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Skeid vs Raufoss Result & Analysis

Date: 13/08/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Skeid
Skeid
Vs
39%
25%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Raufoss
Raufoss
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Skeid win✗ Miss
38.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raufoss win✓ Hit
36.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SkeidSkeid

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L02L22D20W04L01L24L00D12L03LA·KON16/05H·MJO21/05A·KRI29/05H·BRY04/06H·KFU11/06A·RAU25/06H·SOG01/07A·ASA09/07H·FRE04/08A·STA09/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.802.002.071.001.56
vs Stronger (14)1.432.361.882.500.832.17
vs Similar (16)1.501.312.171.501.101.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L12L01L11D01L10W14L32W31W23LA·MJO16/05H·KON21/05A·MOS29/05H·FRE04/06A·JER10/06H·SKE25/06A·BRY02/07H·KRI08/07A·KON06/08H·JER09/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.671.211.430.811.88
vs Stronger (14)1.362.001.501.501.172.67
vs Similar (16)0.691.380.831.330.601.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.7%
Under 2.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.5%
Under 3.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.0%
No
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-2 ✓
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
4.9%
Skeid goals ↓
Raufoss goals →
01234
04.8%5.1%4.9%2.6%1.1%
15.3%11%8.2%4.4%1.8%
25.2%8.4%6.8%3.7%1.5%
32.9%4.7%3.8%2.0%0.8%
41.2%1.9%1.6%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skeid goals (down), columns = Raufoss goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fredrikstad
2.13
KFUM Oslo
1.93
Kristiansund BK
1.69
Kongsvinger
1.68
Bryne
1.50
Start
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.33
Moss
1.27
Raufoss
1.27
Asane
1.23
Mjondalen
1.23
Sandnes ULF
1.23
hodd
1.10
jerv
1.03
Skeid
0.47
Skeid is 0.80 points worse than Raufoss in terms of average points per game (0.47 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kristiansund BK
1.91
Kongsvinger
1.77
KFUM Oslo
1.70
Fredrikstad
1.67
Start
1.58
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.40
Bryne
1.38
Asane
1.37
jerv
1.33
Mjondalen
1.30
Moss
1.23
Ranheim
1.20
Raufoss
1.17
hodd
0.97
Skeid
0.80
Skeid is 0.37 goals worse than Raufoss in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fredrikstad
0.77
KFUM Oslo
1.03
Bryne
1.16
Raufoss
1.20
Start
1.26
hodd
1.27
Kristiansund BK
1.28
Moss
1.33
Kongsvinger
1.39
Mjondalen
1.40
Asane
1.47
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.50
Ranheim
1.77
jerv
1.97
Skeid
2.07
Skeid is 0.87 goals worse than Raufoss in terms of goals conceded per game (2.07 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SkeidSkeid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D20W20W02L01L02L00D11D00DA·KON16/05H·MJO21/05A·KRI29/05H·BRY04/06H·KFU11/06A·RAU25/06H·SOG01/07A·ASA09/07H·FRE04/08A·STA09/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.790.930.310.69
vs Stronger (14)0.641.000.881.120.330.83
vs Similar (16)0.440.620.670.670.300.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W01L00D01L10W13L20W00D20WA·MJO16/05H·KON21/05A·MOS29/05H·FRE04/06A·JER10/06H·SKE25/06A·BRY02/07H·KRI08/07A·KON06/08H·JER09/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.570.640.210.120.88
vs Stronger (14)0.430.640.620.250.171.17
vs Similar (16)0.310.500.670.170.100.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skeid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SkeidSkeid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L02L00D02L00D22D00D01L03LA·KON16/05H·MJO21/05A·KRI29/05H·BRY04/06H·KFU11/06A·RAU25/06H·SOG01/07A·ASA09/07H·FRE04/08A·STA09/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.001.211.140.690.88
vs Stronger (14)0.791.361.001.380.501.33
vs Similar (16)1.060.691.500.830.800.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L00D11D00D00D01L12L31W03LA·MJO16/05H·KON21/05A·MOS29/05H·FRE04/06A·JER10/06H·SKE25/06A·BRY02/07H·KRI08/07A·KON06/08H·JER09/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.100.571.210.691.00
vs Stronger (14)0.931.360.881.251.001.50
vs Similar (16)0.380.880.171.170.500.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skeid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (25)
€15m
KB (21)
€13m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
SKE wins
1
Draws
2
RAU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Skeid vs Raufoss · H/A from SKE
DateH/AGameScore
25/06/23ARaufoss Vs SKE1-0
24/07/22HSKE Vs Raufoss2-2
26/06/22ARaufoss Vs SKE1-0

SkeidSkeid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/23AStart Vs SKE3-0
04/08/23HSKE Vs Fredrikstad1-2
09/07/23AAsane Vs SKE0-0
01/07/23HSKE Vs Sogndal2-4
25/06/23ARaufoss Vs SKE1-0
11/06/23HSKE Vs KFUM Oslo0-4
04/06/23HSKE Vs Bryne2-0
29/05/23AKristiansund BK Vs SKE2-2
21/05/23HSKE Vs Mjondalen0-2
16/05/23AKongsvinger Vs SKE5-0

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/23HRAU Vs jerv2-3
06/08/23AKongsvinger Vs RAU1-3
08/07/23HRAU Vs Kristiansund BK3-2
02/07/23ABryne Vs RAU4-1
25/06/23HRAU Vs Skeid1-0
10/06/23Ajerv Vs RAU1-0
04/06/23HRAU Vs Fredrikstad1-1
29/05/23AMoss Vs RAU1-0
21/05/23HRAU Vs Kongsvinger1-2
16/05/23AMjondalen Vs RAU3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Skeid
Skeid
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL0.92
HomeLWLLL1.17
AwayLDLDL0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%33%16%
AVG goals3.203.882.56
Over 1.5 %78%92%64%
Over 2.5 %63%75%52%
Over 3.5 %47%62%32%
Scored1.331.880.80
Conceded1.882.001.76
BTTS47%67%28%
Clean Sheet22%21%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Raufoss
Raufoss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.15
HomeLDWWL1.35
AwayLLLLW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%25%
AVG goals2.792.573.00
Over 1.5 %77%74%79%
Over 2.5 %57%52%62%
Over 3.5 %34%26%42%
Scored1.171.131.21
Conceded1.621.431.79
BTTS51%48%54%
Clean Sheet19%30%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FredrikstadFredrikstad3064
60%
2.1
5023+27
2.4
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.70.8
-
2KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3058
57%
1.9
5131+20
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.71.0
-
3Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3254
47%
1.7
6141+20
3.2
88%
56%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5431.91.3
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3152
52%
1.7
5543+12
3.2
94%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.81.4
-
5BryneBryne3248
44%
1.5
4437+7
2.5
75%
59%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.2
-
6StartStart3146
39%
1.5
4939+10
2.8
81%
65%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.61.3
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4545+0
3.0
83%
63%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.51.5
-
8RanheimRanheim3040
40%
1.3
3653-17
3.0
73%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.8
-
9RaufossRaufoss3038
33%
1.3
3536-1
2.4
63%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.2
-
10MossMoss3038
33%
1.3
3740-3
2.6
73%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.3
-
11Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3037
33%
1.2
4245-3
2.9
77%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
12AsaneAsane3037
30%
1.2
4144-3
2.8
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.41.5
-
13MjondalenMjondalen3037
33%
1.2
3942-3
2.7
77%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
14hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
2938-9
2.2
63%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.3
-
15jervjerv3031
27%
1.0
4059-19
3.3
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
16SkeidSkeid3014
10%
0.5
2462-38
2.9
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
Norway: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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