09A·BRY02/10H·STA09/10A·BRA17/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.251.891.862.070.641.71
vs Stronger (13)1.312.462.003.000.712.00
vs Similar (15)1.201.401.751.380.571.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %18% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W22D10W01L41W31W21W00D20W31WA·GRO08/08H·STA14/08A·RAU22/08H·STA27/08A·STJ05/09H·KFU12/09A·ASA17/09H·SOG03/10A·RAN10/10H·SAN17/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.541.142.001.141.071.14
vs Stronger (2)0.503.001.003.000.003.00
vs Similar (15)1.070.931.571.140.620.75
vs Weaker (11)2.361.092.670.832.001.40
Clean sheet %25% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.0%
Under 2.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.4%
No
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
1-0
5.7%
Skeid goals ↓
Kongsvinger goals →
01234
06.0%6.9%6.5%3.5%1.4%
15.7%12%9.0%4.9%2.0%
24.7%7.7%6.2%3.4%1.4%
32.2%3.5%2.9%1.6%0.6%
40.7%1.2%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skeid goals (down), columns = Kongsvinger goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brann
2.70
Stabaek
1.93
Start
1.74
KFUM Oslo
1.68
Kongsvinger
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.52
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.43
Mjondalen
1.40
Fredrikstad
1.17
Raufoss
1.17
Bryne
1.17
Asane
1.07
Skeid
1.06
Grorud
0.67
Stjørdals-Blink
0.57
Arendal
0.00
Skeid is 0.60 points worse than Kongsvinger in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Brann
3.17
Stabaek
2.07
Start
2.03
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Ranheim
1.63
Fredrikstad
1.53
Skeid
1.47
Kongsvinger
1.42
Asane
1.40
Bryne
1.40
Mjondalen
1.30
Raufoss
1.17
Grorud
1.13
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
0.50
Skeid is 0.04 goals better than Kongsvinger in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Brann
0.53
Stabaek
0.93
Kongsvinger
1.15
Start
1.26
Mjondalen
1.57
KFUM Oslo
1.61
Fredrikstad
1.70
Sandnes ULF
1.71
Skeid
1.72
Ranheim
1.73
Bryne
1.73
Sogndal
1.77
Raufoss
1.80
Asane
2.23
Grorud
2.30
Stjørdals-Blink
2.37
Arendal
4.00
Skeid is 0.57 goals worse than Kongsvinger in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.15).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SkeidSkeid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L02L10W01L12L00D21W02LA·SAN08/08H·ASA14/08A·GRO22/08H·KFU29/08A·SOG05/09A·MJO12/09H·FRE17/09A·BRY02/10H·STA09/10A·BRA17/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.680.791.000.710.360.86
vs Stronger (13)0.621.231.001.330.291.14
vs Similar (15)0.730.401.000.250.430.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %36% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D10W00D20W10W00D00D10W31WA·GRO08/08H·STA14/08A·RAU22/08H·STA27/08A·STJ05/09H·KFU12/09A·ASA17/09H·SOG03/10A·RAN10/10H·SAN17/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.680.540.930.500.430.57
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.400.400.570.140.250.62
vs Weaker (11)1.180.551.500.670.800.40
Clean sheet %61% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skeid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SkeidSkeid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W13L00D00D21W30W11D01LA·SAN08/08H·ASA14/08A·GRO22/08H·KFU29/08A·SOG05/09A·MJO12/09H·FRE17/09A·BRY02/10H·STA09/10A·BRA17/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.110.861.360.290.86
vs Stronger (13)0.691.231.001.670.430.86
vs Similar (15)0.471.000.751.120.140.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %32% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D00D01L21W21W21W00D10W00DA·GRO08/08H·STA14/08A·RAU22/08H·STA27/08A·STJ05/09H·KFU12/09A·ASA17/09H·SOG03/10A·RAN10/10H·SAN17/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.611.070.640.640.57
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (15)0.670.531.001.000.380.12
vs Weaker (11)1.180.551.170.171.201.00
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skeid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (25)
€27m
FRE (25)
€15m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (10)
€11m
STA (9)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (4)
€7m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (11)
€9m
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SKE wins
0
Draws
1
KON wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Skeid vs Kongsvinger · H/A from SKE
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/22AKongsvinger Vs SKE1-0

SkeidSkeid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/22ABrann Vs SKE3-0
09/10/22HSKE Vs Start3-2
02/10/22ABryne Vs SKE0-3
17/09/22HSKE Vs Fredrikstad3-3
12/09/22AMjondalen Vs SKE1-0
05/09/22ASogndal Vs SKE0-1
29/08/22HSKE Vs KFUM Oslo1-5
22/08/22AGrorud Vs SKE1-1
14/08/22HSKE Vs Asane2-0
08/08/22ASandnes ULF Vs SKE0-0

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/22HKON Vs Sandnes ULF3-1
10/10/22ARanheim Vs KON0-2
03/10/22HKON Vs Sogndal0-0
17/09/22AAsane Vs KON1-2
12/09/22HKON Vs KFUM Oslo3-1
05/09/22AStjørdals-Blink Vs KON1-4
27/08/22HKON Vs Stabaek0-1
22/08/22ARaufoss Vs KON0-1
14/08/22HKON Vs Start2-2
08/08/22AGrorud Vs KON1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Skeid
Skeid
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL0.89
HomeWWLDW1.21
AwayDWLWL0.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%36%14%
AVG goals3.143.932.36
Over 1.5 %75%86%64%
Over 2.5 %61%79%43%
Over 3.5 %43%64%21%
Scored1.251.860.64
Conceded1.892.071.71
BTTS50%79%21%
Clean Sheet18%14%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.64
HomeDLWDW1.86
AwayWWWWW1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%50%43%
AVG goals2.683.142.21
Over 1.5 %68%79%57%
Over 2.5 %57%71%43%
Over 3.5 %36%57%14%
Scored1.542.001.07
Conceded1.141.141.14
BTTS57%71%43%
Clean Sheet25%21%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BrannBrann3081
87%
2.7
9516+79
3.7
97%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
11793.20.5
-
2StabaekStabaek3058
53%
1.9
6228+34
3.0
70%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5232.10.9
-
3KongsvingerKongsvinger3355
48%
1.7
4738+9
2.6
64%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.41.2
-
4StartStart3154
52%
1.7
6339+24
3.3
74%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2342.01.3
-
5KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3152
48%
1.7
6250+12
3.6
90%
87%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.01.6
-
6Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3147
45%
1.5
5453+1
3.5
84%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.7
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
5553+2
3.6
87%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.8
-
8RanheimRanheim3043
40%
1.4
4952-3
3.4
90%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.7
-
9MjondalenMjondalen3042
43%
1.4
3947-8
2.9
83%
67%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
10FredrikstadFredrikstad3035
30%
1.2
4651-5
3.2
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.51.7
-
11BryneBryne3035
30%
1.2
4252-10
3.1
93%
70%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.7
-
12RaufossRaufoss3035
30%
1.2
3554-19
3.0
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.8
-
13SkeidSkeid3234
31%
1.1
4755-8
3.2
75%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
14AsaneAsane3032
27%
1.1
4267-25
3.6
93%
70%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.42.2
-
15GrorudGrorud3020
13%
0.7
3469-35
3.4
93%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.3
-
16Stjørdals-BlinkStjørdals-Blink3017
13%
0.6
3071-41
3.4
83%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
17ArendalArendal20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches